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As of September 16, 2026, Riot Platforms, Inc. (RIOT) trades at $19.70. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $22.00, 11.7% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $30.00 across 21 analysts. RSI at 43 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $20.57.
Riot Platforms, Inc. (RIOT)
Riot Platforms, Inc. NASDAQ
$19.70
-1.250 (-5.97%)
At close: Sep 15, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
79 / 100
Riot Platforms (RIOT) is currently trading at $19.70, below its 50-day Simple Moving Average of $20.57, indicating near-term technical weakness. Despite this, the company's fundamental valuation is supported by a price-to-sales ratio of 11.66, which is higher than the sector median of 3.8, but its negative EPS and profit margins suggest a focus on growth over immediate profitability. Wall Street sentiment is overwhelmingly positive, with 21 analysts maintaining a consensus 'Buy' rating and a median price target of $30, implying a 52.3% upside potential. The company's forward revenue growth estimates for next year are strong at 21.00%, suggesting a recovery and expansion phase. However, significant insider selling, with total sales exceeding $18.3 million against only $64.9K in purchases, presents a notable risk to the bullish outlook.
RIOT Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$20.55
Day Range
$19.52 to $20.72
Prev Close
$20.95
Volume
13.70M
52-Week Range
$11.50 to $30.32
Market Cap
$7.39B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Bitcoin Mining)
Performance vs BITQ
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+65%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
RIOT Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 2 quarters, RIOT beat estimates 0 times. The company has struggled to beat estimates recently.
RIOT Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+52.28% Upside
Median of 21 analysts (12-month)
$30.00
AI Technical Analysis
Riot Platforms is trading below its 50-day SMA of $20.57 and its 20-day EMA of $20.59, suggesting a bearish short-term trend. The price is currently above its 200-day SMA of $18.89, indicating a longer-term bullish trend remains intact. The RSI is at 43.4, falling within the neutral momentum range, and the MACD is slightly positive at 0.04, offering no strong directional signal. Volume on the latest trading day was 13,703,800, which is approximately 4.8% below the average volume of 14,398,590, indicating a lack of conviction behind the current price action. Key support is seen around the 200-day SMA, while resistance lies at the 50-day SMA and the 20-day EMA.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transactions closely; significant selling pressure from management could signal underlying concerns despite bullish analyst ratings.
- Given the current trading price below key moving averages, consider waiting for a confirmed technical breakout above the 50-day SMA before initiating new positions.
- Riot Platforms' performance is intrinsically linked to Bitcoin's price; stay informed about cryptocurrency market trends and regulatory developments that could impact mining profitability.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Wall Street Buy Consensus and Price Targets
21 analysts maintain a 'Buy' rating with a median price target of $30, suggesting a 52.3% upside potential, indicating strong institutional confidence in future performance.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsBullish
Projected Revenue Growth Rebound
Forward revenue estimates show a projected 14.00% growth for the next quarter and 21.00% for the next year, signaling a potential turnaround in top-line performance.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBearish
Significant Insider Selling Activity
Insiders have sold over $18.3 million worth of stock, contrasting with minimal purchases of $64.9K, which could indicate a lack of confidence in near-term prospects.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Persistent Negative Profitability
The company continues to report negative EPS and profit margins, making its valuation highly sensitive to future operational improvements and Bitcoin price movements.
Source: Company FinancialsMarket Outlook
The base case outlook for Riot Platforms anticipates a recovery driven by positive analyst sentiment and projected revenue growth. With a median analyst target price of $30, the stock has potential for a 52.3% upside from its current trading level of $19.70. The company's focus on Bitcoin mining positions it to benefit from any resurgence in cryptocurrency prices, which could significantly boost its revenue and profitability. However, the path forward is not without risks. Continued insider selling and the company's current unprofitability present significant headwinds. A failure to meet forward revenue growth estimates or a downturn in Bitcoin prices could lead to a reassessment of its high valuation. Investors should monitor the company's ability to achieve positive EPS and profit margins, as well as the broader cryptocurrency market sentiment, to gauge its future trajectory.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 7.39B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -3.84 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 30.32 |
| 52 Week Low | 11.50 |
Riot Platforms exhibits a high price-to-sales ratio of 11.66, significantly above the sector median of 3.8, indicating that investors are pricing in substantial future growth. The company's profitability metrics are concerning, with a negative net profit margin of -196.28% and a negative return on equity of -48.24%, suggesting it is currently loss-making. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.40, which is in line with the sector median of 0.40, indicating a manageable debt load relative to its equity. The company's negative EPS of -3.84 means its P/E ratio is not applicable, further highlighting its current unprofitability. While the company is focused on growth within the Bitcoin mining sector, its current financial performance does not support its valuation, suggesting that future growth and Bitcoin price appreciation are critical for justifying the current market capitalization.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Riot Platforms' recent earnings reports show a pattern of missing analyst estimates, with the quarter to June 2026 reporting an EPS of -0.58 against an estimate of -0.32, a surprise of -81.25%. The prior quarter to March 2026 also missed estimates with an EPS of -0.35 versus -0.28. However, the company did beat estimates significantly in the quarter to March 2026 with an EPS of 0.43 against 0.16. Revenue estimates for the current quarter show a projected year-over-year decline of 11.00%, but a strong rebound is expected in the next quarter with a projected 14.00% growth.
Key Risks
Significant insider selling, with total sales exceeding $18.3 million, poses a considerable risk, suggesting a lack of confidence from management despite the bullish Wall Street consensus. The company's negative profit margins and EPS indicate ongoing financial challenges, making it highly dependent on future Bitcoin price appreciation and operational efficiency improvements to achieve profitability. Also, the high price-to-sales ratio suggests a valuation that is heavily reliant on future growth expectations, which could lead to significant downside if those expectations are not met.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 43.40 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 0.04 |
| SMA 50 | 20.57 |
| SMA 200 | 18.89 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($20.57) above the 200-day SMA ($18.89), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.54
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.56
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.49
Moderate correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.18
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with RIOT? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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RIOT Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$19.31
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$19.70
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$17.52
MAX LOSS
-9.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (43.4) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$20.27
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$21.24
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$22.20
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
RIOT is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 5.00%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 16, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in RIOT in September 2016 would be worth about $43,973 today, compared with about $35,497 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in RIOT today could grow to about $29,185 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $221,412 and a bear case around $3,847. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
RIOT Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $30.24 for RIOT by 2030 in the base case, from $19.70 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $8.39. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on RIOT's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $11.55 | $21.93 | $41.62 |
| 2028 | $9.86 | $24.41 | $60.40 |
| 2029 | $8.95 | $27.17 | $82.42 |
| 2030 | $8.39 | $30.24 | $109 |
| 2031 | $8.03 | $33.65 | $141 |
| 2032 | $7.80 | $37.46 | $180 |
| 2033 | $7.65 | $41.69 | $227 |
| 2034 | $7.58 | $46.41 | $284 |
| 2035 | $7.55 | $51.65 | $353 |
| 2036 | $7.58 | $57.49 | $436 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using RIOT's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. RIOT is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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RIOT Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$64.9K
1 Transactions
Sold
$18.3M
13 Transactions
Insiders
12
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.3M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2021 | NORTHERN DATA AG
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 3.0M | $109.8M |
| Sep 1, 2021 | NORTHERN DATA AG
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 1.9M | $68.2M |
| Jun 2, 2023 | YI SOO IL BENJAMIN
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 760.6K | $9.0M |
| Jun 2, 2023 | JACKMAN WILLIAM RICHARD
General Counsel
|
Sell | 371.5K | $4.5M |
| May 11, 2026 | LES JASON
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 175.0K | $4.4M |
| Sep 10, 2025 | JACKMAN WILLIAM RICHARD
General Counsel
|
Sell | 248.2K | $3.9M |
| Apr 3, 2006 | TALON OPPORTUNITY PARTNERS L P
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 2.3M | $3.3M |
| Oct 3, 2025 | LES JASON
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 113.9K | $2.3M |
| Jun 22, 2026 | LES JASON
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 62.7K | $1.9M |
| Jun 10, 2021 | LES JASON
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 50.0K | $1.6M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Riot Platforms' stock price forecast for 2030?
Riot Platforms' stock price forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case of $30.24, with a downside scenario of $8.39 and an upside scenario of $108.92. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets.
Is Riot Platforms stock a buy right now?
Wall Street analysts overwhelmingly recommend Riot Platforms as a 'Buy', with a median price target of $30, suggesting a 52.3% upside from the current price of $19.70. The consensus score is 79 out of 100.
What are the main risks facing Riot Platforms?
Key risks include significant insider selling totaling over $18.3 million, negative profit margins and EPS, and a high price-to-sales ratio that prices in substantial future growth. The company's profitability is also heavily tied to the volatile price of Bitcoin.
How does Riot Platforms' valuation compare to its sector?
Riot Platforms has a price-to-sales ratio of 11.66, which is considerably higher than the sector median of 3.8. Its P/E ratio is not applicable due to negative EPS, and its return on equity is negative, indicating it is less efficient than the sector average.
What is Riot Platforms' recent earnings performance?
The company has recently missed analyst EPS estimates in two consecutive quarters, including a -81.25% surprise in the quarter to June 2026. However, forward revenue growth estimates for next year are positive at 21.00%.
What is the technical outlook for Riot Platforms stock?
Technically, Riot Platforms is trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, indicating short-term weakness. However, it remains above its 200-day moving average, suggesting the longer-term trend is still positive. The RSI is neutral at 43.4.
What are the key catalysts for Riot Platforms?
Potential catalysts include a recovery in Bitcoin prices, successful execution of growth strategies leading to improved revenue and profitability, and positive analyst sentiment driving price targets higher. Conversely, continued insider selling and failure to meet earnings expectations could act as bearish catalysts.