Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW)
Tradeweb Markets Inc. NASDAQ
TW at a glance
Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW): Buy, 70/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($105.02 and $108.45).
- Earnings TW beat estimates in 5 of its last 6 quarters, yet fell the next day after 2 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $44.7M and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 26.3 against 16.5 for the Financial Services sector: a premium to peers (+59%).
As of October 15, 2026, Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) trades at $111.80. Wall Street's consensus target is $118.00 across 16 analysts. The 14-day RSI (daily closes) is 67, showing bullish momentum without being overbought, and the price is above its 50-day simple moving average of $105.02.
Figures as of October 15, 2026.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from TW's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
TW Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Financial Services)
Performance vs IAI
Sector Position Analysis
TW Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
| Report | EPS estimate | EPS actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 (after close) | $0.95 | $0.97 | +2.11% | +2.76% | +5.64% |
| Apr 29, 2026 (after close) | $1.06 | $1.08 | +1.89% | -4.12% | -7.36% |
| Oct 30, 2025 (after close) | $0.83 | $0.87 | +4.82% | +1.19% | +2.62% |
| Jul 30, 2025 (after close) | $0.86 | $0.87 | +1.16% | -5.18% | -6.15% |
| Apr 30, 2025 (after close) | $0.86 | $0.86 | +0.00% | -0.17% | +3.93% |
| Feb 6, 2025 (after close) | $0.74 | $0.76 | +2.70% | +0.75% | +3.99% |
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
As of October 15, 2026, TW has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 5 of its last 6 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 2 of those beats; its latest report, on July 30, 2026, came in 2.11% above the estimate and the stock moved +2.76% in the first session.
TW Analysis
- Monitor insider selling activity closely, as $44.7 million in sales have been reported without corresponding purchases.
- The stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($105.02 and $108.45), indicating a bullish technical setup, but watch for potential resistance near previous highs.
Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) has a track record of exceeding analyst EPS expectations, with the latest quarter showing a 2.11% surprise, reinforcing investor confidence.
Source: Company Earnings ReportsAnalysts forecast continued revenue expansion for TW, with next quarter's revenue expected to grow by 13.00% year-over-year and current year revenue growth projected at 14.00%.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesInsiders have sold a significant amount ($44.7 million) of TW stock, indicating a 'Moderate Sell Signal' that warrants investor attention.
Source: Insider Transaction DataThe majority of Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' rating on TW, with a median price target of $118.00, suggesting potential upside.
Source: Wall Street Analyst RatingsKey Statistics
| Market Cap | 24.13B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 26.29 |
| EPS (TTM) | 4.21 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.48% |
| 52 Week High | 127.69 |
| 52 Week Low | 91.42 |
As of October 15, 2026, TW trades at $111.80, with a market value of $24.13B, a P/E ratio of 26.29 and a dividend yield of 0.48%.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Key Risks
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14-day) | 67.22 |
|---|---|
| MACD (12, 26) | 2.07 |
| SMA (50-day) | 105.02 |
| SMA (200-day) | 108.45 |
As of October 15, 2026, with TW at $111.80, its 14-day RSI is 67.2 (showing bullish momentum without being overbought), its 50-day simple moving average is $105.02 and its 200-day is $108.45.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 15, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
As of October 15, 2026, TW's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.17 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.09 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), -0.04 with Bitcoin (BTC) and -0.04 with gold (XAU).
How does any other asset move with TW? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
TW Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Wells Fargo | Initiates | Overweight |
| Sep 9, 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy |
| Aug 3, 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight |
As of October 15, 2026, 16 Wall Street analysts cover TW: 9 rate it a buy or strong buy, 7 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $98.00 to $183.00, with a median of $118.00, 5.6% above the price of $111.80.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
TW Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk Management
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from TW's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in TW in April 2019 would be worth about $32,014 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $29,887 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Compare with Another Ticker
TW Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 15, 2026, TW's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 8 years with dividends reinvested was -46.8% (December 2021 to October 2022); it regained that peak by February 2024, 16 months after the low, and 68% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in TW today could grow to about $24,795 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $85,120 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $7,222. The simulation models price only; at today's 0.48% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
TW Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $161 for TW by 2030 in the base case, from $112 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $73.68. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on TW's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $82.88 | $122 | $181 |
| 2028 | $77.22 | $134 | $233 |
| 2029 | $74.70 | $147 | $288 |
| 2030 | $73.68 | $161 | $351 |
| 2031 | $73.59 | $176 | $421 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of TW's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
People Also Watch
TW Insider Trading Analysis
As of October 15, 2026, TW insiders reported 18 open-market sales worth $44.7M and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | DIXON TROY
Officer
|
Sell | 3.1K | $331.8K |
| Jun 1, 2026 | PETERSON JUSTIN
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 21.2K | $2.2M |
| May 26, 2026 | BERNS STEVEN D
Director
|
Sell | 425 | $44.7K |
| May 19, 2026 | BERNS STEVEN D
Director
|
Grant | 1.6K | - |
| May 19, 2026 | GANELES SCOTT C.
Director
|
Grant | 1.6K | - |
| May 19, 2026 | MADOFF PAULA
Director
|
Grant | 1.9K | - |
| May 19, 2026 | OPOKU LISA
Director
|
Grant | 1.6K | - |
| May 19, 2026 | REPETTO RICHARD H
Director
|
Grant | 1.6K | - |
| May 19, 2026 | YARED RANA
Director
|
Grant | 1.6K | - |
| Apr 15, 2026 | PETERSON JUSTIN
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 21.2K | $2.6M |