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As of September 27, 2026, Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) trades at $101.19. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $101.19, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $120.00 across 15 analysts. RSI at 37 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $103.41.
Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW)
Tradeweb Markets Inc. NASDAQ
$101.19
0.0600 (0.06%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) is currently trading at $101.19, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($103.41 and $108.41), signaling a bearish technical momentum. The company has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with current year estimates at +14.00% year-over-year, and a strong profit margin of 40.70%. However, insider activity shows a moderate insider selling with $44.7 million in total sales versus zero purchases, indicating a potential cautionary stance from management. Wall Street analysts maintain a "Hold" consensus with a median price target of $120, suggesting an 18.6% upside. While the company operates with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02 and a healthy return on equity of 14.47%, the current technical setup and insider selling warrant close observation. The sector median P/E of 16.5 is higher than TW's P/E of 24.15, suggesting a premium valuation relative to peers.
TW Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$101.23
Day Range
$99.81 to $102.50
Prev Close
$101.13
Volume
1.15M
52-Week Range
$91.42 to $127.69
Market Cap
$22.06B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Financial Services)
Performance vs KBE
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+46%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
TW Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, TW beat estimates 4 times. The stock rose 3 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
TW Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+18.59% Upside
Median of 15 analysts (12-month)
$120.00
AI Technical Analysis
Volume has decreased 16.6% below its average, indicating waning investor interest as Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) trades below its key moving averages. The stock is currently below its 50-day SMA ($103.41) and 200-day SMA ($108.41), with its RSI at 37.38 signaling bearish momentum. The chart structure suggests that the 50-day and 200-day SMAs are acting as resistance levels. The current price of $101.19 is also below the 20-day EMA of $102.85. The Stochastic indicator is in oversold territory at 22.79, which could suggest a potential short-term bounce, but the overall trend remains bearish until the stock can reclaim its key moving averages.
ProTips
- Given the moderate insider selling from insider transactions, investors should monitor for any further selling pressure or a change in management sentiment.
- The stock's current position below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($103.41 and $108.41) suggests a bearish technical trend; a decisive move above these levels would be required to signal a potential trend reversal.
- With a P/E ratio of 24.15, TW trades at a premium to its sector peers. Investors should ensure that the company's projected growth rates of 16.5% over the next five years materialize to justify this valuation.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Significant Insider Selling Continues
Insiders have sold a net of $44.7 million in TW stock, indicating a lack of confidence or a need for liquidity among management.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Trading Below Key Moving Averages
TW is currently below its 50-day SMA ($103.41) and 200-day SMA ($108.41), suggesting bearish momentum and potential for further price declines.
Source: Technical AnalysisBullish
Positive Earnings Surprises
Tradeweb Markets Inc. has a track record of beating EPS estimates, most recently by 2.11% for the quarter ending June 2026, which could support future price appreciation.
Source: Earnings ReportsBullish
Analyst Price Targets Suggest Upside
The median analyst price target for TW is $120, implying an 18.6% upside from the current price, indicating Wall Street's belief in potential future gains.
Source: Wall Street ConsensusMarket Outlook
The base case for Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) anticipates a stabilization and potential recovery towards its median analyst target price of $120 over the next 6-12 months, driven by its consistent revenue growth and strong profit margins. The company's strong 5-year average annual growth estimate of 16.5% and a low debt-to-equity ratio provide a solid foundation for future performance. However, the outlook is tempered by current technical weakness, with the stock trading below key moving averages, and significant insider selling. A catalyst for upside could be a clear break above the 50-day SMA, signaling a shift in momentum. Conversely, continued insider selling or a failure to reclaim technical resistance levels could lead to a retest of lower support levels, potentially towards the downside projection of $70 from the long-range forecast.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 22.06B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 24.15 |
| EPS (TTM) | 4.19 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.53% |
| 52 Week High | 127.69 |
| 52 Week Low | 91.42 |
Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) trades at a P/E ratio of 24.15, which is above the Financial Services sector median of 16.5, indicating a premium valuation. Its price-to-sales ratio stands at 10.01, also higher than the sector median of 3.8. The company boasts a strong profit margin of 40.70% and a healthy return on equity of 14.47%, supported by a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02. Despite the premium valuation, the company's revenue growth is projected at 14.00% for the current year, outpacing the sector average of 11.7%. This growth is expected to continue with a 5-year average annual growth rate estimate of 16.5%. The strong profitability and low leverage provide a solid financial foundation, but the current valuation warrants caution given the technical headwinds.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) most recently reported earnings for the quarter ending June 2026, exceeding analyst expectations with an actual EPS of $0.97 against an estimate of $0.95, a 2.11% surprise. This beat was accompanied by a 2.76% price increase. Prior quarters also showed a pattern of beating estimates, with a notable 15.38% surprise in the quarter ending March 2026, though this did not translate to significant price appreciation. The company's EPS estimates for the current year stand at $4.05, with next year's estimates at $4.59.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) stems from its moderate insider selling from insider transactions, with over $44.7 million in net sales, suggesting potential management caution. Technically, the stock is trading below key moving averages (50-day and 200-day SMAs), indicating bearish momentum and potential for further downside. Also, the company's P/E ratio of 24.15 is significantly higher than the sector median of 16.5, presenting a valuation risk if growth expectations are not met.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 37.38 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.89 |
| SMA 50 | 103.41 |
| SMA 200 | 108.41 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $103.41, 200-day: $108.41), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.19
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.11
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.05
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
-0.04
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with TW? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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TW Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$100.18
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$101.19
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$96.12
MAX LOSS
-4.1%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (37.4) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$103.18
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$105.19
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$108.19
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for TW is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in TW in April 2019 would be worth about $28,257 today, compared with about $26,859 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in TW today could grow to about $28,031 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $96,339 and a bear case around $8,156. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
TW Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $153 for TW by 2030 in the base case, from $101 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $70.00. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on TW's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $75.92 | $112 | $166 |
| 2028 | $71.60 | $124 | $216 |
| 2029 | $70.11 | $138 | $271 |
| 2030 | $70.00 | $153 | $334 |
| 2031 | $70.77 | $169 | $406 |
| 2032 | $72.18 | $188 | $489 |
| 2033 | $74.11 | $208 | $585 |
| 2034 | $76.50 | $231 | $696 |
| 2035 | $79.32 | $256 | $825 |
| 2036 | $82.53 | $284 | $975 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using TW's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
TW Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$44.7M
18 Transactions
Insiders
14
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$2.5M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2021 | OLESKY LEE
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 442.6K | $31.6M |
| Dec 6, 2021 | OLESKY LEE
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 279.7K | $26.5M |
| Nov 4, 2021 | OLESKY LEE
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 269.0K | $24.8M |
| Dec 10, 2020 | OLESKY LEE
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 308.5K | $19.9M |
| Jun 17, 2021 | OLESKY LEE
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 229.5K | $19.5M |
| Dec 10, 2020 | HULT WILLIAM
President
|
Sell | 300.0K | $19.3M |
| Mar 17, 2021 | OLESKY LEE
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 241.7K | $18.1M |
| Apr 6, 2022 | OLESKY LEE
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 185.1K | $16.9M |
| Mar 3, 2021 | HULT WILLIAM
President
|
Sell | 215.9K | $16.0M |
| Jun 22, 2021 | OLESKY LEE
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 178.9K | $15.3M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Tradeweb Markets Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030?
Tradeweb Markets Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case price of $152.82. The downside projection is $70, while the upside scenario reaches $333.65. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets.
Is Tradeweb Markets Inc. stock a buy right now?
Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) is currently rated a "Hold" by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $120 suggesting an 18.6% upside. However, the stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($103.41 and $108.41), and insider selling is notable, warranting a cautious approach.
What are the key technical levels for Tradeweb Markets Inc.?
Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of $103.41 and its 200-day SMA of $108.41, which are now acting as resistance levels. The 20-day EMA at $102.85 also presents near-term resistance.
How has Tradeweb Markets Inc. performed in recent earnings reports?
Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, including a 2.11% beat for the quarter ending June 2026. This positive earnings surprise trend has generally been met with modest positive price reactions.
What is the insider sentiment for Tradeweb Markets Inc.?
Insider sentiment for Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) is currently bearish, with a moderate insider selling indicated. Insiders have sold approximately $44.7 million worth of stock, with no reported purchases, suggesting a lack of confidence from management.
How does Tradeweb Markets Inc. compare to its sector averages?
Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) trades at a higher P/E ratio (24.15) and Price-to-Sales ratio (10.01) compared to the Financial Services sector medians (P/E 16.5, PS 3.8). However, its Return on Equity (14.47%) and Revenue Growth (9%) are above the sector averages (ROE 13.8%, Revenue Growth 11.7%).
What are the main risks facing Tradeweb Markets Inc.?
Key risks for Tradeweb Markets Inc. include significant insider selling totaling $44.7 million, a bearish technical outlook with the stock below key moving averages, and a premium valuation relative to its sector peers.