Jump to any asset
849 assets, updated daily
As of September 27, 2026, Marvell Technology Inc. (MRVL) trades at $261.94. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $289.50, 10.5% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $289.50 across 45 analysts. RSI at 70 is in overbought territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $220.57.
Marvell Technology Inc. (MRVL)
Marvell Technology Inc. NASDAQ
$261.94
2.990 (1.15%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
77 / 100
Marvell Technology Inc. (MRVL) is currently trading at $261.94, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($220.57 and $162.51), indicating positive technical momentum. The company is experiencing strong revenue growth, with current year estimates projecting a 47.00% increase year-over-year, reaching $12.1 billion. Analysts maintain a generally positive outlook, with a consensus rating of 'Buy' and a median price target of $289.50, suggesting an upside of 10.5% from the current price. Despite the positive technical and growth outlook, insider sentiment shows a 'Moderate Sell Signal,' with total insider sales significantly outweighing purchases. This divergence warrants close monitoring, though the company's strong fundamental performance and analyst conviction suggest that the current valuation may still offer attractive entry points for investors.
MRVL Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$263.56
Day Range
$257.43 to $267.48
Prev Close
$258.95
Volume
12.40M
52-Week Range
$66.33 to $329.88
Market Cap
$235.40B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+154%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
MRVL Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, MRVL beat estimates 5 times. The stock rose 3 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
MRVL Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+10.52% Upside
Median of 45 analysts (12-month)
$289.50
AI Technical Analysis
Marvell Technology Inc. is exhibiting strong upward momentum, trading above its 50-day SMA ($220.57) and 200-day SMA ($162.51), as well as its 20-day EMA ($240.46). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 70.02, indicating an 'Overbought' condition, which suggests a potential for a short-term pullback. Volume has been below its average recently, down 29.9%, which could signal waning conviction behind the current price action. Key support levels are indicated by the moving averages, while the RSI's overbought status suggests caution. The chart structure implies continued strength, but the overbought RSI may precede a period of consolidation or minor retracement.
ProTips
- Monitor insider selling activity closely, as it currently signals a 'Moderate Sell Signal' despite positive analyst ratings and technicals.
- Given the 'Overbought' RSI reading, consider waiting for a potential pullback or consolidation before initiating new positions.
- The company's high P/E ratio warrants careful consideration of its growth prospects and ability to meet elevated market expectations.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Forward Revenue Growth Estimates
Analysts project current year revenue to reach $12.1 billion, a 47.00% increase year-over-year, with next year's revenue estimated at $18.1 billion (51.00% growth), indicating significant market demand for Marvell's products.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBullish
Positive Analyst Consensus and Price Target
With a consensus 'Buy' rating from 45 analysts and a median price target of $289.50, Marvell Technology Inc. is viewed favorably by the market, suggesting potential for further price appreciation.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBearish
Moderate Insider Sell Signal
Insider transactions show a 'Moderate Sell Signal,' with total sales of $48.7 million significantly outweighing purchases of $2.1 million, potentially indicating a lack of confidence from management.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Overbought Technical Conditions
The RSI is currently at 70.02, an 'Overbought' level, which historically suggests a potential for a short-term price correction or consolidation.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
Marvell Technology Inc. is projected to see continued strong performance over the next 6-12 months, driven by strong revenue growth estimates and positive analyst sentiment. The median analyst target price of $289.50 suggests an upside of 10.5% from the current price, supported by expectations of significant year-over-year revenue increases in the coming quarters. Potential catalysts for upside include continued demand in its semiconductor markets and successful execution of its growth strategy. Conversely, risks such as the elevated valuation, the 'Moderate Sell Signal' from insider activity, and the current 'Overbought' technical condition could lead to price volatility or a near-term correction. Investors should monitor these factors as the company progresses through its growth phase.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 235.40B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 86.45 |
| EPS (TTM) | 3.03 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.09% |
| 52 Week High | 329.88 |
| 52 Week Low | 66.33 |
Marvell Technology Inc. presents a mixed valuation picture, with a P/E ratio of 86.45, significantly higher than the sector median of 34. However, its Price-to-Sales ratio of 24.91 is also above the sector median of 7.5, while its Return on Equity (ROE) of 16.52% and Profit Margin of 27.93% are strong and exceed sector averages. The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.29, which is below the sector average, indicating a healthy balance sheet. Despite the high P/E ratio, the strong profitability and revenue growth, coupled with a solid balance sheet, provide some justification for the current valuation, though it trades at a premium to its peers.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Marvell Technology Inc. most recently reported earnings for the quarter ending September 2026, with an EPS of $0.94, slightly beating the estimate of $0.93 by 1.08%. This beat was accompanied by a price decline of 10.28%, suggesting market reaction was negative despite the slight earnings beat. Prior quarters show a mixed pattern, including a significant EPS beat in the quarter to March 2026 (74.34% surprise) which also saw a price drop, and another beat in the quarter to June 2026 with a positive price reaction.
Key Risks
A primary risk for Marvell Technology Inc. is its elevated valuation, with a P/E ratio significantly higher than the sector median, suggesting potential for a valuation correction. Also, recent insider activity indicates a 'Moderate Sell Signal,' with substantial insider selling outweighing purchases, which could signal a lack of confidence from management in the short to medium term. The 'Overbought' RSI reading also suggests that the stock may be due for a pullback. Investors should monitor these factors closely, especially in conjunction with the company's ability to sustain its high growth trajectory.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 70.02 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 10.08 |
| SMA 50 | 220.57 |
| SMA 200 | 162.51 |
RSI
Overbought
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($220.57) above the 200-day SMA ($162.51), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages, RSI at 70.0 indicates overbought conditions; consider caution for immediate entries.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.59
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.68
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.22
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.15
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with MRVL? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
MRVL Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$256.70
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$261.94
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$235.14
MAX LOSS
-8.4%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (70.0) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$269.54
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$282.37
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$295.21
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
MRVL is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 4.63%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in MRVL in September 2016 would be worth about $200,107 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MRVL today could grow to about $47,020 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $356,722 and a bear case around $6,198. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
MRVL Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $487 for MRVL by 2030 in the base case, from $262 today (1.9x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $135. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MRVL's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $161 | $306 | $580 |
| 2028 | $144 | $357 | $884 |
| 2029 | $137 | $417 | $1,264 |
| 2030 | $135 | $487 | $1,753 |
| 2031 | $136 | $568 | $2,380 |
| 2032 | $138 | $663 | $3,186 |
| 2033 | $142 | $774 | $4,218 |
| 2034 | $148 | $904 | $5,536 |
| 2035 | $154 | $1,055 | $7,213 |
| 2036 | $162 | $1,232 | $9,344 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using MRVL's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. MRVL is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
MRVL Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$2.1M
4 Transactions
Sold
$48.7M
34 Transactions
Insiders
18
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.3M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2021 | HUSSAIN MUHAMMAD RAGHIB
Officer
|
Sell | 325.0K | $23.6M |
| Dec 6, 2021 | TAMER FORD
Director
|
Sell | 152.0K | $12.5M |
| Oct 15, 2024 | HUSSAIN MUHAMMAD RAGHIB
Officer
|
Sell | 150.0K | $12.1M |
| Apr 16, 2026 | BHARATHI SANDEEP
Officer
|
Sell | 66.9K | $8.7M |
| Nov 30, 2021 | HUSSAIN MUHAMMAD RAGHIB
Officer
|
Sell | 100.0K | $7.5M |
| Sep 12, 2024 | TAMER FORD
Director
|
Sell | 92.0K | $6.8M |
| May 31, 2023 | TAMER FORD
Director
|
Sell | 90.0K | $5.4M |
| Feb 2, 2023 | TAMER FORD
Director
|
Sell | 100.0K | $4.8M |
| Mar 26, 2026 | BHARATHI SANDEEP
Officer
|
Sell | 44.4K | $4.4M |
| Apr 15, 2026 | MEINTJES WILLEM A
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 30.0K | $4.0M |
Page 1 of 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Marvell Technology Inc.'s stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Marvell Technology Inc.'s stock price is projected to be $486.53 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $135.06, while the upside projection reaches $1752.69. These figures represent statistical simulation outcomes, not guarantees.
Is Marvell Technology Inc. stock a buy right now?
Marvell Technology Inc. is rated a 'Buy' by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $289.50, implying a 10.5% upside from the current price of $261.94. The stock is trading above key moving averages, and forward revenue growth estimates are strong.
What are the key technical indicators for Marvell Technology Inc.?
Marvell Technology Inc. is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($220.57 and $162.51) and its 20-day EMA, indicating bullish momentum. However, the RSI is currently overbought at 70.02, suggesting a potential for a short-term pullback.
What is the insider sentiment for Marvell Technology Inc.?
Insider sentiment for Marvell Technology Inc. is currently a 'Moderate Sell Signal,' with total insider sales of $48.7 million significantly exceeding total purchases of $2.1 million in recent filings.
How does Marvell Technology Inc. compare to its sector averages?
Marvell Technology Inc. trades at a higher P/E ratio (86.45 vs 34) and Price-to-Sales ratio (24.91 vs 7.5) compared to the Technology sector median. However, its ROE (16.52% vs 13.4%) and Profit Margin (27.93%) are stronger, and its debt-to-equity (0.29) is below the sector average.
What was Marvell Technology Inc.'s most recent earnings performance?
In the quarter ending September 2026, Marvell Technology Inc. reported an EPS of $0.94, beating estimates by 1.08%, though the stock price declined by 10.28%. Prior quarters have shown mixed price reactions to earnings beats.
What are the main risks facing Marvell Technology Inc.?
Key risks include the company's high valuation relative to sector peers, a 'Moderate Sell Signal' from insider transactions, and an 'Overbought' RSI indicating potential for a short-term correction.