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As of September 11, 2026, Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. (HII) trades at $281.67. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $367.00, 30.3% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $367.00 across 12 analysts. RSI at 27 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $297.53.
Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. (HII)
Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. NYSE
$281.67
0.8200 (0.29%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) is currently trading at $281.67, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($297.53 and $347.57), signaling a bearish technical trend. The company recently reported strong earnings beats, with Q2 2026 EPS exceeding estimates by 37.96%, yet this has not translated into sustained price momentum, with the stock trading below its 50-day SMA of $297.53 and 200-day SMA of $347.57. Despite these technical headwinds, Wall Street maintains a 'Hold' consensus with a median price target of $367.00, implying a 30.3% upside potential. The company operates in the Aerospace & Defense sector, which is currently experiencing a median P/E ratio of 34 and median revenue growth of 11.7%, placing HII's P/E of 17.13 at a discount to its sector peers.
HII Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$280.00
Day Range
$279.62 to $285.16
Prev Close
$280.85
Volume
410.0K
52-Week Range
$263.62 to $460.00
Market Cap
$11.10B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)
Performance vs ITA
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-50%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
HII Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, HII beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
HII Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+30.29% Upside
Median of 12 analysts (12-month)
$367.00
AI Technical Analysis
Volume has increased 12.4% above its average, accompanying a price decline that has pushed Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) below its 50-day SMA of $297.53 and 200-day SMA of $347.57. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 27.37, indicating an oversold condition that could precede a bounce. MACD is negative at -6.02, reinforcing the bearish momentum. Key support levels are not clearly defined due to the current downtrend, but the oversold RSI suggests that the downside may be limited in the short term. The current price action indicates weakness, with the stock trading below its 20-day EMA of $294.72.
ProTips
- Consider the moderate insider selling trend as a signal of caution, despite the 'Hold' consensus and discounted valuation.
- The oversold RSI suggests a potential short-term trading opportunity, but a break above the 50-day SMA ($297.53) would be needed to confirm a bullish reversal.
- Given the slowing revenue growth projections, monitor future contract wins and government spending on defense closely for catalysts.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Q2 2026 Earnings Beat
HII exceeded EPS estimates by 37.96% in Q2 2026, signaling operational efficiency and potentially stronger-than-expected demand for its defense products and services.
Source: Company Earnings ReleaseBullish
Discounted Valuation Relative to Sector
HII's P/E ratio of 17.13 is significantly lower than the Industrials sector median of 34, offering potential upside if the market re-rates the stock closer to its peers.
Source: Internal AnalysisBearish
Moderate Insider Selling Activity
Insiders have sold over $21 million in stock while purchasing only $954.7 thousand, indicating a net seller position that could signal a lack of conviction from management.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Bearish Technical Trend
The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($297.53 and $347.57), with an oversold RSI suggesting potential for further downside if key support levels are breached.
Source: Technical AnalysisNeutral
Slowing Forward Revenue Growth
Projected revenue growth for the current and next year stands at 7.00% and 6.00% respectively, indicating a deceleration compared to recent performance.
Source: Wall Street Revenue EstimatesMarket Outlook
The base case for Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) over the next 6-12 months anticipates a potential recovery towards its median analyst target price of $367.00, driven by its discounted valuation and recent strong earnings performance. The oversold technical conditions also suggest a potential for a short-term bounce. However, the outlook is tempered by moderate insider selling and a projected slowdown in revenue growth, which could limit upside potential. Key factors that could alter this trajectory include a significant increase in defense spending or new contract wins, which could accelerate revenue and earnings growth, pushing the stock towards its higher price targets. Conversely, continued insider selling, a deterioration in the broader defense sector sentiment, or failure to secure new major contracts could lead to a retest of lower support levels.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 11.10B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 17.13 |
| EPS (TTM) | 16.40 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.96% |
| 52 Week High | 460.00 |
| 52 Week Low | 263.62 |
Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) presents a mixed fundamental picture, trading at a P/E ratio of 17.13, which is significantly below the sector median of 34. This valuation discount is not fully explained by its revenue growth of 10.9%, which is slightly below the sector median of 11.7%. While the company has demonstrated strong EPS performance in its most recent quarter, beating estimates by 37.96%, its forward revenue growth estimates for the current and next year are projected at 7.00% and 6.00% respectively, indicating a slowdown. The company also pays a dividend yield of 1.96%.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) delivered a strong earnings surprise in its most recent quarter (Q2 2026), with actual EPS of $5.27 significantly beating the estimate of $3.82 by 37.96%, leading to a 2.05% price increase. Prior to this, the company had a mixed earnings history, with a notable miss in Q1 2026 and a slight beat in Q4 2025. The forward revenue growth estimates suggest a deceleration, with current year growth projected at 7.00% and next year at 6.00%.
Key Risks
Moderate insider selling presents a near-term risk, with total sales exceeding purchases by over $20 million in the recent reporting period. Also, the company's technical indicators show a bearish trend, with the stock trading below key moving averages and an oversold RSI suggesting potential for further downside if support breaks. Slowing forward revenue growth estimates also pose a risk to future valuation multiples.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 27.37 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -6.02 |
| SMA 50 | 297.53 |
| SMA 200 | 347.57 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $297.53, 200-day: $347.57), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 27.4 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.27
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.21
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.10
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.20
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
HII Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$278.85
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$281.67
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$269.65
MAX LOSS
-3.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (27.4) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$287.22
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$292.80
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$301.16
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for HII is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in HII in September 2016 would be worth about $17,167 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in HII today could grow to about $18,452 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $66,790 and a bear case around $5,098. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
HII Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $360 for HII by 2030 in the base case, from $282 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $160. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on HII's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $199 | $299 | $450 |
| 2028 | $179 | $318 | $566 |
| 2029 | $167 | $338 | $685 |
| 2030 | $160 | $360 | $812 |
| 2031 | $154 | $383 | $950 |
| 2032 | $150 | $407 | $1,102 |
| 2033 | $147 | $432 | $1,269 |
| 2034 | $146 | $460 | $1,453 |
| 2035 | $144 | $489 | $1,656 |
| 2036 | $144 | $520 | $1,881 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using HII's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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HII Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$954.7K
1 Transactions
Sold
$21.3M
18 Transactions
Insiders
21
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.2M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | KASTNER CHRISTOPHER D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 15.0K | $4.8M |
| Aug 10, 2026 | KASTNER CHRISTOPHER D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 13.1K | $4.2M |
| Jun 2, 2021 | BILDEN PHILIP M.
Director
|
Sell | 15.8K | $3.4M |
| Feb 28, 2022 | ERMATINGER WILLIAM R
Officer
|
Sell | 13.1K | $2.7M |
| Mar 2, 2026 | GREEN EDGAR ANDY III
Officer
|
Sell | 4.4K | $2.0M |
| Mar 6, 2026 | STIEHLE THOMAS E.
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 4.5K | $1.9M |
| Mar 5, 2026 | BOUDREAUX CHAD N.
Officer
|
Sell | 4.4K | $1.9M |
| May 10, 2021 | GREEN EDGAR ANDY III
Officer
|
Sell | 5.8K | $1.3M |
| Feb 19, 2021 | STIEHLE THOMAS E.
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 7.0K | $1.3M |
| May 28, 2026 | HUGHES EDMOND E. JR.
Officer
|
Sell | 3.5K | $1.1M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Huntington Ingalls Industries' (HII) current stock price and consensus rating?
As of September 11, 2026, Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) is trading at $281.67. The consensus rating among analysts is 'Hold', supported by a consensus score of 65 out of 100.
What is the median analyst price target for HII stock?
The median analyst price target for Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) is $367.00, indicating an upside potential of 30.3% from the current price of $281.67.
How has HII performed in its recent earnings reports?
Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) recently reported a significant earnings beat in Q2 2026, with actual EPS of $5.27 exceeding estimates by 37.96%. However, prior quarters showed a mixed performance.
What are the key technical indicators for HII stock right now?
HII's technical indicators show an oversold RSI at 27.4, but the stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($297.53 and $347.57), indicating bearish momentum.
How does HII's valuation compare to its sector averages?
Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) trades at a P/E ratio of 17.13, which is considerably lower than the Industrials sector median of 34, suggesting it may be undervalued relative to its peers.
What is the outlook for HII's revenue growth?
Forward revenue growth estimates for Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) indicate a slowdown, with current year growth projected at 7.00% and next year at 6.00%, compared to its recent reported growth of 10.9%.
Are there any significant insider transactions for HII stock?
Insiders are net sellers of Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) stock, with total sales of $21.3 million significantly outweighing total purchases of $954.7 thousand in recent filings.
What is HII's stock forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) has a base case price projection of $359.88 for 2030, with a downside projection of $159.52 and an upside projection of $811.88. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.