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As of September 27, 2026, THORChain (RUNE) trades at $0.5025. The nearest technical resistance sits at $0.6000; there is no analyst coverage. RSI at 82 is in overbought territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $0.5025.
THORChain (RUNE/USD)
THORChain
$0.5025
-0.0533 (-9.59%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
35 / 100
THORChain (RUNE) Shows Extreme Overbought Signals
THORChain (RUNE) has recently experienced a significant price surge, pushing its Relative Strength Index (RSI) to an extremely overbought level of 82.33. The current price is trading above its 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which is currently at 0.5993, and also below its 50-day SMA ($0.50) but above its 200-day SMA ($0.46). This strong upward momentum, while indicative of current bullish sentiment, places RUNE at a high risk of a sharp pullback as the asset is significantly overextended in the short term. The market cap stands at $258,191,292 as of September 2026.The current price action suggests that the market may be overreacting to recent positive developments or general market sentiment. Traders should be cautious of potential profit-taking and a subsequent price correction. While the long-term outlook may still be positive, the immediate technicals signal a period of consolidation or a downward correction is likely needed to reset the RSI and EMA indicators.
RUNE/USD Price Analysis
Market Position Analysis
Market Dominance
#165
Minor
By Market Capitalization
Key Metrics Overview
Market Cap
258.19M
24h Volume
$629.93M
24h Change
-9.59%
From ATH
-96.2%
Market Intelligence
THORChain ranks #165 by market capitalization. Consider liquidity and market depth when evaluating position sizes.
Price History & Milestones
All-Time High
$20.87
May 18, 2021
All-Time Low
$0.008513
Sep 27, 2019
Current Price Position
ATL: $0.008513
Current: $0.5025
ATH: $20.87
Lower Range - Consolidating below historical midpoint
24-Hour Trading Activity
Low: $0.5025
High: $0.8420
Volume: $629.93M
RUNE/USD Analysis
AI Technical Analysis
THORChain (RUNE) RSI Reaches Extreme Overbought Territory
THORChain (RUNE) is exhibiting strong upward momentum, with its price trading significantly above its 20-day EMA (0.5993), 50-day SMA (0.5025), and 200-day SMA (0.4618). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has surged to 82.33, firmly in overbought territory, indicating that the asset may be due for a correction. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is currently at 0.0646, suggesting continued bullish momentum but also highlighting the stretched nature of the current rally.Given the extreme overbought conditions indicated by the RSI, a short-term pullback is highly probable. The 20-day EMA at 0.5993 is now acting as immediate support, but a break below this level could signal the start of a more significant correction. Investors should monitor the RSI for signs of cooling off and be prepared for potential profit-taking activity.
ProTips
- Monitor the RSI for a move back below 70 to confirm a cooling of overbought conditions.
- Watch for a break below the 20-day EMA ($0.5993) as a potential signal for a short-term downtrend.
- Consider waiting for consolidation or a pullback before entering new long positions in RUNE.
Market Outlook
THORChain (RUNE) Faces Correction Amidst Overbought Conditions
The outlook for THORChain (RUNE) over the next 6 to 12 months is one of caution, primarily due to its current technical overextension. The RSI at 82.33 signals that the asset is significantly overbought, suggesting that a period of consolidation or a notable price correction is likely necessary to rebalance the market. While the fundamental drivers of adoption and network utility remain strong, the immediate technical picture indicates a high probability of short-term downward pressure.A potential catalyst for a correction could be profit-taking by recent buyers or a broader market downturn. If RUNE breaks below its 20-day EMA of $0.5993, it could signal a move towards the 50-day SMA at $0.5025. Conversely, if the market can absorb the current overbought conditions and consolidate, RUNE could eventually build a base for a further ascent, but significant upside is unlikely without a technical reset. Investors should monitor on-chain activity and broader market sentiment closely.
Market Correlations
How this crypto moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.27
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.32
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.45
Moderate correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.05
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with RUNE/USD? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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Valuation Metrics
| Market Cap | 258.19M |
|---|---|
| Market Cap Rank | #165 |
| Circulating Supply | 328.65M |
| Max Supply | 353.92M |
| All-Time High | $20.87 |
| All-Time Low | $0.008513 |
THORChain has a market capitalization of $258.19M. 92.9% of the capped supply is currently circulating. At 97.6% below its all-time high of $20.87, the asset is in a deep drawdown.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
THORChain (RUNE) Ecosystem Growth Metrics
THORChain's ecosystem expansion is primarily measured through on-chain activity and network growth metrics, rather than traditional financial earnings. The total value locked (TVL) within THORChain's liquidity pools serves as a key indicator of user confidence and platform utility. An increasing TVL suggests greater demand for RUNE's cross-chain services.Developer activity on the THORChain network, including code commits and protocol upgrades, reflects the ongoing commitment to innovation and improvement. Growth in the number of active wallets interacting with the protocol and the volume of transactions processed are also vital signs of a healthy and expanding ecosystem. These metrics collectively paint a picture of RUNE's fundamental strength and adoption trajectory.
Key Risks
THORChain (RUNE) Faces Regulatory and Market Risks
THORChain (RUNE) faces several key risks, including potential regulatory scrutiny that could impact its operational framework and token utility. As a decentralized exchange protocol, it operates in a rapidly evolving regulatory landscape, and adverse policy changes could significantly affect its future. Additionally, the concentration of RUNE holdings among a small number of large wallets (whales) presents a risk of market manipulation and increased price volatility.The correlation of RUNE's price action with Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market introduces macro-economic risks. A significant downturn in the overall crypto market could lead to substantial price declines for RUNE, irrespective of its individual network performance. Also, the inherent volatility of digital assets means that substantial price swings are always a possibility.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 82.33 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 0.06 |
| SMA 50 | 0.5025 |
| SMA 200 | 0.4618 |
RSI
Overbought
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($0.5025) above the 200-day SMA ($0.4618), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 82.3 indicates overbought conditions; consider caution for immediate entries.
RUNE/USD Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Short entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$0.5125
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$0.5025
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$0.5775
MAX LOSS
-12.7%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (82.3) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$0.4869
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$0.4613
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$0.4357
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Cryptocurrency Risk Disclaimer
This AI-generated analysis of RUNE/USD is for educational purposes only. Cryptocurrency is highly speculative, volatile, and largely unregulated. Risks include exchange hacks, smart contract vulnerabilities, de-pegging events, regulatory bans, and total loss of investment. CleaRank does not custody or facilitate cryptocurrency trades. This is not financial advice. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in RUNE/USD in September 2025 would be worth about $6,970 today, compared with about $11,622 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in RUNE/USD today could grow to about $13,120 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $99,539 and a bear case around $1,729. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
RUNE/USD Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $0.5602 for RUNE/USD by 2030 in the base case, from $0.5025 today (1.1x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $0.1555. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on RUNE/USD's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $0.272 | $0.5163 | $0.98 |
| 2028 | $0.2144 | $0.5305 | $1.31 |
| 2029 | $0.1797 | $0.5451 | $1.65 |
| 2030 | $0.1555 | $0.5602 | $2.02 |
| 2031 | $0.1373 | $0.5756 | $2.41 |
| 2032 | $0.1231 | $0.5914 | $2.84 |
| 2033 | $0.1115 | $0.6077 | $3.31 |
| 2034 | $0.1019 | $0.6244 | $3.82 |
| 2035 | $0.09384 | $0.6416 | $4.39 |
| 2036 | $0.0869 | $0.6593 | $5.00 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using RUNE/USD's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
On-Chain & Market Metrics
24h Volume
$629.93M
24h Range
$0.5025 to $0.8420
From ATH
-96.24%
ATH: $20.87
Market Rank
#165
By Market Cap
Supply Economics
Circulating Supply
328.65M
Max Supply
353.92M
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current price prediction for RUNE in 2030?
The long-range projection for RUNE in 2030 suggests a base price of $0.8757, with a downside scenario of $0.2431 and an upside scenario of $3.155. These figures are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation and do not represent guaranteed price targets.
Is THORChain (RUNE) overbought right now?
Yes, THORChain (RUNE) is currently showing extreme overbought conditions with an RSI at 82.3 as of September 2026. This suggests a high probability of a price pullback in the near term.
What are the key technical levels for RUNE?
THORChain (RUNE) is currently trading above its 20-day EMA at $0.5993, which is now acting as immediate support. Previous resistance levels are being tested, and a break below the 20-day EMA could signal a move towards the 50-day SMA at $0.5025.
What are the main risks facing THORChain (RUNE)?
The primary risks for THORChain (RUNE) include potential regulatory changes impacting decentralized finance protocols, the risk of market manipulation due to whale concentration, and the general volatility inherent in the cryptocurrency market correlated with Bitcoin.
How is THORChain's adoption trending?
THORChain's adoption is trending positively, driven by its utility as a cross-chain liquidity protocol. Key indicators like total value locked (TVL) and transaction volumes are key for assessing its growing adoption and network value.
What is the outlook for THORChain (RUNE) in the next 6-12 months?
The outlook for THORChain (RUNE) in the next 6-12 months is cautious due to extreme overbought technicals, despite positive fundamental adoption trends. A potential pullback is expected to reset indicators before further upward movement can be sustained.
Should I consider THORChain (RUNE) for investment now?
Given the current extreme overbought RSI at 82.3, it may be prudent to wait for a potential pullback or consolidation before considering an investment in THORChain (RUNE) to achieve a better entry point.