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As of September 11, 2026, Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) trades at $157.45. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $157.45, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $182.00 across 15 analysts. RSI at 43 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $150.56.

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE)

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. NYSE

$157.45 1.640 (1.05%)
At close: Sep 11, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
Hold
45 / 100
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) is trading at $157.45, below its 20-day EMA but above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($150.56 and $155.30), indicating a mixed near-term technical picture. The company's primary catalyst remains its consistent revenue growth, with current quarter estimates showing a 12.00% year-over-year increase. However, a significant risk is the heavy insider selling, with $186.4 million in dispositions in recent filings, signaling potential internal concerns despite a generally positive Wall Street outlook.

ICE Price Analysis

Market Metrics

Open
$157.40
Day Range
$155.00 to $158.30
Prev Close
$155.81
Volume
177.2K
52-Week Range
$121.79 to $177.76
Market Cap
$88.39B

Peer Benchmarking

Valuation vs Sector (Financial Services)

Performance vs KBE

Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+34%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.

ICE Financial Performance

Revenue vs. Earnings

Annual

Quarterly

Earnings Reality Check

Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, ICE beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.

ICE Analysis

Company's Health 4/5
12-Month Analyst Target +15.59% Upside
Median of 15 analysts (12-month)
$182.00
AI Technical Analysis Hold
Volume behavior for Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) has been notably subdued, with the latest volume at 177,171 compared to an average of 3,308,157, representing a -94.6% deviation. The stock is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($150.56 and $155.30), suggesting a longer-term bullish trend, but it is below its 20-day EMA, indicating short-term weakness. The RSI is at 42.83, reflecting neutral momentum, while the MACD at 1.899 suggests a lack of strong directional conviction. Key support lies around the 50-day SMA of $150.56, with resistance near the 20-day EMA of $157.70.
ProTips
  • Monitor insider transaction activity closely; the recent heavy selling of $186.4 million warrants caution and could precede further price weakness.
  • Given the P/E ratio of 22.08 is above the sector median of 16.5, consider scaling into positions or waiting for a more attractive entry point closer to the 50-day SMA support level of $150.56.
  • The recent negative price reactions to earnings beats suggest that market expectations may be high, and any deviation from projected growth could lead to significant downside.
Key Catalysts
Bearish Heavy Insider Selling Exceeds $186 Million

Insiders have sold a total of $186.4 million worth of ICE stock across 135 transactions, indicating significant selling pressure and potential concerns among management regarding future performance.

Source: Insider Summary
Bullish Strong Revenue Growth Projections

Current quarter revenue estimates show a 12.00% year-over-year growth, and current year estimates project 11.00% growth, indicating continued business expansion for ICE.

Source: Wall Street Revenue Estimates
Bullish Positive Wall Street Consensus and Price Target

The median analyst price target for ICE is $182.00, suggesting a potential 15.6% upside from the current price, supported by a 'Buy' consensus from 15 analysts.

Source: Wall Street Summary
Neutral Mixed Earnings Reaction

While ICE has consistently beaten EPS estimates, recent quarters have seen negative stock price reactions, suggesting that market sentiment may be influenced by factors beyond immediate earnings performance.

Source: Earnings Recent
Market Outlook
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) faces a mixed outlook, with its base case scenario suggesting potential for growth towards its median analyst target price of $182.00, implying a 15.6% upside. The company's consistent revenue growth, projected at 12.00% for the current quarter, provides a foundation for this outlook. However, the significant insider selling and a P/E ratio above the sector average introduce considerable downside risk, potentially capping upside and increasing volatility.

Key Statistics

Market Cap 88.39B
P/E Ratio 22.08
EPS (TTM) 7.08
Dividend Yield 1.27%
52 Week High 177.76
52 Week Low 121.79
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) trades at a P/E ratio of 22.08, which is above the sector median of 16.5, suggesting a valuation premium. Its current price of $157.45 is also above the sector median P/S of 3.8. The company's EPS stands at $7.08, and its revenue growth for the current quarter is projected at 12.00%, exceeding the sector average of 11.7%. While the company demonstrates solid revenue expansion and a healthy EPS, the elevated P/E ratio warrants caution, especially when considering the significant insider selling.

Earnings & Growth Analysis

ICE's recent earnings reports show a mixed performance against estimates. The latest quarter ending July 30, 2026, saw an EPS of $1.90, beating the estimate of $1.84 by 3.26%, though the stock price declined by 2.43%. The prior quarter also beat estimates but saw a price drop. Overall, while the company has consistently beaten EPS estimates, the market reaction has been largely negative in recent quarters, indicating investor skepticism or other prevailing market factors.

Key Risks

The primary risk for Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) is the significant insider selling, with over $186 million in dispositions, which could signal a lack of confidence from management despite positive analyst ratings. Additionally, the stock's P/E ratio of 22.08 is notably higher than the sector median of 16.5, presenting a valuation risk if growth expectations are not met. The recent negative price reactions to earnings beats also suggest potential headwinds or a shift in market sentiment towards the stock.

Technical Indicators i

RSI (14) 42.83
MACD 1.90
SMA 50 150.56
SMA 200 155.30
Technical Rating Neutral
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $150.56, 200-day: $155.30), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.

Market Correlations

How this stock moves relative to other assets

Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.

S&P 500 (SPY) +0.30
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.17
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.44
Moderate correlation
Gold (XAU) +0.03
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation

ICE Trade Plans

Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels

Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative 2% Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →

Entry Strategies (click to switch)

CONSERVATIVE
$155.88
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$157.45
At current price
Enter now if confident

Risk Management

STOP LOSS
$150.90
MAX LOSS
-3.2%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (42.8) and current market volatility

Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

TARGET 1
$160.55
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$163.67
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$168.35
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
ℹ️ Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for ICE is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.

Growth of $10,000

A $10,000 investment in ICE in September 2016 would be worth about $27,335 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.

Compare with Another Ticker

Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ICE today could grow to about $23,452 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $58,558 and a bear case around $9,392. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

ICE Stock Price Prediction: 2030

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $221 for ICE by 2030 in the base case, from $157 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $124. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ICE's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

ICE simulated price paths by year
Year Downside (10th pct) Base case Upside (90th pct)
2027 $128 $171 $229
2028 $124 $187 $281
2029 $123 $203 $336
2030 $124 $221 $395
2031 $126 $241 $461
2032 $129 $263 $533
2033 $133 $286 $615
2034 $137 $311 $706
2035 $142 $339 $808
2036 $148 $369 $922

Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using ICE's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.

People Also Watch

ICE Insider Trading Analysis

Source: SEC Form 4
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$186.4M
62 Transactions
Insiders
24
Active Traders
$ Avg Transaction
$3.0M
Large trades
Recent insider transactions in ICE
Date Insider Type Shares Value
Mar 5, 2025
SPRECHER JEFFREY C
Chief Executive Officer
Sell 274.2K $46.8M
Feb 18, 2026
SPRECHER JEFFREY C
Chief Executive Officer
Sell 279.9K $43.4M
Aug 12, 2025
SPRECHER JEFFREY C
Chief Executive Officer
Sell 216.6K $39.7M
Jun 4, 2025
SPRECHER JEFFREY C
Chief Executive Officer
Sell 218.3K $39.1M
Jul 9, 2024
SPRECHER JEFFREY C
Chief Executive Officer
Sell 168.4K $23.9M
Nov 13, 2024
SPRECHER JEFFREY C
Chief Executive Officer
Sell 150.0K $23.4M
Apr 3, 2024
SPRECHER JEFFREY C
Chief Executive Officer
Sell 168.4K $23.1M
Nov 19, 2025
SPRECHER JEFFREY C
Chief Executive Officer
Sell 150.0K $23.0M
Jan 4, 2024
SPRECHER JEFFREY C
Chief Executive Officer
Sell 168.4K $21.2M
Sep 22, 2021
SPRECHER JEFFREY C
Chief Executive Officer
Sell 169.0K $19.8M

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Intercontinental Exchange's stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Intercontinental Exchange's stock price is projected to be $221.42 by 2030. The downside projection is $124.13, and the upside projection is $394.96. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets.
Is Intercontinental Exchange stock a buy right now?
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) is currently rated Hold, with a consensus score of 45. While Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' rating with a median target price of $182.00, significant insider selling and a P/E ratio above the sector average present considerable risks.
What are the biggest risks facing Intercontinental Exchange?
The most significant risks for ICE include heavy insider selling totaling $186.4 million, a P/E ratio above the sector median, and recent negative stock reactions to earnings beats, suggesting potential investor skepticism or market headwinds.
How does Intercontinental Exchange compare to its sector averages?
ICE's P/E ratio of 22.08 is higher than the sector median of 16.5, and its revenue growth of 12.00% for the current quarter slightly exceeds the sector average of 11.7%. Its ROE is 7.08%, compared to the sector median of 13.8%.
What is the Wall Street consensus on Intercontinental Exchange stock?
Wall Street analysts collectively rate Intercontinental Exchange as a 'Buy', with 5 Strong Buys, 9 Buys, and 1 Hold. The overall Wall Street score is 82 out of 100, with a median price target of $182.00, implying a 15.6% upside from the current price.
What is the recent earnings performance of Intercontinental Exchange?
ICE has recently beaten EPS estimates, such as the $1.90 actual versus $1.84 estimate for the quarter ending July 30, 2026. However, the stock price has seen negative reactions in recent quarters following these beats, indicating underlying investor concerns.
What is the technical outlook for Intercontinental Exchange stock?
Technically, ICE is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($150.56 and $155.30), indicating a long-term bullish trend, but it is below its 20-day EMA, suggesting short-term weakness. The RSI is neutral at 42.83, and recent volume has been significantly below average.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The stock analysis, trade plans, and AI-generated signals presented for ICE are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. They do not represent actual trades made by CleaRank or its affiliates. Stock prices can be volatile and are subject to market, economic, and company-specific risks. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of any data. You should never invest money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analysis generated on September 11, 2026.