CleaRank Financial AI • AI-powered analysis using real-time market data from TwelveData
Analysis reviewed by Anthony Beachey, Financial Journalist. Data refreshed daily. Not financial advice.
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) is currently trading at $155.11, just below its 50-day simple moving average of $155.86 but above its 200-day SMA of $154.74. The company operates in the Financial Services sector, specifically within Financial Data & Stock Exchanges, and is a key player in global markets. Recent earnings have shown mixed results, with a miss in the latest reported quarter (October 2026) but a pattern of beats in prior periods. Wall Street analysts maintain a generally positive outlook, with a consensus rating of Buy and a median price target of $183, implying an 18% upside from the current price. The company's financial health appears solid, with a profit margin of 38.25% and an operating margin of 52.63%. Its return on equity stands at 14.09%, which is above the sector median of 13.8%. However, the company is facing significant insider selling pressure, with over $184 million in sales reported, indicating a potential near-term headwind. Despite this, the forward revenue growth estimates for the next quarter and year are positive, projected at 9.00% and 11.00% respectively.
ICE at a glance
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE): Buy, 77/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
TrendMixed: the price is above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average ($154.74 and $155.86).
EarningsICE beat estimates in 3 of its last 3 quarters, yet fell the next day after 2 of those beats.
InsidersInsiders sold $184.4M and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.
ValuationP/E of 21.9 against 16.5 for the Financial Services sector: a premium to peers (+33%).
As of October 15, 2026, Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) trades at $155.11. Wall Street's consensus target is $183.00 across 16 analysts. The 14-day RSI (daily closes) is 51, in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day simple moving average of $155.86.
Figures as of October 15, 2026.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from ICE's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+33%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
ICE Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
In the last 3 quarters, ICE beat the analyst estimate 3 times; the stock fell in the first session after 2 of those beats.
ICE earnings surprises and the stock's reaction
Report
EPS estimate
EPS actual
Surprise
First session
5 sessions
Jul 30, 2026
$1.84
$1.90
+3.26%
-2.43%
-4.17%
Apr 30, 2026
$2.26
$2.35
+3.98%
-2.11%
-1.25%
Feb 5, 2026
$1.67
$1.71
+2.40%
+0.42%
-10.97%
The October 8, 2026 report is not shown: the figures our data provider supplied for it failed our checks.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
As of October 15, 2026, ICE has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 3 of its last 3 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 2 of those beats; its most recent report with reliable figures, on July 30, 2026, came in 3.26% above the estimate and the stock moved -2.43% in the first session.
ICE Analysis
Company's Health4/5
12-Month Analyst Target+17.98% above price
Median of 16 analysts (12-month)
$183.00
AI Analyst Consensus ScoreBuy
Volume has been notably higher than average, with the latest volume at 3.54 million, representing a 38.3% increase over the average of 2.56 million. Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) is currently trading above its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at $154.74, indicating a generally positive long-term trend, but it is positioned below its 50-day SMA at $155.86 and its 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $154.79. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 50.89, reflecting neutral momentum. The chart structure suggests that the 50-day SMA is acting as resistance, while the 200-day SMA is providing support. The neutral RSI indicates that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, suggesting a lack of strong directional conviction in the short term. The higher-than-average volume could signal increased investor interest, but the price action relative to the shorter-term moving averages warrants caution.
ProTips
Monitor insider transaction activity closely, as the recent heavy selling pressure of over $184 million could indicate near-term headwinds.
Given the stock is trading below its 50-day SMA, consider waiting for a confirmed break above this level for a more favorable entry point.
Key Catalysts
BullishPositive Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets
16 Wall Street analysts maintain a consensus rating of Buy, with a median price target of $183, representing an 18% upside from the current price, indicating confidence in future performance.
Source: Wall Street Analysts
BearishSignificant Insider Selling
Insiders have sold over $184 million worth of stock, signaling potential concerns about future performance or a need for liquidity among management.
Source: Insider Transactions
NeutralMixed Recent Earnings Performance
While ICE has a history of beating EPS estimates, the most recent quarter (October 2026) saw a miss, which could impact investor sentiment if the trend continues.
Source: Company Earnings Reports
BullishStrong Profitability and Margins
ICE maintains strong profit margins (38.25%) and operating margins (52.63%), which are significantly above sector averages, supporting its current valuation.
Source: Company Financials
Market Outlook
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) is expected to see continued growth, with current year revenue growth projected at 11.00% and next year at 6.00%. The company's strong profit margins and solid return on equity provide a foundation for this growth. However, the long-term growth estimates (next 5 years PA) are negative at -139.9%, which is a significant concern that could temper future performance. The substantial insider selling also presents a risk that could weigh on the stock price in the short term. Investors should monitor upcoming earnings reports and any changes in analyst sentiment for further directional clues.
Key Statistics
Market Cap
87.08B
P/E Ratio
21.88
EPS (TTM)
7.09
Dividend Yield
1.32%
52 Week High
176.05
52 Week Low
121.79
As of October 15, 2026, ICE trades at $155.11, with a market value of $87.08B, a P/E ratio of 21.88 and a dividend yield of 1.32%.
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) exhibits a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 21.88, which is higher than the sector median of 16.5, suggesting a premium valuation. Its Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio is 8.25, also above the sector median of 3.8. Despite the higher valuation multiples, the company demonstrates strong profitability with a net profit margin of 38.25% and an operating margin of 52.63%, significantly exceeding sector averages. The return on equity (ROE) is 14.09%, slightly above the sector median of 13.8%. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.69, aligning with the sector average. While the valuation appears stretched compared to peers, the strong profit margins and solid ROE provide some fundamental support. Revenue growth is projected at 11.00% for the current year, which is slightly below the sector median of 11.7%, but forward estimates indicate continued growth. The current price action near key moving averages suggests that the market is weighing the strong fundamentals against the premium valuation.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) reported mixed earnings results in its most recent quarters. Prior to this, ICE had demonstrated a pattern of beating analyst estimates, including a 3.26% EPS beat in July 2026 and a 3.98% beat in April 2026, though these were accompanied by price declines. The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with current year EPS estimates at $8.15 and next year estimates at $8.84.
Key Risks
The company's valuation is also a concern, as its P/E ratio of 21.88 and P/S ratio of 8.25 are notably higher than sector averages, suggesting the stock may be overvalued. Also, the recent earnings miss in October 2026, despite prior beats, could signal potential operational headwinds or increased competition impacting profitability.
Technical Indicators i
RSI (14-day)
50.89
MACD (12, 26)
0.0179
SMA (50-day)
155.86
SMA (200-day)
154.74
Technical RatingBullish
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Neutral
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Neutral
Price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
As of October 15, 2026, with ICE at $155.11, its 14-day RSI is 50.9 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $155.86 and its 200-day is $154.74.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 15, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)+0.29
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)+0.16
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)+0.19
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)+0.04
Weak correlation
As of October 15, 2026, ICE's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.29 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.16 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.19 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.04 with gold (XAU).
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with ICE? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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ICE Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Low $159.00Median $183.00 (+18.0%)High $236.00
The price, $155.11, sits below every analyst's target.
Ratings
Buy 13Hold 2Sell 13 months ago: 13 of 14 buy
Recent rating actions
Recent analyst rating actions on ICE
Date
Firm
Action
Rating
Oct 12, 2026
TD Cowen
Maintains
Hold
Oct 9, 2026
Morgan Stanley
Maintains
Equal-Weight
Oct 7, 2026
Barclays
Maintains
Overweight
Oct 5, 2026
TD Cowen
Downgrade
Hold
Oct 2, 2026
Wells Fargo
Initiates
Underweight
Oct 2, 2026
Piper Sandler
Maintains
Overweight
As of October 15, 2026, 16 Wall Street analysts cover ICE: 13 rate it a buy or strong buy, 2 a hold and 1 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $159.00 to $236.00, with a median of $183.00, 18.0% above the price of $155.11.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
ICE Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative2%Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$152.01
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$155.11
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$147.20
MAX LOSS
-3.2%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (50.9) and current market volatility
These levels come from ICE's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in ICE in October 2016 would be worth about $29,167 today, compared with about $36,237 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark. This is price change only; dividends paid along the way would add to it.
Compare with Another Ticker
ICE Drawdowns & Recovery
Worst fall, last 10 years
-35.0%
November 2021 to October 2022
Recovery
21 months
back at the old peak by July 2024
From the 10-year high
-17.7%
highest close, August 2025
1-year holds that gained
79%
of every 1-year window
As of October 15, 2026, ICE's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -35.0% (November 2021 to October 2022); it regained that peak by July 2024, 21 months after the low, and 79% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ICE today could grow to about $21,968 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $54,902 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $8,790. The simulation models price only; at today's 1.32% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
ICE Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $212 for ICE by 2030 in the base case, from $155 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $119. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ICE's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
ICE simulated price paths by year
Year
10th percentile
Base case
90th percentile
2027
$126
$168
$224
2028
$121
$182
$273
2029
$119
$196
$324
2030
$119
$212
$379
2031
$120
$230
$439
Method: a lognormal simulation of ICE's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
As of October 15, 2026, ICE insiders reported 60 open-market sales worth $184.4M and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
Recent insider transactions in ICE
Date
Insider
Type
Shares
Value
Sep 14, 2026
FOLEY DOUGLAS
Officer
Sell
1.6K
$256.0K
Sep 1, 2026
JACKSON BENJAMIN
President
Sell
12.9K
$2.1M
Sep 1, 2026
EDMONDS CHRISTOPHER SCOTT
Officer
Sell
5.0K
$803.0K
Sep 1, 2026
EDMONDS CHRISTOPHER SCOTT
Officer
Option
5.0K
$286.6K
Sep 1, 2026
JACKSON BENJAMIN
President
Option
12.9K
$737.1K
Aug 26, 2026
TIRINNANZI MARTHA A
Director
Sell
1.3K
$216.0K
Aug 20, 2026
FOLEY DOUGLAS
Officer
Sell
1.6K
$256.0K
Aug 19, 2026
GARDINER WARREN
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2.5K
$389.3K
Aug 13, 2026
TIRINNANZI MARTHA A
Director
Sell
141
$21.9K
Aug 12, 2026
KAPANI MAYUR
Chief Technology Officer
Sell
4.3K
$645.8K
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) stock a buy right now?
With a consensus rating of Buy and a median analyst target price of $183, suggesting an 18% upside, ICE presents a potentially attractive opportunity. However, significant insider selling and a premium valuation warrant careful consideration.
How does Intercontinental Exchange's valuation compare to its sector?
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) trades at a premium to its sector peers, with a P/E ratio of 21.88 and a P/S ratio of 8.25, compared to sector medians of 16.5 and 3.8, respectively. Despite this, its profit margins and ROE are strong.
What are the key risks facing Intercontinental Exchange?
The primary risks for ICE include substantial insider selling totaling over $184 million, a premium valuation relative to its peers, and a recent earnings miss that could indicate future profitability challenges.
How has Intercontinental Exchange performed in recent earnings reports?
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) missed its EPS estimate in the most recent quarter (October 2026) but had a history of beating estimates in prior quarters. The company is expected to show continued revenue growth.
What is the current technical momentum for ICE stock?
The 14-day RSI for ICE is at 50.89, indicating neutral momentum. The stock is trading above its 200-day SMA but below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, suggesting a mixed technical picture.
Does ICE pay a dividend?
Yes. As of October 15, 2026, ICE's dividend yield is 1.32%, or about $2.04 per share a year at the current price of $155.11. Yields move with the share price and with changes to the payout.
Are insiders buying or selling ICE?
Selling, on balance. In the last 18 months, ICE's officers, directors and large holders reported 60 sales worth $184.4M and no open-market purchases. Grants and option exercises are not counted as buying.
What is the analyst price target for ICE?
As of October 15, 2026, the 16 Wall Street analysts covering ICE have 12-month targets from $159.00 to $236.00, with a median of $183.00, 18.0% above the current price of $155.11. 13 rate it a buy or strong buy, 2 a hold and 1 a sell or strong sell. Three months ago 13 of 14 rated it a buy.
What is ICE's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -35.0%, from November 2021 to October 2022. It regained that peak by July 2024, 21 months after the low. Over the same period, 79% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
What are ICE's best and worst months?
Over the last 10 years, July has been ICE's strongest month on average (+4.97%, rising in 9 of 10 years) and September its weakest (-2.93%, rising in 2 of 10 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year.
