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As of September 23, 2026, Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) trades at $71.91. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $71.91, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $85.00 across 28 analysts. RSI at 29 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $75.95.
Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR)
Restaurant Brands International Inc. NYSE
$71.91
-0.6500 (-0.90%)
At close: Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
55 / 100
Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) is currently trading at $71.91, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($75.95 and $73.66), signaling a bearish short-term trend. The company's fundamentals are generally sound, with a profit margin of 13.13% and a return on equity of 34.79%, though its price-to-sales ratio of 3.43 is higher than the sector median of 1.9. Despite the current technical weakness, Wall Street maintains a 'Buy' consensus with a median price target of $85.00, implying 18.2% upside. However, significant insider selling, totaling $60.6 million in the last reported period, presents a notable risk. The company's revenue growth of 4.6% is also below the sector average of 7.2%.
QSR Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$73.30
Day Range
$71.78 to $74.00
Prev Close
$72.56
Volume
3.56M
52-Week Range
$61.44 to $81.96
Market Cap
$32.94B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs XLY
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-12% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
QSR Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, QSR beat estimates 5 times. The stock rose 5 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
QSR Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+18.20% Upside
Median of 28 analysts (12-month)
$85.00
AI Technical Analysis
Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($75.95 and $73.66), indicating a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 29.23, signaling an oversold condition that could precede a bounce. The current price of $71.91 is below recent moving averages. Volume has been below average recently, suggesting a lack of conviction from buyers. The MACD is negative at -1.04, further reinforcing the bearish momentum in the short term.
ProTips
- Given the significant insider selling totaling over $60.6 million, investors should monitor future transactions closely for any signs of a change in management sentiment.
- The stock is currently oversold according to the RSI, suggesting a potential short-term bounce. However, it remains below key moving averages, indicating the longer-term trend is still bearish.
- With a price-to-sales ratio of 3.43, considerably higher than the sector median of 1.9, consider the potential for valuation compression if growth does not accelerate.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Heavy Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold over $60.6 million worth of QSR stock, with no reported purchases, indicating a strong net selling signal from management.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Trading Below Key Moving Averages
QSR is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($75.95 and $73.66), suggesting continued bearish momentum in the near term.
Source: Technical AnalysisBullish
Oversold RSI Condition
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 29.23, indicating the stock is in oversold territory and may be due for a technical bounce.
Source: Technical AnalysisBullish
Consistent EPS Beats
Restaurant Brands International has a history of exceeding analyst EPS estimates, most recently with a 2.88% surprise for the quarter ending June 2026.
Source: Earnings ReportsMarket Outlook
The base case for Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) anticipates a potential recovery towards its median analyst target price of $85.00 over the next 6-12 months, driven by its oversold technical condition and consistent earnings beats. The company's strong profit margins and return on equity provide a solid foundation for this outlook. However, the significant insider selling and a premium valuation relative to sector peers pose considerable headwinds. A catalyst for upside could be a clear strategy to address the valuation gap or a significant improvement in revenue growth, while a failure to reverse the insider selling trend or further competitive pressures could lead to a downside scenario towards the lower end of analyst targets.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 32.94B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 18.23 |
| EPS (TTM) | 3.98 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.57% |
| 52 Week High | 81.96 |
| 52 Week Low | 61.44 |
Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) exhibits a strong profit margin of 13.13% and an impressive return on equity of 34.79%, significantly outperforming sector averages. However, its price-to-sales ratio of 3.43 is considerably higher than the sector median of 1.9, suggesting the stock may be overvalued on a sales basis. The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 2.90 is also higher than the sector median of 2.90, indicating a substantial reliance on debt. While profitability metrics are strong, the premium valuation relative to sales and the higher debt levels warrant caution.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) has a consistent track record of beating EPS estimates, most recently reporting $1.07 actual EPS versus an estimate of $1.04 for the quarter ending June 2026, a 2.88% surprise. This follows a pattern of positive surprises in prior quarters, including a significant beat in the quarter ending March 2026 (-0.14 actual vs -0.16 estimate). Revenue growth has been modest, with the current quarter expected to see a 3.00% year-over-year increase.
Key Risks
Significant insider selling, with over $60.6 million in dispositions in the latest reporting period, presents a key risk, signaling a lack of confidence from management. The company's price-to-sales ratio of 3.43 is notably higher than the sector average of 1.9, indicating a potential valuation overhang. Also, the stock is trading below its key 50-day and 200-day moving averages, suggesting ongoing bearish momentum.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 29.23 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -1.04 |
| SMA 50 | 75.95 |
| SMA 200 | 73.66 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($75.95) above the 200-day SMA ($73.66), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 29.2 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.24
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.15
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.31
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.05
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with QSR? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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QSR Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$71.19
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$71.91
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$67.56
MAX LOSS
-5.1%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (29.2) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$73.33
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$74.75
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$76.89
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for QSR is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 23, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in QSR in September 2016 would be worth about $15,599 today, compared with about $35,806 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in QSR today could grow to about $17,521 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $53,888 and a bear case around $5,697. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
QSR Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $89.99 for QSR by 2030 in the base case, from $71.91 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $44.22. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on QSR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $53.31 | $76.06 | $109 |
| 2028 | $48.67 | $80.45 | $133 |
| 2029 | $45.98 | $85.09 | $157 |
| 2030 | $44.22 | $89.99 | $183 |
| 2031 | $43.01 | $95.18 | $211 |
| 2032 | $42.17 | $101 | $240 |
| 2033 | $41.59 | $106 | $273 |
| 2034 | $41.23 | $113 | $308 |
| 2035 | $41.03 | $119 | $346 |
| 2036 | $40.96 | $126 | $388 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using QSR's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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QSR Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$60.6M
40 Transactions
Insiders
20
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.5M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2019 | SCHWARTZ DANIEL S
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 1.0M | $70.7M |
| May 7, 2021 | SCHWARTZ DANIEL S
Director
|
Sell | 600.2K | $41.3M |
| Aug 27, 2019 | FRIBOURG PAUL J
Director
|
Sell | 488.0K | $37.7M |
| May 6, 2024 | KOBZA JOSHUA
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 246.2K | $18.5M |
| Feb 23, 2023 | CIL JOSE E
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 264.5K | $17.4M |
| Aug 26, 2019 | KOBZA JOSHUA
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 203.2K | $15.6M |
| Mar 18, 2026 | KOBZA JOSHUA
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 200.0K | $15.0M |
| Feb 22, 2024 | KOBZA JOSHUA
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 161.4K | $12.2M |
| Nov 22, 2022 | SHEAR DAVID CHAN
Officer
|
Sell | 169.5K | $11.5M |
| Oct 30, 2019 | MACEDO ALEXANDRE
Officer
|
Sell | 166.8K | $10.8M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s (QSR) stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s (QSR) stock price is projected to be $89.99 in 2030 under a base-case scenario. The downside projection is $44.22, while the upside projection reaches $183.15. These figures represent statistical outcomes, not definitive price targets.
Is QSR stock a buy right now?
Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) is currently rated a Hold. While the stock is oversold technically and analysts have a median price target of $85.00 suggesting 18.2% upside, significant insider selling and a premium valuation relative to sector peers temper the bullish outlook.
What are the biggest risks facing QSR stock?
The primary risks for QSR include substantial insider selling totaling over $60.6 million, a high price-to-sales ratio of 3.43 compared to the sector median of 1.9, and the stock trading below its key moving averages, indicating bearish momentum.
How does QSR's valuation compare to its sector peers?
Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 3.43, which is significantly higher than the Consumer Cyclical sector median of 1.9. While its profit margin and ROE are strong, the sales multiple suggests a premium valuation relative to the industry.
What is the consensus analyst rating for QSR stock?
The consensus analyst rating for Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) is 'Buy', with a median price target of $85.00 from 28 analysts. The overall Wall Street score is 67 out of 100.
What is QSR's recent earnings performance?
QSR has consistently beaten EPS estimates, most recently reporting $1.07 for the quarter ending June 2026 against an estimate of $1.04. This positive earnings surprise trend has been observed in prior quarters as well.
What is the outlook for QSR's revenue growth?
Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) is projected to achieve 4.00% revenue growth for the current year and 0.00% for the next year. Current quarter revenue growth is estimated at +3.00% year-over-year.