Stock·NYSE·Industrials
Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM)
- Market cap
- $76.57B
- P/E
- 41.38
- Dividend yield
- 0.26%
- Street target
- $332.00median of 22 analysts
- 52-week range
- $183.52 $310.00
HWM stock forecast today
Where HWM stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
HWM at a glance
Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM): Hold, 47/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($234.02 and $249.00).
- Earnings HWM beat estimates in 7 of the 7 reports in our data, yet fell the next day after 2 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $155.8M and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 41.4 against 34.0 for the Industrials sector: a premium to peers (+22%).
Figures as of October 27, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) carries a CleaRank rating of Hold and a model score of 47/100.
The analysts' outlook is the biggest contributor to that score, since 19 of 22 analysts rate the stock a buy and the median target sits 72.9% above the price. The trend is the biggest drag. With the price 22.89% below its 200-day average and 17.96% below its 50-day, and the 50-day 6.01% below the 200-day, the trend weighs most. The 50-day average is $234.02 and the 200-day is $249.00. Across the past year the price fell 4.88%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from HWM's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
HWM stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
0/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $191.99 is 18.0% below the 50-day simple moving average of $234.02.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 22.9% below the 200-day simple moving average of $249.00.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($234.02) is 6.0% below the 200-day average ($249.00), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 7% of its 52-week range, between $183.52 and $310.00.
HWM share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far HWM has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where HWM sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
HWM fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
3/5P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 41.38 is 21.7% above the Industrials median of 34.0.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 8.40 is 110.0% above the sector median of 4.0.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $1.9B on revenue of $9.1B, a net margin of 20.5%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
HWM beat the EPS estimate in 7 of the 7 reports in our data.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 0.26%, or $0.5 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for HWM.
As of October 27, 2026, HWM trades at $191.99, with a market value of $76.57B, a P/E ratio of 41.38 and a dividend yield of 0.26%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of HWM's valuation, growth and risks.
Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) trades on a trailing P/E of 41.38, against an Industrials median of 34.0. That leaves its P/E 21.7% above the sector median, which the peer comparison on this page labels a premium to peers. On sales, HWM changes hands at 8.40 times, 110.0% above the sector median of 4.0. Put in simpler terms, trailing earnings are $4.64 a share.
With revenue growth of 24.10%, HWM is 12.4 percentage points faster than the sector median of 11.7%. The business converts sales into profit at a net margin of 20.52% and an operating margin of 28.50%. Shareholders' capital earns 34.73%, above the sector median of 17.8%, measured as return on equity. The balance sheet and payout round out the picture, with debt-to-equity of 0.81 and a trailing dividend yield of 0.26% ($0.50 a share a year).
EPS of $1.33 versus the $1.25 analysts expected made the August 6, 2026 report a beat of 6.40%. The market reacted the other way, with the stock falling 2.71% the following session.
HWM has beaten the EPS estimate in all 7 reports in our data, though the stock still fell in the first session after 2 of those 7 beats. Looking ahead, analysts expect EPS of $5.34 this fiscal year (growth of 41.6%) and $6.50 the year after (growth of 21.8%).
With a P/E of 41.38 sitting 21.7% above the sector median, HWM is a premium to peers, which means results that merely match expectations may not be enough. Its average daily move is 2.22%, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 1.20. The trend is a headwind for holders until the price climbs back above its moving averages. The price is 38.07% below the 52-week high of $310.00.
HWM against the Industrials sector
How HWM compares with the median Industrials stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: HWM trades at a significant premium to sector peers (+22%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
Return vs XLI: Since May 15, 2025, HWM has gained 19.0% against a gain of 18.1% for XLI.
Performance against XLI
HWM and the Industrials sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much HWM sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 11.1% in FY2025 to $8.3B, from $7.4B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 18.3% in FY2025, up from 15.5% the year before.
Profitable: HWM earned $1.5B in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did HWM beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: HWM beat the analyst estimate in 7 of the 7 reports in our data.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 2 of those 7 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026after close | $1.25 | $1.33 | +6.40% | -2.71% | -2.38% |
| Feb 12, 2026after close | $0.97 | $1.05 | +8.25% | +2.21% | +5.44% |
| Oct 30, 2025after close | $0.91 | $0.95 | +4.40% | +2.07% | +1.96% |
| Jul 31, 2025after close | $0.87 | $0.91 | +4.60% | +2.50% | +1.01% |
| May 1, 2025after close | $0.78 | $0.86 | +10.26% | +4.08% | +6.40% |
| Feb 13, 2025after close | $0.72 | $0.74 | +2.78% | +4.17% | +1.37% |
| Nov 6, 2024after close | $0.65 | $0.71 | +9.23% | -3.17% | +0.79% |
As of October 27, 2026, HWM has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 7 of the 7 reports in our data and fell in the first trading session after 2 of those beats; its latest report, on August 6, 2026, came in 6.40% above the estimate and the stock moved -2.71% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
HWM AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
0/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 28.6, in oversold territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 28.6 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of HWM
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
HWM's trend is down. At $191.99, the stock is 22.89% below its 200-day average of $249.00 and 17.96% below its 50-day average of $234.02. Near the bottom of its 52-week range, the price is 4.62% above the low of $183.52, while sitting 38.07% below the high of $310.00.
Momentum is weak for HWM: the 14-day RSI sits at 28.6, which is in the oversold zone, and the MACD line is negative. Returns point the same way over every longer window. Over the past three months the price fell 32.88%, over the past six months it fell 20.15%, and over the past year it fell 4.88%.
New analyst coverage ›
Guggenheim started coverage at Buy on September 15, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Guggenheim, September 15, 2026Rating reaffirmed ›
RBC Capital kept its Outperform rating on October 15, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, RBC Capital, October 15, 2026
Earnings beat, but the stock fell ›
The August 6, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 6.40%, and the share price fell 2.71% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, August 6, 2026
- The two closest levels to watch are the 20-day EMA at $212.57, which sits above the price, and the 52-week low at $183.52, which sits below it.
- A 14-day RSI of 28.6 places the stock in the oversold zone, and the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 signal stretched momentum.
- The share price slipped 2.71% in the first session after the August 6, 2026 report, even though HWM has beaten estimates in 7 of the 7 reports in our data.
HWM sits under both its 50-day ($234.02) and 200-day ($249.00) averages, and that is why the trend is down. A recovery would first need to carry the price back above the 50-day. The first level above the price is the 20-day EMA at $212.57.
The next level below the price is the 52-week low at $183.52.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for HWM, from its daily closes.
As of October 27, 2026, with HWM at $191.99, its 14-day RSI is 28.6 (oversold territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $234.02 and its 200-day is $249.00.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What HWM moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 27, 2026, HWM's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.55 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.49 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.19 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.16 with gold (XAU).
HWM price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
2/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
19 of 22 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $332.00 is 72.9% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
19 of 22 rate it a buy now, against 19 of 22 three months ago.
HWM Wall Street View
12-month price targets
The price, $191.99, sits below every analyst's target.
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform |
| Oct 9, 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Guggenheim | Initiates | Buy |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Bernstein | Maintains | Outperform |
| Aug 10, 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight |
As of October 27, 2026, 22 Wall Street analysts cover HWM: 19 rate it a buy or strong buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $255.00 to $377.00. The median HWM price target is $332.00, 72.9% above the price of $191.99.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
HWM trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
HWM trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from HWM's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much HWM tends to move, against the market and on its own.
HWM price history and drawdowns
HWM's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
3/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 2.22% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 65.9%, from February 2020 to April 2020, regained by May 2021.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
74% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in November 2016 is now worth $106,233, against $42,683 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
HWM Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 27, 2026, HWM's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -65.9% (February 2020 to April 2020); it regained that peak by May 2021, 13 months after the low, and 74% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into HWM in November 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: HWM beat the S&P 500 over this period: $106,233 against $42,683.
A $10,000 investment in HWM in November 2016 would be worth about $106,233 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,683 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to HWM, and which have not.
Strongest month, November: an average of +11.17%, up in 8 of 9 years.
Weakest month, March: an average of -4.27%, up in 5 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +0.64%, up in 5 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, HWM's strongest calendar month has been November (average +11.17%, up in 8 of 9 years) and its weakest March (average -4.27%, up in 5 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
HWM stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in HWM, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in HWM today could grow to about $15,190 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $42,417 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $5,439. The simulation models price only; at today's 0.26% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
HWM Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $292 for HWM by 2030 in the base case, from $192 today (1.5x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $104. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on HWM's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $128 | $213 | $356 | |
| 2028 | $114 | $237 | $489 | |
| 2029 | $108 | $263 | $639 | |
| 2030 | $104 | $292 | $814 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of HWM's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
HWM insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
HWM insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Net insider selling: No insider bought HWM shares on the open market in the last 18 months. Sales are often planned in advance or cover tax on vesting shares, so they say less than purchases would.
As of October 27, 2026, HWM insiders reported 7 open-market sales worth $155.8M and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Joseph S. Cantie
Director
|
Grant | 156 | $36.1K |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Joseph S. Cantie
Director
|
Grant | 134 | $36.2K |
| May 21, 2026 | James F Albaugh
Director
|
Grant | 731 | - |
| May 21, 2026 | Amy E Alving
Director
|
Grant | 731 | - |
| May 21, 2026 | Sharon R. Barner
Director
|
Grant | 731 | - |
| May 21, 2026 | Joseph S. Cantie
Director
|
Grant | 731 | - |
| May 21, 2026 | Robert F. Leduc
Director
|
Grant | 731 | - |
| May 21, 2026 | Ulrich R Schmidt
Director
|
Grant | 731 | - |
| May 21, 2026 | Gunner Smith
Director
|
Grant | 731 | - |
| May 11, 2026 | Neil Edward Marchuk
Officer
|
Sell | 41.9K | $11.3M |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Jonathan A Arena
Officer
|
Grant | 3.5K | - |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Joseph S. Cantie
Director
|
Grant | 155 | $36.1K |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Barbara Lou Shultz
Officer
|
Sell | 1.0K | $260.0K |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Neil Edward Marchuk
Officer
|
Sell | 45.2K | $11.4M |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Michael Niem Chanatry
Officer
|
Grant | 2.7K | - |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Neil Edward Marchuk
Officer
|
Grant | 3.9K | - |
| Feb 17, 2026 | John C Plant
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 22.3K | - |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Barbara Lou Shultz
Officer
|
Grant | 446 | - |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Patrick J Winterlich
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 3.2K | - |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Michael Niem Chanatry
Officer
|
Grant | 16.8K | - |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Neil Edward Marchuk
Officer
|
Grant | 50.3K | - |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Barbara Lou Shultz
Officer
|
Grant | 4.1K | - |
| Jan 5, 2026 | Joseph S. Cantie
Director
|
Grant | 158 | $33.6K |
| Jan 5, 2026 | Robert F. Leduc
Director
|
Grant | 28 | $6.0K |
| Jan 5, 2026 | Jody G Miller
Director
|
Grant | 158 | $33.6K |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Joseph S. Cantie
Director
|
Grant | 176 | $33.6K |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Robert F. Leduc
Director
|
Grant | 31 | $5.9K |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Jody G Miller
Director
|
Grant | 176 | $33.6K |
| Aug 5, 2025 | Lola Felice Lin
Officer
|
Sell | 13.1K | $2.4M |
| Jul 2, 2025 | Joseph S. Cantie
Director
|
Grant | 191 | $33.6K |
| Jul 2, 2025 | Robert F. Leduc
Director
|
Grant | 34 | $6.0K |
| Jul 2, 2025 | Jody G Miller
Director
|
Grant | 191 | $33.6K |
| Jul 1, 2025 | John C Plant
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 255.4K | - |
| May 30, 2025 | James F Albaugh
Director
|
Grant | 1.0K | - |
| May 30, 2025 | Amy E Alving
Director
|
Grant | 1.0K | - |
| May 30, 2025 | Sharon R. Barner
Director
|
Grant | 1.0K | - |
| May 30, 2025 | Joseph S. Cantie
Director
|
Grant | 1.0K | - |
| May 30, 2025 | Robert F. Leduc
Director
|
Grant | 1.0K | - |
| May 30, 2025 | Jody G Miller
Director
|
Grant | 1.0K | - |
| May 30, 2025 | Ulrich R Schmidt
Director
|
Grant | 1.0K | - |
| May 30, 2025 | Gunner Smith
Director
|
Grant | 1.0K | - |
| May 12, 2025 | John C Plant
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 800.0K | $125.6M |
| May 12, 2025 | Neil Edward Marchuk
Officer
|
Sell | 30.0K | $4.8M |
| May 5, 2025 | Barbara Lou Shultz
Officer
|
Sell | 1.3K | $194.0K |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
HWM stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026.