Stock·NASDAQ·Industrials
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL)
- Market cap
- $39.04B
- P/E
- 35.25
- Dividend yield
- 0.61%
- Street target
- $230.00median of 24 analysts
- 52-week range
- $126.01 $252.03
The short version
Where ODFL stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
ODFL at a glance
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL): Hold, 51/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($189.21 and $200.99).
- Earnings ODFL beat estimates in 5 of its last 6 quarters, yet fell the next day after 1 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $26.2M and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 35.3 against 34.0 for the Industrials sector: broadly in line with peers (+4%).
Figures as of October 17, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
CleaRank rates Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) Hold, with a model score of 51/100.
Profitability lifts the score most: the net margin is 19.44%, return on equity of 24.82% is above the sector median and debt-to-equity is 0.00. The trend holds it back most: the price is 6.58% below its 200-day average and 0.76% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 5.86% below the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $189.21 and the 200-day at $200.99. Over the past year the price rose 35.97%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from ODFL's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
0/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $187.77 is 0.8% below the 50-day simple moving average of $189.21.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 6.6% below the 200-day simple moving average of $200.99.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($189.21) is 5.9% below the 200-day average ($200.99), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 49% of its 52-week range, between $126.01 and $252.03.
ODFL share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far ODFL has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where ODFL sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
Fundamentals
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
3/5P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 35.25 is 3.7% above the Industrials median of 34.0.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 6.84 is 71.1% above the sector median of 4.0.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $1.1B on revenue of $5.6B, a net margin of 19.4%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
ODFL beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 6 reports.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 0.61%, or $1.15 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for ODFL.
As of October 17, 2026, ODFL trades at $187.77, with a market value of $39.04B, a P/E ratio of 35.25 and a dividend yield of 0.61%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of ODFL's valuation, growth and risks.
ODFL trades at 35.25 times trailing earnings, which is 3.7% above the Industrials median of 34.0. The peer comparison on this page calls that multiple broadly in line with peers. Measured against sales, the P/S stands at 6.84 while the sector median is 4.0, leaving it 71.0% above. Trailing earnings per share come to $5.23.
Revenue grew 10.40% in the latest year, which is 1.3 percentage points slower than the sector median of 11.7%. Profitability is solid: a net margin of 19.44%, an operating margin of 28.84%, and a return on equity of 24.82% that sits above the sector median of 17.8%. On the balance sheet, debt-to-equity is 0.00. The trailing dividend yield of 0.61% works out to $1.15 a share per year.
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) topped expectations in its February 4, 2026 report, with EPS of $1.09 versus an estimate of $1.06, a beat of 2.83%. The share price still slid 3.07% in the first session that followed.
Across its recent reports, ODFL beat the EPS estimate in 5 of the last 6. Still, the stock fell in the next session after 1 of those 5 beats, so a beat alone did not guarantee a higher price. Analysts forecast EPS of $5.84 for this fiscal year, a rise of 20.6%, and $6.65 for the year after, a rise of 13.9%.
ODFL typically moves about 1.55% a day, which is the normal swing to expect. The downtrend adds risk for as long as the price remains beneath both moving averages. Measured from its 52-week high of $252.03, the price is 25.50% lower.
ODFL against the Industrials sector
How ODFL compares with the median Industrials stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (4% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
Return vs XLI: Since May 6, 2025, ODFL has gained 22.5% against a gain of 25.6% for XLI.
Performance against XLI
ODFL and the Industrials sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much ODFL sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue fell 5.5% in FY2025 to $5.5B, from $5.8B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 18.6% in FY2025, down from 20.4% the year before.
Profitable: ODFL earned $1.0B in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did ODFL beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: ODFL beat the analyst estimate in 5 of the last 6 quarters.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 1 of those 5 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026after close | $1.06 | $1.09 | +2.83% | -3.07% | -6.75% |
| Oct 29, 2025after close | $1.22 | $1.28 | +4.92% | +0.82% | +3.42% |
| Jul 30, 2025after close | $1.29 | $1.27 | -1.55% | +1.90% | +2.37% |
| Apr 23, 2025after close | $1.14 | $1.19 | +4.39% | +3.70% | +0.03% |
| Feb 5, 2025after close | $1.16 | $1.23 | +6.03% | +1.15% | +4.84% |
| Oct 23, 2024after close | $1.42 | $1.43 | +0.70% | +1.66% | +8.03% |
Reports after February 4, 2026 are not yet in our data.
As of October 17, 2026, ODFL has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 5 of its last 6 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 1 of those beats; its most recent report in our data, on February 4, 2026, came in 2.83% above the estimate and the stock moved -3.07% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
AI analysis and technicals
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
2/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 57.6, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 57.6 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank AI analysis of ODFL
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) is in a downtrend: its price of $187.77 sits 0.76% below the 50-day average of $189.21 and 6.58% below the 200-day average of $200.99. Both averages lie overhead, and the 50-day is 5.86% below the 200-day. Across the 52-week range, which runs from $126.01 to $252.03, the price currently stands at 49% of the way up.
Short-term and long-term readings disagree. Over the past month the price climbed 7.69%, yet over the past three months it slid 19.70%, while the past year shows a gain of 35.97%. Momentum sits in the neutral zone, with a 14-day RSI of 57.6, and the MACD line is negative.
Analyst upgrade ›
Wolfe Research upgraded it to Peer Perform from Underperform on October 7, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Wolfe Research, October 7, 2026New analyst coverage ›
Bernstein started coverage at Market Perform on September 10, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Bernstein, September 10, 2026
Earnings beat ›
The February 4, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 2.83%, and the share price fell 3.07% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, February 4, 2026
- The two closest levels to watch are the 50-day SMA at $189.21, which sits overhead, and the 20-day EMA at $182.32, which sits underneath.
- A 14-day RSI of 57.6 sits in the neutral zone, and the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 would signal stretched momentum in either direction.
- Following the February 4, 2026 report, the share price dropped 3.07% in the first session. Over the last 6 reports, ODFL beat estimates 5 times.
ODFL remains in a downtrend while it trades under both its 50-day average of $189.21 and its 200-day average of $200.99. A close back above the 50-day average would mark the first sign of a repair. The 50-day SMA, at $189.21, is the first barrier the price would meet on the way up.
If the price falls, the 20-day EMA at $182.32 is the first level it would reach. The 14-day RSI reads 57.6, which places it in the neutral zone between 40 and 60.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for ODFL, from its daily closes.
As of October 17, 2026, with ODFL at $187.77, its 14-day RSI is 57.6 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $189.21 and its 200-day is $200.99.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 17, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
What ODFL moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 17, 2026, ODFL's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.47 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.37 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.07 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.03 with gold (XAU).
What Wall Street expects
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
1/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
9 of 24 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 14 a hold and 1 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $230.00 is 22.5% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
9 of 24 rate it a buy now, against 9 of 24 three months ago.
ODFL Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Wolfe Research | Upgrade | Peer Perform |
| Oct 5, 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Bernstein | Initiates | Market Perform |
As of October 17, 2026, 24 Wall Street analysts cover ODFL: 9 rate it a buy or strong buy, 14 a hold and 1 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $156.00 to $263.00, with a median of $230.00, 22.5% above the price of $187.77.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
A trade plan, if you want one
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
ODFL trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from ODFL's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much ODFL tends to move, against the market and on its own.
The long record
ODFL's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
4/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.55% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 43.3%, from November 2024 to November 2025, regained by June 2026.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
75% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $86,702, against $42,058 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
ODFL Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 17, 2026, ODFL's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -43.3% (November 2024 to November 2025); it regained that peak by June 2026, 7 months after the low, and 75% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into ODFL in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: ODFL beat the S&P 500 over this period: $86,702 against $42,058.
A $10,000 investment in ODFL in October 2016 would be worth about $86,702 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,058 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to ODFL, and which have not.
Strongest month, July: an average of +8.04%, up in 9 of 10 years.
Weakest month, April: an average of -2.30%, up in 6 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +1.11%, up in 6 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, ODFL's strongest calendar month has been July (average +8.04%, up in 9 of 10 years) and its weakest April (average -2.30%, up in 6 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
Long-term scenarios
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in ODFL, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ODFL today could grow to about $27,642 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $106,947 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $7,145. The simulation models price only; at today's 0.61% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
ODFL Stock Price Prediction: 2030
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $282 for ODFL by 2030 in the base case, from $188 today (1.5x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $120. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ODFL's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $136 | $208 | $319 | |
| 2028 | $126 | $230 | $421 | |
| 2029 | $121 | $255 | $534 | |
| 2030 | $120 | $282 | $664 | |
| 2031 | $120 | $312 | $813 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of ODFL's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
Insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
ODFL insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Insider buying: No insider bought ODFL shares on the open market in the last 18 months. Sales are often planned in advance or cover tax on vesting shares, so they say less than purchases would.
As of October 17, 2026, ODFL insiders reported 7 open-market sales worth $26.2M and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | Worthing F Jackman
Director
|
Grant | 545 | - |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Cecil E Overbey Jr
Officer
|
Sell | 20.0K | $4.0M |
| May 27, 2026 | David S Congdon
Officer and Director
|
Grant | 295.7K | - |
| May 20, 2026 | Sherry A. Aaholm
Director
|
Grant | 859 | - |
| May 20, 2026 | John R Congdon Jr
Director
|
Grant | 859 | - |
| May 20, 2026 | Andrew Stephen Davis
Director
|
Grant | 859 | - |
| May 20, 2026 | Bradley R Gabosch
Director
|
Grant | 859 | - |
| May 20, 2026 | Greg C Gantt
Director
|
Grant | 859 | - |
| May 20, 2026 | John D Kasarda
Director
|
Grant | 859 | - |
| May 20, 2026 | Cheryl S Miller
Director
|
Grant | 859 | - |
| May 20, 2026 | Albert Albert Smith II
Director
|
Grant | 859 | - |
| May 20, 2026 | Wendy T Stallings
Director
|
Grant | 859 | - |
| May 20, 2026 | Thomas A Stith III
Director
|
Grant | 859 | - |
| May 19, 2026 | David S Congdon
Officer and Director
|
Grant | 73.7K | - |
| May 18, 2026 | Earl E Congdon
Officer
|
Grant | 7.4K | - |
| May 4, 2026 | Greg C Gantt
Director
|
Sell | 22.1K | $4.2M |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Earl E Congdon
Officer
|
Sell | 25.0K | $4.9M |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Earl E Congdon
Officer
|
Grant | 5.8K | - |
| Feb 25, 2026 | David S Congdon
Officer and Director
|
Grant | 3.8K | - |
| Feb 23, 2026 | David S Congdon
Officer and Director
|
Grant | 30.4K | - |
| Feb 19, 2026 | David S Congdon
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 52.0K | $10.1M |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Bradley R Gabosch
Director
|
Sell | 3.1K | $608.8K |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Christopher James Kelley
Officer
|
Sell | 80 | $16.0K |
| Feb 12, 2026 | John R Congdon Jr
Director
|
Grant | 3.1K | - |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Clayton G Brinker
Officer
|
Grant | 1.5K | - |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Christopher T Brooks
Officer
|
Grant | 3.2K | - |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Kevin M Freeman
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 6.2K | - |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Steven W. Hartsell
Officer
|
Grant | 3.2K | - |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Christopher James Kelley
Officer
|
Grant | 3.2K | - |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Cecil E Overbey Jr
Officer
|
Grant | 3.3K | - |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Ross H. Parr
General Counsel
|
Grant | 3.3K | - |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Gregory B Plemmons
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 4.1K | - |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Adam N Satterfield
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 4.1K | - |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Greg C Gantt
Director
|
Sell | 12.0K | $2.4M |
| Dec 1, 2025 | Greg C Gantt
Director
|
Grant | 1.5K | - |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Greg C Gantt
Director
|
Grant | 1.5K | - |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Greg C Gantt
Director
|
Grant | 1.5K | - |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Greg C Gantt
Director
|
Grant | 1.5K | - |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Earl E Congdon
Officer
|
Grant | 22.4K | - |
| Aug 21, 2025 | Earl E Congdon
Officer
|
Grant | 4.8K | - |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Greg C Gantt
Director
|
Grant | 1.5K | - |
| Jul 1, 2025 | Greg C Gantt
Director
|
Grant | 1.5K | - |
| May 30, 2025 | Greg C Gantt
Director
|
Grant | 5.1K | - |
| May 21, 2025 | Sherry A. Aaholm
Director
|
Grant | 1.0K | - |
| May 21, 2025 | John R Congdon Jr
Director
|
Grant | 1.0K | - |
| May 21, 2025 | Andrew Stephen Davis
Director
|
Grant | 1.0K | - |
| May 21, 2025 | Bradley R Gabosch
Director
|
Grant | 1.0K | - |
| May 21, 2025 | Greg C Gantt
Director
|
Grant | 1.0K | - |
| May 21, 2025 | John D Kasarda
Director
|
Grant | 1.0K | - |
| May 21, 2025 | Debra King
Director
|
Grant | 1.0K | - |
| May 21, 2025 | Cheryl S Miller
Director
|
Grant | 1.0K | - |
| May 21, 2025 | Wendy T Stallings
Director
|
Grant | 1.0K | - |
| May 21, 2025 | Thomas A Stith III
Director
|
Grant | 1.0K | - |
| May 14, 2025 | David S Congdon
Officer and Director
|
Grant | 29.4K | - |
| May 1, 2025 | Greg C Gantt
Director
|
Grant | 5.1K | - |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
Questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 17, 2026.