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As of September 27, 2026, Phillips 66 (PSX) trades at $255.75. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $249.00, 2.6% below the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $249.00 across 20 analysts. RSI at 51 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $235.77.
Phillips 66 (PSX)
Phillips 66 NYSE
$255.75
-0.1200 (-0.05%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Phillips 66 (PSX) is currently trading at $255.75, slightly above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($235.77 and $181.12), indicating a neutral momentum. The stock's valuation appears fair when compared to sector averages, with a P/E ratio of 14.6 versus the sector median of 18.4, and a price-to-sales ratio of 0.67 against the sector's 2.5. However, significant insider selling, totaling $67.1 million in dispositions against $1.3 million in purchases, presents a notable risk. Recent earnings have shown positive surprises, with the quarter to June 2026 EPS exceeding estimates by 25.5%. Despite this, the overall analyst consensus remains 'Hold' with a median price target of $249, suggesting limited upside from current levels. The company operates in the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing industry, a sector that has seen substantial revenue growth but faces evolving demand dynamics.
PSX Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$252.68
Day Range
$250.09 to $257.31
Prev Close
$255.87
Volume
3.32M
52-Week Range
$126.74 to $277.12
Market Cap
$102.54B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Energy)
Performance vs XLE
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-21%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
PSX Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, PSX beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
PSX Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
-2.64% Downside
Median of 20 analysts (12-month)
$249.00
AI Technical Analysis
Phillips 66 (PSX) is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($235.77 and $181.12), indicating a generally positive trend, with its price of $255.75 sitting above the 50-day SMA of $235.77 and the 200-day SMA of $181.12. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 50.69, signaling neutral momentum, while the MACD at 6.82 suggests a lack of strong directional conviction. The stock's price is also above its 20-day EMA, which is currently at $255.57. Key support levels are indicated by the 50-day SMA at $235.77 and the 200-day SMA at $181.12. Resistance may be found near recent highs. Volume has been below average recently, with the latest volume at 3.32 million compared to the average of 4.08 million, suggesting a lack of strong conviction behind current price movements. The overall chart structure suggests a period of consolidation or a potential shift in momentum.
ProTips
- Monitor insider selling activity closely, as the current heavy selling pressure from management could indicate future headwinds.
- Given the neutral technical momentum and price trading near the median analyst target, consider waiting for a clearer directional signal or a more attractive entry point.
- Phillips 66 (PSX) offers a dividend yield of approximately 2.0%, which may appeal to income-focused investors, but the significant insider selling warrants caution.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Heavy Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold $67.1 million worth of stock versus only $1.3 million purchased, indicating a strong bearish signal from management regarding near-term prospects.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Negative Forward Revenue Growth Estimates
Analysts project a -10.00% revenue growth for next year, suggesting potential challenges in market demand or competitive positioning.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBullish
Strong Recent Earnings Performance
Phillips 66 (PSX) has consistently beaten EPS estimates, with the latest quarter showing a 25.47% surprise, indicating operational strength.
Source: Earnings ReportsNeutral
Median Analyst Target Near Current Price
The median Wall Street price target of $249 is very close to the current stock price of $255.75, suggesting limited immediate upside or downside.
Source: Wall Street ConsensusMarket Outlook
Phillips 66 (PSX) is expected to maintain its current trading range in the near term, with a median analyst price target of $249 suggesting limited upside from its current price of $255.75. The company's strong operational performance, evidenced by recent earnings beats and a solid return on equity, provides a stable foundation. However, the forward revenue growth estimate of -10.00% for next year signals potential challenges ahead. Key factors that could alter this outlook include a shift in commodity prices, changes in refining margins, or a reversal in insider selling trends. Conversely, a significant increase in insider buying or a more optimistic forward revenue outlook from analysts could provide upward catalysts. The company's substantial revenue growth in the past year, though, may not be sustainable given the projected slowdown.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 102.54B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 14.60 |
| EPS (TTM) | 17.52 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.96% |
| 52 Week High | 277.12 |
| 52 Week Low | 126.74 |
Phillips 66 (PSX) presents a mixed fundamental picture, trading at a P/E ratio of 14.6, which is below the sector median of 18.4, and a price-to-sales ratio of 0.67, significantly lower than the sector average of 2.5. The company's return on equity stands at a strong 23.5%, well above the sector's 14.2%, and its profit margin is 4.7%, indicating solid profitability. However, the debt-to-equity ratio of 0.63 is slightly higher than the sector median of 0.63, though still manageable. While the company demonstrates strong profitability and a favorable valuation relative to its peers, the significant insider selling activity raises concerns about management's near-term outlook. The company's revenue growth of 53.1% is exceptional, far exceeding the sector average of 32.8%, but forward revenue growth estimates for next year are negative at -10.00%, suggesting potential headwinds.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Phillips 66 (PSX) has demonstrated strong earnings performance, most recently reporting EPS of $9.41 for the quarter to June 2026, a significant beat of 25.47% against an estimate of $7.50, leading to a 1.47% price increase. This follows a pattern of positive earnings surprises, including a substantial beat of 225.64% in the quarter to March 2026. The company's earnings trajectory suggests strong operational execution in recent quarters.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Phillips 66 (PSX) stems from heavy insider selling, with $67.1 million in dispositions versus only $1.3 million in purchases, signaling a potential lack of confidence from management. Additionally, forward revenue growth estimates for next year are projected to decline by 10.00%, indicating potential future business challenges. The stock's current price is also trading very close to its median Wall Street price target of $249, suggesting limited upside potential.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 50.69 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 6.82 |
| SMA 50 | 235.77 |
| SMA 200 | 181.12 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($235.77) above the 200-day SMA ($181.12), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.34
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.24
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.03
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
-0.02
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with PSX? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
PSX Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$253.19
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$255.75
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$242.23
MAX LOSS
-4.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (50.7) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$260.79
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$265.85
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$273.45
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for PSX is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in PSX in September 2016 would be worth about $32,206 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in PSX today could grow to about $25,373 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $107,448 and a bear case around $5,992. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
PSX Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $371 for PSX by 2030 in the base case, from $256 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $149. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on PSX's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $178 | $281 | $443 |
| 2028 | $162 | $308 | $588 |
| 2029 | $153 | $338 | $746 |
| 2030 | $149 | $371 | $925 |
| 2031 | $147 | $407 | $1,130 |
| 2032 | $146 | $447 | $1,368 |
| 2033 | $147 | $491 | $1,642 |
| 2034 | $148 | $539 | $1,959 |
| 2035 | $150 | $591 | $2,325 |
| 2036 | $153 | $649 | $2,748 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using PSX's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
PSX Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$1.3M
6 Transactions
Sold
$67.1M
23 Transactions
Insiders
22
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$2.4M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2023 | GARLAND GREGORY C.
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 169.4K | $18.9M |
| Jun 9, 2022 | GARLAND GREGORY C.
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 146.7K | $16.1M |
| Aug 11, 2023 | ROBERTS TIMOTHY D
Officer
|
Sell | 127.6K | $14.9M |
| Mar 11, 2021 | GARLAND GREGORY C
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 158.5K | $14.0M |
| Aug 12, 2026 | HARBISON RICHARD G
Officer
|
Sell | 52.1K | $11.7M |
| Feb 7, 2022 | GARLAND GREGORY C
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 126.3K | $11.2M |
| Dec 2, 2016 | ZIEMBA LAWRENCE MICHAEL
Officer
|
Sell | 101.9K | $8.7M |
| Mar 12, 2026 | MANDELL BRIAN
Officer
|
Sell | 42.8K | $7.3M |
| Aug 11, 2026 | MANDELL BRIAN
Officer
|
Sell | 33.3K | $7.2M |
| Jun 8, 2022 | ROBERTS TIMOTHY D
Officer
|
Sell | 59.1K | $6.5M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Phillips 66 (PSX) stock a buy right now?
Phillips 66 (PSX) is currently rated a 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 59. The stock is trading near its median price target of $249, and significant insider selling presents a notable risk, making it not an immediate buy.
What is Phillips 66's (PSX) stock price forecast for 2030?
Phillips 66 (PSX) has a base case stock price projection of $371.16 for 2030, with a downside scenario of $148.98 and an upside scenario of $924.71, based on Monte Carlo simulations.
How has Phillips 66 (PSX) performed in recent earnings reports?
Phillips 66 (PSX) has consistently beaten earnings estimates, most recently reporting an EPS surprise of 25.47% for the quarter to June 2026, which resulted in a 1.47% stock price increase.
What are the key technical indicators for Phillips 66 (PSX)?
Phillips 66 (PSX) is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($235.77 and $181.12), with a neutral RSI at 50.7, indicating a lack of strong momentum. Volume has been below average recently.
What is the analyst consensus for Phillips 66 (PSX)?
The current Wall Street consensus for Phillips 66 (PSX) is 'Hold', with 20 analysts providing ratings. The consensus score is 59, with a median price target of $249.
Are there any significant insider transactions for Phillips 66 (PSX)?
Yes, Phillips 66 (PSX) insiders have been net sellers, with $240.3M in total sales versus $154.1M in total purchases in recent filings, indicating heavy selling pressure.
How does Phillips 66 (PSX) compare to its sector averages?
Phillips 66 (PSX) trades at a lower P/E (14.6 vs 18.4) and price-to-sales (0.67 vs 2.5) than the sector median, but has a higher ROE (23.5% vs 14.2%) and revenue growth (53.1% vs 32.8%).