As of September 26, 2026, Apple Inc. (AAPL) trades at $341.07. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $340.00, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $340.00 across 44 analysts. RSI at 74 is in overbought territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $321.83.
Apple Inc. (AAPL)
Apple Inc. NASDAQ
Apple Inc. (AAPL) is currently trading at $341.07, a level that places it slightly above its median analyst price target of $340.00, indicating limited immediate upside potential according to Wall Street. The stock's RSI is at 74.4, signaling an overbought condition, which suggests a potential for a short-term pullback. Despite this, AAPL continues to demonstrate strong revenue growth, with current year estimates projecting a 15.00% increase year-over-year, and maintains a healthy profit margin of 27.62%.
The company's strong financial health is further evidenced by its high return on equity of 148.75% and a substantial market capitalization of nearly $5 trillion. However, insider activity reveals a net seller position, with significant sales totaling $244.4 million, which warrants investor attention. While the company's long-term outlook remains positive, with projected 5-year average annual growth of 8.9%, the current valuation and insider selling trends suggest a period of consolidation may be more likely than significant near-term gains.
AAPL Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
AAPL Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
AAPL Analysis
At $341.07, Apple Inc. (AAPL) is trading above its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $321.83 and its 200-day SMA of $287.77, indicating a generally positive short-to-medium term trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 74.4, which is in overbought territory, suggesting that the stock may be due for a correction or consolidation. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is at 6.21, indicating bullish momentum, though the high RSI tempers this optimism.
Key resistance levels are implied by the current price relative to its median analyst target of $340.00, suggesting limited upward movement without further fundamental catalysts. Volume has been below average recently, with the latest volume at 29.95 million compared to an average of 39.23 million, which could indicate waning investor conviction at these elevated levels. The stock's structure suggests it may consolidate or experience a minor pullback before potentially resuming an upward trend, especially if broader market sentiment shifts.
- Given the heavy insider selling totaling $244.4 million, investors should closely monitor future transactions for any signs of capitulation or a shift in management sentiment.
- The stock's RSI is currently overbought at 74.4, suggesting a potential for a short-term pullback. Consider waiting for a more favorable entry point or a confirmed trend reversal.
- With a P/E ratio of 38.71, Apple Inc. (AAPL) trades at a premium to its sector. Investors should ensure that the company's future growth and profitability can sustain this valuation.
Insiders have sold a total of $244.4 million worth of AAPL stock across 58 transactions, indicating a potential lack of confidence at current price levels and posing a risk to near-term upside.
Source: Insider TransactionsThe RSI is at 74.4, signaling an overbought condition that historically precedes price pullbacks or consolidation periods, suggesting limited immediate room for further gains.
Source: Technical AnalysisThe median analyst price target for AAPL is $340.00, only slightly below the current trading price of $341.07, indicating that Wall Street consensus does not foresee significant immediate upside.
Source: Wall Street ConsensusApple Inc. has a track record of beating EPS estimates, including a 6.88% beat in the most recent quarter, demonstrating operational efficiency and reliable performance.
Source: Earnings ReportsThe company maintains a high profit margin of 27.62% and an exceptional return on equity of 148.75%, underscoring its financial strength and efficient capital utilization.
Source: Company FundamentalsThe base case outlook for Apple Inc. (AAPL) suggests a period of consolidation or modest growth, with the median analyst price target of $340.00 indicating limited immediate upside from the current $341.07 price. While the company's long-term growth is projected at an average of 8.9% annually over the next five years, near-term catalysts for significant upward movement appear limited. The overbought RSI of 74.4 further supports the view that the stock may struggle to break higher without a substantial fundamental shift or a broader market rally.
Upside potential could be unlocked by stronger-than-expected product cycles, successful expansion into new markets, or a significant acceleration in AI-driven services revenue. Conversely, downside risks include increased competition, regulatory pressures, a slowdown in consumer spending impacting iPhone sales, or continued heavy insider selling. Any significant deviation from the projected 15.00% revenue growth for the current year could also impact investor sentiment.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 4.98T |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 38.71 |
| EPS (TTM) | 8.73 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.31% |
| 52 Week High | 345.34 |
| 52 Week Low | 235.03 |
Apple Inc. (AAPL) exhibits a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 38.71, which is higher than the technology sector median of 34.00, suggesting a premium valuation. Its Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio stands at 10.56, also above the sector median of 7.50. Despite the premium valuation, the company's strong fundamentals, including a profit margin of 27.62% and an impressive return on equity of 148.75%, justify some of this premium. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.78, which is slightly above the sector median of 0.78, indicating a moderate level of leverage.
The company's revenue growth is projected at 15.00% for the current year, exceeding the sector average of 24.10%, but its profitability metrics are strong. The current valuation appears stretched relative to sector averages, but the company's consistent execution and strong brand loyalty provide a solid foundation. Investors should monitor whether future growth can continue to support the current premium valuation, especially as revenue growth estimates moderate slightly in the coming years.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Apple Inc. (AAPL) most recently reported earnings for the quarter ending June 2026, with an actual EPS of $2.02, surpassing the estimated $1.89 by 6.88%. This beat was followed by a price decrease of 7.35%, indicating that market expectations may have been higher or that the broader market sentiment overshadowed the positive earnings surprise. Prior quarters also showed consistent EPS beats, with surprises ranging from 3.61% to 6.88%, suggesting a reliable pattern of exceeding analyst expectations.
The company's revenue growth for the current quarter is estimated at +11.00% year-over-year, and for the full year, it is projected at +15.00%. While these growth rates are solid, they represent a slight moderation compared to historical performance. The consistent earnings beats provide a degree of confidence in the company's operational efficiency, but the recent price reaction to the latest earnings report suggests that investors are looking for more significant growth catalysts to drive the stock higher.
Key Risks
Apple Inc. (AAPL) faces significant risk from heavy insider selling, with $244.4 million in sales reported, indicating a lack of confidence from management at current price levels. The stock's overbought RSI of 74.4 suggests a potential for a near-term pullback, especially as it trades slightly above its median analyst price target of $340.00. Also, the company's premium valuation, with a P/E ratio of 38.71 compared to the sector median of 34.00, makes it vulnerable to any shifts in market sentiment or a slowdown in its growth trajectory.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 74.40 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 6.21 |
| SMA 50 | 321.83 |
| SMA 200 | 287.77 |
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
How does any other asset move with AAPL? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
AAPL Trade Plans
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Risk Management
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in AAPL in September 2016 would be worth about $120,861 today, compared with about $36,004 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in AAPL today could grow to about $41,617 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $135,367 and a bear case around $12,795. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
AAPL Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $603 for AAPL by 2030 in the base case, from $341 today (1.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $286. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on AAPL's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $271 | $393 | $571 |
| 2028 | $268 | $454 | $769 |
| 2029 | $274 | $523 | $998 |
| 2030 | $286 | $603 | $1,272 |
| 2031 | $302 | $696 | $1,602 |
| 2032 | $322 | $802 | $2,001 |
| 2033 | $345 | $925 | $2,483 |
| 2034 | $372 | $1,067 | $3,065 |
| 2035 | $402 | $1,231 | $3,768 |
| 2036 | $436 | $1,419 | $4,617 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using AAPL's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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AAPL Insider Trading Analysis
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2021 | COOK TIMOTHY D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 2.4M | $354.6M |
| Aug 25, 2020 | COOK TIMOTHY D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 265.2K | $131.8M |
| May 6, 2026 | LEVINSON ARTHUR D
Director
|
Sell | 250.0K | $71.2M |
| Aug 27, 2018 | COOK TIMOTHY D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 265.2K | $57.7M |
| Aug 26, 2019 | COOK TIMOTHY D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 265.2K | $54.7M |
| Oct 2, 2024 | COOK TIMOTHY D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 224.0K | $50.3M |
| Nov 19, 2024 | LEVINSON ARTHUR D
Director
|
Sell | 200.0K | $45.5M |
| Oct 3, 2023 | COOK TIMOTHY D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 240.6K | $41.5M |
| Oct 2, 2025 | COOK TIMOTHY D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 130.0K | $33.4M |
| Apr 2, 2024 | COOK TIMOTHY D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 196.4K | $33.3M |