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As of October 11, 2026, Apple Inc. (AAPL) trades at $336.64. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $340.00, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $340.00 across 44 analysts. RSI at 47 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $322.39.
Apple Inc. (AAPL)
Apple Inc. NASDAQ
$336.64
-3.780 (-1.11%)
At close: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Apple Inc. (AAPL) is currently trading at $336.64, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($322.39 and $290.74), indicating a generally positive trend. The company's strong fundamentals are reflected in its high return on equity of 148.75% and a strong profit margin of 27.62%. However, the valuation appears stretched, with a P/E ratio of 38.61, significantly higher than the sector median of 34. Recent earnings have shown consistent beats, with the quarter to June 2026 EPS exceeding estimates by 6.88%, though the stock reacted negatively with a 7.35% drop. A major concern is the substantial insider selling, with over $205 million in dispositions reported, signaling a lack of confidence from management. Despite the positive technical positioning and consistent earnings beats, the significant insider selling and a median analyst price target of $340, implying only 1% upside from the current price, warrant caution. The stock's RSI is neutral at 47.29, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. Investors should monitor upcoming earnings reports and any shifts in insider activity for further direction.
AAPL Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$331.70
Day Range
$330.70 to $338.61
Prev Close
$340.42
Volume
37.86M
52-Week Range
$243.42 to $345.34
Market Cap
$4.91T
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (14% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
AAPL Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, AAPL beat estimates 5 times. However, the stock fell 3 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
AAPL Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+2.50% Upside
Median of 44 analysts (12-month)
$345.06
AI Technical Analysis
Apple Inc. (AAPL) exhibits neutral momentum with its Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 47.29, indicating neither an overbought nor oversold condition. The stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($322.39 and $290.74), and also above its 20-day exponential moving average ($333.29), suggesting an overall uptrend is intact. Volume has been slightly above average recently, with the latest volume at 37.86 million compared to an average of 36.31 million. Key support levels are found at the 50-day SMA of $322.39 and the 200-day SMA of $290.74. Resistance is near the current price, with the median analyst target price at $340. The MACD indicator is positive at 3.43, but the neutral RSI suggests that significant upward momentum may be lacking.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transaction activity closely; the recent heavy net selling by insiders warrants significant attention and could signal future headwinds.
- Given the neutral RSI and limited upside to the median analyst target price, consider a strategy that is not overly aggressive, perhaps focusing on risk management or waiting for a clearer technical breakout.
- With a dividend yield of 0.31%, AAPL is not primarily an income investment; focus on capital appreciation potential, but be mindful of the current valuation and insider sentiment.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Heavy Insider Selling Exceeds $205 Million
Insiders have sold over $205.2 million worth of Apple Inc. (AAPL) stock across 53 transactions, indicating significant disposition pressure and a potential lack of confidence from management.
Source: Insider Trading DataNeutral
Consistent Earnings Beats Continue
Apple Inc. (AAPL) has maintained a pattern of beating EPS estimates, with the latest quarter to June 2026 showing a 6.88% surprise, suggesting operational resilience.
Source: Earnings ReportsNeutral
Trading Above Key Moving Averages
Apple Inc. (AAPL) is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($322.39 and $290.74), indicating a generally positive technical trend.
Source: Technical Analysis DataNeutral
Median Analyst Target Price Suggests Limited Upside
The median analyst price target for Apple Inc. (AAPL) is $340, implying only a 1% upside from the current price of $336.64, suggesting limited near-term appreciation potential.
Source: Wall Street ConsensusMarket Outlook
The base case for Apple Inc. (AAPL) over the next 6-12 months suggests limited upside, given its current trading range and a median analyst target price of $340, implying only a 1% increase from its current price. The company's strong revenue growth projections, with next year's revenue estimated to increase by 10.00% to $528 billion, and consistent earnings beats provide a foundation, but the premium valuation and significant insider selling temper bullish expectations. Potential upside catalysts could include stronger-than-expected product launches or continued strong performance in its services division, potentially driving analyst targets higher. Conversely, a significant shift in insider selling patterns, a slowdown in revenue growth below projected 10.00% for next year, or increased competitive pressure could lead to a downside scenario, potentially testing support levels around its 200-day moving average of $290.74.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 4.91T |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 38.61 |
| EPS (TTM) | 8.72 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.31% |
| 52 Week High | 345.34 |
| 52 Week Low | 243.42 |
Apple Inc. (AAPL) presents a mixed fundamental picture, trading at a P/E ratio of 38.61, which is above the Technology sector median of 34. Its Price to Sales ratio stands at 10.52, also higher than the sector average of 7.5. The company boasts exceptional profitability with a Return on Equity of 148.75% and a Net Profit Margin of 27.62%, significantly outperforming the sector's ROE of 13.4%. The company's balance sheet shows a Debt-to-Equity ratio of 0.78, which is higher than the sector average of 0.78, but its strong profitability and revenue growth of 16.4% suggest it can manage this leverage. While the company demonstrates strong operational efficiency, the current valuation metrics suggest that much of the future growth may already be priced into the stock.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Apple Inc. (AAPL) has demonstrated consistent earnings beats, with the most recent quarter to June 2026 reporting an EPS of $2.02, surpassing estimates by 6.88%. Despite this positive surprise, the stock experienced a notable decline of 7.35% following the announcement. Prior quarters also showed similar patterns of beating EPS estimates, though price reactions have varied.
Key Risks
Significant insider selling, with over $205 million in dispositions, presents a key risk, indicating a potential lack of confidence from management. The stock's valuation is also a concern, trading at a premium to sector averages, with limited upside indicated by the median analyst price target. Also, the neutral RSI suggests that current upward momentum may be stalling, posing a risk of a near-term pullback.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 47.29 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 3.43 |
| SMA 50 | 322.39 |
| SMA 200 | 290.74 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($322.39) above the 200-day SMA ($290.74), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.60
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.53
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.01
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.04
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with AAPL? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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AAPL Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$333.27
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$336.64
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$321.31
MAX LOSS
-3.6%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (47.3) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$343.27
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$349.94
+5% (Conservative)
+3.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$359.94
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for AAPL is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on October 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in AAPL in October 2016 would be worth about $115,783 today, compared with about $36,479 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in AAPL today could grow to about $41,132 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $133,890 and a bear case around $12,636. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
AAPL Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $593 for AAPL by 2030 in the base case, from $337 today (1.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $281. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on AAPL's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $267 | $388 | $563 |
| 2028 | $263 | $447 | $757 |
| 2029 | $270 | $515 | $982 |
| 2030 | $281 | $593 | $1,250 |
| 2031 | $296 | $683 | $1,573 |
| 2032 | $315 | $786 | $1,962 |
| 2033 | $337 | $906 | $2,432 |
| 2034 | $363 | $1,044 | $2,999 |
| 2035 | $392 | $1,202 | $3,683 |
| 2036 | $425 | $1,385 | $4,507 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using AAPL's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
AAPL Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$205.2M
24 Transactions
Insiders
15
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$8.6M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2021 | COOK TIMOTHY D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 2.4M | $354.6M |
| Aug 25, 2020 | COOK TIMOTHY D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 265.2K | $131.8M |
| May 6, 2026 | LEVINSON ARTHUR D
Director
|
Sell | 250.0K | $71.2M |
| Aug 27, 2018 | COOK TIMOTHY D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 265.2K | $57.7M |
| Aug 26, 2019 | COOK TIMOTHY D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 265.2K | $54.7M |
| Oct 2, 2024 | COOK TIMOTHY D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 224.0K | $50.3M |
| Nov 19, 2024 | LEVINSON ARTHUR D
Director
|
Sell | 200.0K | $45.5M |
| Oct 3, 2023 | COOK TIMOTHY D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 240.6K | $41.5M |
| Oct 2, 2025 | COOK TIMOTHY D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 130.0K | $33.4M |
| Apr 2, 2024 | COOK TIMOTHY D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 196.4K | $33.3M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Apple Inc. (AAPL) stock a buy right now?
Apple Inc. (AAPL) is currently rated a 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 59 out of 100. While the stock is trading above key moving averages, significant insider selling and a median price target of $340, implying only 1% upside, suggest limited immediate buying opportunity.
What is AAPL's price prediction for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Apple Inc.'s (AAPL) stock price prediction for 2030 has a base case of $592.71 and a downside case of $280.97. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees, and represent a wide range of potential future values.
How has Apple Inc. performed in its recent earnings reports?
Apple Inc. (AAPL) has consistently beaten earnings per share estimates. In the quarter to June 2026, EPS was $2.02 against an estimate of $1.89, a 6.88% surprise, although the stock declined 7.35% following the report.
What are the main risks facing Apple Inc. stock?
Key risks for Apple Inc. (AAPL) include substantial insider selling totaling over $205 million, a premium valuation compared to sector peers, and neutral technical momentum indicated by its RSI at 47.3, suggesting potential for a price correction.
How does Apple Inc.'s valuation compare to its sector?
Apple Inc. (AAPL) trades at a P/E ratio of 38.61 and a Price to Sales ratio of 10.52, both of which are higher than the Technology sector medians of 34 and 7.5, respectively. However, its Return on Equity at 148.75% significantly exceeds the sector average of 13.4%.
What is the analyst consensus for Apple Inc. (AAPL)?
The Wall Street consensus for Apple Inc. (AAPL) is 'Hold', with a score of 59 out of 100. This is based on 44 analysts, with ratings split among Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Sell, and Strong Sell categories.
What is Apple Inc.'s dividend yield?
Apple Inc. (AAPL) offers a dividend yield of approximately 0.31%, with a dividend rate of $1.06 per share.