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As of September 27, 2026, Adobe Inc. (ADBE) trades at $235.47. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $235.47, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $270.00 across 39 analysts. RSI at 29 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $257.42.
Adobe Inc. (ADBE)
Adobe Inc. NASDAQ
$235.47
-3.460 (-1.45%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
56 / 100
Adobe Inc. (ADBE) is currently trading at $235.47, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($257.42 and $262.68), signaling a bearish technical trend. The stock's Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 29.31, indicating oversold conditions. Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Hold' consensus with a median price target of $270, suggesting a 14.7% upside from current levels. The company's fundamentals show a strong profit margin of 28.05% and a return on equity of 61.90%, though its price-to-sales ratio of 3.60 is below the sector median of 7.5. Insider activity reveals a 'Moderate Sell Signal,' with total sales of $19.6 million against total purchases of $1.9 million. This, combined with the current technical setup, warrants a cautious approach. an insider's software applications are critical to creative and business workflows, the current price action and insider sentiment suggest a period of consolidation or potential further downside before a significant recovery. Key risks include the ongoing moderate insider selling and the stock trading below its key moving averages. The company's strong profitability and market position remain a positive, but near-term headwinds are present.
ADBE Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$238.85
Day Range
$234.96 to $241.16
Prev Close
$238.93
Volume
3.11M
52-Week Range
$190.12 to $370.86
Market Cap
$93.60B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-61%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
ADBE Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, ADBE beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
ADBE Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+14.66% Upside
Median of 39 analysts (12-month)
$270.00
AI Technical Analysis
Adobe Inc. (ADBE) is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of $257.42 and its 200-day SMA of $262.68, indicating a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 29.31, signaling oversold conditions that could precede a bounce. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is at -6.65, further suggesting bearish momentum. The nearest support level is the current price of $235.47, with resistance found at the 50-day SMA of $257.42. Volume on the latest trading day was 3.11 million, significantly below the average of 5.36 million, indicating subdued investor interest. The current technical setup suggests potential for a short-term bounce from oversold levels, but the sustained trading below key moving averages points to a prevailing bearish sentiment.
ProTips
- Monitor upcoming earnings reports for signs of sustained revenue growth and EPS beats to confirm a potential turnaround from current oversold technicals.
- Given the moderate insider selling, consider waiting for a clearer signal of insider confidence or a confirmed technical breakout before initiating new positions.
- The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($257.42 and $262.68), suggesting caution. Wait for price to reclaim these levels as support before considering a bullish stance.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Potential Bounce from Oversold RSI
The RSI is currently at 29.31, indicating oversold conditions. This could lead to a short-term technical bounce as buyers step in to cover positions.
Source: Technical AnalysisBearish
Moderate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold $19.6 million worth of stock against $1.9 million in purchases, triggering a 'Moderate Sell Signal' that may weigh on investor sentiment.
Source: Insider TransactionsNeutral
Median Analyst Target Price of $270
The median price target from Wall Street analysts is $270, suggesting a 14.7% upside from the current price, indicating a balanced view on future performance.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsNeutral
Trading Below Key Moving Averages
Adobe is trading below its 50-day SMA ($257.42) and 200-day SMA ($262.68), indicating a bearish technical trend that could persist without a clear catalyst for reversal.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
Adobe Inc. (ADBE) faces a near-term outlook characterized by technical weakness and mixed insider sentiment, despite strong underlying fundamentals. The stock's current position below key moving averages and oversold RSI suggest potential for a short-term bounce, but the prevailing 'Hold' consensus and moderate insider selling indicate a lack of strong conviction for a significant upward move in the immediate future. The median analyst target of $270 implies a modest upside from current levels. The company's long-term prospects remain anchored by its dominant position in creative software and its growing cloud subscription model. However, the path forward will likely depend on its ability to reignite investor enthusiasm through sustained earnings beats, positive forward guidance, and a reversal of the current insider selling trend. Investors should monitor upcoming earnings reports and any shifts in analyst ratings for signs of a potential turnaround.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 93.60B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 13.14 |
| EPS (TTM) | 17.92 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.01% |
| 52 Week High | 370.86 |
| 52 Week Low | 190.12 |
Adobe Inc. (ADBE) exhibits a P/E ratio of 13.14, which is significantly below the sector median of 34, suggesting potential undervaluation on this metric. Its price-to-sales ratio stands at 3.60, also below the sector median of 7.5, reinforcing a potentially attractive valuation. The company boasts a strong profit margin of 28.05% and an impressive return on equity of 61.90%, indicating efficient operations and profitability. Despite these strong fundamental metrics, the stock's current price action and analyst consensus suggest caution. The company's revenue growth is projected at 12.00% for the current year, aligning with the sector's average revenue growth of 24.1%. an insider's balance sheet appears healthy with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.58, the moderate insider selling and 'Hold' consensus warrant careful consideration of the current valuation.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Adobe Inc. (ADBE) most recently reported earnings for the quarter ending September 2026, with an actual EPS of $6.13 against an estimate of $6.09, a surprise of 0.66%. This beat was accompanied by a 1.37% price increase. Prior to this, the company missed estimates in the quarter ending June 2026, with actual EPS of $5.96 versus an estimate of $5.81, leading to a -6.76% price drop. The company has shown a pattern of mixed earnings performance with occasional significant positive surprises, such as the EPS beat in the quarter to March 2026, which was accompanied by a 94.56% surprise percentage.
Key Risks
Adobe Inc. (ADBE) faces moderate insider selling pressure, with total sales significantly outweighing purchases, signaling potential caution from management. The stock is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($257.42 and $262.68), indicating a bearish technical trend that could persist. Also, the 'Hold' consensus from Wall Street analysts, with a substantial number of 'Hold' ratings, suggests a lack of strong conviction for immediate upside.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 29.31 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -6.65 |
| SMA 50 | 257.42 |
| SMA 200 | 262.68 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $257.42, 200-day: $262.68), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 29.3 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.35
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.28
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.11
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
-0.08
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with ADBE? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
ADBE Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$233.12
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$235.47
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$222.42
MAX LOSS
-4.6%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (29.3) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$240.11
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$244.77
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$251.76
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for ADBE is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in ADBE in September 2016 would be worth about $21,465 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ADBE today could grow to about $20,762 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $86,983 and a bear case around $4,956. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
ADBE Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $315 for ADBE by 2030 in the base case, from $235 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $127. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ADBE's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $161 | $253 | $398 |
| 2028 | $144 | $273 | $517 |
| 2029 | $134 | $293 | $643 |
| 2030 | $127 | $315 | $780 |
| 2031 | $123 | $339 | $934 |
| 2032 | $120 | $365 | $1,107 |
| 2033 | $118 | $393 | $1,302 |
| 2034 | $117 | $422 | $1,521 |
| 2035 | $117 | $454 | $1,769 |
| 2036 | $117 | $489 | $2,048 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using ADBE's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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ADBE Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$1.9M
1 Transactions
Sold
$19.6M
7 Transactions
Insiders
21
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$2.7M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2021 | NARAYEN SHANTANU
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 80.9K | $38.2M |
| Sep 24, 2021 | NARAYEN SHANTANU
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 40.0K | $24.8M |
| Dec 22, 2023 | NARAYEN SHANTANU
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 32.0K | $19.1M |
| Apr 28, 2026 | NARAYEN SHANTANU
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 75.0K | $18.3M |
| Jun 22, 2023 | NARAYEN SHANTANU
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 35.0K | $16.7M |
| Jun 27, 2024 | NARAYEN SHANTANU
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 25.0K | $13.6M |
| Sep 25, 2024 | NARAYEN SHANTANU
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 25.0K | $13.0M |
| Jan 29, 2021 | LAMKIN BRYAN S
Officer
|
Sell | 22.2K | $10.3M |
| Feb 16, 2021 | LEWNES ANN
Officer
|
Sell | 15.6K | $7.8M |
| Aug 24, 2020 | LAMKIN BRYAN S
Officer
|
Sell | 13.1K | $6.2M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Adobe's current stock price and consensus rating?
Adobe Inc. (ADBE) is currently trading at $235.47. The Wall Street consensus rating is 'Hold' with a consensus score of 56 out of 100.
What are the key technical levels for Adobe stock?
Adobe is trading below its 50-day SMA of $257.42 and its 200-day SMA of $262.68. The RSI is at 29.31, indicating oversold conditions, with support near the current price and resistance at the 50-day SMA.
What is the outlook for Adobe's earnings?
Adobe recently beat earnings expectations for the quarter ending September 2026, but has a mixed track record with prior misses. Forward estimates suggest revenue growth around 10-12% for the current and next fiscal years.
What is the insider sentiment for Adobe Inc.?
Insiders are net sellers of Adobe stock, with total sales of $19.6 million compared to total purchases of $1.9 million, indicating a 'Moderate Sell Signal'.
What is the median analyst price target for Adobe?
The median analyst price target for Adobe Inc. (ADBE) is $270.00, suggesting an upside potential of 14.7% from the current price of $235.47.
How does Adobe's valuation compare to its sector peers?
Adobe's P/E ratio of 13.14 and price-to-sales ratio of 3.60 are significantly lower than the sector medians of 34 and 7.5, respectively, suggesting a potentially attractive valuation.
What are the main risks facing Adobe Inc.?
Key risks include moderate insider selling, the stock trading below key moving averages, and a prevailing 'Hold' consensus among Wall Street analysts, suggesting a lack of strong near-term conviction.
What is ADBE stock forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Adobe's stock forecast for 2030 includes a base case of $315.39, a downside projection of $127.45, and an upside projection of $780.44. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.