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As of September 10, 2026, Enphase Energy, Inc. (ENPH) trades at $36.86. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $36.86, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $47.00 across 30 analysts. RSI at 44 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $39.71.
Enphase Energy, Inc. (ENPH)
Enphase Energy, Inc. NASDAQ
$36.86
0.1400 (0.38%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Enphase Energy, Inc. (ENPH) is currently trading at $36.86, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($39.71 and $40.90), signaling a bearish technical trend. The company's revenue has declined year-over-year for the current year and is projected to continue this trend into next year, albeit at a slower pace. Insider activity shows a net seller position, with total sales significantly outweighing purchases, indicating a moderate sell signal from management. Despite these headwinds, the median Wall Street price target of $47.00 suggests a potential upside of 27.5% from the current price. However, the consensus rating is 'Hold,' reflecting a balanced view among analysts with a significant number rating the stock as 'Hold.' The company operates in the Solar industry within the Technology sector, facing competitive pressures and cyclical demand.
ENPH Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$35.74
Day Range
$34.66 to $38.27
Prev Close
$36.72
Volume
4.74M
52-Week Range
$25.78 to $73.74
Market Cap
$4.87B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-0.0136% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
ENPH Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
ENPH Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+27.51% Upside
Median of 30 analysts (12-month)
$47.00
AI Technical Analysis
Enphase Energy's stock is trading below its 50-day SMA of $39.71 and its 200-day SMA of $40.90, indicating a bearish trend. The RSI is at 44.25, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD is negative at -1.02, further reinforcing the bearish sentiment. Volume has been slightly above average recently, with 4.74 million shares traded compared to the average of 4.48 million. Key support levels are not explicitly provided, but the current price of $36.86 is below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($39.71 and $40.90). Resistance is likely to be found around the 50-day SMA. The lack of clear bullish technical signals suggests that the stock may continue to face downward pressure or trade sideways in the short term.
ProTips
- Given the current revenue decline and insider selling, investors should closely monitor upcoming earnings reports for signs of a turnaround in Enphase Energy's top-line performance.
- The stock's position below key moving averages suggests that a sustained move above the 50-day SMA ($39.71) would be a positive technical signal.
- With a 'Hold' consensus rating and a median price target only slightly above the current price, consider waiting for clearer bullish signals or a more attractive entry point before initiating a new position.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Continued Revenue Decline
Enphase Energy's revenue has declined 19.00% year-to-date and is projected to continue contracting, posing a significant risk to future earnings and valuation.
Source: Wall Street Revenue EstimatesBearish
Moderate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold $10.8 million worth of stock versus purchases of $1.5 million, indicating a moderate sell signal and potential lack of confidence from management.
Source: Insider SummaryBearish
Below Key Moving Averages
The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($39.71 and $40.90), indicating bearish technical momentum and potential for further downside.
Source: Technical AnalysisBullish
Median Analyst Price Target Upside
The median Wall Street price target of $47.00 suggests a potential upside of 27.5% from the current stock price of $36.86.
Source: Wall Street Price TargetMarket Outlook
Enphase Energy's outlook for the next 6-12 months is cautious, with a base case scenario projecting a price of $68.58 based on Monte Carlo simulations. This projection assumes a recovery in revenue growth and a stabilization of market conditions. The current median analyst price target of $47.00 suggests limited upside from the current trading price of $36.86. Upside potential could be realized if the company successfully reverses its revenue decline and demonstrates improved profitability. Conversely, continued negative revenue trends, increased competition, or a worsening macroeconomic environment could push the stock towards its downside projection of $19.04. The company's ability to work through the current downturn in the solar market will be critical for its future performance.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 4.87B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 36.50 |
| EPS (TTM) | 1.01 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 73.74 |
| 52 Week Low | 25.78 |
Enphase Energy's current P/E ratio stands at 36.50, which is in line with the sector average P/E of 36.50, suggesting fair valuation relative to its peers. However, the company has experienced a revenue decline of 19.00% year-to-date, with projections indicating continued negative revenue growth for the next year. This contraction in revenue, coupled with a moderate sell signal from insiders, raises concerns about future earnings potential and growth efficiency. The company's balance sheet strength is not detailed, but the negative revenue growth trend warrants caution. While the P/E ratio is not excessively high compared to the sector, the declining top-line performance suggests that the current valuation may not be sustainable without a turnaround in revenue growth.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Enphase Energy's revenue has shown a significant year-over-year decline, with current year revenue down 19.00% and projections for next year indicating a further 12.00% decrease in the next quarter and 6.00% growth in the following year. This trend suggests a challenging operating environment for the company. Specific quarterly earnings beats or misses are not detailed, but the overall revenue trajectory points to headwinds impacting profitability.
Key Risks
Enphase Energy faces significant risks including a pronounced revenue decline, with current year revenue down 19.00% and projected negative growth continuing into next year. Insider activity indicates a moderate sell signal, with total insider sales of $10.8 million significantly exceeding purchases of $1.5 million. Also, the stock is trading below its key 50-day and 200-day moving averages, signaling bearish technical momentum.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 44.25 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -1.02 |
| SMA 50 | 39.71 |
| SMA 200 | 40.90 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $39.71, 200-day: $40.90), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.30
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.31
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.07
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.19
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
ENPH Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$36.49
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$36.86
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$30.79
MAX LOSS
-15.6%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (44.3) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$37.59
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$38.32
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$39.41
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
ENPH is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 3.59%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in ENPH in September 2016 would be worth about $204,000 today, compared with about $35,241 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ENPH today could grow to about $47,219 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $358,236 and a bear case around $6,224. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
ENPH Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $68.58 for ENPH by 2030 in the base case, from $36.86 today (1.9x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $19.04. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ENPH's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $22.68 | $43.05 | $81.71 |
| 2028 | $20.31 | $50.28 | $124 |
| 2029 | $19.35 | $58.72 | $178 |
| 2030 | $19.04 | $68.58 | $247 |
| 2031 | $19.11 | $80.10 | $336 |
| 2032 | $19.47 | $93.55 | $449 |
| 2033 | $20.05 | $109 | $595 |
| 2034 | $20.83 | $128 | $782 |
| 2035 | $21.80 | $149 | $1,019 |
| 2036 | $22.94 | $174 | $1,320 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using ENPH's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. ENPH is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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ENPH Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$1.5M
7 Transactions
Sold
$10.8M
8 Transactions
Insiders
10
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$818.4K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2020 | QUIROGA MORENO ISIDORO
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 13.5M | $819.7M |
| May 20, 2020 | QUIROGA MORENO ISIDORO
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 13.5M | $819.7M |
| Feb 26, 2020 | RODGERS THURMAN JOHN
Director
|
Sell | 2.0M | $106.2M |
| Jun 11, 2020 | RODGERS THURMAN JOHN
Director
|
Sell | 2.0M | $98.1M |
| May 30, 2024 | RODGERS THURMAN JOHN
Director
|
Sell | 324.7K | $41.1M |
| Dec 9, 2022 | KOTHANDARAMAN BADRINARAYANAN
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 82.3K | $26.1M |
| Sep 9, 2022 | KOTHANDARAMAN BADRINARAYANAN
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 82.8K | $24.9M |
| Nov 17, 2021 | RANHOFF DAVID A
Officer
|
Sell | 86.6K | $21.3M |
| Jun 10, 2022 | KOTHANDARAMAN BADRINARAYANAN
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 77.7K | $15.3M |
| Nov 30, 2020 | RANHOFF DAVID A
Officer
|
Sell | 100.0K | $14.2M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Enphase Energy's stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Enphase Energy's stock price is projected to be $68.58 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside and upside projections are $19.04 and $247.06, respectively. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.
Is Enphase Energy stock a buy right now?
Enphase Energy holds a 'Hold' consensus rating from Wall Street analysts. While the median price target of $47.00 suggests potential upside from the current $36.86 price, the stock is trading below key moving averages and faces revenue headwinds.
What is Enphase Energy's current valuation compared to its sector?
Enphase Energy's P/E ratio of 36.50, which is in line with the sector average P/E of 36.50. This suggests that the stock is currently valued fairly relative to its industry peers.
What are the key technical indicators for Enphase Energy stock?
Enphase Energy's stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($39.71 and $40.90), indicating a bearish trend. The RSI is neutral at 44.25, and the MACD is negative, reinforcing the bearish sentiment.
What is the revenue growth outlook for Enphase Energy?
Enphase Energy has experienced a revenue decline of 19.00% year-to-date. Projections indicate continued negative revenue growth in the near term, with an expected 12.00% decrease next quarter before a projected 6.00% growth next year.
What is the insider sentiment for Enphase Energy stock?
Insider sentiment for Enphase Energy is currently bearish, with a 'Moderate Sell Signal' indicated. Total insider sales amount to $10.8 million, significantly outweighing total purchases of $1.5 million.
What is the consensus rating for Enphase Energy stock?
The consensus rating for Enphase Energy stock is 'Hold,' based on an analysis of 30 Wall Street analysts. The Wall Street score is 60 out of 100.