Stock·NASDAQ·Technology
LightPath Technologies Inc (LPTH)
- Market cap
- $586.20M
- Dividend yield
- None
- Street target
- $15.50median of 5 analysts
- 52-week range
- $5.83 $18.94
LPTH stock forecast today
Where LPTH stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
LPTH at a glance
LightPath Technologies Inc (LPTH): Sell, 40/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($10.08 and $12.00).
- Earnings LPTH beat estimates in 1 of the 6 reports in our data, yet fell the next day after every one of them.
- Insiders Insiders sold $90.1M and bought $2K over the last 18 months.
Figures as of October 27, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
CleaRank rates LightPath Technologies Inc (LPTH) Sell, with a model score of 40/100.
The analysts' outlook lifts the score most: 5 of 5 analysts rate it a buy and the median target is 85.2% above the price. The trend holds it back most: the price is 30.23% below its 200-day average and 16.98% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 15.96% below the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $10.08 and the 200-day at $12.00. Over the past year the price fell 0.83%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from LPTH's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
LPTH stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
0/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $8.37 is 17.0% below the 50-day simple moving average of $10.08.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 30.2% below the 200-day simple moving average of $12.00.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($10.08) is 16.0% below the 200-day average ($12.00), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 19% of its 52-week range, between $5.83 and $18.94.
LPTH share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far LPTH has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where LPTH sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
LPTH fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
0/3P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 8.17 is 7.5% above the sector median of 7.6.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was -$20.5M on revenue of $71.7M, a net margin of -28.6%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
LPTH beat the EPS estimate in 1 of the 6 reports in our data.
Key statistics
The headline figures for LPTH.
As of October 27, 2026, LPTH trades at $8.37, with a market value of $586.20M and no P/E ratio (its trailing earnings are negative).
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of LPTH's valuation, growth and risks.
LightPath Technologies Inc (LPTH) has no usable P/E, because its earnings per share over the last 12 months are negative, which makes the P/E not meaningful. Its price-to-sales ratio of 8.17 is 7.5% above the sector median of 7.6. With a market capitalisation of $586.2M, the company reports trailing earnings of -$0.35 a share.
The company is losing money, with a net margin of -28.65% and an operating margin of -5.04%, and a return on equity of -19.73%, below the sector median of 13.4%. Rounding out the fundamentals, LPTH reports debt-to-equity of 0.07.
LPTH's most recent report, on September 10, 2026, came in line with the estimate, with EPS of $0.01 against an estimate of $0.01. The share price fell 4.96% in the first session after the report.
The earnings record shows 1 beat in 6 reports, yet the stock fell in the first session after that beat. Analysts' average EPS estimate for this fiscal year is -$0.05, and $0.11 for next year.
Daily swings are the main risk to plan around. LPTH typically moves 4.88% on an average session, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 1.38. The trend works against holders until the price climbs back above its moving averages. The price sits 55.81% below the $18.94 52-week high.
LPTH against the Technology sector
How LPTH compares with the median Technology stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to sales vs sector: On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, LPTH trades at 8.17x, +8% versus the sector average of 7.60x.
Return vs XLK: Since May 15, 2025, LPTH has gained 233.5% against a gain of 61.5% for XLK.
Performance against XLK
LPTH and the Technology sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much LPTH sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
The quarterly bars end with Q1 '26 (the quarter to March 31, 2026); LPTH reported again on September 10, 2026, and that quarter is not in our statement data yet. The 12-month figures come from the statistics feed and may include it.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 17.3% in FY2025 to $37.2M, from $31.7M a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was -40.0% in FY2025, down from -25.2% the year before.
Loss-making: LPTH lost $14.9M in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did LPTH beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: LPTH beat the analyst estimate in 1 of the 6 reports in our data.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after that beat, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026after close | $0.01 | $0.01 | +0.00% | -4.96% | +4.44% |
| Nov 11, 2025after close | -$0.09 | -$0.03 | +66.67% | -8.33% | -15.05% |
| Sep 25, 2025after close | -$0.04 | -$0.07 | -75.00% | +21.54% | +25.69% |
| May 15, 2025after close | -$0.05 | -$0.10 | -100.00% | +1.59% | -5.18% |
| Feb 13, 2025after close | -$0.04 | -$0.07 | -75.00% | -7.37% | -14.39% |
| Nov 7, 2024after close | -$0.04 | -$0.04 | +0.00% | -1.27% | -1.27% |
As of October 27, 2026, LPTH has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 1 of the 6 reports in our data and fell in the first trading session after it; its latest report, on September 10, 2026, came in 0.00% above the estimate and the stock moved -4.96% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
LPTH AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
1/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 44.9, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 44.9 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of LPTH
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
LightPath Technologies Inc (LPTH) is trading in a downtrend. At $8.37, the stock sits 16.98% below its 50-day average of $10.08 and 30.23% below its 200-day average of $12.00. Its price is also near the floor of its 52-week range: 43.57% above the $5.83 low, and 55.81% below the $18.94 high.
The price is down over each of these periods: 16.13% over the past month, 19.29% over the past three months and 0.83% over the past year. The 14-day RSI of 44.9 is in the neutral zone, and the MACD line is negative.
New analyst coverage ›
Piper Sandler started coverage at Overweight on August 12, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Piper Sandler, August 12, 2026
Earnings in line ›
The September 10, 2026 report came in line with the EPS estimate, and the share price fell 4.96% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, September 10, 2026
- Two levels matter most right now: the 20-day EMA at $8.53, which sits above the price, and the 52-week low at $5.83, which sits below it.
- A 14-day RSI of 44.9 is neutral, and the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 would signal stretched momentum.
- The share price fell 4.96% in the first session after the September 10, 2026 report. Over the past stretch, LPTH beat estimates in 1 of the 6 reports in our data.
The price sits below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($10.08 and $12.00), which is why the trend is down. A move back above the 50-day would be the first sign of repair for LPTH. The 20-day EMA, at $8.53, is the nearest level above the price.
Below the price, the next level is the 52-week low at $5.83. The 14-day RSI reads 44.9, which is in the neutral zone between 40 and 60.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for LPTH, from its daily closes.
As of October 27, 2026, with LPTH at $8.37, its 14-day RSI is 44.9 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $10.08 and its 200-day is $12.00.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What LPTH moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 27, 2026, LPTH's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.31 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.36 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.25 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.13 with gold (XAU).
LPTH price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
2/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
5 of 5 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $15.50 is 85.2% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
5 of 5 rate it a buy now, against 4 of 4 three months ago.
LPTH Wall Street View
12-month price targets
The price, $8.37, sits below every analyst's target.
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Piper Sandler | Initiates | Overweight |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy |
| May 11, 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy |
As of October 27, 2026, 5 Wall Street analysts cover LPTH: 5 rate it a buy or strong buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $13.00 to $17.00. The median LPTH price target is $15.50, 85.2% above the price of $8.37.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
LPTH trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
LPTH trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Short entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
LPTH moves about 4.9% a day on average, so a stop can fill well past its level. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much LPTH tends to move, against the market and on its own.
LPTH price history and drawdowns
LPTH's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
2/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 4.88% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 85.2%, from November 2017 to November 2019, regained by August 2020.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
46% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $52,642, against $42,376 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
LPTH Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 27, 2026, LPTH's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -85.2% (November 2017 to November 2019); it regained that peak by August 2020, 9 months after the low, and 46% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into LPTH in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: LPTH beat the S&P 500 over this period: $52,642 against $42,376.
A $10,000 investment in LPTH in October 2016 would be worth about $52,642 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,376 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to LPTH, and which have not.
Strongest month, December: an average of +23.55%, up in 7 of 10 years.
Weakest month, March: an average of -10.73%, up in 2 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +5.07%, up in 5 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, LPTH's strongest calendar month has been December (average +23.55%, up in 7 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -10.73%, up in 2 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
LPTH stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in LPTH, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in LPTH today could grow to about $14,590 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $52,558 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $4,050. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
LPTH Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $12.21 for LPTH by 2030 in the base case, from $8.37 today (1.5x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $3.39. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on LPTH's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $4.85 | $9.20 | $17.46 | |
| 2028 | $4.08 | $10.11 | $25.02 | |
| 2029 | $3.66 | $11.11 | $33.71 | |
| 2030 | $3.39 | $12.21 | $43.99 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of LPTH's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. LPTH is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. How the simulation works
LPTH insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
LPTH insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Net insider selling: Insiders bought $2K on the open market and sold $90.1M.
As of October 27, 2026, LPTH insiders reported 9 open-market sales worth $90.1M and 1 open-market purchase worth $2K over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 3, 2026 | North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 3.6M | $50.0M |
| Jun 2, 2026 | North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Option | 3.6M | $7.7M |
| May 18, 2026 | North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 55.3K | $681.1K |
| May 14, 2026 | North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 293.1K | $3.6M |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Shmuel Rubin
Chief Executive Officer
|
Buy | 180 | $1.7K |
| Mar 25, 2026 | North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 356.9K | $4.4M |
| Mar 25, 2026 | North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Option | 740.0K | $1.6M |
| Mar 18, 2026 | North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, L.P.
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 120.5K | $1.4M |
| Mar 4, 2026 | North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 675.0K | $8.2M |
| Mar 2, 2026 | North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Option | 740.0K | $1.6M |
| Feb 25, 2026 | North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, L.P.
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 300.1K | $3.7M |
| Feb 24, 2026 | North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 733.4K | $9.1M |
| Feb 20, 2026 | North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Option | 1.3M | $2.7M |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Albert Miranda
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 12.1K | - |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Shmuel Rubin
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 29.0K | - |
| Jan 5, 2026 | North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 770.3K | $9.0M |
| Jan 5, 2026 | North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Option | 3.5M | $9.0M |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Shmuel Rubin
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 13.0K | - |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Steven Eric Creviston
Director
|
Grant | 19.4K | - |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Kimberly Anne Crider
Director
|
Grant | 19.4K | - |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Thomas B. Ellis
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Grant | 7.0K | - |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Albert Miranda
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 4.1K | - |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Shmuel Rubin
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 9.5K | - |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Albert Miranda
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 7.4K | - |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Shmuel Rubin
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 17.0K | - |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
LPTH stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026.