Stock·NASDAQ·Communication Services
The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD)
- Market cap
- $5.78B
- P/E
- 15.82
- Dividend yield
- 0.00%
- Street target
- $13.50median of 36 analysts
- 52-week range
- $11.62 $55.11
The short version
Where TTD stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
TTD at a glance
The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD): Sell, 39/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($13.29 and $21.33).
- Earnings TTD beat estimates in 4 of its last 7 quarters, yet fell the next day after 3 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $16.0M and bought $148.1M over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 15.8 against 23.3 for the Communication Services sector: a discount to peers (-32%).
Figures as of October 17, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
CleaRank rates The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) Sell, with a model score of 39/100.
The biggest lift to the score comes from valuation: the P/E of 15.82 is 32.1% below the sector median, a discount to peers, and the P/S of 2.08 is 16.8% below the sector median. The trend is the largest drag, with the price 42.66% below its 200-day average and 7.96% below its 50-day, and the 50-day 37.70% below the 200-day. Currently the 50-day stands at $13.29 and the 200-day at $21.33. In the past year the price has declined 75.49%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from TTD's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
0/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $12.23 is 8.0% below the 50-day simple moving average of $13.29.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 42.7% below the 200-day simple moving average of $21.33.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($13.29) is 37.7% below the 200-day average ($21.33), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 1% of its 52-week range, between $11.62 and $55.11.
TTD share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far TTD has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where TTD sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
Fundamentals
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
4/4P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 15.82 is 32.1% below the Communication Services median of 23.3.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 2.08 is 17.0% below the sector median of 2.5.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $406.9M on revenue of $3.0B, a net margin of 13.6%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
TTD beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 7 reports.
Key statistics
The headline figures for TTD.
As of October 17, 2026, TTD trades at $12.23, with a market value of $5.78B and a P/E ratio of 15.82.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of TTD's valuation, growth and risks.
Set against a Communication Services median trailing P/E of 23.3, TTD's P/E of 15.82 is 32.1% lower, a result the peer comparison on this page labels a discount to peers. On sales, TTD changes hands at 2.08 times, 16.8% below the sector median of 2.5. The market capitalisation stands at $5.8B.
Revenue growth of 3.00% leaves TTD 10.9 percentage points slower than the sector median of 13.9%. Turning sales into profit, the company posts a net margin of 13.61% and an operating margin of 14.21%. Its return on equity of 15.44% sits below the sector median of 15.8%. Finally, debt-to-equity of 0.17 describes a balance sheet with modest borrowing.
The August 6, 2026 report showed EPS of $0.34, short of the $0.4 analysts had penciled in, so it counts as a miss of 15.00%. Shares followed the numbers lower, falling 21.90% in the next session.
Over its last 7 reports, TTD topped the estimate 4 times, but beats have not guaranteed gains: the stock fell the next day after 3 of them. The August 7, 2025 report stands out among the earlier ones: a miss of 0.00%, after which the stock fell 38.61%. Analysts' average EPS estimate for this fiscal year is $1.16, which would be a decline of 34.6%, and $1.00 for next year (a decline of 13.5%).
TTD's average daily move is 2.78%. Until the price regains its moving averages, the trend works against holders. The price is 77.81% below its 52-week high of $55.11. Insiders sold $16.0M over the last 18 months and bought $148.1M, though sales of this kind are often planned in advance and say less than purchases would.
TTD against the Communication Services sector
How TTD compares with the median Communication Services stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: TTD trades at a notable discount to sector peers (-32%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
Return vs XLC: Since May 6, 2025, TTD has lost 78.0% against a gain of 13.0% for XLC.
Performance against XLC
TTD and the Communication Services sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much TTD sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 18.5% in FY2025 to $2.9B, from $2.4B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 15.3% in FY2025, down from 16.1% the year before.
Profitable: TTD earned $443M in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did TTD beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: TTD beat the analyst estimate in 4 of the last 7 quarters.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 3 of those 4 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026after close | $0.40 | $0.34 | -15.00% | -21.90% | -17.60% |
| May 7, 2026after close | $0.32 | $0.28 | -12.50% | -1.75% | -13.11% |
| Nov 6, 2025after close | $0.44 | $0.45 | +2.27% | -6.32% | -6.60% |
| Aug 7, 2025after close | $0.41 | $0.41 | +0.00% | -38.61% | -42.53% |
| May 8, 2025after close | $0.25 | $0.33 | +32.00% | +18.60% | +29.38% |
| Feb 12, 2025after close | $0.57 | $0.59 | +3.51% | -32.98% | -38.04% |
| Nov 7, 2024after close | $0.39 | $0.41 | +5.13% | -5.58% | -5.02% |
As of October 17, 2026, TTD has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 4 of its last 7 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 3 of those beats; its latest report, on August 6, 2026, came in 15.00% below the estimate and the stock moved -21.90% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
AI analysis and technicals
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
1/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 42.8, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 42.8 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank AI analysis of TTD
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
TTD's trend is down: the price of $12.23 sits 42.66% below its 200-day average of $21.33 and 7.96% below its 50-day average of $13.29. Near the floor of its 52-week range, the stock is 5.25% above the low of $11.62, yet 77.81% below the high of $55.11. With the 50-day average 37.70% below the 200-day average, the shorter-term trend is running weaker than the longer one.
The price is down over each of these periods: 15.60% over the past month, 34.21% over the past three months and 75.49% over the past year. The 14-day RSI of 42.8 is in the neutral zone, and the MACD line is negative.
No rewards flagged.
Earnings miss ›
The August 6, 2026 report missed the EPS estimate by 15.00%, and the share price fell 21.90% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, August 6, 2026Analyst downgrade ›
DA Davidson downgraded it to Neutral from Buy on August 10, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, DA Davidson, August 10, 2026Analyst downgrade ›
HSBC downgraded it to Reduce from Hold on August 10, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, HSBC, August 10, 2026
- The two closest levels matter most: the 20-day EMA at $12.58 sits above the price, and the 52-week low at $11.62 sits below it.
- The 14-day RSI reads 42.8, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line negative; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
- Following the August 6, 2026 report, the share price dropped 21.90% in the first session. Over the last 7 reports, TTD has beaten estimates 4 times.
The trend is down because TTD sits beneath both its 50-day ($13.29) and 200-day ($21.33) averages. A recovery back above the 50-day would be the first sign of repair. Immediately overhead, the nearest level is the 20-day EMA at $12.58.
Looking down, the next level for TTD is the 52-week low at $11.62. The 14-day RSI reads 42.8, which keeps it in the neutral zone between 40 and 60.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for TTD, from its daily closes.
As of October 17, 2026, with TTD at $12.23, its 14-day RSI is 42.8 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $13.29 and its 200-day is $21.33.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 17, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
What TTD moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 17, 2026, TTD's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.26 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.24 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.15 with Bitcoin (BTC) and -0.02 with gold (XAU).
What Wall Street expects
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
1/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
5 of 36 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 23 a hold and 8 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $13.50 is 10.4% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
5 of 36 rate it a buy now, against 13 of 36 three months ago.
TTD Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Neutral |
| Sep 9, 2026 | RBC Capital | Reiterates | Sector Perform |
| Aug 10, 2026 | DA Davidson | Downgrade | Neutral |
| Aug 10, 2026 | HSBC | Downgrade | Reduce |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Scotiabank | Maintains | Sector Perform |
| Aug 7, 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy |
As of October 17, 2026, 36 Wall Street analysts cover TTD: 5 rate it a buy or strong buy, 23 a hold and 8 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $9.00 to $20.00, with a median of $13.50, 10.4% above the price of $12.23.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
A trade plan, if you want one
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
TTD trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Short entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from TTD's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much TTD tends to move, against the market and on its own.
The long record
TTD's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
2/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 2.78% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 91.5%, from December 2024 to October 2026; the price is still 91.2% below that peak.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
67% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $46,555, against $42,058 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
TTD Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 17, 2026, TTD's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -91.5% (December 2024 to October 2026); it is still 91.2% below that peak, and 67% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into TTD in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: TTD beat the S&P 500 over this period: $46,555 against $42,058.
A $10,000 investment in TTD in October 2016 would be worth about $46,555 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,058 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to TTD, and which have not.
Strongest month, May: an average of +13.25%, up in 6 of 10 years.
Weakest month, March: an average of -7.31%, up in 4 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +0.58%, up in 6 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, TTD's strongest calendar month has been May (average +13.25%, up in 6 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -7.31%, up in 4 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
Long-term scenarios
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in TTD, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in TTD today could grow to about $25,024 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $189,851 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $3,298. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
TTD Stock Price Prediction: 2030
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $17.65 for TTD by 2030 in the base case, from $12.23 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $4.90. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on TTD's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $7.06 | $13.40 | $25.44 | |
| 2028 | $5.94 | $14.69 | $36.36 | |
| 2029 | $5.31 | $16.10 | $48.86 | |
| 2030 | $4.90 | $17.65 | $63.59 | |
| 2031 | $4.62 | $19.35 | $81.08 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of TTD's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. TTD is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation.
Insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
TTD insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Insider buying: Insiders bought $148.1M on the open market and sold $16.0M.
As of October 17, 2026, TTD insiders reported 8 open-market sales worth $16.0M and 1 open-market purchase worth $148.1M over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | Tahnil R Davis
Officer
|
Grant | 217.2K | - |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Jay R Grant
Officer
|
Grant | 398.3K | - |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Vivek Kundra
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 724.1K | - |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Nathan Olmstead
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 398.3K | - |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Jeffrey Terry Green
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 52.9K | - |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Nathan Olmstead
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 246.1K | - |
| Jun 11, 2026 | David Alan Haddad
Director
|
Grant | 25.0K | - |
| May 28, 2026 | Samantha Jacobson
Director
|
Sell | 53.7K | $1.1M |
| May 22, 2026 | Samantha Jacobson
Director
|
Grant | 12.5K | - |
| May 15, 2026 | Jeffrey Terry Green
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 52.9K | - |
| May 4, 2026 | Andrea Lee Cunningham
Director
|
Grant | 7.9K | $42.5K |
| May 4, 2026 | Omar Tawakol
Director
|
Grant | 12.2K | - |
| May 4, 2026 | Andrew Vollero
Director
|
Grant | 12.2K | - |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Andrea Lee Cunningham
Director
|
Grant | 48 | $1.2K |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Andrew Vollero
Director
|
Grant | 12.3K | - |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Kathryn E. Falberg
Director
|
Sell | 152.8K | $4.7M |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Jeffrey Terry Green
Chief Executive Officer
|
Buy | 6.0M | $148.1M |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Tahnil R Davis
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 167.2K | - |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Jay R Grant
Officer
|
Grant | 167.2K | - |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Jeffrey Terry Green
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 398.1K | - |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Samantha Jacobson
Officer and Director
|
Grant | 167.2K | - |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Vivek Kundra
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 167.2K | - |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Jeffrey Terry Green
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 28.0K | - |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Jeffrey Terry Green
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 250.0K | - |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Jeffrey Terry Green
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 167.3K | - |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Jeffrey Terry Green
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 28.0K | - |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Vivek Kundra
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 322 | $11.5K |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Andrea Lee Cunningham
Director
|
Sell | 1.4K | $67.6K |
| Aug 21, 2025 | Alex Kayyal
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 102.7K | - |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Jeffrey Terry Green
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 28.0K | - |
| Aug 11, 2025 | Omar Tawakol
Director
|
Grant | 6.8K | - |
| Aug 7, 2025 | Jay R Grant
Officer
|
Sell | 51.3K | $4.7M |
| Aug 7, 2025 | Jay R Grant
Officer
|
Option | 31.0K | $2.0M |
| May 27, 2025 | Lise J. Buyer
Director
|
Grant | 4.9K | - |
| May 27, 2025 | Andrea Lee Cunningham
Director
|
Grant | 2.9K | $35.9K |
| May 27, 2025 | Kathryn E. Falberg
Director
|
Grant | 7.8K | $218.5K |
| May 27, 2025 | Alex Kayyal
Director
|
Grant | 2.9K | $32.1K |
| May 27, 2025 | Gokul Rajaram
Director
|
Grant | 4.9K | - |
| May 16, 2025 | Laura Schenkein
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 4.8K | $368.7K |
| May 15, 2025 | Jeffrey Terry Green
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 13.3K | - |
| May 13, 2025 | Jeffrey Terry Green
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 29.9K | $2.4M |
| May 13, 2025 | David B Wells
Director
|
Sell | 28.6K | $2.3M |
| May 13, 2025 | Jeffrey Terry Green
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 26.7K | - |
| May 13, 2025 | David B Wells
Director
|
Option | 28.6K | $1.7M |
| May 9, 2025 | Laura Schenkein
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 6.4K | $446.2K |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
Questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 17, 2026.