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SentinelOne Inc. Class A vs Rubrik
VS
Comparative Analysis
RBRK wins due to superior revenue growth and a stronger analyst consensus, despite S showing a more consistent, albeit smaller, earnings beat history. RBRK's revenue growth of 37.9% significantly outpaces S's 20.6%. While S has a better recent earnings surprise record, RBRK's massive positive surprises, particularly in its most recent quarter, indicate a strong upward revision potential. RBRK's higher median analyst target ($120) compared to S ($25) further supports its positive outlook. Although S has a slightly better net profit margin on a trailing basis, RBRK's higher return on equity suggests better capital efficiency. Technically, both stocks are showing weakness, but RBRK's MACD is trending positively, offering a slight edge. The key differentiator lies in RBRK's explosive earnings beats and higher growth trajectory, making it the preferred choice for investors seeking expansion.
Key Differentiator
RBRK's explosive earnings surprises and significantly higher revenue growth rate are the decisive factors separating it from S. While both companies are currently unprofitable, RBRK's demonstrated ability to vastly exceed earnings expectations, coupled with a more robust growth engine, presents a more compelling investment case. The strong analyst consensus and higher price targets for RBRK further solidify its position as the growth-oriented leader in this comparison.
Joint Outlook
The outlook for RBRK is cautiously optimistic, driven by its strong growth trajectory and positive analyst sentiment. If RBRK can continue to deliver substantial earnings beats and demonstrate a clear path to profitability, its current valuation may prove attractive. A scenario where RBRK meets or exceeds its median analyst target of $120 is plausible if growth remains robust. For S, the outlook is more uncertain. Its path to profitability is less clear, and its valuation is heavily dependent on sustained high revenue growth. A downside scenario for S involves a slowdown in revenue growth or continued margin pressure, which could lead to a significant price correction. The market's reaction to future earnings reports will be critical for both.
Price Analysis Comparison
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | S | RBRK |
|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | -14.47 | 27.29 |
| Market Cap | 6.89B | 18.30B |
| Price/Sales | 6.28 | 12.12 |
| Price/Book | 4.73 | -36.70 |
| EV/EBITDA | -25.70 | -69.91 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A | N/A |
RBRK trades at a P/E ratio of 27.29, indicating a higher valuation compared to S, which has a negative P/E due to its net profit margin. RBRK's market capitalization of $18.3 billion is more than double S's $6.89 billion. While S's revenue growth is a respectable 20.6%, RBRK's 37.9% revenue growth is substantially higher, justifying its premium valuation. S's net profit margin of -30.95% and return on assets of -7.56% highlight significant profitability challenges, whereas RBRK's net profit margin of -16.5% and return on assets of -6.74% are still negative but less severe. RBRK's return on equity of 67.14% is exceptionally strong, suggesting effective use of shareholder capital despite current losses.
Profitability & Efficiency
| Metric | S | RBRK |
|---|---|---|
| Rev. Growth (Qtly) | 20.60% | 37.90% |
| Profit Margin | -30.95% | -16.50% |
| Return on Equity | -23.01% | 67.14% |
| Return on Assets | -7.56% | -6.74% |
| Debt/Equity | 0.00 | -2.30 |
RBRK exhibits superior profitability metrics relative to S, particularly in its return on equity, which stands at a remarkable 67.14%. This indicates RBRK is generating substantial profits from shareholder investments. S, conversely, shows a negative return on equity of -23.01%, reflecting significant losses relative to its equity base. While S has a slightly less negative net profit margin (-30.95%) compared to RBRK (-16.5%), RBRK's overall capital efficiency, as demonstrated by its ROE, is far more compelling. Both companies are currently unprofitable on an absolute basis, but RBRK's trajectory suggests a faster path to positive net income.
Earnings Reality Check
S
Last 5 Qs: S beat estimates 3x out of 5. Rose 2x after beats.
RBRK
Last 4 Qs: RBRK beat estimates 4x out of 4. Fell 3x after beats. (Sell the news?)
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | S | RBRK |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 43.51 | 42.26 |
| 50-Day MA | $20.00 | $87.36 |
| 200-Day MA | $16.08 | $69.23 |
Both S and RBRK are currently trading below their 20-day exponential moving averages, indicating short-term weakness. S's price is at $19.81, below its 20-day EMA of $20.48, with an RSI of 43.51 and a CCI of -73.51, suggesting bearish momentum. RBRK is trading at $88.91, below its 20-day EMA of $92.11, with an RSI of 42.26 and a CCI of -77.22, also pointing to downward pressure. RBRK's MACD is positive at 0.63, while S's MACD is negative at -0.15, giving RBRK a slight technical edge in terms of underlying momentum. Both stocks are also showing low stochastic readings, indicating oversold conditions that could precede a bounce.
AI Analyst Sentiment
Technical rating — based on current price action versus moving averages and momentum. This measures short-term chart trend, not analyst opinion or company fundamentals.
S
Technical Score: 59/100
RBRK
Technical Score: 78/100
Analyst sentiment strongly favors RBRK, with 28 analysts issuing 25 'Buy' ratings and 3 'Strong Buy' ratings, and no 'Sell' ratings. The median analyst target price for RBRK is $120, suggesting significant upside potential from its current price of $88.91. S has a more divided analyst outlook, with 18 'Buy' ratings, 14 'Hold' ratings, and no 'Sell' ratings among 35 analysts. The median target price for S is $25, indicating less substantial upside compared to RBRK. The strong buy-side consensus and higher price targets for RBRK underscore a more optimistic view from the analyst community.
Risk Stratification
| Metric | S | RBRK |
|---|---|---|
| Beta (Volatility) | 0.77 | 1.24 |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.12 | 1.02 |
For RBRK, the primary risk lies in its continued unprofitability and the potential for its high growth expectations to falter, leading to a significant valuation reset. The market's negative reaction to its latest earnings, despite a large beat, highlights sensitivity to execution and future guidance. For S, the risks are more pronounced due to its significantly negative net profit margin and return on equity, indicating fundamental challenges in achieving profitability. Its reliance on revenue growth alone to justify its market capitalization is precarious, and any slowdown in growth could severely impact its valuation. Furthermore, S's more divided analyst ratings suggest less conviction in its turnaround potential compared to RBRK.
Comparative ProTips
- Monitor RBRK's ability to sustain its high revenue growth and translate it into positive net income.
- For S, focus on any signs of margin improvement or a significant acceleration in revenue growth to justify its current market capitalization.
- Consider the broader market sentiment towards growth stocks, as both S and RBRK are currently unprofitable and heavily reliant on future expansion.
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
Actionable Trade Plans
Compare entry, exit, and risk management levels for both assets
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
3%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
✎
Position Size: $200 - $300 per asset
S
Current: $19.81
ENTRY ZONES
Conservative
$18.82
Aggressive
$19.81
RISK MANAGEMENT
STOP LOSS
$18.25
MAX LOSS
-3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on volatility and technical support levels.
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative)
+5%
$19.76
+10%
$20.70
+15%
$21.64
RBRK
Current: $88.91
ENTRY ZONES
Conservative
$84.46
Aggressive
$88.91
RISK MANAGEMENT
STOP LOSS
$81.93
MAX LOSS
-3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on volatility and technical support levels.
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative)
+5%
$88.69
+10%
$92.91
+15%
$97.13
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This comparison involves assets with varying risk profiles. The content is for educational purposes only. Comparison includes a higher-volatility asset (S). Correlations between assets with different volatility profiles can break down rapidly during market stress. Liquidity risks may prevent execution at displayed prices. Note: The AI favored RBRK based on growth trajectory. This is valid for the specified timeframe only.
Frequently Asked Questions
Which stock is a better buy, S or RBRK?+
RBRK is the better buy due to its superior revenue growth (37.9% vs 20.6%) and significantly stronger analyst sentiment, with a median target price of $120 compared to S's $25. RBRK also demonstrated explosive earnings beats, indicating strong upward revision potential.
What are the key risks for S compared to RBRK?+
S faces significant risks from its significantly negative net profit margin and return on equity, suggesting fundamental profitability challenges. RBRK's main risk is its continued unprofitability and the potential for its high growth expectations to not be met, leading to a valuation reset.
How do the valuations of S and RBRK compare?+
RBRK has a positive P/E of 27.29, while S has a negative P/E due to its net losses. RBRK's higher revenue growth of 37.9% justifies its premium valuation compared to S's 20.6% growth.
What is the outlook for S's profitability?+
S's profitability remains a significant concern, with a net profit margin of -30.95% and a negative return on equity of -23.01%. Achieving positive net income will require substantial operational improvements and revenue acceleration.
How does RBRK's growth potential compare to S?+
RBRK shows a much stronger growth profile with 37.9% revenue growth compared to S's 20.6%. RBRK's recent massive earnings surprises also suggest a capacity for rapid expansion and exceeding market expectations.
What do analysts recommend for S and RBRK?+
Analysts overwhelmingly favor RBRK with 25 'Buy' and 3 'Strong Buy' ratings, and a median target of $120. S has a more mixed rating with 18 'Buy' and 14 'Hold' ratings, and a lower median target of $25.
Are there any technical indicators suggesting a trend change for either stock?+
Both stocks show short-term weakness with prices below their 20-day EMAs and low RSI/CCI readings. However, RBRK's positive MACD offers a slight edge in underlying momentum compared to S's negative MACD.