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As of September 27, 2026, QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) trades at $201.97. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $201.97, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $175.00 across 37 analysts. RSI at 73 is in overbought territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $170.24.
QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM)
QUALCOMM Incorporated NASDAQ
$201.97
7.710 (3.97%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
55 / 100
QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) is currently trading at $201.97, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($170.24 and $169.13), indicating positive short-term momentum. However, the stock's valuation appears stretched, trading at a P/E of 23.08 and a Price-to-Sales of 4.89, which are higher than the sector medians of 34 and 7.5 respectively. Recent revenue growth has been negative at -4%, and forward estimates suggest continued declines in the near term, although growth is expected to turn positive next year. Despite the technical strength, a moderate insider sell signal, with $46.3 million in sales versus no reported purchases, warrants attention. The median analyst price target of $175.00 suggests a potential downside of 13.4% from the current price, aligning with the 'Hold' consensus rating from Wall Street. Investors should monitor upcoming earnings reports and competitive pressures within the semiconductor industry.
QCOM Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$195.03
Day Range
$194.53 to $205.85
Prev Close
$194.26
Volume
17.81M
52-Week Range
$121.99 to $259.92
Market Cap
$215.72B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-32%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
QCOM Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, QCOM beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 3 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
QCOM Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
-13.35% Downside
Median of 37 analysts (12-month)
$175.00
AI Technical Analysis
QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($170.24 and $169.13), signaling a bullish trend in the short to medium term. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 72.83, indicating the stock is in overbought territory, which could suggest a potential for a pullback. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is positive at 7.92, further supporting bullish momentum. Key support levels are indicated by the 50-day SMA at $170.24 and the 200-day SMA at $169.13. Resistance is implied by the current price action and the upper bounds of its recent trading range. Volume has been slightly above average recently, suggesting investor interest. The combination of overbought RSI and positive MACD suggests that while the trend is up, a period of consolidation or a minor correction could be on the horizon.
ProTips
- Monitor upcoming earnings reports closely for signs of revenue stabilization and improved forward guidance, as current estimates suggest near-term declines.
- Given the RSI is overbought at 72.83, consider waiting for a technical pullback or consolidation before initiating new positions.
- With a moderate insider sell signal, it is prudent to exercise caution and ensure any investment aligns with your risk tolerance and long-term strategy.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Moderate Insider Selling Activity
Insiders have sold $46.3 million worth of QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) stock with no reported purchases, indicating a potential lack of confidence in the current valuation.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Overbought Technical Conditions
The RSI for QCOM is at 72.83, signaling that the stock is in overbought territory and may be due for a correction or consolidation.
Source: Technical AnalysisBearish
Analyst Price Targets Below Current Price
The median analyst price target for QCOM is $175.00, which is 13.4% below the current trading price of $201.97, suggesting limited upside potential.
Source: Wall Street ConsensusNeutral
Recent Revenue Decline
QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) reported a -4% revenue growth, with forward estimates projecting further year-over-year declines in the current and next quarters.
Source: Earnings ReportsMarket Outlook
The base case for QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) over the next 6-12 months anticipates a period of consolidation or a slight pullback, given its overbought technical conditions and a median analyst price target of $175.00, which implies a downside from the current price. While the company maintains strong profit margins and a solid balance sheet, the recent revenue declines and moderate insider selling signal potential headwinds. Upside catalysts could emerge from stronger-than-expected demand for its chips in upcoming product cycles or a significant improvement in forward revenue estimates. Conversely, a failure to reverse the revenue decline, increased competition from rivals like NVIDIA or AMD, or a broader market downturn could push the stock towards its lower support levels and potentially challenge the $175.00 median target.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 215.72B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 23.08 |
| EPS (TTM) | 8.75 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.79% |
| 52 Week High | 259.92 |
| 52 Week Low | 121.99 |
QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) exhibits strong profitability with a net profit margin of 21.01% and an operating margin of 18.53%, both significantly exceeding sector medians. Its return on equity is also strong at 33.75%. However, the company's valuation metrics are less compelling; its P/E ratio of 23.08 is below the sector median of 34, but its Price-to-Sales ratio of 4.89 is considerably higher than the sector median of 7.5. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.55, which is slightly above the sector median. While QCOM demonstrates strong operational efficiency and profitability, the current valuation, particularly the price-to-sales ratio, suggests it may be trading at a premium. Recent revenue growth has been negative at -4%, and forward estimates indicate further declines in the current and next quarters, though modest growth is projected for the next fiscal year. This suggests that the current stock price may not fully reflect the near-term revenue headwinds.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) most recently reported earnings for the quarter ending June 2026, with actual EPS of $2.21 missing the estimate of $2.22 by 0.45%, leading to a price decline of 2.62%. Prior to this, the company beat estimates in the March 2026 quarter with EPS of $2.65 versus an estimate of $2.56, resulting in a significant price increase of 15.12%. The earnings trend shows some volatility, with a notable miss in the most recent quarter following a strong beat.
Key Risks
A primary risk for QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) is the current overbought technical condition, with the RSI at 72.83, suggesting a potential for a short-term price correction. Also, insider selling activity, totaling $46.3 million with no reported purchases, indicates a lack of confidence from management. The median analyst price target of $175.00 also implies a downside risk of 13.4% from the current trading price.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 72.83 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 7.92 |
| SMA 50 | 170.24 |
| SMA 200 | 169.13 |
RSI
Overbought
SMA Cross
Neutral
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages, RSI at 72.8 indicates overbought conditions; consider caution for immediate entries.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.60
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.64
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.24
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.15
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with QCOM? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
QCOM Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$199.95
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$201.97
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$179.02
MAX LOSS
-10.5%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (72.8) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$205.95
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$209.95
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$215.95
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for QCOM is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in QCOM in September 2016 would be worth about $31,902 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in QCOM today could grow to about $25,260 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $126,747 and a bear case around $5,034. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
QCOM Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $293 for QCOM by 2030 in the base case, from $202 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $105. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on QCOM's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $133 | $222 | $369 |
| 2028 | $118 | $243 | $500 |
| 2029 | $110 | $267 | $645 |
| 2030 | $105 | $293 | $812 |
| 2031 | $103 | $321 | $1,004 |
| 2032 | $101 | $352 | $1,228 |
| 2033 | $100 | $386 | $1,490 |
| 2034 | $100 | $424 | $1,794 |
| 2035 | $101 | $465 | $2,148 |
| 2036 | $102 | $510 | $2,560 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using QCOM's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
QCOM Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$46.3M
42 Transactions
Insiders
21
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.1M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2025 | AMON CRISTIANO RENNO
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 150.0K | $24.8M |
| Jul 13, 2020 | MOLLENKOPF STEVEN M.
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 219.1K | $20.5M |
| Dec 16, 2020 | AMON CRISTIANO RENNO
President
|
Sell | 73.2K | $10.9M |
| Dec 8, 2020 | ROSENBERG DONALD J. ESQ.
General Counsel
|
Sell | 49.4K | $7.8M |
| Dec 8, 2020 | ROGERS ALEXANDER H
Officer
|
Sell | 35.1K | $5.5M |
| Dec 7, 2021 | ROGERS ALEXANDER H
Officer
|
Sell | 21.0K | $3.8M |
| Feb 3, 2023 | ROGERS ALEXANDER H
Officer
|
Sell | 27.6K | $3.6M |
| Feb 10, 2025 | ROGERS ALEXANDER H
Officer
|
Sell | 19.3K | $3.3M |
| Dec 6, 2022 | ROGERS ALEXANDER H
Officer
|
Sell | 26.4K | $3.2M |
| Dec 7, 2020 | MODOFF BRIAN T
Officer
|
Sell | 20.3K | $3.2M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is QUALCOMM Incorporated's stock price prediction for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, QUALCOMM Incorporated's stock price is projected to be $292.59 in 2030 under base case scenarios. The downside projection is $105.49, while the upside projection reaches $811.52. These figures represent statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
Is QUALCOMM Incorporated stock a buy right now?
QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) is currently rated 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 55 out of 100. While technically showing bullish momentum, the stock is overbought, and insider selling suggests caution. The median analyst target price is below the current price, indicating limited upside.
What are the key technical levels for QUALCOMM Incorporated stock?
QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) is trading above its 50-day SMA ($170.24) and 200-day SMA ($169.13), which act as support levels. The RSI is overbought at 72.83, suggesting potential resistance or a need for consolidation.
How does QUALCOMM Incorporated's valuation compare to its peers?
QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) has a P/E ratio of 23.08 and a Price-to-Sales ratio of 4.89. While its P/E is below the sector median of 34, its Price-to-Sales ratio is significantly higher than the sector median of 7.5, indicating a premium valuation on a revenue basis.
What is the recent earnings performance of QUALCOMM Incorporated?
In the most recent quarter ending June 2026, QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) reported EPS of $2.21, slightly missing the estimate of $2.22 and resulting in a stock price decline. The company had previously beaten estimates in the March 2026 quarter.
Are there any significant insider transactions for QUALCOMM Incorporated?
Insiders at QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) have been net sellers, with $46.3 million in sales and no reported purchases in recent filings. This moderate sell signal suggests caution among management regarding the stock's current valuation.
What is the outlook for QUALCOMM Incorporated's revenue growth?
QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) experienced a -4% revenue growth in the last reported period. Forward estimates indicate continued year-over-year revenue declines of 10.00% for the current quarter and 14.00% for the next quarter, with a projected return to modest 5.00% growth in the next fiscal year.