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As of September 11, 2026, Fabrinet (FN) trades at $413.76. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $750.00, 81.3% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $750.00 across 9 analysts. RSI at 41 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $472.42.

Fabrinet (FN)

Fabrinet NYSE

$413.76 9.810 (2.43%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
Buy
78 / 100
Fabrinet (FN) is trading at $413.76, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($472.42 and $536.35), indicating current technical weakness. Despite this, the company is experiencing exceptional revenue growth, with current quarter estimates showing a 43.00% year-over-year increase. Wall Street analysts maintain a strong Buy consensus, with a median price target of $750.00, suggesting an 81.3% upside potential from current levels. The company's strong forward revenue estimates and positive analyst ratings form the core of a bullish outlook, though near-term price action warrants caution.

FN Price Analysis

Market Metrics

Open
$410.34
Day Range
$407.30 to $418.54
Prev Close
$403.95
Volume
16.7K
52-Week Range
$313.00 to $748.89
Market Cap
$14.48B

Peer Benchmarking

Valuation vs Sector (Technology)

Performance vs XLK

Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (0.002757% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.

FN Financial Performance

Revenue vs. Earnings

Annual

Quarterly

Earnings Reality Check

Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, FN beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.

FN Analysis

Company's Health 4/5
12-Month Analyst Target +81.26% Upside
Median of 9 analysts (12-month)
$750.00
AI Technical Analysis Buy
Fabrinet is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($472.42 and $536.35), signaling a bearish trend in the short to medium term. The RSI is at 40.64, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD is negative at -25.27. Volume has been significantly below average recently, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from traders. Key support levels are not clearly defined given the current trend, and resistance is expected around the 50-day SMA.
ProTips
  • Consider waiting for confirmation of a technical trend reversal, such as a break above the 50-day moving average, before initiating new positions given the current price action.
  • Fabrinet's strong revenue growth and positive analyst ratings are key bullish factors to monitor.
  • The significant insider selling warrants attention; monitor future transactions for any changes in management sentiment.
Key Catalysts
Bullish Strong Revenue Growth Projections

Fabrinet's current quarter revenue is estimated to grow by 43.00% year-over-year, reaching $1.4 billion, and full-year estimates project 32.00% growth, indicating strong business expansion.

Source: Wall Street Revenue Estimates
Bullish High Analyst Price Targets

The median analyst price target for Fabrinet is $750.00, representing an 81.3% upside from the current price of $413.76, reflecting strong conviction from the analyst community.

Source: Wall Street Summary
Bearish Insider Selling Activity

Insiders have sold a total of $43.7 million worth of stock across 45 transactions, indicating a net seller position and potentially signaling a lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation.

Source: Insider Summary
Bearish Below Key Moving Averages

Fabrinet's stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($472.42 and $536.35), suggesting a bearish technical trend and potential for further downside if support levels are breached.

Source: Technical Analysis
Bullish Recent EPS Beat

Fabrinet's latest earnings report on August 17, 2026, showed an EPS beat of 7.61%, demonstrating operational efficiency despite a negative market reaction.

Source: Earnings Analysis
Market Outlook
Fabrinet's outlook is cautiously optimistic, driven by strong revenue growth and positive analyst sentiment. The company is projected to achieve $6.1 billion in revenue for the current year, with further growth expected. The median analyst price target of $750.00 suggests significant upside potential from the current price of $413.76. A key catalyst for upside would be a sustained break above its 50-day moving average, signaling a reversal of the current bearish technical trend.

Key Statistics

Market Cap 14.48B
P/E Ratio 32.28
EPS (TTM) 13.03
Dividend Yield 0.00%
52 Week High 748.89
52 Week Low 313.00
Fabrinet's valuation appears stretched with a P/E ratio of 32.28, which is above the sector average of 25.5, but its exceptional revenue growth of 44.6% and projected 32.00% growth for the current year justify a premium. The company's ability to consistently beat EPS estimates, as seen in the most recent quarter's 7.61% surprise, highlights operational efficiency. The strong revenue trajectory suggests strong business operations that underpin the current valuation.

Earnings & Growth Analysis

Fabrinet most recently reported an EPS of $4.10, beating the estimate of $3.81 by 7.61%, though this was accompanied by a significant price drop of -19.38%. Prior to that, the company missed its EPS estimate in the June 2026 quarter but showed a strong positive price reaction of 6.41%. The August 2026 earnings beat suggests continued operational strength, despite the negative market reaction.

Key Risks

The primary risk for Fabrinet lies in its current technical downtrend, trading significantly below key moving averages, which could persist in the short term. Additionally, insider selling activity totaling $43.7 million across 45 transactions indicates a lack of confidence from management, despite the company's strong growth prospects. The high P/E ratio relative to sector averages also presents a valuation risk if growth expectations are not met.

Technical Indicators i

RSI (14) 40.64
MACD -25.27
SMA 50 472.42
SMA 200 536.35
Technical Rating Bearish
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $472.42, 200-day: $536.35), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.

Market Correlations

How this stock moves relative to other assets

Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.

S&P 500 (SPY) +0.52
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.59
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.22
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU) +0.08
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation

FN Trade Plans

Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels

Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative 2% Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →

🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)

CONSERVATIVE
$405.48
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
AGGRESSIVE
$413.76
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry

Risk Management

STOP LOSS
$370.37
MAX LOSS
-8.7%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (40.6) and current market volatility

Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

TARGET 1
$425.76
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$446.03
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$466.31
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
⚠️ High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
FN is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 5.77%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 11, 2026.

Growth of $10,000

A $10,000 investment in FN in September 2016 would be worth about $98,838 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.

Compare with Another Ticker

Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in FN today could grow to about $39,262 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $291,544 and a bear case around $5,287. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

FN Stock Price Prediction: 2030

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $715 for FN by 2030 in the base case, from $414 today (1.7x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $201. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on FN's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

FN simulated price paths by year
Year Downside (10th pct) Base case Upside (90th pct)
2027 $252 $474 $894
2028 $222 $544 $1,333
2029 $208 $624 $1,870
2030 $201 $715 $2,541
2031 $199 $820 $3,384
2032 $199 $940 $4,442
2033 $201 $1,078 $5,768
2034 $206 $1,236 $7,426
2035 $211 $1,417 $9,492
2036 $219 $1,625 $12,063

Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using FN's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. FN is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.

People Also Watch

FN Insider Trading Analysis

Source: SEC Form 4
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$43.7M
19 Transactions
Insiders
11
Active Traders
$ Avg Transaction
$2.3M
Large trades
Recent insider transactions in FN
Date Insider Type Shares Value
Nov 26, 2025
GRADY SEAMUS
Chief Executive Officer
Sell 22.5K $10.0M
Aug 23, 2024
GRADY SEAMUS
Chief Executive Officer
Sell 26.7K $7.2M
Aug 23, 2022
MITCHELL DAVID T
Director
Sell 50.0K $5.5M
Sep 4, 2025
GILL HARPAL S.
President
Sell 14.2K $5.0M
Feb 29, 2024
GILL HARPAL S.
President
Sell 21.5K $4.6M
Aug 28, 2025
SVERHA CSABA
Chief Financial Officer
Sell 13.0K $4.5M
Jun 4, 2025
GILL HARPAL S.
Chief Executive Officer
Sell 18.7K $4.5M
Aug 24, 2023
GRADY SEAMUS
Chief Executive Officer
Sell 27.0K $4.3M
Aug 25, 2017
MITCHELL DAVID T
Chief Executive Officer
Sell 105.0K $4.1M
Oct 3, 2016
MITCHELL DAVID T
Chief Executive Officer
Sell 75.0K $3.3M

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Fabrinet's stock forecast for 2030?
Fabrinet's stock forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case price of $715.05, with a downside scenario of $201.21 and an upside scenario of $2541.18. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets.
Is Fabrinet stock a buy right now?
Fabrinet is currently rated a Buy by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $750.00, suggesting an 81.3% upside from its current price of $413.76. While technically facing headwinds, strong revenue growth and analyst conviction support a bullish stance.
What are the biggest risks facing Fabrinet?
The main risks for Fabrinet include its current bearish technical trend, significant insider selling totaling $43.7 million, and a P/E ratio that is above the sector average, suggesting a potential valuation stretch.
How did Fabrinet perform in its latest earnings report?
In its latest earnings report on August 17, 2026, Fabrinet reported an EPS of $4.10, exceeding the estimate of $3.81 by 7.61%. However, the stock experienced a price decline of -19.38% following the announcement.
What is Fabrinet's revenue growth outlook?
Fabrinet projects strong revenue growth, with current quarter estimates at $1.4 billion, representing a 43.00% year-over-year increase. The current year's revenue is estimated at $6.1 billion, a 32.00% increase from the previous year.
What is the consensus rating for Fabrinet stock?
The consensus rating for Fabrinet stock among Wall Street analysts is Buy, with 3 Strong Buys, 4 Buys, and 2 Holds, resulting in a Wall Street score of 78 out of 100.
How does Fabrinet's valuation compare to its sector?
Fabrinet's P/E ratio of 32.28 is higher than the sector average of 25.5. However, its exceptional revenue growth of 44.6% and strong forward estimates may justify this premium valuation.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The stock analysis, trade plans, and AI-generated signals presented for FN are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. They do not represent actual trades made by CleaRank or its affiliates. Stock prices can be volatile and are subject to market, economic, and company-specific risks. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of any data. You should never invest money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analysis generated on September 11, 2026.