monday.com Ltd. (MNDY)

monday.com shares fell 9.10% in the first session after its November 9, 2026 report, even though adjusted EPS of $2.14 beat the $1.37 estimate by 56.20%. The stock closed at $77.64, down 19.79% over the past week and 53.00% over the past year, and sits near the bottom of its 52-week range. The reaction matters because the beat was large, yet the market kept selling, and the rating mix has shifted toward Hold as TD Cowen and Barclays cut their ratings this autumn.

The November 9, 2026 report showed adjusted EPS of $2.14 against an analyst estimate of $1.37, a beat of 56.20%. Revenue grew 24.45% year on year in the latest quarter, slightly faster than the sector median of 24.2%. Yet the share price fell 9.10% in the first trading session after the report. This is the fourth time in the last seven reports that a beat was followed by a lower price, and the same pattern appeared after the November 10, 2025 report, when the stock dropped 12.33% despite a 31.82% beat. The record suggests investors are focused on the outlook and on growth durability rather than on the headline EPS figure.

Of the 26 analysts with a current rating, 13 rate the stock buy or strong buy, 13 rate it hold, and none rate it sell. Three months ago, 16 of 25 ratings were buy. On November 3, 2026, TD Cowen downgraded the stock to Hold from Buy, while Guggenheim kept its Buy rating. On October 12, 2026, Barclays downgraded it to Equal-Weight from Overweight. The consensus is Hold, and the median 12-month target of $105.00 is 35.2% above the current price, a gap that reflects analysts' expectations of recovery rather than current trading.

The trailing P/E is 26.68, a discount of 24.0% to the Technology sector median of 35.1. Net profit margin is 10.0%, operating margin 5.83%, and return on equity 14.66%, which is above the sector median of 13.4%. Debt-to-equity is 0.28. Insider sales totalled $763K over the last 18 months across six transactions, with no open-market purchases, though such sales are often planned in advance or made to cover tax on vesting shares.

The base case is that the stock keeps trading as a turnaround candidate rather than a trend recovery. For the coming months the price needs to reclaim the 200-day average and then the 50-day average before the trend reads as improving. Revenue growth of 24.45% in the latest quarter and analysts' expectations of 19.4% revenue growth and 24.9% EPS growth this fiscal year support the earnings case, so the focus shifts to whether that growth converts into a steadier share price. A further beat with stable guidance would help the bulls' argument; another drop after a beat, or a fall through the $57.50 52-week low, would signal that investors are discounting growth more heavily. The analysts' median 12-month target of $105.00 sits well above the price, but the spread between $87.00 and $165.00 shows how far opinions differ. A simulation based on past volatility is not a forecast, and the stock's typical daily move of 4.20% means wide swings are normal.

Support sits at $57.50, the 52-week low, which is the nearest level below the price and the floor of the past year's trading. Resistance comes first at $81.77, the 200-day simple moving average, which the price has just fallen below. Next is $89.43, the 50-day simple moving average, followed closely by the 20-day exponential average at $89.94, which together form a cluster that a recovery would have to clear. The 52-week high of $164.49 is the far ceiling and would require a sustained rally to reach.