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As of September 16, 2026, Amphenol Corporation (APH) trades at $77.65. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Sell with a fair value of $77.65, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $99.00 across 17 analysts. RSI at 46 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $80.08.
Amphenol Corporation (APH)
Amphenol Corporation NYSE
$77.65
-0.9000 (-1.15%)
At close: Sep 15, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
21 / 100
Amphenol Corporation (APH) is currently trading at $77.65, below its 50-day SMA ($80.08) but above its 200-day SMA ($73.26), signaling a bearish technical trend. The company has demonstrated exceptional revenue growth, with current year estimates at +53.00% and next year at +18.00%, driven by strong demand in the technology sector. Despite this impressive top-line performance, a significant insider selling signal, with $921.4M in dispositions versus only $1.3M in purchases, raises concerns about management's near-term confidence. The stock's valuation, with a P/E ratio of 39.28, is above the sector median of 34, suggesting it may be trading at a premium relative to its peers. However, its price-to-sales ratio of 6.68 is below the sector average of 7.5, offering some relative value. Wall Street analysts maintain a generally positive outlook with a consensus rating of 'Buy' and a median price target of $99.00, implying an upside of 27.5%. This contrasts with the AI's more cautious 'Sell' rating, driven primarily by the overwhelming insider selling. The company's strong profit margins (17.73% net, 29.78% operating) and return on equity (38.12%) are strong, but the current technical setup and insider activity warrant close monitoring.
APH Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$78.48
Day Range
$77.09 to $79.14
Prev Close
$78.55
Volume
8.67M
52-Week Range
$54.34 to $89.26
Market Cap
$191.48B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (16% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
APH Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, APH beat estimates 3 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
APH Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
AI Technical Analysis
Amphenol Corporation (APH) is trading below its 50-day SMA of $80.08 and its 200-day SMA of $73.26, indicating a bearish trend. The price is also below its 20-day EMA of $80.55. The RSI is at 46.15, which is in neutral territory, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. MACD is slightly negative at -0.09, hinting at weakening momentum. Volume was below average yesterday at 8.67 million shares compared to the average of 11.48 million, suggesting a lack of conviction in the current price action. Key support is near the 200-day SMA at $73.26, while resistance lies at the 50-day SMA around $80.08. The current technical setup points towards potential further downside pressure unless the stock can reclaim its key moving averages.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transaction activity closely, as the current heavy insider selling is a significant bearish indicator for APH.
- The stock's current trading pattern below its 50-day SMA ($80.08) but above its 200-day SMA ($73.26) suggests caution for short-term traders, with key resistance at the 50-day SMA ($80.08).
- Given the high P/E ratio of 39.28 relative to the sector median, investors should ensure that Amphenol's exceptional revenue growth continues to meet or exceed forward estimates to justify the valuation.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Heavy Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold $921.4 million worth of APH stock versus only $1.3 million in purchases, triggering a heavy insider selling and indicating potential management concerns.
Source: Insider Transaction DataBullish
Consistent Earnings Beats
Amphenol Corporation has exceeded analyst EPS estimates in its last three reported quarters, including a 13.45% surprise in the quarter ending June 2026, demonstrating strong operational performance.
Source: Earnings ReportsBullish
Strong Revenue Growth Estimates
Forward-looking revenue estimates show significant year-over-year growth, with current quarter projected at +52.00% and next quarter at +50.00%, indicating strong demand for Amphenol's products.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBullish
Analyst Price Target Upside
The median Wall Street price target for APH is $99.00, representing a potential 27.5% upside from the current price, suggesting analyst confidence in future performance.
Source: Wall Street ConsensusMarket Outlook
Amphenol Corporation (APH) faces a challenging near-term outlook due to significant insider selling and bearish technical indicators, despite strong underlying business fundamentals. The AI's 'Sell' rating is predicated on the $921.4 million in insider dispositions, which overshadows the company's impressive revenue growth and consistent earnings beats. While Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' rating with a median target of $99.00, implying a 27.5% upside, the divergence between AI and analyst sentiment highlights a key tension. The base case scenario suggests that the stock may struggle to break out of its current bearish trend, with potential downside towards the 200-day SMA at $73.26. Upside catalysts would require a significant shift in insider sentiment, a strong recovery in technicals above key moving averages, or continued outperformance in revenue growth that convinces the market to overlook the insider selling. Conversely, any indication of slowing demand, increased competition, or further insider selling could exacerbate downward price pressure.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 191.48B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 39.28 |
| EPS (TTM) | 2.00 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.59% |
| 52 Week High | 89.26 |
| 52 Week Low | 54.34 |
Amphenol Corporation (APH) exhibits a mixed fundamental picture, with strong growth metrics juxtaposed against a high valuation and significant insider selling. The company's P/E ratio stands at 39.28, which is above the technology sector median of 34, indicating a potential valuation premium. However, its price-to-sales ratio of 6.68 is below the sector average of 7.5, suggesting some relative attractiveness on that front. Profitability is a strong suit, with a net profit margin of 17.73% and an operating margin of 29.78%, complemented by an impressive return on equity of 38.12%. These strong figures are supported by substantial revenue growth estimates of +53.00% for the current year and +18.00% for the next. Despite these strengths, the overwhelming insider selling activity, totaling $921.4M in dispositions, casts a shadow over the company's near-term prospects and raises questions about the sustainability of its current valuation.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Amphenol Corporation (APH) has consistently beaten analyst estimates for earnings per share in recent quarters. For the quarter ending June 2026, EPS actual was $1.35 against an estimate of $1.19, a 13.45% surprise, leading to a 6.33% stock price increase. The prior two quarters also showed positive surprises, though with less pronounced stock reactions. Revenue growth remains exceptionally strong, with current quarter estimates projecting a +52.00% year-over-year increase and next quarter at +50.00%. These consistent earnings beats and strong revenue expansion suggest strong operational execution and demand for Amphenol's products.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Amphenol Corporation (APH) stems from the significant insider selling, with over $921 million in dispositions versus minimal purchases, signaling potential management concerns. Additionally, the stock's P/E ratio of 39.28 is elevated compared to the sector median of 34, suggesting a valuation that may be stretched, especially given the current bearish technical trend. Competition within the electronic components sector is intense, and any slowdown in demand or increased pricing pressure could impact future growth and profitability.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 46.15 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.09 |
| SMA 50 | 80.08 |
| SMA 200 | 73.26 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($80.08) above the 200-day SMA ($73.26), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.59
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.63
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.19
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.12
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with APH? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
APH Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Short entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$79.20
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$77.65
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$82.37
MAX LOSS
-4.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (46.2) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$75.24
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$71.28
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$67.32
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for APH is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 16, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in APH in September 2016 would be worth about $98,681 today, compared with about $35,497 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in APH today could grow to about $39,254 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $126,295 and a bear case around $12,201. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
APH Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $134 for APH by 2030 in the base case, from $77.65 today (1.7x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $64.08. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on APH's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $61.52 | $89.03 | $129 |
| 2028 | $60.53 | $102 | $172 |
| 2029 | $61.71 | $117 | $222 |
| 2030 | $64.08 | $134 | $281 |
| 2031 | $67.33 | $154 | $352 |
| 2032 | $71.35 | $176 | $436 |
| 2033 | $76.08 | $202 | $538 |
| 2034 | $81.53 | $232 | $659 |
| 2035 | $87.74 | $266 | $806 |
| 2036 | $94.74 | $305 | $981 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using APH's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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APH Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$1.3M
1 Transactions
Sold
$921.4M
37 Transactions
Insiders
15
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$24.3M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2025 | NORWITT RICHARD ADAM
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 2.0M | $151.5M |
| Jul 31, 2026 | NORWITT RICHARD ADAM
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 686.1K | $111.0M |
| Feb 12, 2026 | NORWITT RICHARD ADAM
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 608.3K | $89.6M |
| Oct 29, 2024 | NORWITT RICHARD ADAM
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 1.2M | $82.2M |
| May 5, 2021 | NORWITT RICHARD ADAM
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 1.2M | $76.4M |
| Nov 5, 2020 | RALEY ZACHARY WINNER
Officer
|
Sell | 531.6K | $62.6M |
| Dec 6, 2021 | NORWITT RICHARD ADAM
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 765.0K | $62.5M |
| Jul 28, 2023 | NORWITT RICHARD ADAM
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 650.0K | $56.8M |
| Jun 5, 2020 | NORWITT RICHARD ADAM
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 525.0K | $54.7M |
| Feb 3, 2023 | NORWITT RICHARD ADAM
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 650.0K | $53.1M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Amphenol Corporation (APH) stock a buy right now?
Amphenol Corporation (APH) is currently rated a 'Sell' by our AI due to significant insider selling and bearish technicals, despite strong revenue growth and a 'Buy' consensus from Wall Street analysts. The median analyst price target is $99.00, suggesting a 27.5% upside from the current price of $77.65.
What is Amphenol Corporation's (APH) stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Amphenol Corporation's (APH) stock price forecast for 2030 shows a base case of $134.18, with a downside projection of $64.08 and an upside projection of $280.97. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.
How has Amphenol Corporation (APH) performed in recent earnings reports?
Amphenol Corporation (APH) has consistently beaten analyst EPS estimates in its recent earnings reports. For the quarter ending June 2026, EPS was $1.35 versus an estimate of $1.19, a 13.45% surprise, which coincided with a 6.33% stock price increase.
What are the key risks facing Amphenol Corporation (APH)?
Key risks for Amphenol Corporation (APH) include substantial insider selling totaling over $921 million, a P/E ratio of 39.28 that is above the sector median, and intense competition within the electronic components industry. These factors, combined with a bearish technical trend, suggest potential downside.
How does Amphenol Corporation (APH) compare to its sector averages?
Amphenol Corporation (APH) has a higher P/E ratio (39.28 vs. 34) and profit margin (17.73% vs. 13.4%) compared to the technology sector median. Its price-to-sales ratio (6.68 vs. 7.5) is lower, and its debt-to-equity (1.20) is in line with the sector average. Revenue growth is significantly above the sector median (55% vs. 24.1%).
What is the outlook for Amphenol Corporation (APH) based on analyst ratings?
Wall Street analysts have a consensus rating of 'Buy' for Amphenol Corporation (APH), with a median price target of $99.00, indicating a potential upside of 27.5% from the current price. This positive sentiment is driven by strong growth estimates and consistent earnings beats.
What is the significance of the insider selling at Amphenol Corporation (APH)?
The insider selling at Amphenol Corporation (APH) is significant, with total sales reaching $921.4 million compared to only $1.3 million in purchases. This heavy insider selling suggests a lack of confidence from management and is a primary driver for the AI's bearish rating.