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As of August 11, 2026, Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) trades at $316.24. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Sell with a fair value of $280.00, 11.5% below the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $330.00 across 30 analysts. RSI at 45 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $337.60.
Lam Research Corporation (LRCX)
$316.24 9.840 (3.21%)
Real Time Price
AI Analyst Consensus
25 / 100
Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) is currently trading at $306.40, below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, signaling near-term weakness. The company has demonstrated impressive revenue growth of 30%, indicating strong demand for its semiconductor equipment. However, this positive fundamental aspect is overshadowed by substantial insider selling, with over $146.8 million in sales versus minimal purchases, leading to a heavy insider selling verdict. The P/E ratio stands at a high 54.05, suggesting a premium valuation that may be difficult to sustain given the current technical and insider sentiment.
The semiconductor equipment sector, represented by ETFs like XLK, is highly cyclical and competitive, with key players such as Applied Materials (AMAT) and ASML Holding (ASML) also navigating market dynamics. While Lam Research's technology is critical for chip manufacturing, the current confluence of negative insider activity and a bearish technical setup warrants caution for investors. The stock's ability to overcome resistance levels will be crucial in determining its near-term trajectory.
LRCX Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$315.72
Day Range
$309.78 to $316.83
Prev Close
$306.40
Volume
57,376.00
52-Week Range
$90.94 to $438.50
Market Cap
$383.39B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
The stock's valuation metrics position it within the sector's competitive landscape, reflecting its market standing and growth trajectory relative to industry peers.
LRCX Analysis
Company's Health 3/5
AI Analyst Target +4.35% Upside
Target Price
$330.00
AI Technical Analysis
Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) is exhibiting a bearish technical posture. The stock is trading below its 50-day SMA ($337.60) and 20-day EMA ($310.81), with the 50-day SMA acting as resistance. The MACD indicator is negative at -9.36, and the RSI is neutral at 45.35, suggesting a lack of strong momentum in either direction but leaning towards downside pressure.
Key support is observed around the 200-day SMA ($246.01), which the price is currently trading above. However, the proximity to the 20-day EMA and the downward pressure indicated by the MACD suggest potential for further declines. The stochastic oscillator is in the upper range at 74.16, which, combined with the other indicators, could signal a potential reversal if buying pressure does not emerge soon.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transaction filings closely for any changes in selling pressure or potential buying activity, as this is a critical signal for Lam Research Corporation (LRCX).
- Given the bearish technicals and high valuation, consider implementing a tighter stop-loss strategy, potentially below the 200-day SMA, to mitigate downside risk.
- The semiconductor equipment sector is cyclical; ensure your overall portfolio allocation reflects this inherent volatility and consider diversifying across different stages of the semiconductor supply chain.
Key Catalysts
Bearish Heavy Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold over $146.8 million worth of Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) stock, signaling a potential lack of confidence in near-term performance or valuation.
Source: Insider Filings Bearish Trading Below Key Moving Averages
LRCX is currently trading below its 50-day SMA ($337.60) and 20-day EMA ($310.81), indicating bearish momentum and potential for further price declines.
Source: Technical Analysis Bullish Strong Revenue Growth Momentum
Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) continues to demonstrate robust revenue growth of 30%, highlighting strong demand for its semiconductor manufacturing equipment.
Source: Company Financials Neutral Semiconductor Cycle Dynamics
The cyclical nature of the semiconductor industry presents both opportunities and risks for LRCX, influenced by global chip demand and capital expenditure cycles.
Source: Market Analysis Market Outlook
The outlook for Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) in the next 6-12 months is cautiously bearish, primarily due to the significant insider selling and the stock's current technical weakness. While the company's 30% revenue growth is a strong fundamental positive, the heavy insider selling from insiders suggests potential headwinds or a reassessment of future prospects by those closest to the company. The high P/E ratio of 54.05 leaves little room for error, and any deceleration in growth or market sentiment shift could lead to a valuation multiple contraction.
Upside potential would require a clear reversal in insider sentiment, a sustained break above key technical resistance levels (such as the 50-day SMA at $337.60), and continued strong execution in a competitive semiconductor equipment market. Conversely, downside risks include a continuation of insider selling, a slowdown in semiconductor capital expenditure cycles, or increased competitive pressures from players like ASML Holding (ASML) and Applied Materials (AMAT), which could push the stock towards its 200-day SMA support around $246.01.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 383.39B |
| P/E Ratio | 54.05 |
| EPS (TTM) | 5.76 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3395% |
| 52 Week High | 438.50 |
| 52 Week Low | 90.94 |
Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) presents a mixed fundamental picture with a high P/E ratio of 54.05 against an EPS of $5.76, indicating a premium valuation that may not be fully supported by current earnings. While the reported revenue growth of 30% is exceptional and points to strong market demand for its semiconductor manufacturing equipment, the high P/E suggests that future growth expectations are already largely priced in. Competitors like ASML Holding (ASML) and Applied Materials (AMAT) operate in a similar environment, and their valuations should be considered for comparative analysis.
The company's balance sheet strength is not detailed in the provided data, but the high P/E ratio implies that investors are willing to pay a significant multiple for its earnings. This valuation could be vulnerable to any slowdown in the semiconductor cycle or increased competition. The current price action and insider selling suggest that the market may be reassessing the sustainability of its current growth trajectory and valuation.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) has reported an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $5.76. While specific recent earnings performance details like beat/miss or forward guidance are not provided, the current P/E ratio of 54.05 suggests that the market has high expectations for future profitability. The strong revenue growth of 30% indicates robust operational performance, which should ideally translate into sustained earnings power.
Investors should closely monitor upcoming earnings reports for any signs of deceleration in revenue growth or margin compression, which could challenge the current high valuation. The sustainability of the 30% revenue growth will be a key factor in determining whether the company can justify its premium P/E multiple.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) stems from significant insider selling, with over $146.8 million in sales indicating a lack of confidence from management regarding the stock's near-term prospects. This is compounded by a high P/E ratio of 54.05, making the stock susceptible to a valuation correction if growth falters or market sentiment shifts. Furthermore, the stock is trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, signaling bearish technical momentum that could lead to further price declines.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 45.35 |
| MACD | -9.36 |
| SMA 50 | 337.60 |
| SMA 200 | 246.01 |
Technical Rating Bearish
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($337.60) above the 200-day SMA ($246.01), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.67
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.76
Strong correlation
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.31
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU) +0.18
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
LRCX Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative 2% Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🔴 SHORT ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$322.56
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
AGGRESSIVE
$316.24
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$350.40
MAX LOSS
-8.6%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (45.4) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$306.44
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$290.31
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$274.18
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
⚠️ High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
LRCX is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 5.75%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on August 11, 2026. Growth of $10,000
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Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
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LRCX Insider Trading Analysis
Source: SEC Form 4▲
Bought $602.00
1 Transactions
▼
Sold $146.8M
19 Transactions
●
Insiders 19
Active Traders
$
Avg Transaction $7.3M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
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