As of September 26, 2026, Lam Research Corp. (LRCX) trades at $315.21. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $380.00, 20.6% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $380.00 across 35 analysts. RSI at 53 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $304.58.
Lam Research Corp. (LRCX)
Lam Research Corp. NASDAQ
LRCX Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
LRCX Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
LRCX Analysis
- Monitor insider selling activity closely, as the current heavy insider selling warrants caution despite strong fundamentals.
- The stock is trading above key moving averages (50-day and 200-day SMA), indicating positive technical momentum, but the RSI approaching overbought levels suggests potential for a short-term pullback.
- Given the premium valuation (P/S ratio of 16.54 vs. sector median of 7.5), investors should ensure growth estimates materialize to justify the current stock price.
Lam Research Corp. (LRCX) exceeded Q2 2026 EPS estimates by 8.33% ($1.82 actual vs. $1.68 estimate), driving a 17.98% stock price increase and signaling strong operational performance.
Source: Earnings ReportThe median analyst price target for LRCX is $380, representing a 20.6% upside from the current price, supported by 35 analysts maintaining a 'Buy' consensus.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsCurrent year revenue is estimated to grow by 50.00% year-over-year, with next year projected at 18.00%, indicating strong market demand for Lam Research's semiconductor equipment.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesInsiders have sold approximately $177.4 million worth of LRCX stock, indicating a potential lack of confidence or need for liquidity among management.
Source: Insider TransactionsThe semiconductor equipment industry is inherently cyclical, making Lam Research Corp. (LRCX) susceptible to downturns in capital expenditure by chip manufacturers.
Source: Industry AnalysisKey Statistics
| Market Cap | 394.43B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 53.51 |
| EPS (TTM) | 5.74 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.35% |
| 52 Week High | 438.50 |
| 52 Week Low | 117.03 |
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Key Risks
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 53.20 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -1.42 |
| SMA 50 | 304.58 |
| SMA 200 | 270.93 |
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
How does any other asset move with LRCX? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
LRCX Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk Management
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in LRCX in September 2016 would be worth about $344,831 today, compared with about $36,004 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in LRCX today could grow to about $51,748 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $341,233 and a bear case around $7,848. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
LRCX Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $608 for LRCX by 2030 in the base case, from $315 today (1.9x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $185. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on LRCX's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $205 | $372 | $675 |
| 2028 | $188 | $438 | $1,018 |
| 2029 | $184 | $516 | $1,450 |
| 2030 | $185 | $608 | $2,006 |
| 2031 | $189 | $717 | $2,721 |
| 2032 | $196 | $845 | $3,643 |
| 2033 | $206 | $996 | $4,827 |
| 2034 | $217 | $1,174 | $6,344 |
| 2035 | $231 | $1,384 | $8,284 |
| 2036 | $247 | $1,631 | $10,756 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using LRCX's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. LRCX is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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LRCX Insider Trading Analysis
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025 | ARCHER TIMOTHY M
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 163.3K | $26.8M |
| Jun 12, 2026 | BRANDT ERIC K
Director
|
Sell | 54.5K | $20.0M |
| Jun 11, 2026 | BRANDT ERIC K
Director
|
Sell | 54.5K | $19.1M |
| Sep 2, 2026 | VARADARAJAN SESHASAYEE
Officer
|
Sell | 59.8K | $17.4M |
| Aug 30, 2022 | BETTINGER DOUGLAS R
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 34.9K | $15.3M |
| Jun 28, 2024 | ARCHER TIMOTHY M
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 13.7K | $14.7M |
| Jul 2, 2026 | ARCHER TIMOTHY M
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 30.0K | $11.7M |
| Mar 4, 2026 | BETTINGER DOUGLAS R
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 50.1K | $11.2M |
| Jun 28, 2024 | ARCHER TIMOTHY M
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 9.7K | $10.3M |
| Mar 19, 2024 | VARADARAJAN SESHASAYEE
Officer
|
Sell | 11.0K | $10.1M |