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As of September 26, 2026, Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) trades at $510.52. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $510.52, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $635.00 across 24 analysts. RSI at 46 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $541.38.
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC)
Northrop Grumman Corporation NYSE
$510.52
1.540 (0.30%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) is currently trading at $510.52, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($541.38 and $600.11), indicating a bearish technical trend. The stock's RSI is neutral at 46.4, suggesting a lack of strong momentum in either direction. Volume has been below average recently, with the latest volume at 535,400 compared to an average of 855,670, a decrease of 37.4%. This suggests subdued investor interest. Fundamentally, NOC's valuation appears reasonable relative to its sector, with a P/E of 16.22 compared to the sector median of 34. However, its price-to-sales ratio of 1.69 is below the sector average of 4. The company exhibits strong profitability with a net profit margin of 10.48% and a return on equity of 26.96%. Despite these strengths, recent insider activity shows a moderate sell signal, with $35.5 million in sales versus no reported purchases, indicating a degree of caution from management.
NOC Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$509.10
Day Range
$507.01 to $513.23
Prev Close
$508.98
Volume
535.4K
52-Week Range
$479.02 to $774.00
Market Cap
$72.53B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)
Performance vs XLI
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-52%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
NOC Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, NOC beat estimates 4 times. The stock rose 3 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
NOC Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+24.38% Upside
Median of 24 analysts (12-month)
$635.00
AI Technical Analysis
Momentum has turned for Northrop Grumman Corporation: the price has moved below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($541.38 and $600.11), now trading at $510.52 versus the 50-day SMA of $541.38 and the 200-day SMA of $600.11. The RSI is at 46.4, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD is negative at -8.73, suggesting bearish pressure. The stock is also trading below its 20-day EMA of $525.19. Volume has been notably light, with the latest session's volume at 535,400, down 37.4% from the average of 855,670. This subdued activity, coupled with the price action, suggests a lack of conviction from either buyers or sellers. Key support levels are not clearly defined by recent price action, but the 50-day SMA at $541.38 and the 200-day SMA at $600.11 now act as resistance. The current price action indicates a potential for further downside or a period of consolidation.
ProTips
- Monitor upcoming earnings reports closely, particularly for revenue growth trends and forward guidance, as the company's revenue growth of 5.1% trails the sector average.
- Given the stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($541.38 and $600.11), consider waiting for a confirmed technical breakout above resistance levels before initiating new long positions.
- The moderate insider selling signal suggests a cautious approach; investors may want to see a clear shift to net buying activity before increasing exposure.
Key Catalysts
Neutral
Insider Selling Continues
Insiders have sold $35.5 million worth of stock with no reported purchases, indicating a moderate sell signal and potentially limiting near-term upside momentum.
Source: Insider Trading DataBullish
Strong Earnings Beat in Q2 2026
Northrop Grumman exceeded Q2 2026 EPS estimates by 12.61%, leading to a positive stock price reaction, which could signal underlying operational strength.
Source: Earnings ReportBullish
Attractive Valuation Relative to Sector
NOC's P/E ratio of 16.22 and P/S ratio of 1.69 are significantly lower than sector medians, presenting a potential value opportunity if fundamentals hold.
Source: Fundamental AnalysisBearish
Trading Below Key Moving Averages
The stock is currently below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($541.38 and $600.11), indicating a bearish technical trend and potential for further price declines.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) faces a near-term outlook characterized by technical headwinds and insider caution. The stock is trading below key moving averages, and recent volume has been light, suggesting a lack of upward momentum. The median analyst price target of $635.00 indicates a potential upside of 24.4%, but the current technical setup and moderate insider selling signal a period of consolidation or potential further decline before such a target could be reached. The company's strong profitability and attractive valuation multiples relative to the sector provide a fundamental floor. However, lagging revenue growth compared to peers and the ongoing moderate insider selling are key factors to monitor. Upside catalysts could include significant new contract wins or a shift in market sentiment towards defense stocks, while downside risks include increased competition or broader macroeconomic slowdowns impacting defense spending.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 72.53B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 16.22 |
| EPS (TTM) | 31.48 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.87% |
| 52 Week High | 774.00 |
| 52 Week Low | 479.02 |
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) presents a mixed fundamental picture, trading at a P/E ratio of 16.22, which is significantly below the Industrials sector median of 34. Its price-to-sales ratio stands at 1.69, also below the sector average of 4. The company demonstrates strong profitability with a net profit margin of 10.48% and a strong return on equity of 26.96%, exceeding the sector average of 17.8%. Despite these positive profitability metrics, the company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.95 is slightly above the sector average of 0.95, indicating a comparable level of leverage. Revenue growth has been reported at 5.1%, trailing the sector average of 11.7%. While the company's earnings per share (EPS) of $31.48 is solid, the recent insider selling activity and the moderate sell signal warrant attention, suggesting potential headwinds despite the attractive valuation multiples.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) has shown a pattern of beating analyst estimates in its most recent reported quarters. For the quarter ending June 2026, NOC reported an EPS of $7.68, exceeding the estimate of $6.82 by 12.61% and leading to a 2.54% price increase. This follows a pattern of positive surprises, including a significant beat in the quarter to December 2025 where actual EPS was $ -0.32 against an estimate of $ -2.13, a 84.98% surprise. Revenue growth for the current quarter is estimated at +7.00% year-over-year, with full-year revenue growth projected at +5.00%.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) lies in its current technical positioning, trading below key moving averages with subdued volume, suggesting potential for further price depreciation. Additionally, recent insider transactions indicate a moderate sell signal, with significant sales by officers and no reported purchases, which could signal a lack of near-term confidence from management. The company's revenue growth of 5.1% also lags behind the sector average, potentially impacting future expansion.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 46.40 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -8.73 |
| SMA 50 | 541.38 |
| SMA 200 | 600.11 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $541.38, 200-day: $600.11), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.03
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
-0.07
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.06
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.19
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with NOC? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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NOC Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$505.41
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$510.52
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$490.25
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (46.4) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$520.58
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$530.69
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$545.85
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for NOC is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 26, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in NOC in September 2016 would be worth about $23,526 today, compared with about $36,004 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in NOC today could grow to about $21,757 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $61,956 and a bear case around $7,640. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
NOC Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $697 for NOC by 2030 in the base case, from $511 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $359. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on NOC's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $396 | $552 | $768 |
| 2028 | $373 | $596 | $952 |
| 2029 | $363 | $645 | $1,143 |
| 2030 | $359 | $697 | $1,351 |
| 2031 | $359 | $753 | $1,578 |
| 2032 | $362 | $814 | $1,831 |
| 2033 | $366 | $880 | $2,111 |
| 2034 | $373 | $951 | $2,424 |
| 2035 | $381 | $1,028 | $2,773 |
| 2036 | $390 | $1,111 | $3,163 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using NOC's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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NOC Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$35.5M
27 Transactions
Insiders
20
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.3M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2019 | BUSH WESLEY G
Chairman of the Board
|
Sell | 50.0K | $14.6M |
| Feb 6, 2026 | WARDEN KATHY J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 20.0K | $14.2M |
| Jan 6, 2026 | WARDEN KATHY J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 10.0K | $6.0M |
| Jun 13, 2025 | WARDEN KATHY J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 11.3K | $5.6M |
| Aug 4, 2022 | WARDEN KATHY J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 10.0K | $4.8M |
| Feb 18, 2020 | CHESTON SHEILA C
General Counsel
|
Sell | 9.3K | $3.4M |
| Jul 29, 2019 | WARDEN KATHY J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 6.8K | $2.4M |
| Feb 18, 2020 | PAMILJANS JANIS G
Officer
|
Sell | 5.7K | $2.1M |
| Aug 9, 2022 | CHESTON SHEILA C
General Counsel
|
Sell | 4.0K | $1.9M |
| Mar 6, 2023 | PERRY DAVID T
Officer
|
Sell | 4.0K | $1.9M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Northrop Grumman Corporation's current stock price and consensus rating?
As of September 26, 2026, Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) is trading at $510.52. The consensus rating among analysts is 'Hold', with a consensus score of 59 out of 100.
What is the median analyst price target for NOC stock?
The median analyst price target for Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) is $635.00, suggesting an upside potential of 24.4% from the current price of $510.52.
How has Northrop Grumman Corporation performed in its recent earnings reports?
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) has recently demonstrated positive earnings surprises. For the quarter ending June 2026, EPS was $7.68 against an estimate of $6.82, a 12.61% beat, which coincided with a 2.54% stock price increase.
What are the key technical indicators for NOC stock?
NOC's technical indicators show a bearish trend, with the stock trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($541.38 and $600.11). The RSI is neutral at 46.4, and volume has been below average.
How does NOC's valuation compare to its sector peers?
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) appears attractively valued compared to its peers in the Industrials sector. Its P/E ratio of 16.22 is significantly lower than the sector median of 34, and its price-to-sales ratio of 1.69 is also below the sector average of 4.
What is the insider trading activity for Northrop Grumman Corporation?
Insider activity for NOC shows a moderate sell signal, with $35.5 million in total sales and no reported purchases in recent filings. This indicates that insiders are net sellers of the stock.
What is NOC stock forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Northrop Grumman Corporation's (NOC) stock forecast for 2030 includes a base case price of $696.71, a downside price of $359.42, and an upside price of $1350.5. These are statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.