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As of September 11, 2026, Mastercard Incorporated Class A (MA) trades at $571.52. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $670.00, 17.2% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $670.00 across 40 analysts. RSI at 44 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $562.32.
Mastercard Incorporated Class A (MA)
Mastercard Incorporated Class A NYSE
$571.52
6.145 (1.09%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
79 / 100
Mastercard Incorporated (MA) is trading at $571.52, below its 20-day EMA but above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($562.32 and $531.10), indicating a mixed short-term trend with longer-term support. The company has demonstrated consistent earnings beats over the past four reported quarters, with the most recent quarter exceeding estimates by 5.44%. Revenue growth remains strong, projected at 14.00% for the current year and 13.00% for the next. Despite this positive financial trajectory, significant insider selling totaling $130.4 million has been observed, signaling a potential cautionary note for investors.
MA Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$569.70
Day Range
$564.34 to $572.64
Prev Close
$565.37
Volume
93.6K
52-Week Range
$464.52 to $601.62
Market Cap
$495.27B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Financial Services)
Performance vs IXG
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+22%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
MA Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, MA beat estimates 5 times. However, the stock fell 5 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
MA Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+17.23% Upside
Median of 40 analysts (12-month)
$670.00
AI Technical Analysis
Mastercard's (MA) current price of $571.52 is trading below its 20-day EMA of $576.26, suggesting some near-term weakness, but remains above its 50-day SMA of $562.32 and its 200-day SMA of $531.10, indicating a generally positive longer-term trend. The RSI is at 44.38, reflecting neutral momentum. Volume has been significantly below average recently, which may suggest a lack of conviction behind current price movements. Key support levels are found at the 50-day SMA, while resistance may be encountered near the 20-day EMA and previous highs.
ProTips
- Significant insider selling totaling $130.4 million warrants close monitoring, as it could indicate a shift in management's short-term outlook.
- Mastercard's (MA) current price is trading below its 20-day EMA, suggesting potential near-term weakness, but remains supported by its 50-day and 200-day SMAs.
- Consider position sizing carefully given the premium valuation and recent heavy insider selling activity.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Consistent Earnings Beats
Mastercard (MA) has exceeded analyst EPS estimates in its last four reported quarters, demonstrating operational resilience and effective financial management.
Source: Earnings ReportsBullish
Strong Revenue Growth Projections
The company is projected to achieve 14.00% revenue growth for the current year and 13.00% for the next, outpacing sector averages and supporting its premium valuation.
Source: Analyst EstimatesBullish
Positive Analyst Sentiment
A significant majority of analysts maintain 'Buy' or 'Outperform' ratings, with a median price target of $670.00, indicating confidence in future performance.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsBearish
Heavy Insider Selling
Insiders have sold over $130.4 million worth of stock across 90 transactions, signaling potential concerns about short-term stock performance.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Premium Valuation
Mastercard (MA) trades at a P/E ratio above the sector average, making it susceptible to pullbacks if growth expectations falter or market sentiment shifts.
Source: Financial AnalysisMarket Outlook
Mastercard (MA) is expected to maintain its growth trajectory over the next 6-12 months, driven by continued expansion in digital payments and its strong market position. The median analyst price target of $670.00 suggests a potential upside of 17.2% from the current price, reflecting confidence in its business model. Key upside catalysts include further penetration into emerging markets and successful integration of new payment technologies. Conversely, a significant economic downturn or increased regulatory scrutiny on payment processing fees could pose downside risks, potentially impacting its premium valuation and growth outlook.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 495.27B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 31.13 |
| EPS (TTM) | 18.16 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.5897% |
| 52 Week High | 601.62 |
| 52 Week Low | 464.52 |
Mastercard (MA) trades at a P/E ratio of approximately 31.13, which is above the sector average P/E of 25.5, suggesting a premium valuation. However, its reported revenue growth of 14.1% and projected growth of 14.00% for the current year significantly outpace the sector average of 10.00%, justifying some of this premium. The company's profitability is strong, with a positive EPS of $18.16. The consistent revenue and earnings growth suggest efficient operations. The current valuation appears stretched relative to sector averages, but this is supported by superior growth prospects.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Mastercard (MA) has a consistent track record of exceeding analyst EPS estimates over the last four reported quarters, with the most recent quarter (Q2 2026) showing a 5.44% surprise. Despite these earnings beats, the stock experienced a minor price decline of -0.74% following the latest report. Revenue growth remains a strong point, with current year projections indicating a 14.00% increase year-over-year, and next year's estimates showing continued growth of 13.00%. This consistent performance suggests operational strength and effective market positioning.
Key Risks
Mastercard (MA) faces valuation risk, trading at a P/E ratio above the sector average, which could lead to increased volatility if growth expectations are not met. Significant insider selling, with over $130 million in dispositions, raises concerns about management's short-term confidence in the stock price. Additionally, while revenue growth is strong, any deceleration could impact its premium valuation.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 44.38 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 2.93 |
| SMA 50 | 562.32 |
| SMA 200 | 531.10 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($562.32) above the 200-day SMA ($531.10), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.47
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.32
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.15
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
-0.07
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
MA Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$560.08
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
AGGRESSIVE
$571.52
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$543.28
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (44.4) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$588.09
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$616.09
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$644.10
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for MA is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in MA in September 2016 would be worth about $56,475 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MA today could grow to about $32,318 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $96,248 and a bear case around $10,851. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
MA Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $914 for MA by 2030 in the base case, from $572 today (1.6x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $458. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MA's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $455 | $643 | $908 |
| 2028 | $444 | $723 | $1,177 |
| 2029 | $447 | $813 | $1,477 |
| 2030 | $458 | $914 | $1,822 |
| 2031 | $475 | $1,027 | $2,223 |
| 2032 | $496 | $1,155 | $2,690 |
| 2033 | $521 | $1,299 | $3,237 |
| 2034 | $550 | $1,461 | $3,877 |
| 2035 | $583 | $1,643 | $4,625 |
| 2036 | $620 | $1,847 | $5,501 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using MA's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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MA Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$130.4M
33 Transactions
Insiders
25
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$4.0M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2023 | MASTERCARD FOUNDATION
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 603.9K | $224.4M |
| Aug 10, 2022 | MASTERCARD FOUNDATION
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 531.6K | $186.8M |
| Feb 9, 2022 | MASTERCARD FOUNDATION
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 465.2K | $176.1M |
| Feb 14, 2022 | MASTERCARD FOUNDATION
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 465.2K | $174.7M |
| Nov 9, 2022 | MASTERCARD FOUNDATION
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 531.6K | $171.1M |
| Aug 15, 2023 | MASTERCARD FOUNDATION
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 377.4K | $149.5M |
| Aug 10, 2023 | MASTERCARD FOUNDATION
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 377.4K | $149.0M |
| Nov 8, 2023 | MASTERCARD FOUNDATION
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 377.4K | $146.5M |
| May 10, 2023 | MASTERCARD FOUNDATION
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 377.4K | $145.0M |
| May 15, 2023 | MASTERCARD FOUNDATION
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 377.4K | $144.1M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Mastercard (MA) stock a buy right now?
Mastercard (MA) is currently rated a 'Buy' with a consensus score of 79 out of 100. The median analyst price target is $670.00, suggesting an upside of 17.2% from the current price of $571.52. This is supported by strong revenue growth and consistent earnings beats.
What is Mastercard's (MA) price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Mastercard's (MA) projected price for 2030 is $913.70 as a base case scenario. The downside projection is $458.20, and the upside projection is $1822.04. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.
What are the biggest risks facing Mastercard (MA)?
The primary risks for Mastercard (MA) include its premium valuation relative to sector averages and significant insider selling totaling over $130 million. A slowdown in its strong revenue growth could also negatively impact the stock.
How has Mastercard (MA) performed in recent earnings reports?
Mastercard (MA) has consistently beaten analyst EPS estimates in its last four reported quarters. The most recent quarter showed a 5.44% earnings surprise, though the stock saw a slight decline following the announcement.
What is Mastercard's (MA) revenue growth outlook?
Mastercard (MA) is projected to achieve 14.00% revenue growth for the current year and 13.00% for the next year. This strong growth trajectory is a key factor supporting its current valuation.
How does Mastercard's (MA) valuation compare to its peers?
Mastercard (MA) trades at a P/E ratio of approximately 31.13, which is higher than the sector average of 25.5. However, its superior revenue growth rate of 14.1% compared to the sector average of 10.0% helps justify this premium.
What is the current analyst consensus for Mastercard (MA)?
The current Wall Street consensus for Mastercard (MA) is 'Buy', with 40 analysts covering the stock. Nine analysts rate it 'Strong Buy', 28 rate it 'Buy', and three rate it 'Hold'.