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As of September 11, 2026, Moody's Corporation (MCO) trades at $470.91. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $570.00, 21.0% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $570.00 across 24 analysts. RSI at 34 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $490.63.
Moody's Corporation (MCO)
Moody's Corporation NYSE
$470.91
3.550 (0.76%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
74 / 100
Moody's Corporation (MCO) is currently trading at $470.91, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($490.63 and $473.05), signaling a bearish technical trend. Despite this, the company has a strong fundamental outlook, consistently beating earnings estimates and projecting revenue growth. The median analyst price target stands at $570, offering a significant 21% upside from the current price, with Wall Street consensus leaning towards a 'Buy' rating based on 24 analysts. The company's financial health appears strong, with a positive revenue growth of 15.1% and a P/E ratio of 30.11, which is in line with sector averages. While recent insider transactions show a moderate sell signal, the overall analyst sentiment and forward-looking revenue estimates suggest continued operational strength. The dividend yield of approximately 0.86% provides a modest income stream for investors.
MCO Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$473.55
Day Range
$467.75 to $473.79
Prev Close
$467.36
Volume
15.9K
52-Week Range
$402.28 to $546.88
Market Cap
$80.94B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Financial Services)
Performance vs IAI
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (0.0113% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
MCO Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+21.04% Upside
Median of 24 analysts (12-month)
$570.00
AI Technical Analysis
Moody's Corporation (MCO) is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($490.63 and $473.05), indicating a bearish short-to-medium term trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 34.18 further supports this, signaling bearish momentum. The MACD is also negative at -2.74, reinforcing the downward pressure. Key support levels are not explicitly provided, but the current price of $470.91 is below the 200-day SMA. Volume has been significantly below average, suggesting a lack of strong conviction behind the recent price action. Investors should monitor for a potential bounce off lower levels or a decisive move above the 50-day SMA to signal a shift in momentum.
ProTips
- Monitor Moody's Corporation (MCO) for a potential technical reversal as it trades below key moving averages; a move above the 50-day SMA could signal renewed bullish momentum.
- Given the moderate insider selling, investors should closely watch for any further significant sales or shifts in insider sentiment.
- Consider the company's dividend yield of approximately 0.86% as a minor component of total return, focusing primarily on capital appreciation driven by earnings and growth.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Consistent Earnings Beats
Moody's Corporation (MCO) has a track record of exceeding analyst EPS estimates, as seen in the July 2026 quarter with a 10.12% surprise, indicating strong operational execution.
Source: Earnings ReportsBullish
Positive Revenue Growth Projections
Analysts forecast continued revenue growth for Moody's Corporation (MCO), with current year estimates showing a 7.00% increase, suggesting sustained demand for its services.
Source: Analyst EstimatesBullish
Strong Analyst Consensus and Price Targets
The median analyst price target for MCO is $570, representing a 21% upside from the current price, supported by a 'Buy' consensus from 24 analysts.
Source: Wall Street SummaryBearish
Moderate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have net sold $20.7 million in MCO stock across 139 transactions, indicating a moderate sell signal and potential lack of insider confidence.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Bearish Technical Momentum
Moody's Corporation (MCO) is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($490.63 and $473.05), with bearish RSI and MACD indicators, suggesting short-term downward pressure.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
The base case for Moody's Corporation (MCO) over the next 6-12 months anticipates a recovery towards its median analyst target price of $570, driven by its consistent earnings beats and projected revenue growth. The company's strong market position in credit ratings and financial data services provides a stable foundation for future performance. Upside potential could be realized if MCO continues to outperform earnings expectations and benefits from increased market activity or regulatory tailwinds. Conversely, a significant economic slowdown or increased competition could pressure its valuation and hinder its ability to reach target price levels, potentially leading to a retest of support levels near its 200-day moving average.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 80.94B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 30.11 |
| EPS (TTM) | 15.52 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.8558% |
| 52 Week High | 546.88 |
| 52 Week Low | 402.28 |
Moody's Corporation (MCO) exhibits a P/E ratio of 30.11, which is slightly above the sector average of 25.5, suggesting a potential valuation premium. However, its earnings per share (EPS) of $15.52 and consistent revenue growth of 15.1% justify this premium, as the company demonstrates strong profitability and expansion. The company's balance sheet strength is implied by its consistent earnings performance and positive revenue trajectory. The overall financial health appears sound, supporting the current valuation. The market capitalization of $80.94 billion indicates a large, established player in the financial services sector.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Moody's Corporation (MCO) has demonstrated a pattern of beating earnings estimates, with the most recent quarter (July 2026) showing an EPS of $4.68 against an estimate of $4.25, a 10.12% surprise. This follows a trend of positive surprises in previous quarters, although the stock experienced a price decline of -3.57% following the latest earnings release. Revenue growth has been consistent, with the current year projected to grow by 7.00% to $8.3 billion. This sustained earnings performance, coupled with positive revenue outlook, indicates underlying business strength.
Key Risks
Moody's Corporation (MCO) faces risks related to its valuation, trading slightly above sector P/E averages, and a bearish technical setup with the price below key moving averages. Insider activity shows a moderate sell signal, with $20.7 million in net sales over 139 transactions, indicating some lack of insider confidence. Also, the company's dividend yield of approximately 0.86% is relatively low, which may not be attractive to income-focused investors. The recent price reaction to earnings, despite beats, suggests market sensitivity to growth expectations or broader sector sentiment.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 34.18 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -2.74 |
| SMA 50 | 490.63 |
| SMA 200 | 473.05 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($490.63) above the 200-day SMA ($473.05), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.54
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.41
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.40
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.00
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
MCO Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$461.49
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
AGGRESSIVE
$470.91
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$447.65
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (34.2) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$484.57
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$507.64
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$530.72
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for MCO is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in MCO in September 2016 would be worth about $43,031 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MCO today could grow to about $28,908 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $89,503 and a bear case around $9,337. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
MCO Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $720 for MCO by 2030 in the base case, from $471 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $352. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MCO's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $366 | $524 | $749 |
| 2028 | $351 | $582 | $965 |
| 2029 | $349 | $648 | $1,202 |
| 2030 | $352 | $720 | $1,472 |
| 2031 | $360 | $801 | $1,780 |
| 2032 | $371 | $890 | $2,137 |
| 2033 | $385 | $990 | $2,549 |
| 2034 | $401 | $1,101 | $3,025 |
| 2035 | $419 | $1,224 | $3,577 |
| 2036 | $440 | $1,361 | $4,215 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using MCO's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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MCO Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$20.7M
43 Transactions
Insiders
19
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$480.6K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2023 | MCDANIEL RAYMOND W JR.
Director
|
Sell | 38.5K | $12.8M |
| Nov 6, 2020 | MCDANIEL RAYMOND W JR.
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 42.7K | $12.4M |
| Nov 30, 2020 | MCDANIEL RAYMOND W JR.
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 42.7K | $11.9M |
| Mar 6, 2020 | MCDANIEL RAYMOND W JR.
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 42.9K | $10.2M |
| Apr 6, 2020 | MCDANIEL RAYMOND W JR.
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 42.9K | $9.5M |
| May 13, 2021 | MCDANIEL RAYMOND W JR.
Director
|
Sell | 26.0K | $8.5M |
| May 6, 2021 | MCDANIEL RAYMOND W JR.
Director
|
Sell | 26.0K | $8.5M |
| May 5, 2021 | MCDANIEL RAYMOND W JR.
Director
|
Sell | 18.0K | $5.9M |
| Mar 12, 2021 | MCDANIEL RAYMOND W JR.
Director
|
Sell | 19.4K | $5.7M |
| Feb 1, 2023 | MCDANIEL RAYMOND W JR.
Director
|
Sell | 17.0K | $5.5M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Moody's Corporation (MCO) stock a buy right now?
Moody's Corporation (MCO) is currently rated a 'Buy' by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $570, suggesting a 21% upside from its current price of $470.91. The company has a history of beating earnings estimates and shows positive revenue growth.
What is Moody's Corporation's (MCO) fair value?
The calculated fair value for Moody's Corporation (MCO) is $570.00, based on the median analyst price target. This implies a potential upside of 21.0% from the current trading price.
What are the biggest risks facing Moody's Corporation (MCO)?
Key risks for Moody's Corporation (MCO) include its current trading price being below key moving averages, indicating bearish technical momentum, and a moderate insider sell signal. Additionally, its P/E ratio is slightly above the sector average.
How has Moody's Corporation (MCO) performed in recent earnings reports?
Moody's Corporation (MCO) has consistently beaten earnings estimates, most recently reporting an EPS of $4.68 versus an estimate of $4.25 in July 2026. Despite these beats, the stock saw a minor price decline following the latest report.
What is the outlook for Moody's Corporation (MCO) revenue growth?
Moody's Corporation (MCO) is projected to achieve revenue growth of 7.00% for the current year, reaching an estimated $8.3 billion. The next year's revenue is expected to grow further to $8.9 billion.
What is the consensus rating for Moody's Corporation (MCO) among analysts?
The consensus rating for Moody's Corporation (MCO) among 24 Wall Street analysts is 'Buy', with a Wall Street score of 74 out of 100. The breakdown includes 5 'Strong Buy', 13 'Buy', and 6 'Hold' ratings.
How does Moody's Corporation (MCO) compare to its sector averages?
Moody's Corporation (MCO) has a P/E ratio of 30.11, slightly higher than the sector average of 25.5, but its revenue growth of 15.1% significantly exceeds the sector average of 10.0%. Its debt-to-equity ratio is estimated at 0.5, compared to the sector average of 0.5.