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As of September 27, 2026, Western Digital Corp. (WDC) trades at $456.81. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Sell with a fair value of $456.81, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $640.00 across 26 analysts. RSI at 47 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $473.94.
Western Digital Corp. (WDC)
Western Digital Corp. NASDAQ
$456.81
6.500 (1.44%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
21 / 100
Western Digital Corp. (WDC) is currently trading at $456.81, below its 50-day moving average of $473.94, signaling a potential near-term downturn. Despite a strong consensus "Buy" rating from Wall Street analysts and strong forward revenue growth estimates of +49.00% for the current year, significant insider selling totaling $79.5 million presents a considerable risk. The company's own fundamentals show a high profit margin of 72.95% and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.13, but these are overshadowed by the negative insider activity and current technical weakness. Analysts maintain a median price target of $640.00, implying a 40.1% upside from the current price, and the company's forward EPS estimates are strong, with current year projections at $20.09. However, the heavy insider selling from insider transactions, with no insider purchases offsetting substantial sales, indicates a lack of confidence from management and key stakeholders. This heavy selling pressure, coupled with the stock trading below its intermediate-term moving average, warrants caution despite the positive analyst outlook and strong reported profit margins.
WDC Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$455.24
Day Range
$447.69 to $461.98
Prev Close
$450.31
Volume
5.94M
52-Week Range
$99.72 to $799.87
Market Cap
$164.70B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-50%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
WDC Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, WDC beat estimates 2 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
WDC Analysis
Company's Health
2/5
AI Technical Analysis
Western Digital Corp. (WDC) is trading at $456.81, currently below its 50-day moving average of $473.94, indicating a bearish short-term trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 46.99, reflecting neutral momentum, while the MACD is at -6.305, suggesting a potential bearish crossover. The stock is trading above its 200-day moving average of $393.26, which acts as a longer-term support level. Volume on the latest trading day was 5.94 million shares, which is 23.6% below the average volume of 7.77 million shares, suggesting subdued investor interest at current levels. Key support is seen around the 200-day SMA, while resistance may be encountered near the 50-day SMA. The current technical setup, with the price below the 50-day SMA and significant insider selling, points towards potential downside risk in the near term.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transactions closely, as the current heavy selling pressure from management may indicate underlying concerns despite positive analyst ratings.
- The stock is trading below its 50-day moving average, suggesting a potential for further price declines. Consider waiting for a confirmed technical breakout above resistance levels before initiating new positions.
- Given the premium valuation relative to sector peers (P/S ratio of 12.75 vs. sector median of 7.5), ensure that the company's projected growth materializes to justify the current stock price.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Heavy Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold approximately $79.5 million worth of Western Digital Corp. (WDC) stock with no reported purchases, indicating a significant lack of confidence from management and key stakeholders.
Source: Insider Transactions DataBearish
Technical Weakness Below 50-Day SMA
Western Digital Corp. (WDC) is trading below its 50-day Simple Moving Average of $473.94, suggesting a bearish short-term trend and potential for further price depreciation.
Source: Technical Analysis DataBullish
Strong Analyst Consensus and Price Targets
26 Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' consensus for Western Digital Corp. (WDC) with a median price target of $640.00, implying a 40.1% upside from the current price.
Source: Wall Street SummaryBullish
Strong Forward Revenue and EPS Growth Projections
Analysts forecast significant growth for Western Digital Corp. (WDC), with current year revenue growth estimated at +49.00% and EPS projected to reach $20.09.
Source: Wall Street SummaryMarket Outlook
Western Digital Corp. (WDC) faces a mixed outlook, with strong projected revenue growth of 49.00% for the current year and a median analyst price target of $640.00, suggesting significant upside potential from its current price of $456.81. The company's strong profit margins and low debt levels provide a solid financial foundation. Analysts anticipate EPS to reach $20.09 this year and $31.75 next year, reflecting strong earnings power. However, the outlook is tempered by substantial insider selling totaling $79.5 million and the stock trading below its 50-day moving average, indicating potential near-term headwinds. While the consensus remains positive, the heavy insider dispositions signal caution. Investors should monitor upcoming earnings reports and any shifts in insider activity, as these factors could significantly influence the stock's trajectory against the backdrop of strong projected growth and analyst optimism.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 164.70B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 16.96 |
| EPS (TTM) | 26.93 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.03% |
| 52 Week High | 799.87 |
| 52 Week Low | 99.72 |
Western Digital Corp. (WDC) exhibits strong profitability with a net profit margin of 72.95% and an operating margin of 43.61%, alongside a healthy return on equity of 130.85%. Its debt-to-equity ratio stands at a low 0.13, indicating a strong balance sheet. However, the company's price-to-sales ratio of 12.75 is significantly higher than the sector median of 7.5, suggesting a premium valuation relative to its sales. Despite the premium valuation, Wall Street analysts project substantial revenue growth, with current year estimates at $19.2 billion, a 49.00% increase year-over-year, and next year's revenue expected to reach $26.2 billion, up 37.00%. Earnings per share are also projected to grow significantly, with current year EPS estimated at $20.09 and next year's at $31.75. This strong growth outlook, combined with high profit margins, contrasts with the current technical weakness and heavy insider selling.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Western Digital Corp. (WDC) most recently reported earnings for the quarter ending June 2026, with an actual EPS of $3.56 that beat the estimate of $3.30 by 7.88%, though this was accompanied by a significant price drop of -13.03%. Prior to that, the quarter ending June 2026 showed a missed EPS of -0.16 against an estimate of -0.14, resulting in a -13.17% price change. The quarter ending March 2026 saw an EPS beat of $2.72 versus an estimate of $2.39, but the stock reacted negatively with a -0.69% change. The pattern of mixed earnings beats and misses, coupled with negative stock reactions even on positive EPS surprises, suggests that market sentiment may be weighing heavily on the stock, irrespective of headline earnings figures.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Western Digital Corp. (WDC) stems from significant insider selling, with over $79.5 million in dispositions and no reported purchases, indicating a lack of confidence from management. Technically, the stock is trading below its 50-day moving average, suggesting potential for further downside. Also, its price-to-sales ratio of 12.75 is considerably higher than the sector median of 7.5, indicating that the stock may be overvalued relative to its sales, especially given the current technical weakness.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 46.99 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -6.31 |
| SMA 50 | 473.94 |
| SMA 200 | 393.26 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($473.94) above the 200-day SMA ($393.26), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.52
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.60
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.20
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.19
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with WDC? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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WDC Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Short entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$465.95
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$456.81
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$490.87
MAX LOSS
-5.4%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (47.0) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$442.65
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$419.35
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$396.05
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
WDC is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 3.56%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in WDC in September 2016 would be worth about $102,677 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in WDC today could grow to about $39,718 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $301,327 and a bear case around $5,235. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
WDC Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $793 for WDC by 2030 in the base case, from $457 today (1.7x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $220. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on WDC's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $276 | $524 | $995 |
| 2028 | $243 | $602 | $1,490 |
| 2029 | $228 | $691 | $2,096 |
| 2030 | $220 | $793 | $2,857 |
| 2031 | $217 | $910 | $3,815 |
| 2032 | $217 | $1,045 | $5,021 |
| 2033 | $220 | $1,200 | $6,536 |
| 2034 | $225 | $1,377 | $8,435 |
| 2035 | $231 | $1,581 | $10,807 |
| 2036 | $239 | $1,814 | $13,765 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using WDC's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. WDC is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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WDC Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$79.5M
49 Transactions
Insiders
16
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.6M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | MASSENGILL MATTHEW E
Director
|
Sell | 36.9K | $9.6M |
| Aug 11, 2026 | TAN IRVING
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 20.0K | $8.9M |
| May 1, 2026 | TAN IRVING
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 20.0K | $8.2M |
| Sep 5, 2019 | RAY MICHAEL CHARLES
Officer
|
Sell | 92.0K | $5.5M |
| Oct 25, 2024 | GOECKELER DAVID V
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 75.0K | $5.4M |
| Sep 26, 2024 | GOECKELER DAVID V
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 75.0K | $5.3M |
| Feb 2, 2026 | TAN IRVING
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 20.0K | $5.1M |
| May 11, 2026 | DAVIS BRIAN SCOTT
Officer
|
Sell | 10.0K | $5.0M |
| Dec 5, 2025 | GUBBI VIDYADHARA K
Officer
|
Sell | 22.8K | $3.7M |
| Nov 3, 2025 | TAN IRVING
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 20.0K | $3.0M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Western Digital Corp.'s stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Western Digital Corp.'s (WDC) stock price is projected to be $793.11 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $220.16, while the upside projection reaches $2,857.09. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guarantees.
Is Western Digital Corp. stock a buy right now?
Western Digital Corp. (WDC) is currently trading at $456.81. While Wall Street analysts have a median price target of $640.00, implying a 40.1% upside, significant insider selling and the stock trading below its 50-day moving average suggest caution is warranted.
What is the RSI for Western Digital Corp. stock?
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Western Digital Corp. (WDC) is currently 46.99, which indicates neutral momentum and suggests neither an overbought nor oversold condition.
How does Western Digital Corp.'s valuation compare to its sector peers?
Western Digital Corp. (WDC) has a price-to-sales ratio of 12.75, which is considerably higher than the sector median of 7.5. However, its profit margin of 72.95% and debt-to-equity ratio of 0.13 are strong compared to sector averages.
Are insiders buying or selling Western Digital Corp. stock?
Insiders at Western Digital Corp. (WDC) are net sellers, with total sales amounting to $79.5 million and no reported purchases. This heavy selling pressure is a significant factor to consider.
What are the key technical levels for Western Digital Corp.?
Western Digital Corp. (WDC) is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of $473.94, which acts as resistance, and above its 200-day SMA of $393.26, which serves as support. The RSI is neutral at 46.99.
What is the consensus rating for Western Digital Corp. stock?
The consensus rating for Western Digital Corp. (WDC) among Wall Street analysts is 'Buy', with a score of 74 out of 100. This is based on 4 Strong Buys, 17 Buys, and 5 Holds among 26 analysts.