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As of August 12, 2026, AppLovin Corporation (APP) trades at $318.68. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Sell with a fair value of $300.00, 5.9% below the current price. RSI at 29 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $467.40.
AppLovin Corporation (APP)
$318.68 -20.32 (-5.99%)
At close: Aug 11, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
15 / 100
AppLovin Corporation (APP) is currently trading at $318.70, well below its 50-day ($467.40) and 200-day ($512.80) moving averages, indicating a strong downtrend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 29.15, firmly in oversold territory, suggesting potential for a short-term bounce but not a reversal of the current bearish momentum. Revenue growth has been robust at 52.8%, but this is overshadowed by significant insider selling, with over $1.6 billion in sales versus zero purchases, pointing to a heavy insider selling verdict. This divergence between strong top-line growth and negative insider sentiment presents a key risk.
The company operates in the Advertising Agencies industry within the Communication Services sector. While the strong revenue growth is a positive fundamental indicator, the current technical setup and overwhelming insider selling create a challenging environment for investors. The market capitalization stands at $107.06 billion, with a P/E ratio of 26.04 based on an EPS of $13.02. However, the price action and insider activity are the dominant signals at this juncture, suggesting caution is warranted.
APP Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$329.00
Day Range
$318.12 to $329.94
Prev Close
$339.00
Volume
7.92M
52-Week Range
$318.12 to $745.61
Market Cap
$107.06B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Communication Services)
Performance vs XLC
Sector Position Analysis
The stock's valuation metrics position it within the sector's competitive landscape, reflecting its market standing and growth trajectory relative to industry peers.
APP Analysis
Company's Health 2/5
AI Analyst Target -15.00% Downside
Target Price
$270.88
AI Technical Analysis
AppLovin Corporation's (APP) technical indicators paint a decidedly bearish picture. The stock is trading significantly below its 20-day ($398.30), 50-day ($467.40), and 200-day ($512.80) simple moving averages, confirming a strong bearish trend. The MACD is significantly negative at -34.62, and the RSI is at an oversold 29.15, suggesting that while a short-term bounce is possible, the underlying momentum remains weak. The Stochastic indicator is at 0.4679, indicating a lack of immediate upward momentum.
Key support levels are currently being tested, with the price action indicating that the moving averages are acting as resistance. The oversold RSI suggests that selling pressure may be nearing exhaustion in the very short term, but without a clear catalyst or shift in insider sentiment, a sustained recovery is unlikely. Investors should monitor for any signs of a bullish divergence on the RSI or a MACD crossover as potential early indicators of a trend change.
ProTips
- Given the heavy insider selling from insiders and the stock trading below its 200-day SMA, consider implementing a tighter stop-loss strategy to manage downside risk, potentially 1.5x the daily volatility away from the current price.
- The oversold RSI (29.15) suggests a potential for a short-term bounce. However, this should not be interpreted as a buy signal without confirmation from insider activity or a break above key resistance levels.
- Monitor AppLovin Corporation's (APP) upcoming earnings reports and any management commentary for signs of changing sentiment or catalysts that could counteract the current bearish trend and insider selling.
Key Catalysts
Bearish Heavy Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold over $1.6 billion worth of stock with no reported purchases, leading to a heavy insider selling verdict. This indicates a significant lack of confidence from management and board members.
Source: Insider Transaction Data Bearish Breakdown Below Key Moving Averages
AppLovin Corporation (APP) is trading significantly below its 50-day ($467.40) and 200-day ($512.80) moving averages, confirming a strong bearish trend and indicating potential for further price declines.
Source: Technical Analysis Bearish Oversold RSI Indicating Weak Momentum
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 29.15, firmly in oversold territory. While this could precede a bounce, it primarily reflects strong selling pressure and weak underlying momentum.
Source: Technical Analysis Neutral Strong Revenue Growth Trajectory
AppLovin Corporation (APP) continues to report robust revenue growth of 52.8%, indicating strong market demand for its products and services. This fundamental strength is currently being overshadowed by negative sentiment.
Source: Fundamental Data Market Outlook
The outlook for AppLovin Corporation (APP) is bearish in the near to medium term, driven by significant insider selling and negative technical signals. The stock's position well below key moving averages and oversold RSI suggest that further downside is probable, even with strong reported revenue growth of 52.8%. A potential target for support could be found lower, but without a clear reversal in insider sentiment or a significant shift in technicals, a sustained recovery is unlikely.
Upside catalysts would require a dramatic shift in insider behavior, a strong positive earnings surprise that counters current sentiment, or a broader market rally that lifts oversold stocks. Conversely, any further negative news, continued insider divestitures, or a failure to hold current support levels could lead to further price depreciation. The current environment suggests a 'Hold' or 'Sell' rating is more appropriate than a 'Buy'.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 107.06B |
| P/E Ratio | 26.04 |
| EPS (TTM) | 13.02 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 745.61 |
| 52 Week Low | 318.12 |
AppLovin Corporation (APP) exhibits a P/E ratio of 26.04, which appears reasonable given its substantial revenue growth of 52.8%. However, this valuation is juxtaposed against a significantly bearish technical and insider sentiment. The Earnings Per Share (EPS) stands at $13.02. While the company is profitable, the current market price action suggests investors are discounting future growth or are concerned about factors not immediately apparent in the headline numbers. Comparing APP's P/E to the sector average of 35.2 indicates it might be trading at a discount, but this is overshadowed by the negative technicals and insider activity.
The company's strong revenue growth is a positive fundamental attribute, but its sustainability needs to be assessed in light of the broader market conditions and competitive landscape within the advertising technology space. Without more detailed balance sheet data or profit margin information, a comprehensive fundamental assessment is limited. However, the current price action and insider selling strongly suggest that the market is pricing in significant headwinds or a re-evaluation of the company's growth prospects despite the reported top-line expansion.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
AppLovin Corporation (APP) reported an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $13.02, contributing to its P/E ratio of 26.04. While specific recent earnings performance details (beat/miss) are not provided, the EPS figure indicates profitability. The company's impressive 52.8% revenue growth suggests strong operational performance and market demand for its services.
Forward-looking guidance and detailed earnings call transcripts would provide further insight into management's expectations and the sustainability of this growth. However, the current data focuses on the trailing EPS and revenue growth, which, while positive, are currently being overshadowed by significant negative technical and insider signals.
Key Risks
The primary risk for AppLovin Corporation (APP) stems from the overwhelming insider selling, with over $1.6 billion in dispositions and zero purchases, leading to a heavy insider selling verdict. This indicates a significant lack of confidence from those closest to the company's operations. Additionally, the stock is trading significantly below its key moving averages (50-day and 200-day SMAs) and exhibits oversold technical indicators (RSI 29.15), suggesting a strong bearish trend that could persist despite the company's robust revenue growth.
Competitive pressures within the digital advertising and app marketing space also pose a risk, as the industry is dynamic and subject to evolving privacy regulations and platform changes. While not explicitly detailed in the provided data, these external factors could contribute to the negative sentiment observed in insider activity and technical price action.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 29.15 |
| MACD | -34.62 |
| SMA 50 | 467.40 |
| SMA 200 | 512.80 |
Technical Rating Bearish
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $467.40, 200-day: $512.80), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 29.2 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.46
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.50
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.40
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU) +0.13
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
APP Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative 2% Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🔴 SHORT ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$325.05
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
AGGRESSIVE
$318.68
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$353.63
MAX LOSS
-8.8%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (29.2) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$308.80
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$292.55
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$276.30
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
⚠️ High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
APP is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 5.33%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on August 12, 2026. Growth of $10,000
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Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
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APP Insider Trading Analysis
Source: SEC Form 4▲
Bought None
No open-market buys
▼
Sold $1.6B
75 Transactions
●
Insiders 13
Active Traders
$
Avg Transaction $21.6M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|