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Stock·NASDAQ·Technology

Strategy Inc. (MSTR)

$136.83 -14.46 (-9.56%)
At close: Oct 16, 4:00 PM EDT
Hold
42 / 100
CleaRank AI scorei
Market cap
$57.94B
Dividend yield
0.00%
Street target
$215.00median of 16 analysts
52-week range
$81.81 $306.16
01

The short version

Where MSTR stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

MSTR at a glance

Strategy Inc. (MSTR): Hold, 42/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($134.92 and $135.60).
  • Earnings MSTR beat estimates in 1 of its last 3 quarters, yet fell the next day after every one of them.
  • Insiders Insiders sold $144.3M and bought $779K over the last 18 months.

Figures as of October 17, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

MSTR (Strategy Inc.) carries a CleaRank rating of Hold and a model score of 42/100.

Analysts' views add the most to that score, with 15 of 16 rating the stock a buy and a median target 57.1% above the price. Valuation drags the score down the most: there is no meaningful P/E because the company lost money, and the P/S of 128.55 sits 1,591.4% above the sector median. The trend is up, with the price 1.41% above its 50-day average of $134.92 and 0.90% above its 200-day average of $135.60. The price has fallen 51.79% over the past year.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from MSTR's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

Price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

2/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $136.83 is 1.4% above the 50-day simple moving average of $134.92.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 0.9% above the 200-day simple moving average of $135.60.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($134.92) is 0.5% below the 200-day average ($135.60), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 25% of its 52-week range, between $81.81 and $306.16.

MSTR share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far MSTR has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $283.84 Oct 16, 2025
Latest close $136.83 Oct 16, 2026
High $301.91 Oct 21, 2025
Low $82.31 Jun 26, 2026

Today's trading

Where MSTR sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 9.48% wide
$136.83
$134.11 $146.83
52-week range 25% of the way up
$136.83
$81.81 $306.16
Open
$145.95
Previous close
$151.29
Volume
31.83M
61% above average
Market cap
$57.94B
03

Fundamentals

Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.

3.0

Valuation and quality checks

0/3
  • P/S below the sector median ›
    The price-to-sales ratio of 128.55 is 1,591.5% above the sector median of 7.6.
  • Profitable over the last 12 months ›
    Net income over the last 12 months was $-31.4B on revenue of $498.3M, a net margin of -6,294.2%.
  • Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
    MSTR beat the EPS estimate in 1 of its last 3 reports.

Key statistics

The headline figures for MSTR.

Market Cap
57.94B
P/E Ratio
N/A (Negative EPS)
EPS (TTM)
-93.26
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52 Week High
306.16
52 Week Low
81.81

As of October 17, 2026, MSTR trades at $136.83, with a market value of $57.94B and no P/E ratio (its trailing earnings are negative).

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of MSTR's valuation, growth and risks.

Valuation

A P/E cannot be read for Strategy Inc. (MSTR): it is not meaningful, because the company lost money over the last 12 months. MSTR trades at 128.55 times its sales, 1,591.4% above the sector median of 7.6. For scale, MSTR carries a market capitalisation of $57.9B and trailing earnings of -$93.26 a share.

MSTR is losing money: its net margin and operating margin are both -6.00%. Revenue growth of 6.90% leaves it 17.3 percentage points slower than the sector median of 24.2%. Return on equity stands at -63.56%, below the sector median of 13.4%. Debt-to-equity of 0.15 completes the balance sheet picture.

Earnings & Growth

Strategy Inc. (MSTR) reported -$24.45 a share on the July 30, 2026 report, against a $3.07 estimate, missing the estimate by 896.42%. Investors reacted in the next session, when the stock fell 4.56%.

MSTR beat estimates in 1 of the last 3 reports, and the stock still fell in the first session after that beat. The biggest reaction among the earlier reports came after the July 31, 2025 report: EPS beat the estimate by 51.40%, yet the stock fell 8.77%. For this fiscal year, analysts' average EPS estimate is -$23.30, and for next year it is $13.41.

Key risks

Strategy Inc. (MSTR) is a stock to plan around day to day: it has moved 5.04% on an average session. The price is also 55.31% below its 52-week high of $306.16, so the distance from that peak is large.

MSTR against the Technology sector

How MSTR compares with the median Technology stock CleaRank tracks.

P/S ratio 1,591% above the median
MSTR
129x
Sector median
7.6x
Revenue growth, year on year 17.3 points below the median
MSTR
6.9%
Sector median
24.2%
Return on equity 77.0 points below the median
MSTR
-63.6%
Sector median
13.4%

Price to sales vs sector: On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, MSTR trades at 128.55x, far above the sector average of 7.60x.

Return vs XLK: Since May 6, 2025, MSTR has lost 64.5% against a gain of 71.7% for XLK.

Performance against XLK

MSTR and the Technology sector fund over the same days.

Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Apr '26Jul '26Oct '26
MSTR XLK

Revenue and earnings

How much MSTR sells, and how much of it becomes profit.

Revenue, 12 months
$498M
Net income, 12 months
-$31.4B
Net margin
-6,294.2%
Revenue growth
+6.9%
latest quarter, year on year
FY2021-105% marginFY2022-294% marginFY202386% marginFY2024-252% marginFY2025-806% margin
Revenue Net income

Revenue growth: Revenue grew 3.0% in FY2025 to $477M, from $463M a year earlier.

Profit margin: The net margin was -806.3% in FY2025, down from -251.7% the year before.

Loss-making: MSTR lost $3.8B in FY2025.

Earnings reality check

Did MSTR beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?

Beat the estimate
1 of 3
last 3 reports
Fell after a beat
1 of 1
first session after the report
Average surprise
-331.5%
actual EPS against the estimate
Avg. first-session move
-4.5%
the stock, after the report
EPS surprise
First-session move
Jul '25May '26Jul '26

Earnings record: MSTR beat the analyst estimate in 1 of the last 3 quarters.

Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 1 of those 1 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.

MSTR earnings surprises and the stock's reaction
Report Estimate Actual Surprise First session 5 sessions
Jul 30, 2026after close $3.07 -$24.45 -896.42% -4.56% -0.91%
May 5, 2026after close -$15.33 -$38.25 -149.51% -0.04% -1.33%
Jul 31, 2025after close $21.48 $32.52 +51.40% -8.77% +0.04%

As of October 17, 2026, MSTR has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 1 of its last 3 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after it; its latest report, on July 30, 2026, came in 896.42% below the estimate and the stock moved -4.56% in the first session.

The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.

04

AI analysis and technicals

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

2/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 42.6, in neutral territory.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 42.6 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.

CleaRank AI analysis of MSTR

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

Company's health
2/5
12-month analyst target
$215.00
+57.13% above price · median of 16 analysts
AI analyst consensus
42/100
Hold
What the AI sees

At $136.83, Strategy Inc. (MSTR) sits in an uptrend, trading 1.41% above its 50-day average of $134.92 and 0.90% above its 200-day average of $135.60. The stock is near the bottom of its 52-week range: the price is 67.25% above the low of $81.81 and 55.31% below the high of $306.16. The averages still lag the price, since the 50-day sits 0.50% below the 200-day.

The longer record is weaker than the recent run of gains. Over the past year the price fell 51.79%, even though it rose 44.26% over three months and 8.44% over the past month. In the last session, which saw the price fall 9.56%, volume came in 61.0% above its average. The 14-day RSI sits at 42.6, which is neutral, and the MACD line is positive.

Catalysts
Rewards
  • Rating reaffirmed ›

    Barclays kept its Overweight rating on October 9, 2026.

    Source: Analyst action, Barclays, October 9, 2026
Risks
  • Earnings miss ›

    The July 30, 2026 report missed the EPS estimate by 896.42%, and the share price fell 4.56% in the first session after it.

    Source: Earnings report, July 30, 2026
ProTips
  1. The two levels nearest the price are the 20-day EMA at $149.71, above it, and the 200-day SMA at $135.60, below it.
  2. The 14-day RSI is 42.6, which is neutral, and the MACD line is positive. Readings above 70 or below 30 point to stretched momentum.
  3. The share price fell 4.56% in the first session after the July 30, 2026 report. MSTR beat estimates in 1 of the last 3 reports.
Market outlook

The uptrend rests on MSTR staying above its 50-day average at $134.92 and its 200-day average at $135.60; a close below the 200-day would be the first crack in it. On a pullback, the first level the price would meet is the 200-day SMA at $135.60.

Strategy Inc. (MSTR) has one nearby level on the upside: the 20-day EMA at $149.71, which sits above the price and would be the first level a rise meets.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for MSTR, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Neutral 2 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Neutral
  • SMA cross Neutral
  • Price vs SMA Bullish
  • MACD Bullish
Momentum Neutral
42.614-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) 2.46 Bullish
Trend No clear cross
+1.4%price against the 50-day average
200-day $135.60 50-day $134.92 Price $136.83
Price against the 200-day +0.9% Bullish

As of October 17, 2026, with MSTR at $136.83, its 14-day RSI is 42.6 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $134.92 and its 200-day is $135.60.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 17, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).

What MSTR moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.47 Moderate
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.50 Moderate
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.81 Strong
Gold (XAU) +0.22 Weak

As of October 17, 2026, MSTR's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.47 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.50 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.81 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.22 with gold (XAU).

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05

What Wall Street expects

The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.

5.0

Analysts checks

3/3
  • Most analysts rate it a buy ›
    15 of 16 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell.
  • Median target above the price ›
    The median 12-month target of $215.00 is 57.1% above the price.
  • More buy ratings than three months ago ›
    15 of 16 rate it a buy now, against 14 of 15 three months ago.

MSTR Wall Street View

12-month price targets

Low $165.00 Median $215.00 (+57.1%) High $435.00

The price, $136.83, sits below every analyst's target.

Ratings

Buy 15 Hold 1 Sell 0 3 months ago: 14 of 15 buy

Recent rating actions

Recent analyst rating actions on MSTR
Date Firm Action Rating
Oct 9, 2026 Barclays Maintains Overweight
Oct 2, 2026 Citigroup Maintains Buy
Sep 22, 2026 B. Riley Securities Maintains Buy
Sep 15, 2026 Barclays Maintains Overweight
Sep 8, 2026 Canaccord Genuity Maintains Buy
Sep 3, 2026 B. Riley Securities Maintains Buy

As of October 17, 2026, 16 Wall Street analysts cover MSTR: 15 rate it a buy or strong buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $165.00 to $435.00, with a median of $215.00, 57.1% above the price of $136.83.

Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.

06

A trade plan, if you want one

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

MSTR trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 2%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Entry Strategies pick an entry style

Conservative
$135.46
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$136.83
At current price
Enter now if confident

Risk management

Stop loss
$116.19
Max loss
-14.2%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (42.6) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$139.53
+3% (Conservative) +2.0% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$142.23
+5% (Conservative) +4.0% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$146.30
+8% (Conservative) +6.9% (Aggressive)

MSTR moves about 5.0% a day on average, so a stop can fill well past its level. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much MSTR tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
5.04%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$136.83
$81.81 25% of the way up $306.16

Compare MSTR

Put MSTR side by side with other stocks and benchmarks.

07

The long record

MSTR's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

7.0

Track record checks

2/4
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 5.04% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 89.2%, from February 2021 to December 2022, regained by March 2024.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    55% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $79,622, against $42,055 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

MSTR Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, last 10 years
-89.2%
February 2021 to December 2022
Recovery
15 months
back at the old peak by March 2024
From the 10-year high
-71.1%
highest close, November 2024
1-year holds that gained
55%
of every 1-year window

As of October 17, 2026, MSTR's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -89.2% (February 2021 to December 2022); it regained that peak by March 2024, 15 months after the low, and 55% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into MSTR in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

MSTR today
$79,622
from $10,000 in October 2016, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$42,055
the same $10,000 in SPY
Ahead of the index by
$37,567
1.9x the index result
Total change
+696%
8.0x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
MSTR S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: MSTR beat the S&P 500 over this period: $79,622 against $42,055.

A $10,000 investment in MSTR in October 2016 would be worth about $79,622 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,055 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to MSTR, and which have not.

Jan7/10 upFeb6/10 upMar4/10 upApr6/10 upMay3/10 upJun6/10 upJul8/10 upAug5/10 upSep4/10 upOct7/9 upNov5/10 upDec3/10 up

Strongest month, July: an average of +16.74%, up in 8 of 10 years.

Weakest month, May: an average of -4.10%, up in 3 of 10 years.

This month, October: has averaged +15.35%, up in 7 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 10 years, MSTR's strongest calendar month has been July (average +16.74%, up in 8 of 10 years) and its weakest May (average -4.10%, up in 3 of 10 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.

08

Long-term scenarios

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in MSTR, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2036
$3,637
10th percentile
Base case, 2036
$27,590
median path
Upside, 2036
$209,314
90th percentile
202620282030203220342036
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MSTR today could grow to about $27,590 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $209,314 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $3,637. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

MSTR Stock Price Prediction: 2030

The same simulation in share prices, year by year.

Price today
$137
Base case, 2030
$205
1.5x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$57.00 to $740
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $205 for MSTR by 2030 in the base case, from $137 today (1.5x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $57.00. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MSTR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

MSTR simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $79.79 $151 $287
2028 $67.73 $168 $415
2029 $61.15 $186 $563
2030 $57.00 $205 $740
2031 $54.23 $227 $952

Method: a lognormal simulation of MSTR's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. MSTR is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation.

09

Insider trading

What the people running the company have bought and sold.

MSTR insider trading

Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.

Bought
$779K
1 open-market purchase
Sold
$144.3M
71 open-market sales
Insiders filing
11
over the last 18 months
Average trade
$2.0M
buys and sales together

Month by month

Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.

May '25Aug '25Nov '25Feb '26May '26Aug '26Oct '26

Insider buying: Insiders bought $779K on the open market and sold $144.3M.

As of October 17, 2026, MSTR insiders reported 71 open-market sales worth $144.3M and 1 open-market purchase worth $779K over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.

Insider transactions in MSTR
Date Insider Type Shares Value
Sep 22, 2026
Jarrod Michael Patten
Director
Sell 475 $81.2K
Sep 22, 2026
Jarrod Michael Patten
Director
Option 475 $8.7K
Sep 21, 2026
Jarrod Michael Patten
Director
Sell 1.4K $238.4K
Sep 21, 2026
Jarrod Michael Patten
Director
Option 1.4K $26.0K
Aug 27, 2026
Jarrod Michael Patten
Director
Sell 1.9K $240.5K
Aug 27, 2026
Jarrod Michael Patten
Director
Option 1.9K $33.7K
Aug 25, 2026
Jarrod Michael Patten
Director
Sell 3.7K $461.0K
Aug 25, 2026
Jarrod Michael Patten
Director
Option 3.7K $67.5K
Aug 7, 2026
Jarrod Michael Patten
Director
Sell 3.8K $389.1K
Aug 7, 2026
Jarrod Michael Patten
Director
Option 3.8K $69.3K
Page 1 of 12

Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings

10

Questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 17, 2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Strategy Inc. (MSTR) a buy right now?
CleaRank's model scores MSTR 42/100, a Hold rating. The analysts' outlook carries the score: 15 of 16 analysts rate it a buy and the median target is 57.1% above the price. Valuation holds the score back, because the company has no meaningful P/E because it lost money and the P/S of 128.55 is 1,591.4% above the sector median. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has Strategy Inc. (MSTR) performed over the past year?
The price has dropped 51.79% across the past year. Shorter stretches tell a different story, with gains of 44.26% over three months and 8.44% over the last month. Right now the stock is 55.31% under its 52-week high of $306.16.
What are the key price levels for MSTR?
The nearest level above the price is the 20-day EMA at $149.71, followed by the 52-week high at $306.16. Below the price, the first level is the 200-day SMA at $135.60, and the next is the 50-day SMA at $134.92.
Does MSTR have a P/E ratio?
MSTR does not have a meaningful P/E, since the company lost money over the last 12 months. Measured against sales, the P/S of 128.55 is 1,591.4% above the sector median of 7.6.
What do Wall Street analysts think of MSTR?
Among the 16 analysts who cover MSTR, 15 rate it buy, 1 rates it hold, and 0 rate it sell. Their median 12-month target of $215.00 is 57.1% above the current price.
How often has MSTR beaten earnings estimates?
MSTR beat the EPS estimate in 1 of the last 3 reports in our data. The share price fell in the first session after 1 of those 1 beats.
How volatile is MSTR?
On an average day, MSTR's price moves 5.04%, based on the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns.
Are MSTR insiders buying or selling?
Over the last 18 months, insiders sold $144.3M of stock and made open-market purchases worth $779K. Sales are often planned in advance or made to cover tax on vesting shares, so they carry less weight than purchases.
What is the 52-week range of MSTR?
Over the past 52 weeks, MSTR has traded between $81.81 and $306.16. At $136.83, the stock sits at 25% of that range, 67.25% above the low and 55.31% below the high.
Is MSTR in an uptrend?
Yes. Strategy Inc. (MSTR) trades at $136.83, above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($134.92 and $135.60). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 42.6, in neutral territory.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The stock analysis, trade plans, and AI-generated signals presented for MSTR are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. They do not represent actual trades made by CleaRank or its affiliates. Stock prices can be volatile and are subject to market, economic, and company-specific risks. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of any data. You should never invest money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analysis generated on October 17, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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