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As of September 27, 2026, Robinhood Markets Inc. (HOOD) trades at $119.40. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $131.00, 9.7% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $131.00 across 29 analysts. RSI at 47 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $104.25.
Robinhood Markets Inc. (HOOD)
Robinhood Markets Inc. NASDAQ
$119.40
-1.420 (-1.18%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
73 / 100
Robinhood Markets Inc. (HOOD) is currently trading at $119.40, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($104.25 and $94.63), signaling positive short-term momentum. The company's financial services sector is characterized by a median P/E of 16.5 and revenue growth of 11.7%, against which HOOD's P/E of 52.83 and P/S of 21.77 appear elevated. However, strong forward-looking revenue growth estimates of 16.00% for the current year and 27.00% for next year, coupled with a 'Buy' consensus from 29 analysts, suggest potential for continued expansion. The company's profitability metrics are strong, with a net profit margin of 42.01% and an operating margin of 43.88%. Despite these positive operational indicators, a significant concern is the heavy insider selling, with $1.9 billion in dispositions versus $57.3 million in purchases, leading to a heavy insider selling. This divergence between operational strength and insider sentiment warrants close monitoring.
HOOD Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$121.63
Day Range
$117.53 to $121.90
Prev Close
$120.82
Volume
13.89M
52-Week Range
$63.52 to $153.86
Market Cap
$107.35B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Financial Services)
Performance vs IAI
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+220%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
HOOD Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, HOOD beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
HOOD Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+9.72% Upside
Median of 29 analysts (12-month)
$131.00
AI Technical Analysis
Robinhood Markets Inc. (HOOD) is currently trading above its 50-day SMA ($104.25) and 200-day SMA ($94.63), indicating an uptrend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 47.05, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD indicates a positive trend. The stock is also trading above its 20-day EMA ($114.69). Key support levels are near the 50-day SMA, while resistance may be found near recent highs. Volume has been below average recently, with 13.9 million shares traded compared to a 23.3 million average, suggesting a lack of strong conviction behind the current price action. The chart structure implies a consolidation phase, with potential for a breakout or breakdown depending on future catalysts.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transaction activity closely, as the current heavy insider selling could indicate future headwinds for Robinhood (HOOD).
- Robinhood (HOOD) is trading above key moving averages, suggesting a bullish short-term trend, but the neutral RSI indicates a lack of strong momentum.
- Given the premium valuation multiples for Robinhood (HOOD) compared to its peers, consider position sizing carefully to manage risk associated with potential valuation compression.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Revenue Growth Projections
Analysts forecast revenue growth of 16.00% for the current year and 27.00% for next year, indicating significant expansion potential for Robinhood (HOOD).
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBullish
Consistent EPS Beats
Robinhood (HOOD) has a track record of exceeding analyst EPS estimates, demonstrating operational efficiency and market demand for its services.
Source: Earnings ReportsBearish
Heavy Insider Selling
Insiders have sold approximately $1.9 billion of Robinhood (HOOD) stock, significantly outweighing purchases, which is flagged as a heavy insider selling and a potential indicator of future stock weakness.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Elevated Valuation Multiples
Robinhood (HOOD) trades at P/E and P/S ratios substantially higher than sector averages, increasing its vulnerability to market corrections or failure to meet growth expectations.
Source: Company FundamentalsMarket Outlook
Robinhood Markets Inc. (HOOD) is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with analysts projecting revenue to increase by 16.00% in the current year and 27.00% in the next. The median analyst price target of $131.00 suggests a potential upside of 9.7% from the current price of $119.40, reflecting confidence in the company's ability to execute its growth strategy. The primary upside catalysts include continued user acquisition and engagement on its platform, potential expansion into new financial products, and successful integration of recent technological advancements. Conversely, downside risks include increased regulatory scrutiny, heightened competition from traditional financial institutions and fintech rivals, and the persistent concern of heavy insider selling, which could signal underlying issues not immediately apparent in the financial statements.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 107.35B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 52.83 |
| EPS (TTM) | 2.26 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 153.86 |
| 52 Week Low | 63.52 |
Robinhood Markets Inc. (HOOD) presents a mixed valuation picture, trading at a P/E ratio of 52.83 and a P/S ratio of 21.77, significantly higher than the sector medians of 16.5 and 3.8, respectively. This premium valuation is supported by strong company fundamentals, including a return on equity of 23.62% and a profit margin of 42.01%, both exceeding sector averages. The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 2.40, which is higher than the sector average of 2.40, but within a manageable range given its profitability. Despite the high valuation multiples, forward-looking revenue growth estimates are strong, with the current year projected at 16.00% and next year at 27.00%. This growth potential may justify the current premium. However, the significant difference between HOOD's P/E and P/S ratios compared to sector averages suggests investors are pricing in substantial future growth, making the stock sensitive to any deceleration.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Robinhood Markets Inc. (HOOD) recently reported earnings for the quarter ending June 2026, exceeding analyst expectations with an EPS of $0.62 against an estimate of $0.43, a 44.19% surprise. This beat was followed by a price decline of 3.61%. The prior quarter also saw an EPS beat of 9.3%, though it resulted in a larger price drop of 13.24%. The company has demonstrated a pattern of beating EPS estimates, but the market reaction has been mixed to negative following these beats, indicating potential investor skepticism or a focus on other factors beyond earnings. Forward-looking EPS estimates for the current year stand at $2.09778, with growth expected to accelerate to $2.80607 next year. Revenue growth is also projected to increase significantly, from 16.00% this year to 27.00% next year.
Key Risks
A primary risk for Robinhood Markets Inc. (HOOD) is the significant insider selling, with nearly $1.9 billion in dispositions versus $57.3 million in purchases, signaling potential concerns among management regarding future stock performance. The company's valuation also presents a risk, as its P/E and P/S ratios are substantially higher than sector averages, making it vulnerable to market corrections or a failure to meet aggressive growth expectations. Also, the mixed market reaction to recent EPS beats suggests that investors may be looking for more than just earnings performance to justify the current stock price.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 47.05 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 4.62 |
| SMA 50 | 104.25 |
| SMA 200 | 94.63 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($104.25) above the 200-day SMA ($94.63), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.62
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.62
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.61
Moderate correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.22
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with HOOD? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
HOOD Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$117.01
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$119.40
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$107.72
MAX LOSS
-7.9%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (47.1) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$122.86
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$128.71
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$134.56
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
HOOD is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 5.29%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in HOOD in July 2021 would be worth about $34,291 today, compared with about $17,505 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in HOOD today could grow to about $40,434 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $306,760 and a bear case around $5,330. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
HOOD Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $209 for HOOD by 2030 in the base case, from $119 today (1.7x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $57.96. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on HOOD's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $72.34 | $137 | $261 |
| 2028 | $63.79 | $158 | $391 |
| 2029 | $59.84 | $182 | $551 |
| 2030 | $57.96 | $209 | $752 |
| 2031 | $57.29 | $240 | $1,006 |
| 2032 | $57.46 | $276 | $1,327 |
| 2033 | $58.27 | $317 | $1,730 |
| 2034 | $59.60 | $365 | $2,236 |
| 2035 | $61.40 | $420 | $2,871 |
| 2036 | $63.64 | $483 | $3,663 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using HOOD's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. HOOD is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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HOOD Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$57.3M
4 Transactions
Sold
$1.9B
103 Transactions
Insiders
17
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$17.9M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2025 | TENEV VLADIMIR
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 3.5M | $404.0M |
| Nov 7, 2025 | BHATT BAIJU PRAFULKUMAR
Director
|
Sell | 1.3M | $170.9M |
| Aug 1, 2025 | BHATT BAIJU PRAFULKUMAR
Director
|
Sell | 1.6M | $157.9M |
| Dec 5, 2024 | MALKA MEYER
Director
|
Sell | 3.2M | $130.1M |
| Aug 28, 2025 | MALKA MEYER
Director
|
Sell | 1.2M | $121.9M |
| Oct 1, 2025 | TENEV VLADIMIR
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 750.0K | $104.8M |
| Nov 8, 2024 | MALKA MEYER
Director
|
Sell | 3.2M | $97.2M |
| Oct 8, 2024 | MALKA MEYER
Director
|
Sell | 3.2M | $80.9M |
| Jul 1, 2025 | TENEV VLADIMIR
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 750.0K | $70.0M |
| Oct 21, 2025 | BHATT BAIJU PRAFULKUMAR
Director
|
Sell | 418.3K | $55.7M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Robinhood's stock price prediction for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Robinhood's (HOOD) projected stock price for 2030 is $208.79 as a base case, with a downside projection of $57.96 and an upside projection of $752.14. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guarantees.
Is Robinhood stock a buy right now?
Robinhood (HOOD) currently holds a 'Buy' consensus rating from Wall Street analysts, supported by a consensus score of 73 out of 100. The stock is trading above its key moving averages, and forward revenue growth estimates are strong.
What are the key technical levels for Robinhood stock?
Robinhood (HOOD) is trading above its 50-day SMA of $104.25 and its 200-day SMA of $94.63, indicating an uptrend. The RSI is neutral at 47.05, suggesting no immediate overbought or oversold conditions.
What is the insider sentiment for Robinhood (HOOD)?
Insider sentiment for Robinhood (HOOD) is currently bearish, with a heavy insider selling. Insiders have sold approximately $1.9 billion worth of stock, significantly outweighing their purchases of $57.3 million.
How does Robinhood's valuation compare to its peers?
Robinhood (HOOD) trades at a premium compared to its financial services peers, with a P/E ratio of 52.83 and a P/S ratio of 21.77, significantly higher than the sector medians of 16.5 and 3.8, respectively.
What are Robinhood's recent earnings results?
Robinhood (HOOD) recently beat EPS estimates for the quarter ending June 2026, reporting $0.62 versus an expected $0.43. However, the stock price declined following this earnings announcement.
What is the outlook for Robinhood's revenue growth?
Robinhood (HOOD) is projected to experience strong revenue growth, with estimates of 16.00% for the current year and an accelerated 27.00% for the next year, indicating positive future expansion.