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As of September 26, 2026, The Allstate Corporation (ALL) trades at $227.60. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $281.00, 23.5% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $281.00 across 25 analysts. RSI at 18 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $256.43.
The Allstate Corporation (ALL)
The Allstate Corporation NYSE
$227.60
0.4300 (0.19%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
55 / 100
The Allstate Corporation (ALL) is currently trading at $227.60, below its 50-day SMA ($256.43) but above its 200-day SMA ($224.26), signaling a bearish technical trend. The stock's RSI is significantly oversold at 17.69, suggesting a potential for a short-term bounce. However, this is tempered by significant insider selling, with over $138 million in dispositions reported, indicating a lack of confidence from management. Fundamental valuation appears attractive, with a P/E ratio of 4.55 and a price-to-sales ratio of 0.82, both below sector medians. The company also boasts strong profitability with a net profit margin of 18.97% and a return on equity of 46.11%. Despite these strengths, the prevailing 'Hold' consensus from Wall Street, coupled with recent analyst downgrades, suggests caution is warranted. The median analyst price target of $281.00 implies a 23.5% upside, but the heavy insider selling and bearish technicals present significant near-term risks.
ALL Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$228.09
Day Range
$225.58 to $229.90
Prev Close
$227.17
Volume
1.72M
52-Week Range
$188.08 to $277.22
Market Cap
$57.55B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Financial Services)
Performance vs KIE
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-72%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
ALL Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, ALL beat estimates 4 times. The stock rose 3 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
ALL Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+23.46% Upside
Median of 25 analysts (12-month)
$281.00
AI Technical Analysis
The Allstate Corporation (ALL) is trading below its 50-day SMA of $256.43 and its 200-day SMA of $224.26, indicating a bearish trend. The RSI is significantly oversold at 17.69, suggesting the stock may be due for a short-term reversal. MACD is also negative at -7.34, reinforcing the current bearish momentum. Volume has been below average recently, with the latest volume at 1.72 million compared to a 2.59 million average. Key support levels are near the current price, given the oversold RSI, while resistance lies at the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. The current price action suggests a potential for a bounce from oversold conditions, but the overall trend remains downward until key moving averages are reclaimed.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transaction activity closely; the recent heavy selling pressure warrants significant attention and could signal management's concerns about future performance.
- Given the oversold RSI, consider a short-term trading strategy focused on potential bounces, but maintain strict stop-loss orders below the 200-day SMA to mitigate downside risk.
- The company's strong profitability and attractive valuation metrics suggest long-term potential, but the current 'Hold' consensus and bearish technicals indicate patience is required before initiating or increasing a position.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Heavy Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold over $138 million in stock, indicating a significant lack of confidence in the company's near-term prospects.
Source: Insider Trading DataBearish
Recent Analyst Downgrades
Several analysts have recently downgraded their ratings on Allstate, shifting from 'Buy' or 'Outperform' to 'Hold' or 'Sell', reflecting concerns about future performance.
Source: Wall Street Analyst RatingsBullish
Oversold Technical Conditions
The stock's RSI is significantly oversold at 17.69, suggesting a high probability of a short-term technical bounce or reversal.
Source: Technical Analysis IndicatorsBullish
Strong Earnings Beats
Allstate has consistently exceeded EPS estimates in recent quarters, demonstrating operational resilience and effective earnings management.
Source: Earnings ReportsMarket Outlook
The outlook for The Allstate Corporation (ALL) is cautiously neutral, reflecting a balance between strong underlying fundamentals and significant near-term headwinds. The stock's oversold technical condition presents an opportunity for a short-term bounce, potentially targeting resistance at the 50-day SMA of $256.43. The median analyst price target of $281.00 suggests a potential upside of 23.5% from the current price. However, the heavy insider selling and recent analyst downgrades introduce considerable risk. A sustained recovery will likely depend on a reversal in insider sentiment and a clearer signal of stabilization from Wall Street. Failure to regain upward momentum could see the stock test support near its 200-day SMA of $224.26, especially if broader market sentiment shifts negatively or if insurance industry headwinds intensify.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 57.55B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 4.55 |
| EPS (TTM) | 49.93 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.86% |
| 52 Week High | 277.22 |
| 52 Week Low | 188.08 |
Allstate Corporation (ALL) presents a compelling valuation with a P/E ratio of 4.55, significantly lower than the sector median of 16.5, and a price-to-sales ratio of 0.82, also below the sector average of 3.8. The company demonstrates strong profitability, with a net profit margin of 18.97% and an impressive return on equity of 46.11%, far exceeding sector averages. The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22 is well within industry norms. Despite these strong fundamental metrics, the market appears to be discounting the stock, possibly due to concerns reflected in insider selling and analyst sentiment. While the company's financial health is solid, the current price action and consensus rating suggest that the market is not yet rewarding these fundamentals with a higher valuation. The upside to the median analyst target price of $281.00 is approximately 23.5%, indicating potential, but this is counterbalanced by the prevailing bearish sentiment.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Allstate Corporation (ALL) has demonstrated strong earnings performance in recent quarters, significantly beating analyst estimates. For the quarter ending June 2026, actual EPS was $8.99 against an estimate of $6.07, a substantial 48.11% surprise, leading to a 3.98% price increase. This follows a pattern of positive surprises, including a 47.1% beat in the March 2026 quarter and a 40.74% beat in the December 2025 quarter. Revenue growth has been modest, with current quarter estimates showing 0.00% year-over-year growth.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Allstate Corporation (ALL) is the significant insider selling, with over $138 million in dispositions, signaling a potential lack of confidence from management. Additionally, the stock is trading below key moving averages and exhibits bearish technical momentum, despite an oversold RSI. A recent trend of analyst downgrades, including shifts to 'Hold' and 'Sell' ratings, further heightens near-term downside risk.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 17.69 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -7.34 |
| SMA 50 | 256.43 |
| SMA 200 | 224.26 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($256.43) above the 200-day SMA ($224.26), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 17.7 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.18
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.01
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.22
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
-0.09
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with ALL? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
ALL Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$225.32
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$227.60
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$217.89
MAX LOSS
-3.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (17.7) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$232.08
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$236.59
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$243.35
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for ALL is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 26, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in ALL in September 2016 would be worth about $33,280 today, compared with about $36,004 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ALL today could grow to about $25,759 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $72,564 and a bear case around $9,144. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
ALL Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $332 for ALL by 2030 in the base case, from $228 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $173. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ALL's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $180 | $250 | $347 |
| 2028 | $173 | $275 | $437 |
| 2029 | $171 | $302 | $533 |
| 2030 | $173 | $332 | $640 |
| 2031 | $176 | $365 | $760 |
| 2032 | $180 | $402 | $896 |
| 2033 | $186 | $441 | $1,050 |
| 2034 | $192 | $485 | $1,225 |
| 2035 | $200 | $533 | $1,425 |
| 2036 | $208 | $586 | $1,652 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using ALL's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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ALL Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$138.5M
29 Transactions
Insiders
20
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$4.8M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2020 | WILSON THOMAS JOSEPH II
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 652.9K | $66.1M |
| Jun 2, 2025 | WILSON THOMAS JOSEPH II
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 181.5K | $38.0M |
| Jun 3, 2022 | WILSON THOMAS JOSEPH II
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 241.8K | $32.2M |
| Aug 22, 2024 | WILSON THOMAS JOSEPH II
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 178.6K | $32.0M |
| Aug 2, 2019 | CIVGIN DOGAN
Officer of Subsidiary Company
|
Sell | 261.4K | $27.3M |
| May 10, 2021 | DUGENSKE JOHN E
Divisional Officer
|
Sell | 151.7K | $20.5M |
| Nov 9, 2017 | WILSON THOMAS JOSEPH II
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 195.0K | $19.3M |
| Aug 11, 2026 | RIZZO MARIO
Officer of Subsidiary Company
|
Sell | 56.2K | $14.9M |
| Feb 5, 2021 | CIVGIN DOGAN
Officer
|
Sell | 100.0K | $10.7M |
| Nov 10, 2017 | GUPTA SUREN K
Officer of Subsidiary Company
|
Sell | 103.2K | $10.2M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is The Allstate Corporation (ALL) stock a buy right now?
Allstate Corporation (ALL) currently holds a 'Hold' consensus rating from Wall Street analysts. While the stock is technically oversold and offers a valuation discount compared to its peers, significant insider selling and recent analyst downgrades suggest caution. The median analyst price target implies a potential upside of 23.5%, but the current risks may outweigh the immediate buying opportunity.
What is ALL's stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, The Allstate Corporation's (ALL) stock price is projected to reach a base case of $332.31 by 2030. The downside projection is $172.61, while the upside projection reaches $639.76. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets.
How does Allstate's profitability compare to its sector?
Allstate Corporation (ALL) demonstrates superior profitability compared to the Financial Services sector median. Its net profit margin stands at 18.97% and return on equity at 46.11%, significantly outperforming the sector's median ROE of 13.8%.
What is the current analyst sentiment for Allstate (ALL)?
The current Wall Street consensus for Allstate (ALL) is 'Hold', with 25 analysts covering the stock. While there are 10 'Hold' ratings, the distribution includes 2 'Strong Buy', 8 'Buy', 3 'Sell', and 2 'Strong Sell' ratings, indicating a divided analyst outlook. The median price target is $281.00.
What are the main risks facing Allstate Corporation (ALL)?
The primary risks for Allstate Corporation (ALL) include substantial insider selling totaling over $138 million, a bearish technical trend indicated by moving averages, and a recent wave of analyst downgrades. These factors suggest potential headwinds despite the company's strong fundamentals and oversold technical conditions.
How has Allstate performed in recent earnings reports?
Allstate Corporation (ALL) has consistently beaten EPS estimates in its recent earnings reports. For the quarter ending June 2026, the company reported an EPS surprise of 48.11%, following similar strong beats in prior quarters. This indicates strong operational performance in terms of earnings generation.
What is the dividend yield for Allstate (ALL)?
The Allstate Corporation (ALL) offers a dividend yield of approximately 1.86%, with a dividend rate of $4.24.