CleaRank Financial AI • AI-powered analysis using real-time market data from TwelveData
Analysis reviewed by Michelle Sofia, Market Analyst. Data refreshed daily. Not financial advice.
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is trading at $177.27, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($162.75 and $151.16), indicating positive short-to-medium term price action. The company's recent earnings report for the quarter reported July 31, 2026, showed earnings per share of $4.11, surpassing the estimate of $3.63 by 13.22%, though the stock saw a slight decline of 0.24% on the news. With a consensus rating of 'Hold' and a median analyst price target of $177.00, the stock offers minimal upside from its current level, despite strong revenue growth of 44.1% year-over-year and a profit margin of 9.07%. Despite the current positive technicals and strong recent earnings beat, the limited analyst upside suggests a period of consolidation or a need for new catalysts to drive further appreciation. The company's valuation, with a P/E ratio of 22.14, is slightly above the sector median of 18.4, while its debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16 is in line with sector averages. The primary risk remains the inherent volatility of the energy sector and potential shifts in global demand or supply dynamics.
XOM at a glance
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM): Hold, 59/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
TrendUp: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($162.75 and $151.16).
InsidersInsiders sold $2.6M and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.
ValuationP/E of 22.1 against 18.4 for the Energy sector: a premium to peers (+20%).
As of October 14, 2026, Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) trades at $177.27. Wall Street's consensus target is $177.00 across 25 analysts. The 14-day RSI (daily closes) is 75, in overbought territory, and the price is above its 50-day simple moving average of $162.75.
Figures as of October 14, 2026.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from XOM's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+20%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
XOM Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
In the last quarter, XOM beat the analyst estimate 1 time; the stock fell in the first session after 1 of those beats.
XOM earnings surprises and the stock's reaction
Report
EPS estimate
EPS actual
Surprise
First session
5 sessions
Jul 31, 2026
$3.63
$4.11
+13.22%
-0.24%
-1.54%
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
As of October 14, 2026, XOM has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 1 of its last 1 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after it; its latest report, on July 31, 2026, came in 13.22% above the estimate and the stock moved -0.24% in the first session.
XOM Analysis
Company's Health4/5
12-Month Analyst Target-0.15% below price
Median of 25 analysts (12-month)
$177.00
AI Analyst Consensus ScoreHold
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is exhibiting strong upward momentum, trading above its 50-day SMA of $162.75 and its 200-day SMA of $151.16. The 14-day RSI is currently at 75.13, indicating an overbought condition which could signal a potential pullback. The MACD is positive at 3.12, suggesting continued bullish sentiment in the short term. Key support levels are now established around the moving averages, particularly the 50-day SMA. Resistance is less clearly defined given the recent upward trend, but the median analyst target of $177.00 suggests this may be a near-term ceiling.
Key Catalysts
BullishStrong Earnings Beat
Exxon Mobil Corporation exceeded Q3 2026 EPS estimates by 13.22%, demonstrating operational resilience and effective cost management.
Source: Company PR
NeutralInsider Selling Activity
Insiders have engaged in net selling, with $2.6 million in sales across recent filings, indicating a moderate sell signal. This activity is being closely watched for any potential shift in management sentiment.
Source: Insider Trading Filings
BearishFlat Revenue Growth Projections
Forward-looking revenue growth estimates for next year are projected at 0.00%, which could limit future earnings potential and stock appreciation.
Source: Analyst Estimates
NeutralOverbought Technical Conditions
The 14-day RSI is at 75.13, signaling an overbought condition that may precede a short-term pullback or consolidation period.
Source: Technical Analysis
Market Outlook
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is expected to maintain its current trading range in the near term, with analysts setting a median price target of $177.00, which aligns closely with the current stock price. The company's strong operational performance, evidenced by its recent earnings beat and strong profit margins, provides a stable foundation. However, the lack of significant upside potential indicated by analyst targets suggests that substantial price appreciation may require new catalysts or a shift in broader market sentiment towards energy stocks. The outlook hinges on the company's ability to navigate potential headwinds such as flat projected revenue growth for the next fiscal year and the inherent cyclicality of the energy market. Upside could come from unexpected increases in oil and gas prices, successful execution of new exploration projects, or favorable regulatory changes. Conversely, a significant downturn in energy demand, increased competition, or a broader economic recession could pressure the stock lower, potentially testing support levels around its 200-day SMA.
Key Statistics
Market Cap
715.80B
P/E Ratio
22.14
EPS (TTM)
7.77
Dividend Yield
2.32%
52 Week High
177.42
52 Week Low
110.39
As of October 14, 2026, XOM trades at $177.27, with a market value of $715.80B, a P/E ratio of 22.14 and a dividend yield of 2.32%.
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) presents a mixed fundamental picture with a P/E ratio of 22.14, which is higher than the sector median of 18.4, suggesting a potential valuation premium. However, its price-to-sales ratio of 1.96 is below the sector median of 2.5, and its return on equity at 12.58% is slightly below the sector average of 14.2%. The company boasts a healthy profit margin of 9.07% and an operating margin of 15.86%, indicating efficient operations. The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at a conservative 0.16, well below the sector average, signaling a strong balance sheet. While revenue growth has been strong at 44.1%, forward-looking revenue growth estimates for the next year are flat at 0.00%, which warrants attention. The current valuation appears somewhat stretched relative to sector averages, but this is partially offset by strong operational efficiency and a solid balance sheet.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) reported earnings for the quarter reported July 31, 2026, with an EPS of $4.11, beating the analyst estimate of $3.63 by 13.22%. Despite this positive surprise, the stock experienced a minor decline of 0.24% on the announcement. This follows a pattern where recent earnings beats have not consistently translated into sustained stock price gains, as seen in the previous quarter's results. The company's strong revenue growth of 44.1% in the latest reported period, coupled with positive forward estimates for the current year, suggests continued operational strength.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) lies in the potential for a valuation correction, as its P/E ratio is above the sector median and the stock is currently exhibiting overbought conditions on its 14-day RSI. Also, flat revenue growth projections for the next fiscal year, despite strong past performance, could temper future earnings expectations. Geopolitical instability and fluctuations in global energy prices remain inherent risks for any company in the Energy sector.
Technical Indicators i
RSI (14-day)
75.13
MACD (12, 26)
3.12
SMA (50-day)
162.75
SMA (200-day)
151.16
Technical RatingBullish
RSI
Overbought
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($162.75) above the 200-day SMA ($151.16), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages, RSI at 75.1 indicates overbought conditions; consider caution for immediate entries.
As of October 14, 2026, with XOM at $177.27, its 14-day RSI is 75.1 (overbought territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $162.75 and its 200-day is $151.16.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 14, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)+0.13
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)+0.02
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)-0.08
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)-0.01
Weak correlation
As of October 14, 2026, XOM's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.13 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.02 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), -0.08 with Bitcoin (BTC) and -0.01 with gold (XAU).
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with XOM? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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XOM Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Low $142.00Median $177.00 (-0.2%)High $200.00
Ratings
Buy 9Hold 16Sell 03 months ago: 10 of 25 buy
Recent rating actions
Recent analyst rating actions on XOM
Date
Firm
Action
Rating
Oct 1, 2026
Wells Fargo
Downgrade
Equal-Weight
Sep 28, 2026
TD Cowen
Maintains
Buy
Sep 3, 2026
Piper Sandler
Maintains
Neutral
Aug 19, 2026
Morgan Stanley
Maintains
Overweight
Aug 17, 2026
Barclays
Maintains
Overweight
Aug 7, 2026
TD Cowen
Maintains
Buy
As of October 14, 2026, 25 Wall Street analysts cover XOM: 9 rate it a buy or strong buy, 16 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $142.00 to $200.00, with a median of $177.00, 0.2% below the price of $177.27.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
XOM Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative2%Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$175.50
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$177.27
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$169.18
MAX LOSS
-3.6%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (75.1) and current market volatility
These levels come from XOM's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in XOM in October 2016 would be worth about $20,116 today, compared with about $36,506 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark. This is price change only; dividends paid along the way would add to it.
Compare with Another Ticker
XOM Drawdowns & Recovery
Worst fall, last 10 years
-63.9%
December 2016 to October 2020
Recovery
19 months
back at the old peak by May 2022
From the 10-year high
At the high
highest close, October 2026
1-year holds that gained
58%
of every 1-year window
As of October 14, 2026, XOM's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -63.9% (December 2016 to October 2020); it regained that peak by May 2022, 19 months after the low, and 58% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in XOM today could grow to about $19,118 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $60,744 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $6,017. The simulation models price only; at today's 2.32% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
XOM Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $230 for XOM by 2030 in the base case, from $177 today (1.3x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $111. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on XOM's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
XOM simulated price paths by year
Year
10th percentile
Base case
90th percentile
2027
$131
$189
$273
2028
$120
$202
$338
2029
$114
$215
$406
2030
$111
$230
$477
2031
$108
$245
$555
Method: a lognormal simulation of XOM's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
As of October 14, 2026, XOM insiders reported 7 open-market sales worth $2.6M and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
Recent insider transactions in XOM
Date
Insider
Type
Shares
Value
Mar 16, 2026
TALLEY DARRIN L
Officer
Sell
1.1K
$167.9K
Mar 2, 2026
TALLEY DARRIN L
Officer
Sell
2.2K
$339.3K
Feb 9, 2026
TALLEY DARRIN L
Officer
Sell
3.2K
$481.8K
Feb 2, 2026
TALLEY DARRIN L
Officer
Sell
5.0K
$698.8K
Jan 2, 2026
ANGELAKIS MICHAEL J
Director
Grant
2.5K
-
Jan 2, 2026
BRALY ANGELA F
Director
Grant
2.5K
-
Jan 2, 2026
DREYFUS MARIA S
Director
Grant
2.5K
-
Jan 2, 2026
GARLAND GREGORY C.
Director
Grant
2.5K
-
Jan 2, 2026
HARRIS JOHN D. II
Director
Grant
2.5K
-
Jan 2, 2026
HIETALA KAISA
Director
Grant
2.5K
-
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Exxon Mobil Corporation stock a buy right now?
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) has a 'Hold' consensus rating from analysts, with a median price target of $177.00, which is just below its current trading price of $177.27. While technicals show positive momentum, the overbought 14-day RSI and limited analyst upside suggest caution.
How did Exxon Mobil Corporation perform in its most recent earnings report?
For the quarter reported July 31, 2026, Exxon Mobil Corporation reported EPS of $4.11, exceeding the estimate of $3.63 by 13.22%. However, the stock price saw a slight decrease of 0.24% following the announcement.
What is Exxon Mobil Corporation's dividend yield?
Exxon Mobil Corporation currently offers a dividend yield of approximately 2.32%.
What is the outlook for Exxon Mobil Corporation's revenue growth?
While Exxon Mobil Corporation has demonstrated strong historical revenue growth, estimates for the next fiscal year project flat growth (0.00%). This contrasts with the current year's estimated growth of 25.00%.
Is XOM in an uptrend?
Yes. Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) trades at $177.27, above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($162.75 and $151.16). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 75.1, in overbought territory.
Are insiders buying or selling XOM?
Selling, on balance. In the last 18 months, XOM's officers, directors and large holders reported 7 sales worth $2.6M and no open-market purchases. Grants and option exercises are not counted as buying.
What is the analyst price target for XOM?
As of October 14, 2026, the 25 Wall Street analysts covering XOM have 12-month targets from $142.00 to $200.00, with a median of $177.00, 0.2% below the current price of $177.27. 9 rate it a buy or strong buy, 16 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Three months ago 10 of 25 rated it a buy.
What is XOM's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -63.9%, from December 2016 to October 2020. It regained that peak by May 2022, 19 months after the low. Over the same period, 58% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
What are XOM's best and worst months?
Over the last 10 years, January has been XOM's strongest month on average (+5.71%, rising in 6 of 10 years) and May its weakest (-1.43%, rising in 3 of 10 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year.
How closely does XOM move with the stock market?
Over the past year XOM's daily returns were weakly correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.13). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.02; Bitcoin (BTC): -0.08; Gold (XAU): -0.01. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.
