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As of September 11, 2026, Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) trades at $165.69. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $170.00, 2.6% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $170.00 across 25 analysts. RSI at 51 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $155.16.
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM)
Exxon Mobil Corporation NYSE
$165.69
0.4600 (0.28%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is currently trading at $165.69, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($155.16 and $145.67), indicating a stable trend. The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with current year estimates projecting a 23.00% increase year-over-year to $407 billion. This growth is supported by strong performance in recent quarters, where earnings have consistently beaten analyst estimates, most recently with a 13.22% EPS surprise in Q3 2026. The energy giant also offers a dividend yield of 2.49%. However, a moderate sell signal from insiders, with $2.9 million in net sales in recent filings, warrants attention, suggesting a cautious stance from management despite the positive operational backdrop.
XOM Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$165.00
Day Range
$164.08 to $167.08
Prev Close
$165.23
Volume
305.1K
52-Week Range
$108.35 to $176.41
Market Cap
$679.41B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Energy)
Performance vs XLE
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+40%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
XOM Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, XOM beat estimates 5 times. The stock rose 4 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
XOM Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+2.60% Upside
Median of 25 analysts (12-month)
$170.00
AI Technical Analysis
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($155.16 and $145.67), signaling a generally positive trend. The RSI is at 51.03, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD at 2.197 suggests a lack of strong directional conviction. Volume on the latest trading day was significantly lower than the average, which could imply reduced conviction behind recent price action. Key support levels are indicated by the 50-day SMA at $155.16 and the 200-day SMA at $145.67, while the current price is approaching the 20-day EMA at $161.43, which is acting as near-term support. The stock's technicals suggest a period of consolidation or sideways movement in the near term. While the price is above key long-term averages, the neutral RSI and subdued volume do not indicate strong buying pressure. Investors should monitor the price action around the 20-day EMA for signs of a potential short-term trend continuation or reversal. The overall chart structure does not present immediate strong bullish or bearish signals, aligning with the neutral momentum.
ProTips
- Monitor upcoming earnings reports closely for continued EPS beats, as this has been a consistent positive driver for XOM.
- Given the moderate insider selling, consider the overall market sentiment and sector rotation trends before initiating new positions.
- The projected slowdown in revenue growth for next year warrants attention; track industry supply/demand dynamics and XOM's strategic responses.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Consistent Earnings Beats
Exxon Mobil has consistently exceeded analyst EPS estimates in recent quarters, demonstrating operational efficiency and strong market positioning, which supports continued investor confidence.
Source: Earnings ReportsBullish
Strong Revenue Growth Projections
Current year revenue is estimated to grow by 23.00% year-over-year, indicating strong demand and effective sales strategies in the current energy market.
Source: Analyst EstimatesBearish
Moderate Insider Selling
Insiders have sold a net $2.9 million worth of shares across 35 transactions, suggesting a degree of caution or profit-taking among management.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Projected Revenue Growth Slowdown
Next year's revenue growth is forecast to decline by 2.00%, potentially signaling market saturation or increased competitive pressures.
Source: Analyst EstimatesMarket Outlook
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is expected to maintain its current operational strength over the next 6-12 months, driven by continued demand in the energy sector and its strong revenue growth trajectory. The median analyst price target of $170.00 suggests a modest upside of 2.6% from the current price, indicating a stable but not explosive outlook. The company's strong revenue estimates for the current year, projecting a 23.00% increase, provide a solid foundation for near-term performance. Potential catalysts for upside include further positive earnings surprises or significant geopolitical events that could drive energy prices higher. Conversely, a notable risk to the outlook is the projected 2.00% decline in revenue growth for next year, which could signal a slowdown in demand or increased competition. Additionally, any significant shifts in global energy policy or a faster-than-expected transition to renewable energy sources could negatively impact long-term prospects.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 679.41B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 21.06 |
| EPS (TTM) | 7.78 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.49% |
| 52 Week High | 176.41 |
| 52 Week Low | 108.35 |
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) presents a mixed fundamental picture, trading at a P/E ratio of 21.06, which is above the sector average of 15.0, suggesting a potential valuation premium. The company's revenue growth is strong, with current year estimates at 23.00%, significantly outpacing the sector average of 12.00%. Profitability, as indicated by recent earnings beats, appears solid. The balance sheet strength is implied by its market position. Despite the premium valuation, the strong revenue growth and consistent earnings beats suggest that investors are pricing in future expansion. The dividend yield of 2.49% adds to the investment appeal, particularly for income-focused investors. However, the moderate insider selling activity warrants caution, as it may signal a lack of significant upside conviction from management at current price levels. The company's ability to sustain its growth trajectory and manage its debt will be key factors in justifying its current valuation.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) has demonstrated strong performance in its recent earnings reports, consistently beating analyst estimates. The most recent quarter ending July 31, 2026, saw an EPS actual of $4.11 against an estimate of $3.63, a surprise of 13.22%, though the stock experienced a slight decline of 0.24% post-announcement. Prior quarters also showed significant positive surprises, including a 41.67% EPS beat in the quarter ending June 1, 2026. This pattern of exceeding expectations suggests effective operational management and favorable market conditions within the energy sector.
Key Risks
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) faces several key risks, including its valuation premium relative to sector averages, with a P/E ratio of 21.06 compared to the sector's 15.0. Moderate insider selling, totaling $2.9 million in sales across 35 transactions, indicates a degree of caution from management. Also, while current year revenue growth is projected at a strong 23.00%, next year's growth is estimated to decline by 2.00%, posing a risk to future expansion expectations.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 51.03 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 2.20 |
| SMA 50 | 155.16 |
| SMA 200 | 145.67 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($155.16) above the 200-day SMA ($145.67), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.14
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.03
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.20
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
-0.01
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
XOM Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$164.03
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$165.69
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$159.11
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (51.0) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$168.95
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$172.23
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$177.16
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for XOM is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in XOM in September 2016 would be worth about $18,929 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in XOM today could grow to about $19,440 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $61,704 and a bear case around $6,124. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
XOM Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $216 for XOM by 2030 in the base case, from $166 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $104. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on XOM's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $123 | $177 | $255 |
| 2028 | $113 | $189 | $317 |
| 2029 | $107 | $202 | $381 |
| 2030 | $104 | $216 | $449 |
| 2031 | $102 | $231 | $523 |
| 2032 | $101 | $247 | $604 |
| 2033 | $100 | $264 | $694 |
| 2034 | $100 | $282 | $792 |
| 2035 | $101 | $301 | $902 |
| 2036 | $101 | $322 | $1,022 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using XOM's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
XOM Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$2.9M
8 Transactions
Insiders
23
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$358.9K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | UBBEN JEFFREY W
Director
|
Sell | 2.1M | $216.1M |
| Feb 2, 2022 | UBBEN JEFFREY W
Director
|
Sell | 1.5M | $120.1M |
| Nov 20, 2019 | MALLON LIAM M.
Officer
|
Sell | 32.3K | $2.2M |
| Dec 11, 2017 | CORSON BRADLEY W
Officer
|
Sell | 19.5K | $1.6M |
| Sep 19, 2018 | CORSON BRADLEY W
Officer
|
Sell | 15.0K | $1.3M |
| Dec 15, 2022 | FOX LEONARD M.
Officer
|
Sell | 12.0K | $1.3M |
| Dec 18, 2023 | FOX LEONARD M.
Officer
|
Sell | 12.0K | $1.2M |
| Dec 11, 2018 | VERITY JOHN R
Officer
|
Sell | 15.9K | $1.2M |
| Dec 19, 2018 | CORSON BRADLEY W
Officer
|
Sell | 15.0K | $1.1M |
| Dec 5, 2017 | WOJNAR THEODORE J JR
Officer
|
Sell | 13.1K | $1.1M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Exxon Mobil Corporation's current stock price?
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is currently trading at $165.69 as of September 11, 2026.
Is Exxon Mobil Corporation stock a buy right now?
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) has a 'Hold' consensus rating with a consensus score of 63. The median analyst price target is $170.00, suggesting a limited upside of 2.6% from the current price of $165.69.
What are the biggest risks facing Exxon Mobil Corporation?
Key risks for Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) include its valuation premium compared to sector peers, moderate insider selling activity, and a projected slowdown in revenue growth for the upcoming year.
How has Exxon Mobil Corporation performed in recent earnings reports?
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) has consistently beaten analyst EPS estimates in recent quarters, including a 13.22% surprise in its latest report ending July 31, 2026.
What is Exxon Mobil Corporation's dividend yield?
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) offers a dividend yield of 2.49%.
How does Exxon Mobil Corporation compare to its sector averages?
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) trades at a higher P/E ratio (21.06 vs 15.0) and has stronger revenue growth (23.00% vs 12.00%) than the sector averages. Its debt-to-equity and ROE metrics are not directly comparable to the provided sector averages.
What is XOM stock forecast for 2030?
According to Monte Carlo simulations, Exxon Mobil Corporation's (XOM) stock forecast for 2030 shows a base case price of $216.16, with a downside projection of $104.12 and an upside projection of $448.77. These are statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees.