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As of September 26, 2026, Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) trades at $263.27. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $350.50, 33.1% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $350.50 across 22 analysts. RSI at 22 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $271.94.
Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG)
Constellation Energy Corporation NASDAQ
$263.27
1.650 (0.63%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
78 / 100
Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) is currently trading at $263.27, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($271.94 and $290.36), signaling technical weakness. However, the company exhibits strong fundamental tailwinds, including projected revenue growth of 39.00% for the current year and 9.7% for next year, alongside a healthy profit margin of 11.08% and a return on equity of 15.06%. Insiders have demonstrated moderate buying conviction, with $417.9K in purchases against no reported sales. The company's fair value is estimated at $350.50, representing a substantial 33.1% upside from its current price. This valuation is supported by a consensus analyst rating of 'Buy' and a median price target of $350.50 from 22 analysts. Despite the current oversold RSI of 22.14, the forward-looking growth and analyst sentiment suggest potential for a strong recovery.
CEG Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$262.00
Day Range
$260.43 to $266.38
Prev Close
$261.62
Volume
1.93M
52-Week Range
$228.63 to $412.70
Market Cap
$93.28B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Utilities)
Performance vs XLU
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (13% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
CEG Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, CEG beat estimates 5 times. The stock rose 3 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
CEG Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+33.13% Upside
Median of 22 analysts (12-month)
$350.50
AI Technical Analysis
Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($271.94 and $290.36), indicating a bearish short-term trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 22.14, firmly in oversold territory, suggesting a potential for a bounce. MACD is also negative at -3.95. The nearest support level is the current price, with resistance seen at the 50-day SMA of $271.94 and the 200-day SMA of $290.36. Volume has been below average recently, with 1.93 million shares traded compared to a 30-day average of 3.18 million, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from either buyers or sellers at current levels.
ProTips
- Constellation Energy Corporation's oversold RSI (22.14) suggests a potential short-term buying opportunity, but confirmation above the 50-day SMA ($271.94) is needed for a stronger technical signal.
- Monitor the company's ability to sustain its high revenue growth rates beyond the current year, as projected growth for next year shows a significant deceleration.
- Given the current technical weakness, consider position sizing carefully and utilizing stop-losses below the current price to manage downside risk.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Moderate Insider Buying Signal
Insiders have purchased $417.9K worth of stock with no reported sales, indicating a moderate level of confidence in the company's future prospects.
Source: Insider Trading DataBullish
Consistent Earnings Beats
Constellation Energy Corporation has a track record of beating EPS estimates, most recently by 11.84% for the quarter ending June 2026, reinforcing positive sentiment.
Source: Earnings ReportsBullish
Strong Revenue Growth Projections
The company is expected to achieve 39.00% revenue growth for the current year, significantly outpacing sector averages and supporting its valuation.
Source: Analyst EstimatesBearish
Technical Downtrend
The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($271.94 and $290.36), indicating a bearish short-term trend and potential for further price declines.
Source: Technical AnalysisBearish
Valuation Premium vs. Sector P/E
Constellation Energy Corporation's P/E ratio of 25.78 is higher than the sector median of 22.80, suggesting it may be overvalued relative to peers.
Source: Fundamental AnalysisMarket Outlook
The base case for Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) anticipates a recovery towards its median analyst target price of $350.50 over the next 6-12 months, driven by strong revenue growth and positive insider sentiment. The company's ability to consistently beat earnings estimates further supports this outlook, suggesting underlying operational strength. Factors that could alter this trajectory include a faster-than-expected slowdown in revenue growth beyond the current year, increased regulatory headwinds impacting the utility sector, or a failure of the stock to break above its key technical resistance levels. Conversely, continued strong earnings performance and favorable energy market dynamics could push the stock towards its higher analyst targets.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 93.28B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 25.78 |
| EPS (TTM) | 10.15 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.63% |
| 52 Week High | 412.70 |
| 52 Week Low | 228.63 |
Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) trades at a P/E ratio of 25.78, which is above the sector median of 22.80, indicating a slight premium valuation. However, its price-to-sales ratio of 2.96 is below the sector average of 3.30. The company boasts a strong profit margin of 11.08% and a return on equity of 15.06%, both exceeding sector averages. With a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.76, which is in line with the sector average, the balance sheet appears manageable. The company's strong revenue growth of 23% year-over-year and projected growth rates for the coming quarters and year suggest that the current valuation may be justified by its expansion trajectory.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) most recently reported earnings for the quarter ending June 2026, beating analyst estimates with an actual EPS of $2.55 compared to an estimate of $2.28, a 11.84% surprise. This followed a beat in the prior quarter and a significant beat in the quarter before that, indicating a positive earnings surprise trend. The stock reacted positively to the most recent earnings report, gaining 3.37%.
Key Risks
Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) faces risks including its current technical downtrend, trading below key moving averages, and a valuation premium relative to the sector's P/E ratio. Competition within the independent power producers sector is also a persistent challenge, as is the potential for regulatory changes affecting energy markets. Additionally, while insider sentiment is moderately positive, the stock's oversold RSI suggests potential for further short-term downside before a recovery can take hold. The company's projected revenue growth for next year has slowed to 3.00%, which warrants monitoring.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 22.14 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -3.95 |
| SMA 50 | 271.94 |
| SMA 200 | 290.36 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $271.94, 200-day: $290.36), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 22.1 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.46
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.49
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.23
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.12
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with CEG? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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CEG Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$258.00
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$263.27
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$247.94
MAX LOSS
-3.9%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (22.1) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$270.90
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$283.81
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$296.71
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for CEG is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 26, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in CEG in January 2022 would be worth about $62,683 today, compared with about $17,075 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in CEG today could grow to about $53,198 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $379,312 and a bear case around $7,461. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
CEG Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $514 for CEG by 2030 in the base case, from $263 today (2.0x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $148. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on CEG's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $167 | $311 | $579 |
| 2028 | $153 | $368 | $885 |
| 2029 | $148 | $435 | $1,275 |
| 2030 | $148 | $514 | $1,780 |
| 2031 | $151 | $607 | $2,435 |
| 2032 | $157 | $718 | $3,287 |
| 2033 | $164 | $848 | $4,388 |
| 2034 | $173 | $1,003 | $5,810 |
| 2035 | $184 | $1,185 | $7,639 |
| 2036 | $196 | $1,401 | $9,986 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using CEG's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. CEG is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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CEG Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$417.9K
1 Transactions
Sold
None
No open-market sells
Insiders
22
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$417.9K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2025 | BAUER MATTHEW N
Officer
|
Sell | 4.0K | $1.2M |
| Aug 11, 2026 | CRANDALL ROGER W
Director
|
Buy | 1.5K | $417.9K |
| Aug 4, 2026 | CRANDALL ROGER W
Director
|
Grant | 462 | $123.5K |
| Apr 28, 2026 | ASHISH KHANDPUR K
Director
|
Grant | 556 | $170.0K |
| Apr 28, 2026 | DE BALMANN YVES C
Director
|
Grant | 556 | $170.0K |
| Apr 28, 2026 | HALVERSON BRADLEY M.
Director
|
Grant | 556 | $170.0K |
| Apr 28, 2026 | HARRINGTON CHARLES L
Director
|
Grant | 556 | $170.0K |
| Apr 28, 2026 | HOLZRICHTER JULIE
Director
|
Grant | 556 | $170.0K |
| Apr 28, 2026 | JAMIL DHIAA M
Director
|
Grant | 556 | $170.0K |
| Apr 28, 2026 | LAWLESS ROBERT J
Director
|
Grant | 556 | $170.0K |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Constellation Energy Corporation's stock price forecast for 2030?
Constellation Energy Corporation's stock price forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case of $513.76, with a downside scenario of $148.32 and an upside scenario of $1779.54. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not definitive price targets.
Is Constellation Energy Corporation stock a buy right now?
Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) is currently rated a 'Buy' with a consensus score of 78. The median analyst target price is $350.50, offering a 33.1% upside from the current price of $263.27. Insiders have also shown moderate buying interest.
What are the key risks for Constellation Energy Corporation?
Key risks for Constellation Energy Corporation include its current technical weakness, trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($271.94 and $290.36), and a P/E ratio that is above the sector median. Potential regulatory changes and competitive pressures within the energy sector also pose risks.
How has Constellation Energy Corporation performed in recent earnings reports?
Constellation Energy Corporation has a positive recent earnings trend, most recently beating the June 2026 quarter EPS estimate by 11.84% ($2.55 actual vs $2.28 estimate). The stock saw a 3.37% increase following this report, continuing a pattern of earnings beats.
What is Constellation Energy Corporation's valuation compared to its sector?
Constellation Energy Corporation's P/E ratio of 25.78 is higher than the sector median of 22.80, suggesting a premium valuation. However, its price-to-sales ratio of 2.96 is below the sector average of 3.30, and its revenue growth significantly outpaces the sector average.
What is the analyst consensus for Constellation Energy Corporation?
The current Wall Street consensus for Constellation Energy Corporation is 'Buy', with a score of 78 out of 100. This is based on 6 Strong Buy, 13 Buy, and 3 Hold ratings from 22 analysts.
What is Constellation Energy Corporation's revenue growth outlook?
Constellation Energy Corporation is projected to achieve revenue growth of 39.00% for the current year and 35.8% for the current quarter. Growth is expected to moderate to 3.00% for next year, indicating strong near-term expansion but a slower pace thereafter.