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Stock·NYSE·Utilities

Vistra Corp. (VST)

$133.45 +2.27 (+1.73%)
At close: Nov 11, 4:00 PM EST
Buy
63 / 100
CleaRank Financial AI scorei
Market cap
$45.29B
P/E
18.03
Dividend yield
0.68%
Street target
$198.00median of 23 analysts
52-week range
$110.89 $189.29
01

VST stock forecast today

Where VST stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

VST at a glance

Vistra Corp. (VST): Buy, 63/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($143.62 and $152.22).
  • Earnings VST beat estimates in 2 of the 6 reports in our data, yet fell in the first session after 1 of those beats.
  • Insiders Insiders sold $271.2M and bought $1.2M over the last 18 months.
  • Valuation P/E of 18.0 against 22.8 for the Utilities sector: a discount to peers (-21%).

Figures as of November 11, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

CleaRank rates Vistra Corp. (VST) Buy, with a model score of 63/100.

The analysts' outlook lifts the score most: 21 of 23 analysts rate it a buy and the median target is 48.4% above the price. The trend holds it back most: the price is 12.33% below its 200-day average and 7.08% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 5.65% below the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $143.62 and the 200-day at $152.22. Over the past year the price fell 25.51%.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from VST's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

VST stock price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

0/4
  • Price below its 50-day average ›
    The price of $133.45 is 7.1% below the 50-day simple moving average of $143.62.
  • Price below its 200-day average ›
    The price is 12.3% below the 200-day simple moving average of $152.22.
  • 50-day average below the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($143.62) is 5.6% below the 200-day average ($152.22), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.
  • In the lower half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 29% of its 52-week range, between $110.89 and $189.29.

VST share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far VST has moved over it, to the last close.

Dec '25Feb '26Apr '26Jul '26Sep '26Nov '26
Start $179.16 Nov 11, 2025
Latest close $133.45 Nov 11, 2026
High $180.18 Jan 15, 2026
Low $112.89 Nov 5, 2026

Today's trading

Where VST sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 2.65% wide
$133.45
$133.20 $136.73
52-week range 29% of the way up
$133.45
$110.89 $189.29
Open
$135.98
Previous close
$131.18
Volume
4.23M
50% below average
Market cap
$45.29B
03

VST fundamentals and valuation

Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.

3.0

Valuation and quality checks

4/5
  • P/E below the sector median ›
    The trailing P/E of 18.03 is 20.9% below the Utilities median of 22.8.
  • P/S below the sector median ›
    The price-to-sales ratio of 2.20 is 33.3% below the sector median of 3.3.
  • Profitable over the last 12 months ›
    Net income over the last 12 months was $2.5B on revenue of $20.6B, a net margin of 12.2%.
  • Beat estimates in half or fewer of recent reports ›
    VST beat the EPS estimate in 2 of the 6 reports in our data.
  • Pays a dividend ›
    The trailing dividend yield is 0.68%, or $0.914 a share a year.

Key statistics

The headline figures for VST.

Market Cap
45.29B
P/E Ratio
18.03
EPS (TTM)
$7.40
Dividend Yield
0.68%
52 Week High
189.29
52 Week Low
110.89

As of November 11, 2026, VST trades at $133.45, with a market value of $45.29B, a P/E ratio of 18.03 and a dividend yield of 0.68%.

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of VST's valuation, growth and risks.

Valuation

Vistra Corp. (VST) trades on a trailing P/E of 18.03, against a sector median of 22.8 for Utilities. That leaves the P/E 20.9% below the sector median P/E, which the peer comparison on this page labels a discount to peers. On sales, the P/S of 2.20 is 33.3% below the sector median of 3.3. The company's market value is $45.3B, and its trailing earnings come to $7.40 per share.

Profitability shows a net margin of 12.2% and an operating margin of 23.00%. Its return on equity is 46.33%, above the sector median of 9.6%. It also reports debt-to-equity of 3.37 and a trailing dividend yield of 0.68% ($0.91 a share a year).

Earnings & Growth

VST reported EPS of $3.23 in its most recent quarterly report, dated November 9, 2026. Analysts had expected $2.43, so the company beat the estimate by 32.92%. In the first session after the report, the share price went up 7.31%.

The earnings record shows 2 beats in 6 reports, though the stock still fell in the first session after 1 of those 2 beats. Earlier, the stock fell 4.05% after the May 8, 2026 report, a beat of 53.48%. Looking ahead, analysts expect EPS of $9.28 this fiscal year and $10.33 the year after (growth of 11.4%).

Key risks

VST's price typically moves 5.30% on a given day, based on the 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 1.38. Staying under both moving averages keeps the downtrend a live risk. The stock is 29.50% under its 52-week high of $189.29. Insiders sold $271.2M of stock over the last 18 months and bought $1.2M. Insider sales are often planned in advance or made to cover tax on vesting shares, so they carry less weight than open-market buying.

VST against the Utilities sector

How VST compares with the median Utilities stock CleaRank tracks.

P/E ratio 21% below the median
VST
18.0x
Sector median
22.8x
P/S ratio 33% below the median
VST
2.2x
Sector median
3.3x
Revenue growth, year on year 9.6 points below the median
VST
-5.5%
Sector median
4.1%
Return on equity 36.7 points above the median
VST
46.3%
Sector median
9.6%

Price to earnings vs sector: VST trades at a notable discount to sector peers (-21% against the sector median P/E). Investors are paying less for each dollar of earnings than for the typical stock in the sector.

Return vs XLU: Since Jun 2, 2025, VST has lost 20.3% against a gain of 6.6% for XLU.

Performance against XLU

VST and the Utilities sector fund over the same days.

Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26May '26Aug '26Nov '26
VST XLU

Revenue and earnings

How much VST sells, and how much of it becomes profit.

Revenue, 12 months
$20.6B
Net income, 12 months
$2.5B
Net margin
12.2%
Revenue growth
-5.5%
Q2 '26, year on year
FY2021-10% marginFY2022-9% marginFY202310% marginFY202416% marginFY20255% margin
Revenue Net income

The quarterly bars end with Q2 '26 (the quarter to June 30, 2026); VST reported again on November 9, 2026, and that quarter is not in our statement data yet. The 12-month figures come from the statistics feed and may include it.

Revenue growth: Revenue grew 3.0% in FY2025 to $17.7B, from $17.2B a year earlier.

Profit margin: The net margin was 5.3% in FY2025, down from 16.3% the year before.

Profitable: VST earned $944M in FY2025.

Earnings reality check

Did VST beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?

Beat the estimate
2 of 6
6 reports in our data
Fell after a beat
1 of 2
first session after the report
Average surprise
-38.6%
actual EPS against the estimate
Avg. first-session move
+1.7%
the stock, after the report
EPS surprise
First-session move
May '25Aug '25Nov '25May '26Aug '26Nov '26

Earnings record: VST beat the analyst estimate in 2 of the 6 reports in our data.

Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 1 of those 2 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.

VST earnings surprises and the stock's reaction
Report Estimate Actual Surprise First session 5 sessions
Nov 9, 2026before open $2.43 $3.23 +32.92% +7.31% -
Aug 10, 2026before open $1.66 $0.76 -54.22% +1.62% +5.36%
May 8, 2026before open $1.87 $2.87 +53.48% -4.05% -7.83%
Nov 7, 2025before open $1.96 $1.75 -10.71% +3.46% -7.07%
Aug 8, 2025before open $0.90 $0.81 -10.00% -1.69% -1.58%
May 6, 2025before open $0.65 -$0.93 -243.08% +3.43% +4.35%

As of November 11, 2026, VST has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 2 of the 6 reports in our data and fell in the first trading session after 1 of those beats; its latest report, on November 9, 2026, came in 32.92% above the estimate and the stock moved +7.31% in the first session.

The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.

04

VST AI analysis and technical indicators

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

1/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 46.3, in neutral territory.
  • RSI below 50 ›
    An RSI of 46.3 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line below zero ›
    The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.

CleaRank Financial AI analysis of VST

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

Company's health
4/5
12-month analyst target
$198.00
+48.37% above price · median of 23 analysts
AI analyst consensus
63/100
Buy
What the AI sees

Vistra Corp. (VST) is priced at $133.45, below both of its main moving averages. It sits 7.08% under the 50-day average of $143.62 and 12.33% under the 200-day average of $152.22. Within its 52-week range the stock stands at 29%, with the price 20.34% above the 52-week low of $110.89. The 50-day average is 5.65% below the 200-day, so the two averages point the same way.

The price is down over each of these periods: 15.61% over the past month, 9.02% over the past three months and 25.51% over the past year. On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 46.3, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line negative.

Catalysts
Rewards
  • Earnings beat ›

    The November 9, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 32.92%, and the share price rose 7.31% in the first session after it.

    Source: Earnings report, November 9, 2026
  • Rating reaffirmed ›

    Bernstein kept its Outperform rating on November 6, 2026.

    Source: Analyst action, Bernstein, November 6, 2026
Risks
  • Analyst downgrade ›

    Keybanc downgraded it to Sector Weight from Overweight on November 4, 2026.

    Source: Analyst action, Keybanc, November 4, 2026
ProTips
  1. The two nearest levels to watch are the 20-day EMA at $136.76, above the price, and the 52-week low at $110.89, below it.
  2. The 14-day RSI reads 46.3, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line negative; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
  3. The share price rose 7.31% in the first session after the November 9, 2026 report. Across the 6 reports in our data, VST beat estimates in 2 of them.
Market outlook

VST remains in a downtrend while it sits below its 50-day average of $143.62 and its 200-day average of $152.22. A close back above the 50-day average would mark the first sign of repair. Overhead, the 20-day EMA at $136.76 is the nearest hurdle.

For VST, the nearest level below the price is the 52-week low of $110.89.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for VST, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Bearish 0 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Neutral
  • SMA cross Bearish
  • Price vs SMA Bearish
  • MACD Bearish
Momentum Neutral
46.314-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) -5.12 Bearish
Trend Death cross
-7.1%price against the 50-day average
200-day $152.22 50-day $143.62 Price $133.45
Price against the 200-day -12.3% Bearish

As of November 11, 2026, with VST at $133.45, its 14-day RSI is 46.3 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $143.62 and its 200-day is $152.22.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of November 11, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these

What VST moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.47 Moderate
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.49 Moderate
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.18 Weak
Gold (XAU) +0.13 Weak

As of November 11, 2026, VST's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.47 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.49 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.18 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.13 with gold (XAU).

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05

VST price target and analyst forecast

The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.

5.0

Analysts checks

2/3
  • Most analysts rate it a buy ›
    21 of 23 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell.
  • Median target above the price ›
    The median 12-month target of $198.00 is 48.4% above the price.
  • Buy share not up from three months ago ›
    21 of 23 rate it a buy now, against 19 of 20 three months ago.

VST Wall Street View

12-month price targets

Low $106.00 Median $198.00 (+48.4%) High $306.00

Ratings

Buy 21 Hold 2 Sell 0 3 months ago: 19 of 20 buy

Recent rating actions

Recent analyst rating actions on VST
Date Firm Action Rating
Nov 6, 2026 Bernstein Reiterates Outperform
Nov 4, 2026 Keybanc Downgrade Sector Weight
Oct 28, 2026 CIBC Maintains Outperformer
Oct 28, 2026 Scotiabank Maintains Sector Outperform
Oct 28, 2026 Wells Fargo Maintains Overweight
Oct 27, 2026 B of A Securities Maintains Buy

As of November 11, 2026, 23 Wall Street analysts cover VST: 21 rate it a buy or strong buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $106.00 to $306.00. The median VST price target is $198.00, 48.4% above the price of $133.45.

Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.

06

VST risk and volatility

How much it moves day to day, and how it stacks up against similar assets.

Risk profile

How much VST tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Beta
1.38
against the S&P 500; 1 moves with the market
Daily volatility
5.30%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$133.45
$110.89 29% of the way up $189.29

Compare VST

Put VST side by side with other stocks and benchmarks.

07

VST price history and drawdowns

VST's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

7.0

Track record checks

3/4
  • Typical daily move of 2% or more ›
    A typical daily move is 5.30% (the standard deviation of the last 30 daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 52.1%, from November 2019 to March 2020, regained by April 2022.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    74% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since December 2016 ›
    $10,000 invested in December 2016 is now worth $128,106, against $40,494 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

VST Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, last 10 years
-52.1%
November 2019 to March 2020
Recovery
25 months
back at the old peak by April 2022
From the 10-year high
-38.3%
peak with dividends reinvested, September 2025
1-year holds that gained
74%
of every 1-year window

As of November 11, 2026, VST's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -52.1% (November 2019 to March 2020); it regained that peak by April 2022, 25 months after the low, and 74% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into VST in December 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

VST today
$128,106
from $10,000 in December 2016, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$40,494
the same $10,000 in SPY, dividends reinvested
Ahead of the index by
$87,612
3.2x the index result
Total change
+1,181%
13x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
VST S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: VST beat the S&P 500 over this period: $128,106 against $40,494.

A $10,000 investment in VST in December 2016 would be worth about $128,106 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $40,494 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to VST, and which have not.

Jan7/10 upFeb5/10 upMar4/10 upApr8/10 upMay6/10 upJun5/10 upJul4/10 upAug7/10 upSep6/10 upOct5/10 upNov6/9 upDec3/9 up

Strongest month, May: an average of +6.20%, up in 6 of 10 years.

Weakest month, December: an average of -2.05%, up in 3 of 9 years.

This month, November: has averaged +5.16%, up in 6 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Across 10 calendar years of history, VST's strongest calendar month has been May (average +6.20%, up in 6 of 10 years) and its weakest December (average -2.05%, up in 3 of 9 years).

Average return for each calendar month across 10 calendar years of history, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.

08

VST stock price prediction 2030

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in VST, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2030
$4,928
10th percentile
Base case, 2030
$15,126
median path
Upside, 2030
$46,433
90th percentile
20262027202820292030
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in VST today could grow to about $15,126 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $46,433 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $4,928. The simulation models price only; at today's 0.68% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

VST Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios

The same simulation in share prices, year by year.

Price today
$133
Base case, 2030
$202
1.5x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$65.76 to $620
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $202 for VST by 2030 in the base case, from $133 today (1.5x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $65.76. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on VST's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

VST simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $84.47 $148 $259
2028 $74.26 $164 $363
2029 $68.91 $182 $481
2030 $65.76 $202 $620

Method: a lognormal simulation of VST's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works

09

VST insider trading

What the people running the company have bought and sold.

VST insider trading

Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.

Bought
$1.2M
2 open-market purchases
Sold
$271.2M
43 open-market sales
Insiders filing
17
over the last 18 months
Average trade
$6.1M
buys and sales together

Month by month

Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.

Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26Sep '26Nov '26

Net insider selling: Insiders bought $1.2M on the open market and sold $271.2M.

As of November 11, 2026, VST insiders reported 43 open-market sales worth $271.2M and 2 open-market purchases worth $1.2M over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.

Insider transactions in VST
Date Insider Type Shares Value
Oct 7, 2026
Kristopher E. Moldovan
Officer
Sell 20.0K $3.3M
Oct 6, 2026
Scott A Hudson
Officer
Sell 22.2K $3.6M
Sep 8, 2026
Scott A Hudson
Officer
Sell 44.4K $6.7M
Sep 8, 2026
Kristopher E. Moldovan
Chief Financial Officer
Sell 20.0K $3.0M
Sep 1, 2026
James A. Burke
Chief Executive Officer
Buy 6.7K $903.1K
Aug 24, 2026
James A. Burke
Chief Executive Officer
Buy 2.0K $270.0K
Jun 18, 2026
Arcilia C Acosta
Director
Sell 15.0K $2.5M
Jun 18, 2026
John R Sult
Director
Sell 6.5K $1.1M
Jun 16, 2026
Scott Bradford Helm
Director
Sell 25.0K $4.0M
Jun 15, 2026
Paul M Barbas
Director
Sell 488 $73.4K
Page 1 of 12

Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings

10

VST stock forecast: questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of November 11, 2026.

VST Forecast: Frequently Asked Questions

Is Vistra Corp. (VST) a buy right now?
CleaRank rates VST Buy, on a model score of 63/100. Most of the lift comes from the analysts' outlook, as 21 of 23 analysts rate it a buy and the median target is 48.4% above the price. The biggest drag is the trend: the price is 12.33% below its 200-day average and 7.08% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 5.65% below the 200-day. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has Vistra Corp. (VST) performed over the past year?
Over the past year the price fell 25.51%. Over shorter periods it fell 9.02% in three months and fell 15.61% in the past month. It now trades 29.50% below its 52-week high of $189.29.
What are the key price levels for VST?
Two levels sit above the price: the 20-day EMA at $136.76 and the 50-day SMA at $143.62. The only level below it is the 52-week low at $110.89.
Is VST expensive compared with Utilities stocks?
VST's trailing P/E of 18.03 sits 20.9% below the Utilities median of 22.8, a gap the peer comparison on this page labels a discount to peers. The price-to-sales ratio of 2.20 is 33.3% below the sector median of 3.3. These medians are drawn from 13 stocks across the entire sector, not just direct competitors.
Does VST pay a dividend?
Yes, VST pays a dividend. Its trailing yield is 0.68%, which works out to $0.91 a share each year. The yield is the dividend divided by the price, so it moves whenever either of those changes.
What do Wall Street analysts think of VST?
21 of the 23 analysts covering VST rate it a buy, 2 rate it a hold, and 0 rate it a sell. The median 12-month price target is $198.00, which is 48.4% above the current price.
How often has VST beaten earnings estimates?
In our data VST has beaten the EPS estimate in 2 of the 6 reports in our data. After 1 of those 2 beats, the share price was lower in the first session.
How volatile is VST?
VST's price moves 5.30% on a typical day, measured as the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns. Its beta against the S&P 500 is 1.38.
Are VST insiders buying or selling?
Insiders sold $271.2M of stock over the last 18 months and made open-market purchases worth $1.2M. Sales are often planned ahead or made to cover tax on vesting shares, which means they tell you less than purchases do.
What is the 52-week range of VST?
Over the past 52 weeks, VST has traded between $110.89 and $189.29. At $133.45, the stock sits at 29% of that band, 20.34% above the low and 29.50% below the high.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The stock analysis and AI-generated signals presented for VST are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Simulated scenarios and historical performance figures shown are hypothetical and hindsight-based. They do not represent actual trades made by CleaRank or its affiliates. Stock prices can be volatile and are subject to market, economic, and company-specific risks. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by up to a minute. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of any data. You should never invest money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analysis generated on November 12, 2026.