Stock·NYSE·Utilities
NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG)
- Market cap
- $20.47B
- P/E
- 16.98
- Dividend yield
- 1.95%
- Street target
- $165.00median of 17 analysts
- 52-week range
- $79.65 $189.96
NRG stock today, November 12, 2026: price, news and analyst targets
As of November 11, 2026, NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) trades at $97.50. Wall Street's median 12-month price target is $165.00 across 17 analysts, 69.2% above the price. CleaRank rates it Hold with a score of 59/100.
NRG's stock has rebounded sharply from its lows after its November 9, 2026 report, but it remains well below its longer-term averages. Adjusted EPS of $4.68 beat the $3.03 estimate by 54.46%, and the shares rose 10.32% in the first session that followed. The price of $97.50 still sits below both the 50-day simple moving average of $101.26 and the 200-day simple moving average of $132.91, and the stock is down 40.13% over the past year. The question for investors is whether one strong quarter can repair a trend that has been weak for most of the year.
Why one strong quarter has not reset the trend
The November 9, 2026 report was the clearest good news NRG has had in months. Adjusted EPS of $4.68 beat the $3.03 estimate by 54.46%, and the shares rose 10.32% in the first session after the report. The stock also gained 17.12% over the past week. Yet the move has not changed the longer picture: the price is still below the 50-day simple moving average of $101.26 and far below the 200-day simple moving average of $132.91, and the shares are down 40.13% over the past year. A single beat lifts the stock off its lows, but the averages above it still point down, so the rebound has to prove it can hold.
The earnings record is mixed
The beat in November follows a run of misses. Of the eight recent reports, six beat the EPS estimate and two missed. The two misses, on August 4, 2026 and May 6, 2026, were followed by share price drops of 15.48% and 4.31% in the first session. Results have been volatile around the report date, which is consistent with a typical daily move of 4.53%.
Valuation and analyst support
On trailing earnings the stock looks inexpensive. The trailing P/E of 16.98 is a discount to the sector median of 22.8, and the price-to-sales ratio of 0.58 compares with a sector median of 3.3. Return on equity of 34.74% is well above the sector median of 9.6%, although the net profit margin of 3.4% is thin and debt-to-equity stands at 4.39. Analysts are firmly positive: 15 of 17 rate the stock buy or strong buy, none rate it sell, and the median 12-month target of $165.00 sits 69.2% above the price. Three months ago 13 of 16 ratings were buy, so the buy count has held up. Insider activity is less encouraging, with $2.7B of insider sales over the last 18 months and no open-market purchases.
CleaRank score 59/100 (Hold). 12 of 19 checks pass: trend 0 of 4, momentum 2 of 3, valuation and quality 5 of 5, analysts 3 of 3, track record 2 of 4.
About NRG Energy
NRG Energy, Inc. is an energy and home services company that supplies electricity, natural gas, and related energy solutions across the United States and Canada. The company serves residential, commercial, industrial, governmental, and wholesale customers through a portfolio of retail energy brands and service offerings. Its operations include power generation, energy management, demand response, virtual power plant programs, carbon offsets, and trading in power and natural gas.
NRG stock news
Earnings beat
Earnings report, November 9, 2026
The November 9, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 54.46%, and the share price rose 10.32% in the first session after it.
New analyst coverage
Analyst action, HSBC, October 22, 2026
HSBC started coverage at Buy on October 22, 2026.
Rating reaffirmed
Analyst action, CIBC, October 28, 2026
CIBC kept its Outperformer rating on October 28, 2026.
NRG price target 2026
NRG remains in a downtrend while it trades under both its 50-day average of $101.26 and its 200-day average of $132.91. A close back above the 50-day would be the first sign of a repair. That 50-day SMA at $101.26 is the first hurdle overhead.
To the downside, the first level below the price is the 20-day EMA at $95.39.
Analyst targets and ratings
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | CIBC | Maintains | Outperformer |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Scotiabank | Maintains | Sector Outperform |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight |
| Oct 22, 2026 | HSBC | Initiates | Buy |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight |
NRG support and resistance levels
Below the price of $97.50, NRG's nearest support is the 20-day exponential average at $95.39, then the 52-week low at $79.65. Above it, the first resistance is the 50-day moving average at $101.26, then the 200-day moving average at $132.91.
| Level | What it is | Price | From the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance 3 | 52-week high | $189.96 | +94.8% |
| Resistance 2 | 200-day moving average | $132.91 | +36.3% |
| Resistance 1 | 50-day moving average | $101.26 | +3.9% |
| Price | November 11, 2026 | $97.50 | |
| Support 1 | 20-day exponential average | $95.39 | -2.2% |
| Support 2 | 52-week low | $79.65 | -18.3% |
Technical indicators
NRG stock price and trading
NRG share price
NRG fundamentals and valuation
Key statistics
NRG against the Utilities sector
Price to earnings vs sector: NRG trades at a notable discount to sector peers (-26% against the sector median P/E). Investors are paying less for each dollar of earnings than for the typical stock in the sector.
Return vs XLU: Since Jun 2, 2025, NRG has lost 38.5% against a gain of 6.6% for XLU.
Performance against XLU
Revenue and earnings
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 9.2% in FY2025 to $30.7B, from $28.1B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 2.8% in FY2025, down from 4.0% the year before.
Profitable: NRG earned $864M in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Earnings record: NRG beat the analyst estimate in 6 of the last 8 quarters.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 2 of those 6 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2026before open | $3.03 | $4.68 | +54.46% | +10.32% | - |
| Aug 4, 2026before open | $1.74 | $1.49 | -14.37% | -15.48% | -14.13% |
| May 6, 2026before open | $1.73 | $1.49 | -13.87% | -4.31% | -12.76% |
| Feb 24, 2026before open | $0.89 | $1.04 | +16.85% | +4.25% | -0.53% |
| Nov 6, 2025before open | $2.13 | $2.78 | +30.52% | -1.78% | -2.51% |
| Aug 6, 2025before open | $1.65 | $1.73 | +4.85% | -13.61% | -8.88% |
| May 12, 2025before open | $1.69 | $2.68 | +58.58% | +26.21% | +33.41% |
| Feb 26, 2025before open | $0.94 | $1.52 | +61.70% | +10.63% | -2.14% |
NRG price history and drawdowns
Risk profile
Worst falls and recoveries
Growth of $10,000
Against the market: NRG beat the S&P 500 over this period: $108,013 against $40,494.
A $10,000 investment in NRG in December 2016 would be worth about $108,013 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $40,494 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
NRG stock price prediction 2030
NRG Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $147 for NRG by 2030 in the base case, from $97.50 today (1.5x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $53.16. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on NRG's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $65.00 | $108 | $179 | |
| 2028 | $58.34 | $120 | $245 | |
| 2029 | $54.99 | $132 | $319 | |
| 2030 | $53.16 | $147 | $405 |
NRG insider trading
NRG insider trading
Month by month
Net insider selling: No insider bought NRG shares on the open market in the last 18 months. Sales are often planned in advance or cover tax on vesting shares, so they say less than purchases would.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Brad Bentley
Officer
|
Grant | 102 | - |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Rule Antonio Carrillo
Director
|
Grant | 95 | - |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Matthew Carter Jr.
Director
|
Grant | 219 | - |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Bruce Chung
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 82 | - |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Heather Cox
Director
|
Grant | 99 | - |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Brian Curci
General Counsel
|
Grant | 66 | - |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Elisabeth B Donohue
Director
|
Grant | 120 | - |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Robert J Gaudette
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 78 | - |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Sanjay Kapoor
Director
|
Grant | 19 | - |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Virginia Kinney
Officer
|
Grant | 40 | - |
NRG stock forecast: questions people ask
NRG Forecast: Frequently Asked Questions
What is the NRG stock forecast?
What is the NRG price target?
Is NRG a buy or sell today?
How did NRG shares react to the November 9, 2026 report?
How much has NRG stock fallen over the past year?
Is NRG's dividend covered by its earnings?
How does NRG's revenue growth compare with its sector?
How these figures are computed, and where the data comes from: CleaRank methodology.