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As of September 10, 2026, Chevron Corp. (CVX) trades at $213.81. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $224.50, 5.0% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $224.50 across 25 analysts. RSI at 65 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $192.83.
Chevron Corp. (CVX)
Chevron Corp. NYSE
$213.81
4.010 (1.91%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
75 / 100
Chevron Corp. (CVX) is currently trading at $213.81, with a median analyst price target of $224.50, suggesting a 5.00% upside potential. The stock exhibits bullish technical momentum, trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($192.83 and $181.71), with a RSI of 64.88. Wall Street consensus is predominantly positive, with 20 out of 25 analysts rating the stock as Buy or Strong Buy, contributing to a consensus score of 75. The company is expected to see significant revenue growth in the current and next quarters, with current year estimates projecting a 21.00% increase. Despite the positive analyst sentiment and technical indicators, significant insider selling has been observed, with total sales amounting to $696.8 million. This heavy sell signal from insiders contrasts with the overall bullish outlook from analysts and the company's strong revenue growth projections. Investors should monitor this insider activity closely as a potential risk factor, even as the company appears fundamentally sound and technically strong.
CVX Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$212.88
Day Range
$212.23 to $215.28
Prev Close
$209.80
Volume
8.38M
52-Week Range
$146.49 to $215.28
Market Cap
$419.41B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Energy)
Performance vs XLE
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-0.00758% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
CVX Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, CVX beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
CVX Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+5.00% Upside
Median of 25 analysts (12-month)
$224.50
AI Technical Analysis
Chevron Corp. (CVX) is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($192.83 and $181.71), indicating a bullish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 64.88 also suggests bullish momentum, aligning with the stock's upward trajectory. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is positive at 5.03, further supporting the bullish sentiment. Volume has been slightly above average recently, with 8.38 million shares traded compared to the average of 7.67 million. Key support levels are indicated by the moving averages, while the current price action suggests potential for further upside towards the analyst median target price of $224.50. The stochastic indicator at 91.58 suggests the stock is approaching overbought territory, which could signal a short-term pause or pullback.
ProTips
- Monitor insider selling activity closely, as over $696 million in sales have been reported, which could signal potential headwinds not yet reflected in analyst targets.
- Given the stock is approaching overbought territory on the stochastic indicator, consider waiting for a potential pullback or consolidation before initiating new positions.
- Chevron Corp. (CVX) offers a dividend yield of approximately 3.30%, which may appeal to income-focused investors, but ensure the dividend coverage is sustainable given projected revenue slowdown.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Revenue Growth Estimates
Current year revenue is estimated to grow by 21.00%, significantly outpacing sector averages and indicating strong demand for Chevron's products and services.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBullish
Consistent Earnings Beats
Chevron has a track record of exceeding analyst EPS estimates, most recently by 8.8% in the July 2026 quarter, demonstrating operational efficiency and effective management.
Source: Earnings ReportsBearish
Heavy Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold a substantial $696.8 million worth of shares, representing a heavy insider selling and raising concerns about management's confidence in the current valuation.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Projected Revenue Decline Next Year
Revenue is forecasted to decrease by 7.00% in the next year, suggesting a potential slowdown in growth that could impact future profitability and stock performance.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesMarket Outlook
Chevron Corp. (CVX) is expected to maintain its current momentum, with a median analyst price target of $224.50 suggesting a modest 5.00% upside from its current price of $213.81. The company's strong revenue growth, projected at 21.00% for the current year, and bullish technical indicators provide a solid foundation for the near to medium-term outlook. Potential catalysts for upside include continued strong earnings performance and favorable energy market conditions. However, the significant volume of insider selling presents a notable risk that could temper future gains. Investors should also be mindful of the projected 7.00% revenue decline for next year, which could signal a shift in market dynamics or company-specific challenges.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 419.41B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 20.58 |
| EPS (TTM) | 10.39 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.30% |
| 52 Week High | 215.28 |
| 52 Week Low | 146.49 |
Chevron Corp. (CVX) presents a mixed valuation picture, with a P/E ratio of 20.58, which is in line with the sector average of 20.58. The company's earnings per share (EPS) stands at $10.39. While the current valuation is not excessively stretched compared to its peers, the significant insider selling activity warrants attention. Revenue growth is a strong point for Chevron, with current year estimates projecting a 21.00% increase, significantly above the sector average of 10.00%. The company also pays a dividend yield of approximately 3.30%. The positive revenue trajectory and dividend payout are supportive factors, but the heavy insider selling suggests potential concerns that are not immediately apparent in the valuation or growth metrics.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Chevron Corp. (CVX) recently reported an EPS of $6.06 for the quarter ending July 31, 2026, beating the analyst estimate of $5.57 by 8.8%. This positive earnings surprise followed a significant beat in the prior quarter where actual EPS was $1.41 against an estimate of $0.97. However, the stock experienced a 1.85% decline following the most recent earnings report, despite the beat, indicating that market sentiment may be influenced by factors beyond immediate earnings performance. The company has demonstrated a pattern of exceeding earnings expectations in recent quarters, with a notable surprise of 445.45% in the quarter ending March 6, 2026. This consistent outperformance in earnings is a positive fundamental indicator.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Chevron Corp. (CVX) stems from significant insider selling, with over $696 million in sales reported, indicating potential concerns among management regarding future performance or valuation. Additionally, while revenue growth is strong, the next year's revenue is projected to decline by 7.00%, suggesting a potential slowdown in top-line expansion. The stock's stochastic indicator approaching overbought levels also poses a short-term risk of a price correction.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 64.88 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 5.03 |
| SMA 50 | 192.83 |
| SMA 200 | 181.71 |
RSI
Bullish
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($192.83) above the 200-day SMA ($181.71), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.24
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.12
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.11
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
-0.07
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
CVX Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$209.53
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
AGGRESSIVE
$213.81
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$203.25
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (64.9) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$220.01
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$230.49
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$240.96
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for CVX is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in CVX in September 2016 would be worth about $20,911 today, compared with about $35,241 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in CVX today could grow to about $20,485 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $67,963 and a bear case around $6,175. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
CVX Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $285 for CVX by 2030 in the base case, from $214 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $133. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on CVX's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $157 | $230 | $336 |
| 2028 | $144 | $247 | $422 |
| 2029 | $137 | $265 | $511 |
| 2030 | $133 | $285 | $608 |
| 2031 | $131 | $306 | $715 |
| 2032 | $130 | $329 | $832 |
| 2033 | $130 | $353 | $963 |
| 2034 | $130 | $379 | $1,109 |
| 2035 | $131 | $408 | $1,272 |
| 2036 | $132 | $438 | $1,453 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using CVX's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
CVX Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$696.8M
36 Transactions
Insiders
23
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$19.4M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | HESS JOHN B JR.
Director
|
Sell | 810.7K | $157.4M |
| Nov 21, 2025 | HESS JOHN B JR.
Director
|
Sell | 550.0K | $82.7M |
| May 20, 2026 | HESS JOHN B JR.
Director
|
Sell | 380.0K | $73.4M |
| Aug 14, 2026 | WIRTH MICHAEL K
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 317.1K | $63.6M |
| Aug 22, 2025 | HESS JOHN B JR.
Director
|
Sell | 375.0K | $59.4M |
| Jan 5, 2026 | WIRTH MICHAEL K
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 320.7K | $52.3M |
| Mar 2, 2026 | WIRTH MICHAEL K
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 272.6K | $51.6M |
| May 26, 2022 | JOHNSON JAMES WILLIAM
Officer
|
Sell | 270.0K | $47.6M |
| May 6, 2026 | HESS JOHN B JR.
Director
|
Sell | 195.0K | $36.0M |
| May 4, 2022 | JOHNSON JAMES WILLIAM
Officer
|
Sell | 174.6K | $28.3M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Chevron Corp. (CVX) stock a buy right now?
Chevron Corp. (CVX) is currently rated as a Buy by Wall Street, with a consensus score of 75. The stock is trading at $213.81, with a median analyst target price of $224.50, suggesting a 5.00% upside. Bullish technicals and strong revenue growth estimates support a positive outlook, though significant insider selling is a factor to monitor.
What is Chevron Corp.'s (CVX) stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Chevron Corp.'s (CVX) stock price is projected to be $284.84 by 2030 under base case assumptions, with a downside projection of $133.41 and an upside projection of $608.14. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets.
What is Chevron Corp.'s (CVX) dividend yield?
Chevron Corp. (CVX) offers a dividend yield of approximately 3.30%, with a dividend rate of $7.05.
How does Chevron Corp.'s (CVX) valuation compare to its sector peers?
Chevron Corp. (CVX) has a P/E ratio of 20.58, which is in line with the Energy sector average of 20.58. Its revenue growth of 53.5% significantly outpaces the sector average of 10.00%.
What are the biggest risks facing Chevron Corp. (CVX)?
The most significant risks for Chevron Corp. (CVX) include substantial insider selling totaling over $696 million, a projected 7.00% decline in revenue for next year, and the stock approaching overbought territory according to technical indicators.
How has Chevron Corp. (CVX) performed in recent earnings reports?
Chevron Corp. (CVX) has consistently beaten analyst EPS estimates in recent quarters, including an 8.8% beat in the quarter ending July 31, 2026. Despite this strong performance, the stock saw a minor decline following the latest earnings release.
What is the Wall Street consensus for Chevron Corp. (CVX)?
The Wall Street consensus for Chevron Corp. (CVX) is predominantly positive, with a 'Buy' rating. Out of 25 analysts, 6 rate it as Strong Buy, 14 as Buy, and only 1 as Sell, resulting in a Wall Street score of 75 out of 100.