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As of September 11, 2026, Oklo Inc. (OKLO) trades at $37.38. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $81.50, 118.0% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $81.50 across 25 analysts. RSI at 41 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $43.18.
Oklo Inc. (OKLO)
Oklo Inc. NYSE
$37.38
-2.500 (-6.27%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Oklo Inc. (OKLO) is currently trading at $37.38, significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($43.18 and $63.79), signaling a bearish technical trend. The company has experienced substantial insider selling, with $729.5M in total sales versus $247K in total purchases, indicating a lack of confidence from management and a heavy sell signal. This activity, coupled with volatile earnings performance, presents a significant risk to the stock's valuation. Despite these concerns, the median Wall Street price target stands at $81.50, suggesting an 118% upside potential from the current price. However, the company's negative EPS of -0.94 and the absence of reported revenue growth raise questions about its fundamental viability. The Utilities sector, in general, is trading at a median P/E of -39.77, and Oklo's current valuation metrics are difficult to assess due to its negative EPS.
OKLO Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$38.77
Day Range
$36.99 to $39.00
Prev Close
$39.88
Volume
86.2K
52-Week Range
$36.61 to $193.84
Market Cap
$7.42B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Utilities)
Performance vs XLU
Sector Position Analysis
On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, OKLO trades at 6,599.78x, far above the sector average of 3.30x.
OKLO Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, OKLO beat estimates 1 times. The stock rose 1 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
OKLO Analysis
Company's Health
2/5
AI Technical Analysis
Oklo Inc.'s trading volume has been exceptionally low, registering at 86,203 compared to its average of 7,988,240, a decrease of 98.9%, suggesting a lack of investor interest or conviction. The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($43.18 and $63.79), at $43.18 and $63.79 respectively, indicating a bearish trend. The RSI is at 40.99, falling within the neutral momentum range, but the overall technical picture is weak given the price action relative to key moving averages and the extremely low volume. Key support levels are not clearly defined due to the limited trading history and low volume, while resistance is observed at the 50-day SMA of $43.18. The current price action suggests a potential for further downside pressure unless significant buying volume emerges. The lack of strong trading activity makes it difficult to establish reliable technical patterns or predict near-term price movements with high confidence.
ProTips
- Given the extreme insider selling and volatile earnings, consider a smaller position size than usual for Oklo Inc. until a clear trend emerges.
- The extremely low trading volume for Oklo Inc. suggests potential liquidity challenges; be mindful of this when entering or exiting positions.
- Monitor upcoming earnings reports closely for signs of consistent profitability and revenue growth, which are currently lacking and pose a significant risk to the stock's valuation.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Heavy Insider Selling Continues
Insiders have sold over $719 million worth of Oklo Inc. stock, significantly outweighing purchases of $147,000. This heavy disposition indicates a strong lack of confidence from management and poses a significant bearish pressure on the stock.
Source: Insider Trading DataBearish
Inconsistent Earnings Performance
Oklo Inc. reported a -75% EPS surprise in its latest quarter, with an actual EPS of -0.28 against an estimate of -0.16, leading to an 8.12% price drop. This follows a pattern of volatile earnings, raising concerns about future profitability.
Source: Earnings ReportsBullish
Significant Upside Potential in Analyst Price Targets
The median Wall Street price target for Oklo Inc. is $81.50, representing an 118% upside from the current trading price of $37.38, suggesting analysts see considerable room for growth.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsNeutral
Low Trading Volume
Oklo Inc. is experiencing exceptionally low trading volume, significantly below its average. This could indicate a lack of investor interest or potential liquidity issues, making it a neutral factor that warrants monitoring.
Source: Technical Analysis DataMarket Outlook
Oklo Inc.'s outlook is cautiously speculative, primarily driven by the significant upside potential indicated by the median Wall Street price target of $81.50, which is over 118% above the current price. This target suggests analysts anticipate a substantial recovery or growth phase for the company, potentially fueled by future projects and market acceptance. However, this optimistic target is juxtaposed against severe headwinds. The heavy insider selling of over $719 million, coupled with inconsistent earnings and a negative EPS, presents a considerable risk to this outlook. The company's ability to execute on its strategy and achieve profitability will be critical. Any positive developments in project deployment or regulatory approvals could support the bullish case, while continued insider divestment or further earnings disappointments could lead to a significant downside.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 7.42B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -0.9400 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 193.84 |
| 52 Week Low | 36.61 |
Oklo Inc.'s fundamental valuation is currently obscured by a negative EPS of -0.94, making traditional P/E ratio analysis impossible and indicating a loss-making operation. While the sector median P/E is 22.8, Oklo's profitability metrics are not comparable. The company's revenue growth is also reported as 'N/A', further complicating a fundamental assessment. The balance sheet strength is not detailed, but the significant insider selling suggests potential underlying concerns about the company's financial health or future prospects. Given the lack of positive earnings and revenue growth data, the current stock price of $37.38 appears disconnected from fundamental performance. The median Wall Street price target of $81.50 implies a significant re-rating is expected, but this is not supported by the current financial data. Investors should exercise extreme caution until more clarity on profitability and revenue generation is provided.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Oklo Inc. has demonstrated a pattern of inconsistent earnings, with the most recent quarter ending August 7, 2026, showing an EPS actual of -0.28 against an estimate of -0.16, a surprise of -75% and a price reaction of -8.12%. The prior quarter ending May 7, 2026, was a positive outlier with an EPS actual of 1.22 versus an estimate of 1.11, a 9.91% surprise, leading to a 0.95% price increase. However, the preceding quarters show significant misses, with EPS actuals of -0.27 and -0.20 against estimates of -0.17 and -0.12 respectively, resulting in price drops of -6.33% and gains of 6.67%. This volatile performance makes future earnings difficult to predict.
Key Risks
Oklo Inc. faces substantial risks stemming from heavy insider selling, with over $719 million in dispositions, signaling a severe lack of confidence from management and a heavy sell signal. The company's earnings have been highly inconsistent, with significant misses in recent quarters and a negative EPS of -0.94, raising concerns about its path to profitability. Also, the extremely low trading volume suggests a lack of investor interest and potential liquidity issues, making it difficult to exit positions without significant price impact.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 40.99 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -1.18 |
| SMA 50 | 43.18 |
| SMA 200 | 63.79 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $43.18, 200-day: $63.79), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.42
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.47
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.42
Moderate correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.22
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
OKLO Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$37.01
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$37.38
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$33.95
MAX LOSS
-8.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (41.0) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$38.12
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$38.86
+5% (Conservative)
+3.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$39.97
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
OKLO is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 5.51%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in OKLO in May 2024 would be worth about $26,891 today, compared with about $14,822 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in OKLO today could grow to about $42,059 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $319,087 and a bear case around $5,544. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
OKLO Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $66.40 for OKLO by 2030 in the base case, from $37.38 today (1.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $18.43. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on OKLO's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $22.74 | $43.15 | $81.91 |
| 2028 | $20.13 | $49.82 | $123 |
| 2029 | $18.96 | $57.52 | $175 |
| 2030 | $18.43 | $66.40 | $239 |
| 2031 | $18.29 | $76.66 | $321 |
| 2032 | $18.42 | $88.50 | $425 |
| 2033 | $18.75 | $102 | $557 |
| 2034 | $19.26 | $118 | $723 |
| 2035 | $19.92 | $136 | $931 |
| 2036 | $20.72 | $157 | $1,193 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using OKLO's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. OKLO is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
OKLO Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$147.4K
1 Transactions
Sold
$719.5M
62 Transactions
Insiders
11
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$11.4M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2025 | COCHRAN CAROLINE
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 840.0K | $69.2M |
| Dec 22, 2025 | DEWITTE JACOB
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 840.0K | $69.2M |
| Sep 30, 2025 | COCHRAN CAROLINE
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 600.0K | $67.4M |
| Sep 30, 2025 | DEWITTE JACOB
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 600.0K | $67.4M |
| Jun 30, 2025 | COCHRAN CAROLINE
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 600.0K | $33.1M |
| Jun 30, 2025 | DEWITTE JACOB
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 600.0K | $33.1M |
| Jan 8, 2026 | COCHRAN CAROLINE
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 328.4K | $32.5M |
| Jan 8, 2026 | DEWITTE JACOB
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 328.4K | $32.5M |
| Jan 5, 2026 | COCHRAN CAROLINE
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 200.0K | $18.1M |
| Jan 5, 2026 | DEWITTE JACOB
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 200.0K | $18.1M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Oklo Inc.'s stock price prediction for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Oklo Inc.'s stock price is projected to be $66.40 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $18.43, while the upside projection reaches $239.21. These figures represent simulation outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
Is Oklo Inc. stock a buy right now?
Oklo Inc. is currently rated as 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts with a consensus score of 68. While the median price target of $81.50 suggests significant upside, heavy insider selling and inconsistent earnings present considerable risks that temper a 'buy' recommendation.
What are the biggest risks facing Oklo Inc.?
The primary risks for Oklo Inc. include substantial insider selling totaling over $719 million, indicating a severe lack of management confidence. Additionally, the company exhibits highly inconsistent earnings performance with a negative EPS and very low trading volume, suggesting potential profitability challenges and liquidity concerns.
How does Oklo Inc. compare to its sector averages?
Oklo Inc. operates in the Utilities sector. While sector averages show a median P/E of -39.77 and revenue growth of 4.1%, Oklo's P/E is not applicable due to negative EPS, and its revenue growth is not provided, making direct comparison difficult.
What is Oklo Inc.'s recent earnings performance?
Oklo Inc. recently reported an EPS miss of -75% for the quarter ending August 7, 2026, with an actual EPS of -0.28 against an estimate of -0.16, leading to an 8.12% price drop. This follows a positive surprise in the prior quarter, highlighting volatile earnings trends.
What is the Wall Street consensus on Oklo Inc. stock?
The Wall Street consensus for Oklo Inc. is a 'Hold' rating, supported by a score of 68 out of 100. This consensus is based on ratings from 25 analysts, with a median price target of $81.50.
What are the key technical indicators for Oklo Inc.?
Oklo Inc.'s technical indicators show a bearish trend, with the stock trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($43.18 and $63.79). The RSI is neutral at 40.99, but extremely low trading volume and the lack of upward momentum suggest caution.