Oklo Inc. (OKLO)
Oklo Inc. NYSE
OKLO at a glance
Oklo Inc. (OKLO): Sell, 21/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($39.62 and $57.60).
- Earnings OKLO has not beaten estimates in any of its last 3 quarters.
- Insiders Insiders sold $719.4M and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.
As of October 15, 2026, Oklo Inc. (OKLO) trades at $29.04. Wall Street's consensus target is $74.50 across 24 analysts. The 14-day RSI (daily closes) is 28, in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day simple moving average of $39.62.
Figures as of October 15, 2026.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from OKLO's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
OKLO Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Utilities)
Performance vs XLU
OKLO Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
| Report | EPS estimate | EPS actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | -$0.16 | -$0.28 | -75.00% | -8.12% | -8.34% |
| Mar 17, 2026 | -$0.16 | -$0.27 | -68.75% | -6.33% | -9.20% |
| Nov 11, 2025 | -$0.12 | -$0.20 | -66.67% | +6.67% | -7.28% |
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
As of October 15, 2026, OKLO has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 0 of its last 3 reported quarters; its latest report, on August 7, 2026, came in 75.00% below the estimate and the stock moved -8.12% in the first session.
OKLO Analysis
- Given the heavy insider selling totaling over $719 million, investors should exercise extreme caution and monitor future insider transactions closely for any signs of changing sentiment.
- The significantly oversold 14-day RSI (28.46) suggests a potential for a short-term technical bounce, but this should not be interpreted as a fundamental turnaround. Consider waiting for confirmation of sustained buying pressure.
Insiders have sold $719.4 million worth of stock.
Source: Insider Trading DataOklo Inc. has consistently failed to meet analyst EPS estimates, with the latest quarter showing a -75% surprise, reinforcing concerns about operational execution.
Source: Earnings ReportsThe stock is trading significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($39.62 and $57.60), confirming a strong bearish trend with resistance at these levels.
Source: Technical AnalysisThe 14-day RSI is at 28.46, indicating an oversold condition that could lead to a short-term price rebound.
Source: Technical AnalysisKey Statistics
| Market Cap | 5.40B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -0.9400 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 176.35 |
| 52 Week Low | 28.86 |
As of October 15, 2026, OKLO trades at $29.04, with a market value of $5.40B and no P/E ratio (its trailing earnings are negative).
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Key Risks
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14-day) | 28.46 |
|---|---|
| MACD (12, 26) | -2.18 |
| SMA (50-day) | 39.62 |
| SMA (200-day) | 57.60 |
As of October 15, 2026, with OKLO at $29.04, its 14-day RSI is 28.5 (oversold territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $39.62 and its 200-day is $57.60.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 15, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
As of October 15, 2026, OKLO's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.42 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.47 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.43 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.24 with gold (XAU).
How does any other asset move with OKLO? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
OKLO Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Piper Sandler | Initiates | Overweight |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral |
| Aug 10, 2026 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Reiterates | Buy |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy |
As of October 15, 2026, 24 Wall Street analysts cover OKLO: 14 rate it a buy or strong buy, 9 a hold and 1 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $14.00 to $130.00, with a median of $74.50, 156.5% above the price of $29.04.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
OKLO Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Short entry pick an entry style
Risk Management
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
OKLO moves about 4.5% a day on average, so a stop can fill well past its level. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in OKLO in May 2024 would be worth about $19,582 today, compared with about $15,052 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
OKLO Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 15, 2026, OKLO's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 2 years was -82.2% (October 2025 to October 2026); it is still 82.2% below that peak.
From daily closing values. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in OKLO today could grow to about $26,328 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $199,740 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $3,470. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
OKLO Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $42.77 for OKLO by 2030 in the base case, from $29.04 today (1.5x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $11.87. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on OKLO's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $16.86 | $31.99 | $60.72 |
| 2028 | $14.24 | $35.24 | $87.23 |
| 2029 | $12.80 | $38.83 | $118 |
| 2030 | $11.87 | $42.77 | $154 |
| 2031 | $11.24 | $47.12 | $197 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of OKLO's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. OKLO is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation.
People Also Watch
OKLO Insider Trading Analysis
As of October 15, 2026, OKLO insiders reported 71 open-market sales worth $719.4M and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | NARAYANADAS VIVEK
General Counsel
|
Sell | 288 | $10.7K |
| Oct 5, 2026 | NARAYANADAS VIVEK
General Counsel
|
Sell | 649 | $23.3K |
| Oct 2, 2026 | BEALMEAR RICHARD CRAIG
Chief Financial Officer
|
Option | 22.1K | $70.3K |
| Oct 2, 2026 | NARAYANADAS VIVEK
General Counsel
|
Grant | 1.0K | - |
| Oct 1, 2026 | COCHRAN CAROLINE
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 120.0K | $4.4M |
| Oct 1, 2026 | DEWITTE JACOB
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 120.0K | $4.4M |
| Oct 1, 2026 | BEALMEAR RICHARD CRAIG
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 16.5K | $607.5K |
| Sep 28, 2026 | GOODWIN WILLIAM CARROLL MURPHY
Officer
|
Sell | 1.8K | $66.4K |
| Sep 28, 2026 | HANSON JOHN
Officer
|
Sell | 1.1K | $41.1K |
| Sep 28, 2026 | RENNER ALEXANDRA
Officer
|
Sell | 1.1K | $41.1K |