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ETF·NYSE

State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE)

$68.24 1.680 (2.52%)
At close: Oct 16, 4:00 PM EDT
Strong Buy
95 / 100
CleaRank AI scorei
Net assets
$39.13B
Expense ratio
0.08%
Yield
2.48%
52-week range
$43.06 $68.29
01

The short version

Where XLE stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

XLE at a glance

State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE): Strong Buy, 95/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($63.54 and $57.62).
  • Fund Expense ratio 0.08%, $39.1B in net assets, +41.5% total return over 1 year.

Figures as of October 17, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

CleaRank rates State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) Strong Buy, with a model score of 95/100.

The trend lifts the score most: the price is 18.44% above its 200-day average and 7.40% above its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 10.27% above the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $63.54 and the 200-day at $57.62. Over the past year the price rose 60.04%.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from XLE's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

Price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

4/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $68.24 is 7.4% above the 50-day simple moving average of $63.54.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 18.4% above the 200-day simple moving average of $57.62.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($63.54) is 10.3% above the 200-day average ($57.62), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 100% of its 52-week range, between $43.06 and $68.29.

XLE share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far XLE has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $42.64 Oct 16, 2025
Latest close $68.24 Oct 16, 2026
High $68.24 Oct 16, 2026
Low $42.64 Oct 16, 2025

Today's trading

Where XLE sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 1.91% wide
$68.24
$67.01 $68.29
52-week range 100% of the way up
$68.24
$43.06 $68.29
Open
$67.12
Previous close
$66.56
Volume
37.51M
23% above average
03

Fund facts and valuation

What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.

3.0

Fund checks

4/5
  • Expense ratio at or below 0.20% ›
    The fund charges 0.08% a year, $8.00 on a $10,000 holding.
  • Over $1B in net assets ›
    Net assets total $39.1B.
  • No sector above 35% of the fund ›
    The largest sector, Energy, makes up 100.0% of the fund.
  • Pays a distribution ›
    The distribution yield is 2.48%.
  • Positive return over one year ›
    The fund family reports a one-year total return of 41.47%.

XLE Fund Facts

State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides targeted exposure to the U.S. energy sector. The fund is designed to track the Energy Select Sector Index, holding large-cap companies from the S&P 500 classified in energy-related industries such as oil, gas and consumable fuels, and energy equipment and services. Its portfolio is heavily concentrated in major integrated producers, exploration and production companies, refiners, pipeline operators, and oilfield service providers.

Issuer
State Street Investment Management
Category
Equity Energy
Inception
Dec 16, 1998
Expense ratio
0.08%
Net assets
$39.13B
Distribution yield
2.48%
YTD return
40.13%
Turnover
10.00%

Sector weights

Energy 100.0%

Trailing total returns

Period XLE
YTD 40.13%
1 month -3.29%
3 months 16.27%
1 year 41.47%
3 years 14.32%
5 years 22.94%
10 years 10.09%

As of Oct 17, 2026, XLE has an expense ratio of 0.08%, $39.13B in net assets and a distribution yield of 2.48%.

Fund reference data as of Oct 17, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.

Key statistics

The headline figures for XLE.

Net Assets
39.13B
Expense Ratio
0.08%
Yield
2.48%
Day High
$68.29
Day Low
$67.01
52 Week High
68.29
52 Week Low
43.06

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of XLE's holdings, performance and risks.

The fund

Energy is the core of XLE, and it makes up 100.0% of the fund. Because the fund holds almost nothing outside that sector, its moves track the sector closely. XLE is an Equity Energy fund run by State Street Investment Management, and it launched on December 16, 1998.

Costs run at 0.08% a year, so a $10,000 holding pays $8.00 annually. Net assets come to $39.1B. Distributions produce a yield of 2.48%, and portfolio turnover is 10%.

Key risks

On a typical day the price of XLE shifts by 1.39%, the 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns. Concentration matters here: Energy makes up 100.0% of the fund, so a setback in that sector would weigh on the whole.

04

AI analysis and technicals

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

3/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 69.1, showing bullish momentum without being overbought.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 69.1 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.

CleaRank AI analysis of XLE

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

AI analyst consensus
95/100
Strong Buy
What the AI sees

XLE is in an uptrend, with the price sitting above both of its moving averages. The price of $68.24 stands 7.40% above the 50-day average of $63.54 and 18.44% above the 200-day average of $57.62. Although the price is at 100% of its 52-week range, it is 0.07% below the 52-week high of $68.29. The 50-day average is itself 10.27% above the 200-day average.

On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 69.1, in the bullish zone, below the overbought line, with the MACD line positive. Every period on the chart shows a gain, with the price up 18.31% over the past three months, 24.03% over the past six months and 60.04% over the past year.

ProTips
  1. The nearest level below the price is the 20-day EMA at $64.90; nothing sits above it until the 52-week high.
  2. The 14-day RSI is 69.1, which falls in the bullish zone, and the MACD line is positive. Readings above 70 or below 30 would point to stretched momentum.
  3. Fees add up over time. XLE's 0.08% annual expense ratio means $8.00 is paid on every $10,000 invested each year.
Market outlook

XLE trades above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($63.54 and $57.62), which is what makes the trend up; losing the 50-day would be the first warning. The nearest level under the price is the 20-day EMA at $64.90.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for XLE, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Bullish 4 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Bullish
  • SMA cross Bullish
  • Price vs SMA Bullish
  • MACD Bullish
Momentum Bullish
69.114-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) 1.17 Bullish
Trend Golden cross
+7.4%price against the 50-day average
200-day $57.62 50-day $63.54 Price $68.24
Price against the 200-day +18.4% Bullish

As of October 17, 2026, with XLE at $68.24, its 14-day RSI is 69.1 (showing bullish momentum without being overbought), its 50-day simple moving average is $63.54 and its 200-day is $57.62.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 17, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).

What XLE moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.32 Weak
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.19 Weak
Bitcoin (BTC) -0.04 Weak
Gold (XAU) +0.00 Weak

As of October 17, 2026, XLE's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.32 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.19 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), -0.04 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.00 with gold (XAU).

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05

A trade plan, if you want one

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

XLE trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 2%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Long entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$66.88
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$68.24
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry

Risk management

Stop loss
$64.87
Max loss
-3.0%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (69.1) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$70.22
+5% (Conservative) +2.9% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$73.56
+10% (Conservative) +7.8% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$76.91
+15% (Conservative) +12.7% (Aggressive)

These levels come from XLE's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much XLE tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
1.39%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$68.24
$43.06 100% of the way up $68.29

Compare XLE

Put XLE side by side with other etfs and benchmarks.

06

The long record

XLE's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

6.0

Track record checks

4/4
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 1.39% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 61.6%, from October 2018 to March 2020, regained by October 2021.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    73% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $42,456, against $42,055 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

XLE Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, last 10 years
-61.6%
October 2018 to March 2020
Recovery
19 months
back at the old peak by October 2021
From the 10-year high
At the high
highest close, October 2026
1-year holds that gained
73%
of every 1-year window

As of October 17, 2026, XLE's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -61.6% (October 2018 to March 2020); it regained that peak by October 2021, 19 months after the low, and 73% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into XLE in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

XLE today
$42,456
from $10,000 in October 2016, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$42,055
the same $10,000 in SPY
Ahead of the index by
$400.98
1.0x the index result
Total change
+325%
4.2x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
XLE S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: XLE beat the S&P 500 over this period: $42,456 against $42,055.

A $10,000 investment in XLE in October 2016 would be worth about $42,456 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,055 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to XLE, and which have not.

Jan7/10 upFeb5/10 upMar5/10 upApr7/10 upMay5/10 upJun6/10 upJul8/10 upAug4/10 upSep6/10 upOct3/9 upNov6/10 upDec5/10 up

Strongest month, January: an average of +6.23%, up in 7 of 10 years.

Weakest month, August: an average of -0.27%, up in 4 of 10 years.

This month, October: has averaged +1.36%, up in 3 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 10 years, XLE's strongest calendar month has been January (average +6.23%, up in 7 of 10 years) and its weakest August (average -0.27%, up in 4 of 10 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.

07

Long-term scenarios

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in XLE, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2036
$5,631
10th percentile
Base case, 2036
$18,926
median path
Upside, 2036
$63,616
90th percentile
202620282030203220342036
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in XLE today could grow to about $18,926 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $63,616 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $5,631. The simulation models price only; at today's 2.48% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

XLE 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

The same simulation in share prices, year by year.

Price today
$68.24
Base case, 2030
$88.08
1.3x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$40.91 to $190
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $88.08 for XLE by 2030 in the base case, from $68.24 today (1.3x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $40.91. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on XLE's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

XLE simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $49.57 $72.74 $107
2028 $45.08 $77.53 $133
2029 $42.54 $82.63 $161
2030 $40.91 $88.08 $190
2031 $39.84 $93.88 $221

Method: a lognormal simulation of XLE's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.

08

Questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 17, 2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) a buy right now?
The Strong Buy rating comes from a model score of 95/100. The biggest support is the trend: the price is 18.44% above its 200-day average and 7.40% above its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 10.27% above the 200-day. No factor pulls the score down. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) performed over the past year?
XLE gained 60.04% over the past year. The shorter stretches show the same direction: up 18.31% over three months and up 6.58% over the past month. The price is 0.07% under its 52-week high of $68.29.
What does XLE cost to own?
XLE has an expense ratio of 0.08%, which comes to $8.00 a year on a $10,000 holding. The fee is taken from the fund's assets rather than billed separately.
What are the largest sectors in XLE?
At 100.0% of the fund, Energy is the largest sector by a wide margin.
Does XLE pay a dividend?
Yes, XLE pays a distribution yield of 2.48%. Because yield is the payout divided by the price, it moves whenever either of those figures changes.
What are the key price levels for XLE?
No moving average or 52-week level sits above the price. Below it, the levels are the 20-day EMA at $64.90 and the 50-day SMA at $63.54.
How volatile is XLE?
On an average day, XLE's price moves 1.39%, based on the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns.
What is the 52-week range of XLE?
Over the past 52 weeks, XLE has moved between $43.06 and $68.29. With the price at $68.24, it sits at 100% of that band, 58.46% above the low and 0.07% below the high.
Is XLE in an uptrend?
Yes. State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) trades at $68.24, above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($63.54 and $57.62). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 69.1, showing bullish momentum without being overbought.
What is XLE's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -61.6%, from October 2018 to March 2020 (with dividends reinvested). It regained that peak by October 2021, 19 months after the low. Over the same period, 73% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for XLE are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on October 17, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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