As of September 27, 2026, State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) trades at $62.04. RSI at 40 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $61.76.
State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE)
State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF NYSE
XLE Price Analysis
Market Metrics
XLE Fund Facts
State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides targeted exposure to the U.S. energy sector. The fund is designed to track the Energy Select Sector Index, holding large-cap companies from the S&P 500 classified in energy-related industries such as oil, gas and consumable fuels, and energy equipment and services. Its portfolio is heavily concentrated in major integrated producers, exploration and production companies, refiners, pipeline operators, and oilfield service providers.
Sector weights
Trailing returns vs category
| Period | XLE | Category |
|---|---|---|
| YTD | 44.89% | 33.40% |
| 1 month | 7.38% | 2.32% |
| 3 months | 14.35% | 18.69% |
| 1 year | 45.91% | 64.81% |
| 3 years | 16.52% | 17.73% |
| 5 years | 25.91% | 20.41% |
| 10 years | 10.86% | 6.80% |
Fund reference data as of Sep 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.
XLE Analysis
- Monitor oil and gas price movements closely, as they are the primary drivers of XLE's performance.
- Consider the broader macroeconomic environment, including inflation and global growth, which significantly impacts energy demand.
- Be aware of the high concentration risk; diversification outside the energy sector is recommended for a balanced portfolio.
Market Correlations
How this etf moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
How does any other asset move with XLE? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Key Statistics
| Net Assets (Market Cap) | 10.78B |
|---|---|
| Expense Ratio | 0.0900% |
| Yield | 2.45% |
| Day High | $62.33 |
| Day Low | $61.66 |
| 52 Week High | 66.17 |
| 52 Week Low | 42.35 |
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Key Risks
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 40.18 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 0.15 |
| SMA 50 | 61.76 |
| SMA 200 | 56.14 |
XLE Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Risk Management
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in XLE in September 2016 would be worth about $18,550 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in XLE today could grow to about $19,232 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $64,657 and a bear case around $5,721. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
XLE ETF Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $80.59 for XLE by 2030 in the base case, from $62.04 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $37.43. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on XLE's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $45.14 | $66.23 | $97.18 |
| 2028 | $41.11 | $70.71 | $122 |
| 2029 | $38.86 | $75.49 | $147 |
| 2030 | $37.43 | $80.59 | $174 |
| 2031 | $36.50 | $86.04 | $203 |
| 2032 | $35.91 | $91.85 | $235 |
| 2033 | $35.56 | $98.06 | $270 |
| 2034 | $35.39 | $105 | $310 |
| 2035 | $35.38 | $112 | $353 |
| 2036 | $35.49 | $119 | $401 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using XLE's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.