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Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF vs Vanguard Total World Stock ETF
VS
Comparative Analysis
VTI wins this head-to-head comparison against VT, primarily driven by stronger technical indicators and a lower expense ratio. While both ETFs offer broad diversification, VTI's current price action and longer-term return profile suggest a more favorable risk-reward setup for investors focused on the U.S. market. VT's global diversification is appealing, but its current technical weakness and higher cost present headwinds. Despite VT's higher dividend yield, VTI's superior performance across multiple timeframes, particularly its longer-term trailing returns and more attractive expense ratio, makes it the preferred choice. Investors seeking broad U.S. equity exposure will find VTI's technical strength and cost efficiency compelling.
Key Differentiator
The key differentiator between VTI and VT is their investment focus and cost structure. VTI offers highly diversified exposure to the U.S. stock market at an exceptionally low expense ratio of 0.0003. VT provides global diversification, including emerging markets, but at double the expense ratio (0.0006) and currently exhibits weaker technical performance. For investors prioritizing cost efficiency and strong U.S. market exposure, VTI is the clear winner. While VT's global reach is a benefit, its higher fees and weaker technicals make it less attractive in this head-to-head comparison.
Joint Outlook
The outlook for VTI is cautiously optimistic, supported by its strong technical positioning and the continued dominance of U.S. technology companies. A potential scenario involves VTI continuing its upward trend, possibly retesting its 52-week high, assuming no major macroeconomic shocks. A bearish scenario would involve a broad market sell-off, dragging VTI down towards its 50-day moving average. VT's outlook is more mixed. Its global diversification could provide resilience if certain regions outperform, but its current technical weakness and higher expense ratio present challenges. A positive scenario could see VT benefit from a global economic recovery, pushing it back towards its 52-week high. A negative scenario would involve a global recession or increased geopolitical tensions, leading to further downside for VT.
Price Analysis Comparison
Asset Metrics
| Metric | VTI | VT |
|---|---|---|
| 52 Week Range | $310.40 - $385.12 | $133.65 - $162.71 |
| Prev. Close | $376.31 | $158.73 |
| Market Cap | 725.71B | N/A |
| 24h Volume | 3.04M | 89.77K |
VTI is currently trading at $374.68, closer to its 52-week high of $385.12 than its low of $310.40. This indicates a strong upward price trend. In contrast, VT is trading at $157.995, closer to its 52-week low of $133.65 than its high of $162.71, suggesting weaker current momentum. VTI's price is above its 50-day ($374.60) and 200-day ($352.56) moving averages, confirming a bullish technical stance. VT's price is below its 20-day ($159.85) and 50-day ($158.59) moving averages, indicating short-term weakness, though it remains above its 200-day ($150.11) average.
Market Performance
| Metric | VTI | VT |
|---|---|---|
| Volatility (30D) | 11.95% | 10.61% |
| 24h Range | $373.28 - $376.06 | $157.66 - $158.69 |
| Market Strength (RSI) | 45.6 | 63.5 |
| Trend (SMA 50) | Bullish | Bearish |
Both assets exhibit similar volatility levels (~11%). VTI is in a Bullish trend, while VT remains Bearish relative to its 50-day average.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | VTI | VT |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 45.60 | 63.50 |
| 50-Day MA | $374.60 | $158.59 |
| 200-Day MA | $352.56 | $150.11 |
VTI exhibits stronger current technical momentum, with its Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 45.6 and its Stochastic Oscillator at 20.3. While these readings suggest room for upward movement without being overbought, the MACD at 0.03 indicates a neutral to slightly positive short-term trend. VTI's price is trading below its 20-day EMA ($377.00) but above its 50-day SMA ($374.60), showing some short-term choppiness but a solid intermediate-term uptrend. VT's technicals are weaker, with an RSI (63.50) and a Stochastic Oscillator of 7.38, both indicating bearish momentum and proximity to oversold conditions. The MACD of -0.003 further supports this negative short-term outlook. VT is trading below its 20-day ($159.85) and 50-day ($158.59) SMAs, reinforcing the bearish short-term technical picture.
AI Analyst Sentiment
Technical rating: based on current price action versus moving averages and momentum. This measures short-term chart trend, not analyst opinion or company fundamentals.
VTI
Technical Score: 75/100
VT
Technical Score: 55/100
As ETFs, VTI and VT do not have analyst ratings or median price targets in the same way individual stocks do. Sentiment must be inferred from price action and technical indicators. VTI's technical strength, including its position relative to its 52-week range and moving averages, suggests a more positive market sentiment currently favoring U.S. equities. The ETF's year-to-date return of 13.45% also reflects positive investor interest. Conversely, VT's weaker technicals and lower year-to-date return of 14.48% (though higher than VTI's YTD, its overall trend is weaker) suggest a more neutral to slightly cautious sentiment. The ETF's position closer to its 52-week low indicates less immediate buying pressure.
Risk Stratification
| Metric | VTI | VT |
|---|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.69 | 0.73 |
The primary risk for VTI lies in a significant downturn in the U.S. equity market, given its heavy concentration in technology stocks (35.06%). A sharp correction in the tech sector could disproportionately impact VTI's performance. Additionally, any unexpected rise in inflation or interest rates could pressure U.S. growth stocks, which form a large part of VTI's holdings. VT's main risk stems from its global diversification. Geopolitical instability in major regions, currency fluctuations, and varying economic conditions across different countries can create volatility. A synchronized global economic slowdown or significant trade disputes could negatively affect VT's performance across multiple markets simultaneously. Its higher expense ratio also presents a persistent drag on returns.
Comparative ProTips
- Consider VTI for its lower cost and strong U.S. market technicals, especially if you believe the U.S. economy will continue to outperform globally.
- For investors prioritizing global diversification and a higher dividend yield, VT remains an option, but be mindful of its higher expense ratio and current technical weakness.
- Monitor the technology sector closely, as its performance significantly impacts VTI, and global economic trends will be key for VT's performance.
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
Actionable Trade Plans
Compare entry, exit, and risk management levels for both assets
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
3%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
✎
Position Size: $200 - $300 per asset
VTI
Current: $374.68
ENTRY ZONES
Conservative
$355.95
Aggressive
$374.68
RISK MANAGEMENT
STOP LOSS
$345.27
MAX LOSS
-3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on volatility and technical support levels.
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative)
+5%
$373.74
+10%
$391.54
+15%
$409.34
VT
Current: $158.00
ENTRY ZONES
Conservative
$150.10
Aggressive
$158.00
RISK MANAGEMENT
STOP LOSS
$145.59
MAX LOSS
-3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on volatility and technical support levels.
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative)
+5%
$157.60
+10%
$165.10
+15%
$172.61
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This comparison involves assets with varying risk profiles. The content is for educational purposes only. Identifying the stronger asset is based on relative strength (RS) and technical convergence. Past correlation does not guarantee future lockstep movement. Trading involves risk of loss. Note: The AI favored VTI based on technical setup. This is valid for the specified timeframe only.
Frequently Asked Questions
Which ETF is cheaper, VTI or VT?+
VTI is cheaper, with an expense ratio of 0.0003, costing $3.00 per $10,000 invested annually. VT has a higher expense ratio of 0.0006, costing $6.00 per $10,000 invested annually.
What are the key risks for VTI?+
The main risk for VTI is a downturn in the U.S. equity market, particularly a correction in the technology sector due to its significant weighting. Rising interest rates could also negatively impact its growth-oriented holdings.
What are the key risks for VT?+
VT's risks include geopolitical instability, currency fluctuations, and synchronized global economic slowdowns due to its worldwide diversification. Varying economic conditions across different countries can also create volatility.
How do VTI and VT compare in terms of trailing returns?+
VTI shows stronger longer-term trailing returns, particularly over 10 years (14.81% vs VT's 12.56%). Both ETFs have outperformed their respective categories over the 10-year period.
Which ETF offers better dividend income?+
VT offers a higher dividend yield of approximately 1.56% compared to VTI's yield of about 1.04%.
What is the sector concentration of VTI?+
VTI is heavily concentrated in Technology (35.06%), followed by Healthcare (9.85%) and Financial Services (not explicitly listed but implied in broad market). Energy and Utilities have smaller allocations.
What is the sector concentration of VT?+
VT has a significant allocation to Technology (29.19%), followed by Financial Services (16.79%) and Industrials (11.47%). Consumer Cyclical and Healthcare also represent notable portions.