CleaRank Financial AI • AI-powered analysis using real-time market data from TwelveData
Analysis reviewed by Kate Leaman, Financial Journalist and Market Analyst. Data refreshed daily. Not financial advice.
Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) is currently trading at $231.14, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($233.26 and $236.31), suggesting a near-term technical pullback. Despite this, the company maintains a strong fundamental profile with a profit margin of 21.08% and a return on equity of 53.85%, outperforming sector averages in ROE. Wall Street analysts are largely optimistic, with a consensus rating of Buy and a median price target of $302.50, implying a 30.9% upside. The company's forward estimates show continued growth, with projected revenue growth of 16.00% for the current year and 11.00% for the next year. The company's strong revenue growth and positive earnings surprises in recent quarters support this valuation.
ADSK at a glance
Autodesk Inc. (ADSK): Buy, 76/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
TrendDown: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($233.26 and $236.31).
EarningsADSK beat estimates in 3 of its last 3 quarters, yet fell the next day after 2 of those beats.
InsidersInsiders sold $14.3M and bought $2.2M over the last 18 months.
ValuationP/E of 30.0 against 34.0 for the Technology sector: broadly in line with peers (-12%).
As of October 15, 2026, Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) trades at $231.14. Wall Street's consensus target is $302.50 across 36 analysts. The 14-day RSI (daily closes) is 55, in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day simple moving average of $233.26.
Figures as of October 15, 2026.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from ADSK's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-12% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
ADSK Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
In the last 3 quarters, ADSK beat the analyst estimate 3 times; the stock fell in the first session after 2 of those beats.
ADSK earnings surprises and the stock's reaction
Report
EPS estimate
EPS actual
Surprise
First session
5 sessions
Aug 27, 2026
$3.12
$3.30
+5.77%
-3.67%
-12.22%
May 28, 2026
$2.84
$2.99
+5.28%
-4.00%
-3.03%
Feb 26, 2026
$2.64
$2.85
+7.95%
+5.32%
+13.14%
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
As of October 15, 2026, ADSK has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 3 of its last 3 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 2 of those beats; its latest report, on August 27, 2026, came in 5.77% above the estimate and the stock moved -3.67% in the first session.
ADSK Analysis
Company's Health4/5
12-Month Analyst Target+30.87% above price
Median of 36 analysts (12-month)
$302.50
AI Analyst Consensus ScoreBuy
Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of $233.26 and its 200-day SMA of $236.31, indicating a bearish short-term trend. The 14-day RSI is at 55.48, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD indicates a slight positive trend. The stock is trading above its 20-day EMA of $225.45, which may act as immediate support. Volume has been below average recently, with the latest volume at 1.37 million compared to the average of 2.00 million, suggesting a lack of strong conviction behind current price movements. Key resistance levels are expected around the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, while immediate support can be found near the 20-day EMA. The stochastic indicator is in overbought territory at 81.10, which could signal a potential pullback.
ProTips
The stock is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($233.26 and $236.31), suggesting potential for a near-term pullback; consider waiting for a technical confirmation before initiating new positions.
Key Catalysts
BullishStrong Analyst Conviction and Upside Potential
With a consensus 'Buy' rating from 36 analysts and a median price target of $302.50, ADSK offers a significant 30.9% upside from its current price, indicating strong Wall Street support.
Source: Wall Street Summary
BullishConsistent Earnings Beats
Autodesk has a history of exceeding EPS estimates in recent quarters, demonstrating operational efficiency and demand for its software solutions.
Source: Earnings Reports
BullishProjected Revenue Growth
The company is forecasted to achieve 16.00% revenue growth for the current year, signaling continued expansion and market penetration.
Source: Wall Street Revenue Estimates
BearishModerate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold $14.3 million worth of stock versus $2.2 million purchased recently, indicating a 'Moderate Sell Signal' that warrants investor attention.
Source: Insider Transactions
BearishTrading Below Key Moving Averages
ADSK is currently below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($233.26 and $236.31), suggesting a bearish technical trend and potential for further price declines.
Source: Technical Analysis
Market Outlook
Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) is expected to see continued growth, with analysts projecting a 17.7% average annual growth rate over the next five years. The company's strong market position in design and engineering software, coupled with consistent earnings beats and projected revenue growth of 16.00% for the current year, supports a positive outlook. Key catalysts for upside include continued market share expansion and successful integration of new technologies. Downside risks include increased competition, potential slowdowns in key industries that drive software demand, and the ongoing trend of insider selling, which warrants close monitoring.
Key Statistics
Market Cap
48.31B
P/E Ratio
29.98
EPS (TTM)
7.71
Dividend Yield
0.03%
52 Week High
320.00
52 Week Low
185.50
As of October 15, 2026, ADSK trades at $231.14, with a market value of $48.31B, a P/E ratio of 29.98 and a dividend yield of 0.03%.
Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) presents a mixed valuation picture, trading at a P/E ratio of 29.98, which is below the sector median of 34, but its price-to-sales ratio of 6.20 is below the sector median of 7.5. The company boasts a strong return on equity of 53.85%, significantly exceeding the sector average of 13.4%, and maintains a healthy profit margin of 21.08%. Despite a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.10, which is in line with the sector average, the company's profitability and growth prospects are strong. The company's ability to generate strong returns on equity and maintain healthy profit margins, coupled with positive earnings surprises in recent quarters, supports its current valuation despite the premium P/E ratio relative to its own historical performance.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) has demonstrated consistent positive earnings surprises in its recent quarterly reports. The latest results reported on August 27, 2026, showed an EPS of $3.30, exceeding the estimate of $3.12 by 5.77%, though the stock experienced a 3.67% decline on the news. Prior quarters also showed beats, with a 5.28% surprise in May 2026 and a 7.95% surprise in February 2026, though these also resulted in price drops. Revenue growth is projected to be strong, with an estimated 15.00% year-over-year increase for the current quarter and 16.00% for the full year. This consistent ability to beat earnings expectations, combined with solid revenue growth forecasts, suggests underlying business strength.
Key Risks
Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) faces moderate selling pressure from insiders, with total sales significantly outweighing purchases, indicating a potential lack of immediate conviction from management. The stock is also trading below key long-term moving averages (50-day and 200-day SMAs), suggesting potential for further downside if the broader market trend weakens. Competitive pressures within the software application sector could also impact future growth and profitability.
Technical Indicators i
RSI (14-day)
55.48
MACD (12, 26)
1.49
SMA (50-day)
233.26
SMA (200-day)
236.31
Technical RatingNeutral
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bullish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $233.26, 200-day: $236.31), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
As of October 15, 2026, with ADSK at $231.14, its 14-day RSI is 55.5 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $233.26 and its 200-day is $236.31.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 15, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)+0.39
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)+0.32
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)+0.14
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)-0.03
Weak correlation
As of October 15, 2026, ADSK's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.39 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.32 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.14 with Bitcoin (BTC) and -0.03 with gold (XAU).
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with ADSK? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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ADSK Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Low $215.00Median $302.50 (+30.9%)High $375.00
Ratings
Buy 30Hold 6Sell 03 months ago: 31 of 35 buy
Recent rating actions
Recent analyst rating actions on ADSK
Date
Firm
Action
Rating
Sep 28, 2026
Piper Sandler
Maintains
Overweight
Sep 21, 2026
Guggenheim
Reiterates
Buy
Sep 18, 2026
BTIG
Reiterates
Buy
Sep 17, 2026
RBC Capital
Reiterates
Outperform
Sep 15, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald
Initiates
Neutral
Sep 2, 2026
Argus Research
Reiterates
Buy
As of October 15, 2026, 36 Wall Street analysts cover ADSK: 30 rate it a buy or strong buy, 6 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $215.00 to $375.00, with a median of $302.50, 30.9% above the price of $231.14.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
ADSK Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative2%Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$226.52
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$231.14
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$216.94
MAX LOSS
-4.2%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (55.5) and current market volatility
These levels come from ADSK's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in ADSK in October 2016 would be worth about $33,572 today, compared with about $36,237 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark. This is price change only; dividends paid along the way would add to it.
Compare with Another Ticker
ADSK Drawdowns & Recovery
Worst fall, last 10 years
-48.9%
August 2021 to June 2022
Recovery
Not yet
still 31.4% below the August 2021 peak
From the 10-year high
-31.4%
highest close, August 2021
1-year holds that gained
70%
of every 1-year window
As of October 15, 2026, ADSK's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -48.9% (August 2021 to June 2022); it is still 31.4% below that peak, and 70% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ADSK today could grow to about $22,963 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $102,540 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $5,143. The simulation models price only; at today's 0.03% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
ADSK Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $322 for ADSK by 2030 in the base case, from $231 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $125. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ADSK's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
ADSK simulated price paths by year
Year
10th percentile
Base case
90th percentile
2027
$156
$251
$403
2028
$140
$273
$533
2029
$131
$297
$673
2030
$125
$322
$830
2031
$122
$350
$1,009
Method: a lognormal simulation of ADSK's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
As of October 15, 2026, ADSK insiders reported 9 open-market sales worth $14.3M and 4 open-market purchases worth $2.2M over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
Recent insider transactions in ADSK
Date
Insider
Type
Shares
Value
Jun 23, 2026
CAHILL JOHN T
Director
Buy
2.0K
$378.4K
Jun 17, 2026
ABBOSH OMAR P
Director
Grant
1.6K
-
Jun 17, 2026
BLASING KAREN LOUISE
Director
Grant
2.1K
-
Jun 17, 2026
CAHILL JOHN T
Director
Grant
2.2K
-
Jun 17, 2026
EPSTEIN JEFFREY EMANUEL
Director
Grant
2.0K
-
Jun 17, 2026
HOWARD AYANNA MACCALLA
Director
Grant
2.0K
-
Jun 17, 2026
IRVING BLAKE J
Director
Grant
2.1K
-
Jun 17, 2026
RAHIM RAMI
Director
Grant
2.0K
-
Jun 17, 2026
SIMONS ANNA CHRISTINE
Director
Grant
2.0K
-
Jun 17, 2026
SMITH STACY J
Director
Grant
2.6K
-
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Autodesk Inc.'s long-term outlook?
Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) has a projected 5-year average annual growth rate of 17.7%, indicating a positive long-term outlook. The company's strong market position in design and engineering software, coupled with consistent innovation and expansion into new markets, supports this optimistic long-term view.
What are the key risks for Autodesk Inc. shareholders?
Key risks for Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) include moderate insider selling, with recent sales significantly exceeding purchases. The stock is also trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($233.26 and $236.31), indicating potential near-term weakness. Intense competition within the software industry remains a persistent challenge.
How does Autodesk Inc. compare to its sector peers?
Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) demonstrates a higher return on equity (53.85%) compared to the sector average (13.4%) and a lower P/E ratio (29.98) than the sector median (34). However, its revenue growth (16.00%) is currently below the sector median (24.1%).
What is Autodesk Inc.'s current technical standing?
Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($233.26 and $236.31), indicating a bearish short-term trend. The 14-day RSI is neutral at 55.48, while the stochastic indicator is in overbought territory at 81.10, suggesting a potential for a near-term pullback.
What are Autodesk Inc.'s recent earnings performance highlights?
Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) has consistently beaten EPS estimates in its last three reported quarters, although these beats have not always translated into positive stock price reactions. Revenue growth is projected to remain strong, with an estimated 16.00% increase for the current year.
Does ADSK pay a dividend?
Yes. As of October 15, 2026, ADSK's dividend yield is 0.03%, or about $0.06 per share a year at the current price of $231.14. Yields move with the share price and with changes to the payout.
Are insiders buying or selling ADSK?
Selling, on balance. In the last 18 months, ADSK's officers, directors and large holders reported 9 sales worth $14.3M and 4 open-market purchases worth $2.2M. Grants and option exercises are not counted as buying.
What is the analyst price target for ADSK?
As of October 15, 2026, the 36 Wall Street analysts covering ADSK have 12-month targets from $215.00 to $375.00, with a median of $302.50, 30.9% above the current price of $231.14. 30 rate it a buy or strong buy, 6 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Three months ago 31 of 35 rated it a buy.
What is ADSK's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
Autodesk Inc. (ADSK)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -48.9%, from August 2021 to June 2022. It has not regained that peak yet and is still 31.4% below it. Over the same period, 70% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
What are ADSK's best and worst months?
Over the last 10 years, July has been ADSK's strongest month on average (+5.80%, rising in 7 of 10 years) and September its weakest (-3.15%, rising in 4 of 10 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year.
