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As of September 10, 2026, Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) trades at $211.61. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $206.62, 2.4% below the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $312.50 across 36 analysts. RSI at 25 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $231.22.
Autodesk Inc. (ADSK)
Autodesk Inc. NASDAQ
$211.61
4.990 (2.42%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
55 / 100
Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) is currently trading at $206.62, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($231.22 and $246.18), indicating a bearish short-term trend. The stock's Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 25.24, signaling oversold conditions that could precede a rebound. Despite these technical indicators, moderate insider selling, with total sales of $15.01 million against $2.70 million in purchases, suggests a degree of caution from management. Wall Street analysts maintain a generally positive outlook with a consensus rating of 'Buy' and a median price target of $312.5, implying a 51.2% upside potential. However, the presence of 5 'Hold' ratings among the 36 analysts indicates some divergence in opinion regarding the stock's immediate prospects.
ADSK Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$207.00
Day Range
$206.42 to $213.88
Prev Close
$206.62
Volume
2.24M
52-Week Range
$185.50 to $329.09
Market Cap
$43.18B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-0.005203% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
ADSK Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
AI Technical Analysis
Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($231.22 and $246.18), at $231.22 and $246.18 respectively, signaling a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 25.24, firmly in oversold territory, which historically can precede a price reversal. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is also negative at -3.85, further reinforcing the bearish momentum. Volume on the latest trading day was 2.32 million shares, which is 10.5% below the average volume of 2.59 million shares, suggesting a lack of strong conviction behind the current price action.
ProTips
- Consider the moderate insider selling as a signal of caution; monitor for any changes in management's disposition towards the stock.
- The stock's oversold RSI of 25.24 suggests a potential for a short-term bounce, but confirmation from increased volume and a break above key moving averages would strengthen the bullish case.
- Given the significant upside potential indicated by Wall Street price targets, consider a strategy that allows for participation in a recovery while managing risk due to current bearish technicals and insider selling.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Revenue Growth Momentum
Autodesk's reported revenue growth of 16.1% significantly outpaces the technology sector average, indicating strong demand for its software solutions and a strong underlying business.
Source: DATABullish
Oversold Technical Conditions
The RSI of 25.24 suggests the stock is oversold, which historically can precede a price reversal and potential upward movement.
Source: DATABearish
Moderate Insider Selling Activity
Insiders have sold $15.01 million worth of stock against $2.70 million in purchases, indicating a net selling pressure that could weigh on the stock price.
Source: DATANeutral
Mixed Analyst Sentiment
While the overall Wall Street consensus is 'Buy,' the presence of 5 'Hold' ratings among 36 analysts suggests some divergence in opinion regarding the stock's immediate prospects.
Source: DATAMarket Outlook
Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) is positioned for a potential recovery given its oversold technical indicators and a strong revenue growth rate of 16.1%. The median Wall Street price target of $312.5 suggests a significant upside of 51.2% from the current price of $206.62. Analysts anticipate continued revenue growth, with current year estimates at $8.3 billion and next year at $9.2 billion. The company's ability to sustain its growth trajectory and capitalize on its fair sector valuation will be key drivers for achieving these targets.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 43.18B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 26.89 |
| EPS (TTM) | 7.72 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0290% |
| 52 Week High | 329.09 |
| 52 Week Low | 185.50 |
Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) exhibits a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 26.89, which is in line with the technology sector average of 26.89, suggesting fair valuation relative to its peers. The company's reported revenue growth of 16.1% significantly outpaces the sector average of 10.0%, indicating strong top-line expansion. While specific profit margin and balance sheet data are not detailed, the positive revenue growth and a P/E ratio comparable to the sector suggest a fundamentally sound business. The current price, however, is trading below the fair value estimate, indicating potential undervaluation based on current market conditions.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) recently reported an EPS of $3.30 for the quarter ending August 27, 2026, beating the estimate of $3.12 by 5.77%. This follows a miss in the prior quarter where actual EPS of $2.81 fell short of the $3.14 estimate. The stock experienced a 3.67% decline following the most recent earnings beat, and a 3.87% increase after the prior quarter's miss, indicating a mixed market reaction to its earnings reports. Overall, the company has shown a pattern of mixed earnings performance with recent positive surprises.
Key Risks
Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) faces moderate insider selling, with total sales exceeding purchases by a significant margin, signaling potential caution from management. The stock is also trading below key moving averages, indicating a bearish technical trend. Also, while Wall Street consensus is 'Buy,' the presence of 'Hold' ratings and a median price target that implies substantial upside suggests that the market is pricing in some recovery potential, but the path forward may not be without challenges.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 25.24 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -3.85 |
| SMA 50 | 231.22 |
| SMA 200 | 246.18 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $231.22, 200-day: $246.18), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 25.2 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.42
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.35
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.20
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
-0.02
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
ADSK Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$209.49
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$211.61
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$197.01
MAX LOSS
-6.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (25.2) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$215.78
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$219.97
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$226.25
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for ADSK is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in ADSK in September 2016 would be worth about $30,679 today, compared with about $35,241 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ADSK today could grow to about $24,802 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $110,277 and a bear case around $5,578. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
ADSK Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $304 for ADSK by 2030 in the base case, from $212 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $118. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ADSK's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $145 | $232 | $371 |
| 2028 | $130 | $254 | $495 |
| 2029 | $123 | $278 | $629 |
| 2030 | $118 | $304 | $782 |
| 2031 | $116 | $333 | $957 |
| 2032 | $115 | $365 | $1,159 |
| 2033 | $115 | $400 | $1,393 |
| 2034 | $115 | $438 | $1,662 |
| 2035 | $116 | $479 | $1,974 |
| 2036 | $118 | $525 | $2,334 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using ADSK's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
ADSK Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$2.7M
5 Transactions
Sold
$15.0M
11 Transactions
Insiders
18
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.1M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2021 | ANAGNOST ANDREW J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 43.7K | $11.5M |
| Aug 26, 2021 | ANAGNOST ANDREW J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 24.0K | $7.6M |
| Sep 5, 2025 | BLUM STEVEN M
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 22.4K | $7.3M |
| Aug 29, 2022 | ANAGNOST ANDREW J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 34.4K | $7.1M |
| Mar 27, 2024 | ANAGNOST ANDREW J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 21.1K | $5.5M |
| Jun 19, 2020 | ANAGNOST ANDREW J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 22.6K | $5.5M |
| Sep 1, 2023 | ANAGNOST ANDREW J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 22.3K | $5.0M |
| Jul 11, 2024 | BLUM STEVEN M
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 19.7K | $4.9M |
| Aug 30, 2024 | BLUM STEVEN M
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 17.3K | $4.7M |
| Jun 14, 2024 | BLUM STEVEN M
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 17.4K | $3.9M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Autodesk stock a buy right now?
Autodesk (ADSK) is currently trading at $206.62, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($231.22 and $246.18), with an oversold RSI at 25.2. While this suggests a potential for a rebound, moderate insider selling and a mixed analyst sentiment warrant a cautious approach. The median analyst target price is $312.5, indicating significant upside potential if the stock recovers.
What is Autodesk's price target for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Autodesk's (ADSK) projected price range for 2030 is between $115.65 and $763.48, with a base case of $297.14. These are statistical outcomes and not guaranteed price targets.
How is Autodesk performing financially?
Autodesk (ADSK) reported revenue growth of 16.1%, which is strong compared to the sector average. Its P/E ratio of 26.89 is in line with the technology sector, suggesting fair valuation. Recent earnings have shown mixed performance, with a beat in the latest quarter but a miss in the previous one.
What are the key risks for Autodesk stock?
Key risks for Autodesk (ADSK) include moderate insider selling, a bearish technical trend indicated by prices below moving averages, and mixed analyst sentiment. The stock's ability to overcome these factors will be critical for its future performance.
What is Autodesk's dividend policy?
Autodesk (ADSK) pays a very small dividend with a yield of approximately 0.03%. The annual dividend rate is $0.06 per share, which is minimal and unlikely to be a significant factor for income-focused investors.
How does Autodesk compare to its sector averages?
Autodesk (ADSK) shows strong revenue growth of 16.1%, exceeding the sector average of 10.0%. Its P/E ratio of 26.89 matches the sector average, suggesting fair valuation. However, its debt-to-equity ratio of 0.8 and ROE of 15.0% are higher than typical sector averages, which could indicate higher financial leverage or lower profitability efficiency compared to peers.
What is the Wall Street consensus for Autodesk stock?
The Wall Street consensus for Autodesk (ADSK) is 'Buy,' with 36 analysts covering the stock. The consensus score is 76 out of 100, with 7 'Strong Buy' ratings, 24 'Buy' ratings, and 5 'Hold' ratings. The median price target is $312.5, suggesting a 51.2% upside from the current price.