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Stock·NASDAQ·Technology

Applied Digital Corporation (APLD)

$18.05 -2.340 (-11.48%)
At close: Oct 16, 4:00 PM EDT
Hold
42 / 100
CleaRank AI scorei
Market cap
$5.46B
Dividend yield
0.00%
Street target
$70.00median of 15 analysts
52-week range
$17.65 $50.73
01

The short version

Where APLD stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

APLD at a glance

Applied Digital Corporation (APLD): Hold, 42/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($26.17 and $31.99).
  • Earnings APLD beat estimates in 8 of its last 8 quarters, yet fell the next day after 3 of those beats.
  • Insiders Insiders sold $34.5M and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.

Figures as of October 17, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

CleaRank rates Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) Hold, with a model score of 42/100.

The analysts' outlook lifts the score most: 13 of 15 analysts rate it a buy and the median target is 287.8% above the price. The trend holds it back most: the price is 43.57% below its 200-day average and 31.03% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 18.19% below the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $26.17 and the 200-day at $31.99. Over the past year the price fell 50.74%.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from APLD's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

Price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

0/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $18.05 is 31.0% below the 50-day simple moving average of $26.17.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 43.6% below the 200-day simple moving average of $31.99.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($26.17) is 18.2% below the 200-day average ($31.99), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 1% of its 52-week range, between $17.65 and $50.73.

APLD share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far APLD has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $36.64 Oct 16, 2025
Latest close $18.05 Oct 16, 2026
High $49.65 May 28, 2026
Low $18.05 Oct 16, 2026

Today's trading

Where APLD sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 12.80% wide
$18.05
$17.65 $19.91
52-week range 1% of the way up
$18.05
$17.65 $50.73
Open
$19.78
Previous close
$20.39
Volume
34.79M
9% above average
Market cap
$5.46B
03

Fundamentals

Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.

3.0

Valuation and quality checks

2/3
  • P/S below the sector median ›
    The price-to-sales ratio of 7.07 is 7.0% below the sector median of 7.6.
  • Profitable over the last 12 months ›
    Net income over the last 12 months was $-451.8M on revenue of $872.3M, a net margin of -51.8%.
  • Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
    APLD beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

Key statistics

The headline figures for APLD.

Market Cap
5.46B
P/E Ratio
N/A (Negative EPS)
EPS (TTM)
-1.62
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52 Week High
50.73
52 Week Low
17.65

As of October 17, 2026, APLD trades at $18.05, with a market value of $5.46B and no P/E ratio (its trailing earnings are negative).

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of APLD's valuation, growth and risks.

Valuation

APLD has no meaningful P/E, because the company lost money over the last 12 months, so earnings cannot be used to judge its price. Measured against sales instead, the P/S of 7.07 is 7.0% below the sector median of 7.6. Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) reported trailing earnings of -$1.62 a share.

APLD is losing money. Its net margin is -53.03% and its operating margin is -18.25%, and return on equity stands at -13.62%, below the sector median of 13.4%. Revenue grew 322.40% in the latest year, which is 298.2 percentage points faster than the sector median of 24.2%. Debt-to-equity sits at 1.71.

Earnings & Growth

APLD beat expectations in its October 7, 2026 report by 96.67%, posting -$0.01 a share where the estimate was -$0.3. In the session after the report, the shares went up 0.17%.

Across its last 8 reports, APLD beat the estimate every time, though the stock still fell in the first session after 3 of those 8 beats. Earlier, the stock rose 8.05% after the January 7, 2026 report, a beat of 41.67%. Analysts' average EPS estimate for this fiscal year is -$1.07, which would be a decline of 1,076.4%, and -$0.4924 for next year.

Key risks

APLD's average daily move is 4.83%, so day-to-day swings are a real part of holding it. The downtrend is a risk in its own right for as long as the price remains below both moving averages. The price is 64.42% below its 52-week high of $50.73. Insider sales over the last 18 months totalled $34.5M, and no open-market purchases were made. Insider selling is often planned in advance or made to cover tax on vesting shares, so it is a weaker signal than open-market buying would be.

APLD against the Technology sector

How APLD compares with the median Technology stock CleaRank tracks.

P/S ratio 7% below the median
APLD
7.1x
Sector median
7.6x
Revenue growth, year on year 298.2 points above the median
APLD
322.4%
Sector median
24.2%
Return on equity 27.0 points below the median
APLD
-13.6%
Sector median
13.4%

Price to sales vs sector: On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, APLD trades at 7.07x, -7% versus the sector average of 7.60x.

Return vs XLK: Since May 6, 2025, APLD has gained 246.5% against a gain of 71.7% for XLK.

Performance against XLK

APLD and the Technology sector fund over the same days.

Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Apr '26Jul '26Oct '26
APLD XLK

Revenue and earnings

How much APLD sells, and how much of it becomes profit.

Revenue, 12 months
$872M
Net income, 12 months
-$452M
Net margin
-53.0%
Revenue growth
+322.4%
latest quarter, year on year
FY2021FY2022-275% marginFY2023-82% marginFY2024-90% marginFY2025-160% margin
Revenue Net income

Revenue growth: Revenue fell 12.9% in FY2025 to $144M, from $166M a year earlier.

Profit margin: The net margin was -160.2% in FY2025, down from -90.4% the year before.

Loss-making: APLD lost $231M in FY2025.

Earnings reality check

Did APLD beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?

Beat the estimate
8 of 8
last 8 reports
Fell after a beat
3 of 8
first session after the report
Average surprise
+80.6%
actual EPS against the estimate
Avg. first-session move
+1.3%
the stock, after the report
EPS surprise
First-session move
Jan '25Apr '25Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26Oct '26

Earnings record: APLD beat the analyst estimate in 8 of the last 8 quarters.

Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 3 of those 8 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.

APLD earnings surprises and the stock's reaction
Report Estimate Actual Surprise First session 5 sessions
Oct 7, 2026after close -$0.30 -$0.01 +96.67% +0.17% -14.64%
Jul 27, 2026after close -$0.19 $0.04 +121.05% +0.93% +11.81%
Apr 8, 2026after close -$0.21 $0.09 +142.86% -7.99% +10.87%
Jan 7, 2026after close -$0.12 -$0.07 +41.67% +8.05% +22.12%
Oct 9, 2025after close -$0.15 -$0.03 +80.00% +16.05% +25.09%
Jul 30, 2025after close -$0.21 -$0.03 +85.71% +31.01% +47.46%
Apr 14, 2025after close -$0.10 -$0.08 +20.00% -35.94% -24.95%
Jan 14, 2025after close -$0.14 -$0.06 +57.14% -1.99% +12.88%

As of October 17, 2026, APLD has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 3 of those beats; its latest report, on October 7, 2026, came in 96.67% above the estimate and the stock moved +0.17% in the first session.

The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.

04

AI analysis and technicals

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

0/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 26.1, in oversold territory.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 26.1 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.

CleaRank AI analysis of APLD

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

Company's health
3/5
12-month analyst target
$70.00
+287.81% above price · median of 15 analysts
AI analyst consensus
42/100
Hold
What the AI sees

Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) is in a downtrend: both moving averages sit above the price. At $18.05 the stock is 31.03% below its 50-day average of $26.17 and 43.57% below the 200-day average of $31.99. The price sits at 1% of its 52-week range, and is 2.26% above the 52-week low of $17.65. The 50-day average is 18.19% below the 200-day, a gap that backs up the weakness instead of cutting against it.

On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 26.1, in oversold territory, with the MACD line negative. Every period on the chart shows a loss, with the price down 30.01% over the past three months, 42.75% over the past six months and 50.74% over the past year.

Catalysts
Rewards
  • Earnings beat ›

    The October 7, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 96.67%, and the share price rose 0.17% in the first session after it.

    Source: Earnings report, October 7, 2026
  • New analyst coverage ›

    Rothschild & Co started coverage at Neutral on September 21, 2026.

    Source: Analyst action, Rothschild & Co, September 21, 2026
Risks
  • New analyst coverage ›

    UBS started coverage at Buy on September 23, 2026.

    Source: Analyst action, UBS, September 23, 2026
ProTips
  1. The two nearest levels to watch are the 20-day EMA at $23.47, above the price, and the 52-week low at $17.65, below it.
  2. The 14-day RSI is 26.1, which places it in the oversold zone, and the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 point to stretched momentum.
  3. The share price rose 0.17% in the first session after the October 7, 2026 report. APLD has beaten estimates in 8 of the last 8 reports.
Market outlook

The downtrend stays in place while APLD is below both its 50-day average at $26.17 and its 200-day average at $31.99; a close back above the 50-day would be the first step of a repair. The 20-day EMA at $23.47 is the first hurdle overhead.

The next level below the price is the 52-week low at $17.65.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for APLD, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Bearish 0 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Oversold
  • SMA cross Bearish
  • Price vs SMA Bearish
  • MACD Bearish
Momentum Oversold
26.114-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) -1.72 Bearish
Trend Death cross
-31.0%price against the 50-day average
200-day $31.99 50-day $26.17 Price $18.05
Price against the 200-day -43.6% Bearish

As of October 17, 2026, with APLD at $18.05, its 14-day RSI is 26.1 (oversold territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $26.17 and its 200-day is $31.99.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 17, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).

What APLD moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.39 Weak
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.44 Moderate
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.41 Moderate
Gold (XAU) +0.22 Weak

As of October 17, 2026, APLD's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.39 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.44 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.41 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.22 with gold (XAU).

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05

What Wall Street expects

The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.

5.0

Analysts checks

2/3
  • Most analysts rate it a buy ›
    13 of 15 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell.
  • Median target above the price ›
    The median 12-month target of $70.00 is 287.8% above the price.
  • More buy ratings than three months ago ›
    13 of 15 rate it a buy now, against 10 of 11 three months ago.

APLD Wall Street View

12-month price targets

Low $22.00 Median $70.00 (+287.8%) High $93.00

The price, $18.05, sits below every analyst's target.

Ratings

Buy 13 Hold 2 Sell 0 3 months ago: 10 of 11 buy

Recent rating actions

Recent analyst rating actions on APLD
Date Firm Action Rating
Oct 8, 2026 Wells Fargo Maintains Overweight
Oct 8, 2026 Freedom Capital Markets Maintains Buy
Oct 8, 2026 Needham Maintains Buy
Sep 23, 2026 UBS Initiates Buy
Sep 21, 2026 Rothschild & Co Initiates Neutral
Sep 17, 2026 Wells Fargo Initiates Overweight

As of October 17, 2026, 15 Wall Street analysts cover APLD: 13 rate it a buy or strong buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $22.00 to $93.00, with a median of $70.00, 287.8% above the price of $18.05.

Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.

06

A trade plan, if you want one

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

APLD trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 2%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Entry Strategies pick an entry style

Conservative
$17.87
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$18.05
At current price
Enter now if confident

Risk management

Stop loss
$14.10
Max loss
-21.1%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (26.1) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$18.41
+3% (Conservative) +2.0% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$18.76
+5% (Conservative) +3.9% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$19.30
+8% (Conservative) +6.9% (Aggressive)

APLD moves about 4.8% a day on average, so a stop can fill well past its level. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much APLD tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
4.83%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$18.05
$17.65 1% of the way up $50.73

Compare APLD

Put APLD side by side with other stocks and benchmarks.

07

The long record

APLD's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

7.0

Track record checks

3/4
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 4.83% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 82.6%, from May 2018 to October 2019, regained by December 2020.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    70% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $12,363,013, against $42,055 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

APLD Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, last 10 years
-82.6%
May 2018 to October 2019
Recovery
14 months
back at the old peak by December 2020
From the 10-year high
-63.6%
highest close, May 2026
1-year holds that gained
70%
of every 1-year window

As of October 17, 2026, APLD's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -82.6% (May 2018 to October 2019); it regained that peak by December 2020, 14 months after the low, and 70% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into APLD in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

APLD today
$12,363,013
from $10,000 in October 2016, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$42,055
the same $10,000 in SPY
Ahead of the index by
$12,320,958
294.0x the index result
Total change
+123,530%
1,236.3x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
APLD S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: APLD beat the S&P 500 over this period: $12,363,013 against $42,055.

A $10,000 investment in APLD in October 2016 would be worth about $12,363,013 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,055 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to APLD, and which have not.

Jan6/10 upFeb3/10 upMar3/10 upApr5/10 upMay6/10 upJun4/10 upJul4/10 upAug3/10 upSep4/10 upOct5/9 upNov3/10 upDec4/10 up

Strongest month, May: an average of +87.39%, up in 6 of 10 years.

Weakest month, November: an average of -6.65%, up in 3 of 10 years.

This month, October: has averaged +14.79%, up in 5 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 10 years, APLD's strongest calendar month has been May (average +87.39%, up in 6 of 10 years) and its weakest November (average -6.65%, up in 3 of 10 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.

08

Long-term scenarios

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in APLD, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2036
$4,081
10th percentile
Base case, 2036
$30,962
median path
Upside, 2036
$234,897
90th percentile
202620282030203220342036
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in APLD today could grow to about $30,962 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $234,897 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $4,081. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

APLD Stock Price Prediction: 2030

The same simulation in share prices, year by year.

Price today
$18.05
Base case, 2030
$28.37
1.6x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$7.87 to $102
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $28.37 for APLD by 2030 in the base case, from $18.05 today (1.6x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $7.87. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on APLD's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

APLD simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $10.65 $20.21 $38.36
2028 $9.14 $22.63 $56.00
2029 $8.35 $25.34 $76.87
2030 $7.87 $28.37 $102
2031 $7.58 $31.76 $133

Method: a lognormal simulation of APLD's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. APLD is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation.

09

Insider trading

What the people running the company have bought and sold.

APLD insider trading

Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.

Bought
None
no open-market buys
Sold
$34.5M
26 open-market sales
Insiders filing
10
over the last 18 months
Average trade
$1.3M
buys and sales together

Month by month

Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.

May '25Aug '25Nov '25Feb '26May '26Aug '26Oct '26

Insider buying: No insider bought APLD shares on the open market in the last 18 months. Sales are often planned in advance or cover tax on vesting shares, so they say less than purchases would.

As of October 17, 2026, APLD insiders reported 26 open-market sales worth $34.5M and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.

Insider transactions in APLD
Date Insider Type Shares Value
Oct 2, 2026
Mohammad Saidal Lavanway Mohmand
Chief Financial Officer
Grant 81.7K -
Aug 4, 2026
Richard N Nottenburg
Director
Sell 75.0K $2.3M
Jul 31, 2026
Wesley Cummins
Chief Executive Officer
Grant 1.6M -
Jul 31, 2026
Laura Laltrello
Chief Operating Officer
Grant 600.0K -
Jul 31, 2026
Mohammad Saidal Lavanway Mohmand
Chief Financial Officer
Grant 245.0K -
Jul 31, 2026
Jason Gechen Zhang
President
Grant 600.0K -
Jul 1, 2026
Jason Gechen Zhang
President
Grant 675.0K -
Jun 22, 2026
Wesley Cummins
Chief Executive Officer
Grant 800.0K -
Jun 22, 2026
Mohammad Saidal Lavanway Mohmand
Chief Financial Officer
Grant 490.0K -
Apr 30, 2026
Richard N Nottenburg
Director
Sell 25.0K $832.4K
Page 1 of 6

Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings

10

Questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 17, 2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) a buy right now?
CleaRank rates APLD Hold, on a model score of 42/100. The biggest support is the analysts' outlook: 13 of 15 analysts rate it a buy and the median target is 287.8% above the price. Against that, the trend weighs on the score, as the price is 43.57% below its 200-day average and 31.03% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 18.19% below the 200-day. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) performed over the past year?
Over the past year the price fell 50.74%. Over shorter periods it fell 30.01% in three months and fell 25.99% in the past month. It now trades 64.42% below its 52-week high of $50.73.
What are the key price levels for APLD?
The first level above the price is the 20-day EMA at $23.47, followed by the 50-day SMA at $26.17. The first level below is the 52-week low at $17.65.
Does APLD have a P/E ratio?
APLD has no meaningful P/E because it lost money over the last 12 months. On sales, the P/S of 7.07 sits 7.0% below the sector median of 7.6.
What do Wall Street analysts think of APLD?
Of the 15 analysts covering APLD, 13 rate the stock a buy, 2 rate it a hold, and none rate it a sell. Their median 12-month target is $70.00, which is 287.8% above the current price.
How often has APLD beaten earnings estimates?
APLD beat the EPS estimate in 8 of the last 8 reports in our data. The share price fell in the first session after 3 of those 8 beats.
How volatile is APLD?
On an average day, APLD's price moves 4.83%, based on the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns.
Are APLD insiders buying or selling?
Over the last 18 months, insiders sold $34.5M worth of stock and bought none on the open market. Such sales are often planned in advance or made to cover tax on vesting shares, which makes them a weaker signal than purchases.
What is the 52-week range of APLD?
Over the past 52 weeks, APLD has moved between $17.65 and $50.73. With the price at $18.05, it sits at 1% of that range, 2.26% above the low and 64.42% below the high.
Is APLD in an uptrend?
No. Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) trades at $18.05, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($26.17 and $31.99). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 26.1, in oversold territory.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The stock analysis, trade plans, and AI-generated signals presented for APLD are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. They do not represent actual trades made by CleaRank or its affiliates. Stock prices can be volatile and are subject to market, economic, and company-specific risks. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of any data. You should never invest money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analysis generated on October 17, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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