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As of September 11, 2026, Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) trades at $26.68. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $26.68, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $79.00 across 11 analysts. RSI at 48 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $28.44.
Applied Digital Corporation (APLD)
Applied Digital Corporation NASDAQ
$26.68
0.9000 (3.49%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
77 / 100
Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) is currently trading at $26.68, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($28.44 and $32.30), indicating near-term technical weakness. Despite this, the company has demonstrated impressive revenue growth, with next year's estimates projecting a 127.00% increase. The most recent earnings report for Q2 2026 showed a significant EPS beat of $0.04 against an estimate of -$0.19, a 121.05% surprise, contributing to a positive price reaction. This strong performance and forward-looking growth potential are key drivers for the positive analyst sentiment. Wall Street analysts collectively rate APLD as a Buy, with 2 Strong Buys and 8 Buys among 11 total analysts, resulting in a consensus score of 77. The median price target stands at $79, implying an upside of 196.1% from the current price. This divergence between current technicals and analyst outlook highlights a potential disconnect that investors may wish to explore. The company's substantial revenue growth trajectory and recent earnings beats are central to this optimistic outlook, overshadowing the current price action.
APLD Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$26.42
Day Range
$25.95 to $26.86
Prev Close
$25.78
Volume
363.2K
52-Week Range
$13.16 to $50.73
Market Cap
$7.33B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, APLD trades at 11.99x, +185% versus the sector average of 4.20x.
APLD Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 2 quarters, APLD beat estimates 2 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
APLD Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
AI Technical Analysis
At $26.68, Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($28.44 and $32.30), signaling a bearish trend in the short to medium term. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 48.3, indicating neutral momentum, neither overbought nor oversold. The MACD is currently at -0.90, suggesting a bearish crossover or weakening momentum. Volume on the latest trading day was significantly below the average, with a 97.4% decrease, which could imply a lack of conviction behind the current price action. Key support levels are not clearly defined by the moving averages given the current trend, and resistance is likely to be encountered at the aforementioned moving average levels. Investors should monitor for a sustained move above the 50-day SMA to signal a potential shift in momentum.
ProTips
- Monitor Applied Digital Corporation's (APLD) ability to convert its impressive revenue growth into positive earnings, as this remains a key factor for long-term valuation.
- Given the stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($28.44 and $32.30), consider waiting for a confirmed technical breakout above resistance levels before initiating or adding to a position.
- The significant insider selling activity warrants close attention; any shift towards net buying could be a strong signal of renewed management confidence.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Continued Revenue Growth Exceeding Expectations
Applied Digital Corporation's projected 127.00% revenue growth for next year, significantly higher than current year growth, could act as a strong catalyst if actual results surpass these optimistic forecasts.
Source: Wall Street Revenue EstimatesBullish
Sustained Earnings Beats
The company's recent track record of beating EPS estimates, including a 121.05% surprise in the latest quarter, suggests improving operational efficiency and could continue to drive positive price action.
Source: Earnings ReportsBearish
Insider Net Selling Activity
Over $34.5 million in insider sales across 53 transactions indicates a lack of confidence from management, posing a potential headwind to the stock's upward momentum.
Source: Insider SummaryBearish
Negative EPS and Valuation Concerns
The company's negative EPS of -$0.91 makes traditional valuation metrics like P/E unusable and raises questions about its path to profitability, which could deter investors.
Source: Fundamental AnalysisMarket Outlook
The base case for Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) over the next 6-12 months hinges on its ability to sustain its rapid revenue growth and translate it into profitability, supported by a median analyst price target of $79. This target suggests a significant upward re-rating potential from the current price of $26.68, driven by market confidence in its growth trajectory and recent earnings beats. Potential catalysts for upside include continued strong revenue expansion, successful scaling of operations, and positive earnings surprises that could accelerate the path to profitability. Conversely, downside risks involve the company's persistent negative EPS, the substantial insider selling activity, and the current technical downtrend. Failure to achieve profitability or a slowdown in revenue growth could lead to a reassessment of the optimistic analyst targets.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 7.33B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -0.9100 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 50.73 |
| 52 Week Low | 13.16 |
Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) exhibits a negative EPS of -$0.91, making its P/E ratio mathematically negative and thus not a reliable valuation metric. However, the company's revenue growth is exceptionally strong, projected to increase by 127.00% next year, far exceeding the sector average of 10.00%. This rapid expansion suggests significant market adoption and scaling. While valuation metrics like P/E are not applicable due to negative earnings, the forward revenue growth estimates are a key indicator of future potential. The sector's average P/E is 25.5 and Price-to-Sales is 4.2, against which APLD's current valuation cannot be directly compared without positive earnings. The company's ability to convert this revenue growth into profitability will be critical for its long-term fundamental health.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) has demonstrated a strong trend of beating earnings estimates in recent quarters. The latest report on July 27, 2026, showed an EPS of $0.04, significantly exceeding the estimated -$0.19 by 121.05%, and the stock reacted positively with a 0.93% gain. Prior to this, the Q1 2026 earnings also beat expectations by 142.86%, although the stock saw a negative price reaction of -7.99%. The company has consistently surprised positively on EPS in the last four reported quarters, indicating an improving operational performance and effective cost management relative to analyst expectations.
Key Risks
Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) faces significant risks related to its current valuation and profitability. The company's negative EPS and the resulting inability to calculate a meaningful P/E ratio suggest that profitability remains a key challenge. Also, insider activity shows a net seller position with over $34.5 million in sales, indicating a lack of confidence from management in the short term, despite the overall positive analyst sentiment. The stock is also trading below key moving averages, highlighting technical headwinds that could persist.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 48.30 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.90 |
| SMA 50 | 28.44 |
| SMA 200 | 32.30 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $28.44, 200-day: $32.30), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.40
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.44
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.40
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.15
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
APLD Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$26.15
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
AGGRESSIVE
$26.68
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$24.32
MAX LOSS
-7.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (48.3) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$27.45
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$28.76
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$30.07
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
APLD is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 4.49%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in APLD in September 2016 would be worth about $14,483,146 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in APLD today could grow to about $58,017 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $440,155 and a bear case around $7,647. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
APLD Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $53.90 for APLD by 2030 in the base case, from $26.68 today (2.0x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $14.96. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on APLD's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $16.76 | $31.81 | $60.37 |
| 2028 | $15.32 | $37.92 | $93.86 |
| 2029 | $14.90 | $45.21 | $137 |
| 2030 | $14.96 | $53.90 | $194 |
| 2031 | $15.33 | $64.26 | $269 |
| 2032 | $15.95 | $76.62 | $368 |
| 2033 | $16.76 | $91.34 | $498 |
| 2034 | $17.78 | $109 | $667 |
| 2035 | $18.99 | $130 | $888 |
| 2036 | $20.40 | $155 | $1,174 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using APLD's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. APLD is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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APLD Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$34.5M
26 Transactions
Insiders
10
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.3M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2025 | CUMMINS WESLEY
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 400.0K | $6.1M |
| Jan 16, 2026 | CUMMINS WESLEY
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 165.0K | $6.0M |
| Oct 28, 2025 | MOHMAND MOHAMMAD SAIDAL LAVANWAY
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 137.5K | $4.8M |
| Oct 31, 2025 | HASTINGS CHUCK
Director
|
Sell | 75.0K | $2.6M |
| Aug 4, 2026 | NOTTENBURG RICHARD N
Director
|
Sell | 75.0K | $2.3M |
| Nov 27, 2024 | CUMMINS WESLEY
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 200.0K | $1.8M |
| Jan 29, 2026 | HASTINGS CHUCK
Director
|
Sell | 46.0K | $1.8M |
| Oct 29, 2025 | BENSON ELLA G
Director
|
Sell | 42.6K | $1.5M |
| Aug 4, 2025 | HASTINGS CHUCK
Director
|
Sell | 100.0K | $1.3M |
| Mar 27, 2023 | MOORE VIRGINIA
Director
|
Sell | 613.2K | $1.2M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) stock a buy right now?
Wall Street analysts maintain a strong Buy consensus for APLD, with a median price target of $79, implying substantial upside from the current $26.68 price. However, the stock is trading below its key moving averages, and insiders have been net sellers, suggesting potential near-term risks.
What is Applied Digital Corporation's (APLD) price prediction for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Applied Digital Corporation's (APLD) projected price for 2030 ranges from a downside of $14.96 to an upside of $194.18, with a base case of $53.9. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.
How has Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) performed in recent earnings reports?
APLD has consistently beaten EPS estimates in its last four reported quarters. The most recent report showed a 121.05% surprise, with actual EPS of $0.04 against an estimate of -$0.19.
What are the main risks facing Applied Digital Corporation (APLD)?
Key risks include the company's negative EPS, which makes traditional valuation metrics difficult to apply, and significant insider selling totaling over $34.5 million. The stock's current trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($28.44 and $32.30) also presents technical challenges.
How does Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) compare to its sector averages?
APLD's revenue growth is exceptionally strong, projected at 127.00% next year, far surpassing the sector average of 10.00%. However, its negative EPS means it cannot be compared on P/E or ROE metrics against the sector averages of 25.5 and 15.0, respectively.
What is the Wall Street consensus rating for Applied Digital Corporation (APLD)?
The Wall Street consensus for APLD is predominantly Buy, with 2 Strong Buys and 8 Buys out of 11 analysts, contributing to a consensus score of 77. There are no Sell or Strong Sell ratings.
What is the outlook for Applied Digital Corporation's (APLD) revenue growth?
Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) has a very strong revenue growth outlook, with projections indicating a 40.00% increase next quarter and a substantial 127.00% growth for next year, significantly outpacing current year growth of 37.00%.