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Cerebras Systems Inc. (CBRS)

$127.21 -14.96 (-10.52%)
At close: Oct 16, 4:00 PM EDT
Hold
55 / 100
CleaRank AI scorei
Market cap
$30.22B
Dividend yield
0.00%
Street target
$300.00median of 11 analysts
52-week range
$126.05 $386.34
01

The short version

Where CBRS stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

CBRS at a glance

Cerebras Systems Inc. (CBRS): Hold, 55/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Insiders Insiders sold $408.4M and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.

Figures as of October 17, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

CBRS, or Cerebras Systems Inc., receives a Hold rating from CleaRank with a model score of 55/100.

The analysts' outlook is the biggest support: all 11 analysts rate it a buy, and the median target is 135.8% above the price. Valuation is the largest drag, because the company has no meaningful P/E after losing money and its P/S of 49.62 is 552.9% above the sector median.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from CBRS's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

Price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

CBRS share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far CBRS has moved over it, to the last close.

Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Start $311.07 May 14, 2026
Latest close $127.21 Oct 16, 2026
High $311.07 May 14, 2026
Low $127.21 Oct 16, 2026

Today's trading

Where CBRS sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 9.39% wide
$127.21
$126.05 $137.88
52-week range 0% of the way up
$127.21
$126.05 $386.34
Open
$137.66
Previous close
$142.17
Volume
11.76M
11% above average
Market cap
$30.22B
03

Fundamentals

Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.

3.0

Valuation and quality checks

0/2
  • P/S below the sector median ›
    The price-to-sales ratio of 49.62 is 552.9% above the sector median of 7.6.
  • Profitable over the last 12 months ›
    Net income over the last 12 months was $-487.2M on revenue of $680.7M, a net margin of -71.6%.

Key statistics

The headline figures for CBRS.

Market Cap
30.22B
P/E Ratio
N/A (Negative EPS)
EPS (TTM)
-5.14
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52 Week High
386.34
52 Week Low
126.05

As of October 17, 2026, CBRS trades at $127.21, with a market value of $30.22B and no P/E ratio (its trailing earnings are negative).

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of CBRS's valuation, growth and risks.

Valuation

CBRS has no usable P/E, since the company lost money over the last 12 months, which makes that measure not meaningful here. Measured on sales, the stock changes hands at 49.62 times revenue, a P/S that is 552.9% above the sector median of 7.6. Trailing earnings stand at -$5.14 a share.

CBRS is unprofitable at present, with a net margin of -75.27% and an operating margin of -264.97%. Revenue growth of 74.30% is 50.1 percentage points faster than the sector median of 24.2%, which is the bright spot in the figures. Return on equity, a measure of what shareholders' capital earns, stands at -15.19% against a sector median of 13.4%, so it is below the sector median. Debt-to-equity of 0.16 rounds out the balance sheet picture.

Earnings & Growth

CBRS reported earnings of -$0.05 a share in the August 12, 2026 report, against an estimate of -$0.18, a beat of 72.22%. The share price nonetheless dropped 11.85% in the first session after the report.

The record is a clean sweep: 2 beats in 2 reports, yet the stock fell in the first session after every one of those 2 beats. The largest of the earlier reactions came after the June 23, 2026 report, which beat the estimate by 73.33% while the stock fell 19.61%. Looking ahead, analysts expect EPS of -$0.4694 this fiscal year and $1.27 the year after.

Key risks

Daily swings are the main risk to plan for, as CBRS has moved 4.34% on an average session. The price is 67.07% below its 52-week high of $386.34. Over the last 18 months insiders sold $408.4M of stock and bought none on the open market. Sales like these are often arranged ahead of time or made to cover taxes on vesting shares, so they carry less weight than purchases would.

CBRS against the Technology sector

How CBRS compares with the median Technology stock CleaRank tracks.

P/S ratio 553% above the median
CBRS
49.6x
Sector median
7.6x
Revenue growth, year on year 50.1 points above the median
CBRS
74.3%
Sector median
24.2%
Return on equity 28.6 points below the median
CBRS
-15.2%
Sector median
13.4%

Price to sales vs sector: On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, CBRS trades at 49.62x, far above the sector average of 7.60x.

Return vs XLK: Since May 14, 2026, CBRS has lost 59.1% against a gain of 2.2% for XLK.

Performance against XLK

CBRS and the Technology sector fund over the same days.

Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
CBRS XLK

Revenue and earnings

How much CBRS sells, and how much of it becomes profit.

Revenue, 12 months
$681M
Net income, 12 months
-$487M
Net margin
-75.3%
Revenue growth
+74.3%
latest quarter, year on year
FY2022-722% marginFY2023-161% marginFY2024-166% marginFY202547% margin
Revenue Net income

Revenue growth: Revenue grew 75.7% in FY2025 to $510M, from $290M a year earlier.

Profit margin: The net margin was 46.6% in FY2025, up from -165.9% the year before.

Profitable: CBRS earned $238M in FY2025.

Earnings reality check

Did CBRS beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?

Beat the estimate
2 of 2
last 2 reports
Fell after a beat
2 of 2
first session after the report
Average surprise
+72.8%
actual EPS against the estimate
Avg. first-session move
-15.7%
the stock, after the report
EPS surprise
First-session move
Jun '26Aug '26

Earnings record: CBRS beat the analyst estimate in 2 of the last 2 quarters.

Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 2 of those 2 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.

CBRS earnings surprises and the stock's reaction
Report Estimate Actual Surprise First session 5 sessions
Aug 12, 2026after close -$0.18 -$0.05 +72.22% -11.85% -17.69%
Jun 23, 2026after close -$0.15 -$0.04 +73.33% -19.61% -2.52%

As of October 17, 2026, CBRS has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 2 of its last 2 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 2 of those beats; its latest report, on August 12, 2026, came in 72.22% above the estimate and the stock moved -11.85% in the first session.

The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.

04

AI analysis and technicals

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

0/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 26.7, in oversold territory.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 26.7 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.

CleaRank AI analysis of CBRS

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

Company's health
3/5
12-month analyst target
$300.00
+135.83% above price · median of 11 analysts
AI analyst consensus
55/100
Hold
What the AI sees

CBRS is trading close to the floor of its 52-week range. The price stands 0.92% above the low of $126.05 and 67.07% below the high of $386.34.

The 14-day RSI of 26.7 is in oversold territory, and the MACD line is negative. The record is negative across every period shown: the price fell 22.51% over the past week, fell 33.21% over the past month and fell 26.41% over the past three months.

Catalysts
Rewards
  • Analyst upgrade ›

    Freedom Capital Markets upgraded it to Buy from Hold on October 2, 2026.

    Source: Analyst action, Freedom Capital Markets, October 2, 2026
Risks
  • Earnings beat ›

    The August 12, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 72.22%, and the share price fell 11.85% in the first session after it.

    Source: Earnings report, August 12, 2026
ProTips
  1. Two levels matter most: the 20-day EMA at $166.84 above the price and the 52-week low at $126.05 below it.
  2. The 14-day RSI is 26.7, which puts it in the oversold zone, and the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 signal stretched momentum.
  3. CBRS beat estimates in 2 of the last 2 reports. After the August 12, 2026 report, though, the share price dropped 11.85% in the first session.
Market outlook

The nearest levels are the 52-week low at $126.05 below and the 20-day EMA at $166.84 above.

Momentum has been completely washed out, with the RSI sitting under the oversold line. A move back above that line would be the first early hint that selling pressure is easing.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for CBRS, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Bearish 0 of 2 signals bullish
  • RSI Oversold
  • SMA cross N/A
  • Price vs SMA N/A
  • MACD Bearish
Momentum Oversold
26.714-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) -15.32 Bearish

As of October 17, 2026, with CBRS at $127.21, its 14-day RSI is 26.7 (oversold territory) and its 50-day simple moving average is $192.01.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 17, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).

What CBRS moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.30 Weak
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.38 Weak
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.19 Weak
Gold (XAU) +0.17 Weak

As of October 17, 2026, CBRS's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.30 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.38 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.19 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.17 with gold (XAU).

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05

What Wall Street expects

The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.

5.0

Analysts checks

3/3
  • Most analysts rate it a buy ›
    11 of 11 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell.
  • Median target above the price ›
    The median 12-month target of $300.00 is 135.8% above the price.
  • More buy ratings than three months ago ›
    11 of 11 rate it a buy now, against 10 of 11 three months ago.

CBRS Wall Street View

12-month price targets

Low $209.00 Median $300.00 (+135.8%) High $330.00

The price, $127.21, sits below every analyst's target.

Ratings

Buy 11 Hold 0 Sell 0 3 months ago: 10 of 11 buy

Recent rating actions

Recent analyst rating actions on CBRS
Date Firm Action Rating
Oct 2, 2026 Freedom Capital Markets Upgrade Buy
Sep 14, 2026 Freedom Capital Markets Maintains Hold
Aug 19, 2026 Rosenblatt Maintains Buy
Aug 19, 2026 Needham Reiterates Buy
Aug 13, 2026 UBS Maintains Buy
Aug 13, 2026 Citigroup Maintains Buy

As of October 17, 2026, 11 Wall Street analysts cover CBRS: 11 rate it a buy or strong buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $209.00 to $330.00, with a median of $300.00, 135.8% above the price of $127.21.

Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.

06

A trade plan, if you want one

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

CBRS trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 2%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Entry Strategies pick an entry style

Conservative
$125.94
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$127.21
At current price
Enter now if confident

Risk management

Stop loss
$106.43
Max loss
-15.5%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (26.7) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$129.72
+3% (Conservative) +2.0% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$132.23
+5% (Conservative) +4.0% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$136.01
+8% (Conservative) +6.9% (Aggressive)

CBRS moves about 4.3% a day on average, so a stop can fill well past its level. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much CBRS tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
4.34%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$127.21
$126.05 0% of the way up $386.34

Compare CBRS

Put CBRS side by side with other stocks and benchmarks.

07

The long record

CBRS's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

7.0

Track record checks

0/2
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 4.34% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in May 2026 is now worth $4,089.43, against $10,253 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into CBRS in May 2026 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

CBRS today
$4,089.43
from $10,000 in May 2026, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$10,253
the same $10,000 in SPY
Behind the index by
$6,163.68
0.4x the index result
Total change
-59%
0.4x the starting amount
Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
CBRS S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: CBRS trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $4,089.43 against $10,253.

A $10,000 investment in CBRS in May 2026 would be worth about $4,089 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $10,253 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to CBRS, and which have not.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec

Strongest month, June: an average of +3.62%.

Weakest month, May: an average of -23.81%.

This month, October: has averaged +0.00%. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Average return for each calendar month over the stored price history; treat short histories with caution.

08

Long-term scenarios

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in CBRS, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2036
$2,009
10th percentile
Base case, 2036
$15,239
median path
Upside, 2036
$115,613
90th percentile
202620282030203220342036
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in CBRS today could grow to about $15,239 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $115,613 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $2,009. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

CBRS Stock Price Prediction: 2030

The same simulation in share prices, year by year.

Price today
$127
Base case, 2030
$151
1.2x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$41.79 to $542
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $151 for CBRS by 2030 in the base case, from $127 today (1.2x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $41.79. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on CBRS's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

CBRS simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $69.91 $133 $252
2028 $55.92 $138 $343
2029 $47.58 $144 $438
2030 $41.79 $151 $542
2031 $37.47 $157 $658

Method: a lognormal simulation of CBRS's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.

09

Insider trading

What the people running the company have bought and sold.

CBRS insider trading

Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.

Bought
None
no open-market buys
Sold
$408.4M
22 open-market sales
Insiders filing
11
over the last 18 months
Average trade
$18.6M
buys and sales together

Month by month

Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.

May '25Aug '25Nov '25Feb '26May '26Aug '26Oct '26

Insider buying: No insider bought CBRS shares on the open market in the last 18 months. Sales are often planned in advance or cover tax on vesting shares, so they say less than purchases would.

As of October 17, 2026, CBRS insiders reported 22 open-market sales worth $408.4M and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.

Insider transactions in CBRS
Date Insider Type Shares Value
Sep 29, 2026
Dhiraj Mallick
Chief Operating Officer
Sell 396.0K $80.8M
Sep 29, 2026
Robert Patrick Komin Jr
Chief Financial Officer
Sell 32.5K $6.6M
Sep 29, 2026
Dhiraj Mallick
Chief Operating Officer
Grant 276.0K -
Sep 28, 2026
Yagnesh Patel
Officer
Sell 1.3K $269.9K
Sep 25, 2026
Sean Lie
Chief Technology Officer
Sell 120.0K $25.1M
Sep 25, 2026
Sean Lie
Chief Technology Officer
Grant 36.0K -
Sep 25, 2026
Sean Lie
Chief Technology Officer
Grant 120.0K -
Sep 4, 2026
Sean Lie
Chief Technology Officer
Sell 53.5K $11.2M
Sep 4, 2026
Steven Vassallo
Director
Sell 50.0K $10.5M
Sep 4, 2026
Andrew D Feldman
Chief Executive Officer
Sell 37.4K $7.9M
Page 1 of 6

Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings

10

Questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 17, 2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Cerebras Systems Inc. (CBRS) a buy right now?
CleaRank's model scores CBRS 55/100, a Hold rating. The analysts' outlook carries the score: 11 of 11 analysts rate it a buy and the median target is 135.8% above the price. Valuation holds the score back, because the company has no meaningful P/E because it lost money and the P/S of 49.62 is 552.9% above the sector median. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
What are the key price levels for CBRS?
Above the price, the levels are the 20-day EMA at $166.84 and the 50-day SMA at $192.01. Below it, the level is the 52-week low at $126.05.
Does CBRS have a P/E ratio?
CBRS has no meaningful P/E because the company lost money over the last 12 months. On sales, the P/S of 49.62 sits 552.9% above the sector median of 7.6.
What do Wall Street analysts think of CBRS?
Among the 11 analysts who cover CBRS, all 11 rate it a buy, with no holds or sells. Their median 12-month target is $300.00, which is 135.8% above the current price.
How often has CBRS beaten earnings estimates?
In our data, CBRS has beaten the EPS estimate in 2 of the last 2 reports. Even so, the share price declined in the first session after 2 of those 2 beats.
How volatile is CBRS?
On an average day CBRS's price moves 4.34%, based on the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns.
Are CBRS insiders buying or selling?
Insiders sold $408.4M of stock over the last 18 months and made no open-market purchases. Such sales are often planned ahead or made to cover taxes on vesting shares, so they carry less weight than purchases would.
What is the 52-week range of CBRS?
Over the past 52 weeks CBRS has traded between $126.05 and $386.34. At $127.21, the stock sits at 0% of that range, 0.92% above the low and 67.07% below the high.
How closely does CBRS move with the stock market?
Over the past year CBRS's daily returns were weakly correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.30). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.38; Bitcoin (BTC): +0.19; Gold (XAU): +0.17. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.
What would $10,000 invested in CBRS be worth today?
$10,000 put into CBRS in May 2026 would be worth about $4,089 today with dividends reinvested, against about $10,253 for the same amount in the S&P 500 on the same basis.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The stock analysis, trade plans, and AI-generated signals presented for CBRS are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. They do not represent actual trades made by CleaRank or its affiliates. Stock prices can be volatile and are subject to market, economic, and company-specific risks. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of any data. You should never invest money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analysis generated on October 17, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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