Stock·NASDAQ·Technology
Pony AI Inc. (PONY)
- Market cap
- $2.21B
- Dividend yield
- None
- Street target
- $17.15median of 17 analysts
- 52-week range
- $4.78 $22.46
PONY stock forecast today
Where PONY stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
PONY at a glance
Pony AI Inc. (PONY): Sell, 38/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($6.51 and $9.42).
- Insiders Insiders sold $159K and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.
Figures as of October 27, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
CleaRank rates Pony AI Inc. (PONY) Sell, with a model score of 38/100.
The analysts' outlook lifts the score most: 16 of 17 analysts rate it a buy and the median target is 238.3% above the price. The trend holds it back most: the price is 46.19% below its 200-day average and 22.14% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 30.89% below the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $6.51 and the 200-day at $9.42. Over the past year the price fell 74.24%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from PONY's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
PONY stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
0/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $5.07 is 22.1% below the 50-day simple moving average of $6.51.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 46.2% below the 200-day simple moving average of $9.42.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($6.51) is 30.9% below the 200-day average ($9.42), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 2% of its 52-week range, between $4.78 and $22.46.
PONY share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far PONY has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where PONY sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
PONY fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
0/2P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 20.01 is 163.3% above the sector median of 7.6.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was -$92.9M on revenue of $110.3M, a net margin of -84.2%.
Key statistics
The headline figures for PONY.
As of October 27, 2026, PONY trades at $5.07, with a market value of $2.21B and no P/E ratio (its trailing earnings are negative).
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of PONY's valuation, growth and risks.
A P/E cannot be read for Pony AI Inc. (PONY): it is not meaningful, because its earnings per share over the last 12 months are negative. For scale, PONY carries a market capitalisation of $2.2B and trailing earnings of -$0.35 a share.
The company is losing money, with a net margin of -84.2% and an operating margin of -181.51%. Shareholders' capital earns -6.77%, below the sector median of 13.4%, measured as return on equity. Rounding out the fundamentals, PONY reports debt-to-equity of 0.01.
PONY's most recent earnings report came out on August 18, 2026. It posted EPS of -$0.10, which beat the -$0.17 that analysts had penciled in. The share price climbed 1.10% in the following session.
The record is a clean sweep: 2 beats in 2 reports, but beats have not guaranteed gains: the stock fell the next day after 1 of them. The consensus EPS estimate stands at -$0.64 for this fiscal year and -$0.67 for next.
On a typical day the price of PONY shifts by 3.43%, the 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns. Until the price regains its moving averages, the trend works against holders. The price is 77.43% below its 52-week high of $22.46. Insiders sold $159K over the last 18 months and bought none on the open market, though sales of this kind are often planned in advance and say less than purchases would.
PONY against the Technology sector
How PONY compares with the median Technology stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to sales vs sector: On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, PONY trades at 20.01x, +163% versus the sector average of 7.60x.
Return vs XLK: Since May 15, 2025, PONY has lost 68.7% against a gain of 61.5% for XLK.
Performance against XLK
PONY and the Technology sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much PONY sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
The quarterly bars end with Q1 '26 (the quarter to March 31, 2026); PONY reported again on August 18, 2026, and that quarter is not in our statement data yet. The 12-month figures come from the statistics feed and may include it.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 20.0% in FY2025 to $90.0M, from $75.0M a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was -85.3% in FY2025, up from -366.6% the year before.
Loss-making: PONY lost $76.8M in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did PONY beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: PONY beat the analyst estimate in 2 of the last 2 quarters.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 1 of those 2 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026after close | -$0.17 | -$0.10 | +41.18% | +1.10% | -2.65% |
| Mar 26, 2026after close | -$0.15 | -$0.12 | +20.00% | -5.97% | -5.14% |
As of October 27, 2026, PONY has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 2 of its last 2 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 1 of those beats; its latest report, on August 18, 2026, came in 41.18% above the estimate and the stock moved +1.10% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
PONY AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
1/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 32.9, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 32.9 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of PONY
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
PONY is in a downtrend. At $5.07, the stock sits 22.14% below its 50-day average of $6.51 and 46.19% below its 200-day average of $9.42. Near the bottom of its 52-week range, the price is 6.04% above the low of $4.78 and 77.43% below the high of $22.46. The 50-day average is 30.89% below the 200-day, a gap that backs up the weakness instead of cutting against it.
The 14-day RSI of 32.9 is in the bearish zone, above the oversold line, and the MACD line is negative. The recent returns are all negative: the price fell 33.11% over the past three months, fell 50.39% over the past six months and fell 74.24% over the past year. Volume in the last session ran 53.4% above its average, on a day the price rose 0.40%.
Earnings beat ›
The August 18, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 41.18%, and the share price rose 1.10% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, August 18, 2026Rating reaffirmed ›
B of A Securities kept its Buy rating on August 19, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, B of A Securities, August 19, 2026
- Keep an eye on the two closest levels: the 20-day EMA at $5.55 sits above the price, and the 52-week low at $4.78 sits below it.
- A 14-day RSI of 32.9 falls in the bearish zone, and the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 would signal stretched momentum.
- In the first session after the August 18, 2026 report, the share price gained 1.10%. Over the last 2 reports, PONY has topped estimates in 2 of them.
PONY trades under its 50-day ($6.51) and 200-day ($9.42) averages, which is what makes the trend down; regaining the 50-day would be the first sign of repair. The nearest level above the price is the 20-day EMA at $5.55.
The next level down is the 52-week low of $4.78. With the RSI in the bearish zone, momentum still leans toward further declines.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for PONY, from its daily closes.
As of October 27, 2026, with PONY at $5.07, its 14-day RSI is 32.9 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $6.51 and its 200-day is $9.42.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What PONY moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 27, 2026, PONY's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.36 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.38 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.31 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.07 with gold (XAU).
PONY price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
3/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
16 of 17 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $17.15 is 238.3% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
16 of 17 rate it a buy now, against 16 of 18 three months ago.
PONY Wall Street View
12-month price targets
The price, $5.07, sits below every analyst's target.
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy |
As of October 27, 2026, 17 Wall Street analysts cover PONY: 16 rate it a buy or strong buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $10.00 to $32.80. The median PONY price target is $17.15, 238.3% above the price of $5.07.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
PONY trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
PONY trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Short entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
PONY moves about 3.4% a day on average, so a stop can fill well past its level. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much PONY tends to move, against the market and on its own.
PONY price history and drawdowns
PONY's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
1/3Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 3.43% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 82.4%, from February 2025 to April 2025, regained by October 2025.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in November 2024 is now worth $4,208, against $13,075 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
PONY Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 27, 2026, PONY's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 2 years with dividends reinvested was -82.4% (February 2025 to April 2025); it regained that peak by October 2025, 6 months after the low.
From daily closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into PONY in November 2024 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: PONY trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $4,208.33 against $13,075.
A $10,000 investment in PONY in November 2024 would be worth about $4,208 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $13,075 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
PONY stock price prediction 2027
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
PONY Stock Price Prediction 2027: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $4.96 for PONY by 2027 in the base case, from $5.07 today (1.0x over 1 year). The 10th-percentile path ends near $2.61. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on PONY's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $2.61 | $4.96 | $9.42 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of PONY's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
PONY insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
PONY insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Net insider selling: No insider bought PONY shares on the open market in the last 18 months. Sales are often planned in advance or cover tax on vesting shares, so they say less than purchases would.
As of October 27, 2026, PONY insiders reported 1 open-market sale worth $159K and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2026 | Tiancheng Lou
Chief Technology Officer
|
Grant | 31.3K | - |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Haojun Wang
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 18.3K | $158.8K |
Source: TwelveData, from reported insider filings
PONY stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026.