CleaRank Financial AI • AI-powered analysis using real-time market data from TwelveData
Analysis reviewed by Kate Leaman, Financial Journalist and Market Analyst. Data refreshed daily. Not financial advice.
Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF (COWZ) is currently priced at $69.34, trading above its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) of $64.87, suggesting a positive long-term trend. The fund's strategy focuses on U.S. large- and mid-cap companies with high free cash flow yields, employing a rules-based approach. Its portfolio is diversified across sectors, with Technology (23.67%), Energy (19.26%), and Healthcare (14.95%) being the largest allocations. The ETF's year-to-date return stands at 12.15%, reflecting its performance in the current market environment.
COWZ at a glance
Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF (COWZ): Buy, 78/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
TrendMixed: the price is above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average ($64.87 and $69.69).
FundExpense ratio 0.49%, $18.6B in net assets, +18.6% total return over 1 year.
As of October 15, 2026, Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF (COWZ) trades at $69.34. The 14-day RSI (daily closes) is 56, in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day simple moving average of $69.69.
Figures as of October 15, 2026.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from COWZ's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.
Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF is an exchange-traded fund that seeks to track the Pacer US Cash Cows 100 Index, using a rules-based approach to identify U.S. large- and mid-cap companies with high free cash flow yields. The fund focuses on businesses that generate strong cash flow relative to their enterprise value, and it weights holdings by trailing free cash flow with a cap on individual positions.
Issuer
Pacer
Category
Mid-Cap Value
Inception
Dec 16, 2016
Expense ratio
0.49%
Net assets
$18.59B
Distribution yield
2.04%
YTD return
12.15%
Turnover
86.00%
Sector weights
Technology23.7%
Energy19.3%
Healthcare15.0%
Industrials12.1%
Consumer Cyclical9.7%
Communication Services8.2%
Other12.1%
Trailing total returns
Period
COWZ
YTD
12.15%
1 month
-6.84%
3 months
7.98%
1 year
18.57%
3 years
12.67%
5 years
11.00%
As of Oct 15, 2026, COWZ has an expense ratio of 0.49%, $18.59B in net assets and a distribution yield of 2.04%.
Fund reference data as of Oct 15, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.
COWZ Analysis
AI Analyst Consensus ScoreBuy
COWZ is trading above its 200-day SMA ($64.87), indicating a positive long-term trend. The price is also above its 20-day EMA ($68.56) and below its 50-day SMA ($69.69), suggesting some near-term consolidation. The 14-day RSI is at 56.48, which is neutral momentum. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is at 131.88, indicating bullish conditions, while the Stochastic Oscillator is at 100, suggesting overbought conditions in the short term. Volume was 10.4% above its average, showing increased investor interest.
ProTips
The expense ratio of 0.49% is higher than some broad market ETFs; evaluate its impact on long-term returns.
Market Outlook
The outlook for COWZ is cautiously optimistic, supported by its position above the 200-day SMA and its focus on cash-generating companies, which can be resilient in various market conditions. The fund's value-oriented strategy may benefit from a potential rotation back into more traditional sectors. However, near-term price action shows some resistance at the 50-day SMA, suggesting a period of consolidation before further upward movement is likely. Monitoring the performance of its top sector allocations will be key to its future trajectory.
Market Correlations
How this etf moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)+0.72
Strong correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)+0.55
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)+0.21
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)+0.11
Weak correlation
As of October 15, 2026, COWZ's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.72 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.55 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.21 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.11 with gold (XAU).
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with COWZ? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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Key Statistics
Net Assets
18.59B
Expense Ratio
0.4900%
Yield
2.04%
Day High
$69.34
Day Low
$68.86
52 Week High
72.52
52 Week Low
56.11
As a Mid-Cap Value ETF, COWZ is built on a strategy of identifying U.S. large- and mid-cap companies with high free cash flow yields, as tracked by the Pacer US Cash Cows 100 Index. The fund's expense ratio is 0.49%, costing $49.00 per $10,000 invested. Its net assets total $18.59 billion, indicating significant investor capital. The sector concentration is notable, with Technology, Energy, and Healthcare representing over half of the fund's holdings, suggesting a focus on these areas within its value-oriented framework.
Fund Performance Analysis
Its strategy focuses on companies with high free cash flow yields. The top sectors, including Technology and Energy, have shown mixed earnings trends recently. However, the underlying principle of the fund is to invest in companies that are strong cash generators, which can be a resilient characteristic regardless of short-term earnings fluctuations. The fund's focus on free cash flow can provide a buffer against broader market earnings volatility.
Key Risks
The primary risk for COWZ lies in its sector concentration, particularly in Technology and Energy, which can be subject to significant volatility. If these sectors experience downturns, the fund's performance could be disproportionately affected. Additionally, as a value-oriented fund, it may underperform during periods of strong growth stock outperformance. The expense ratio of 0.49% is also a factor to consider for long-term returns.
Technical Indicators i
RSI (14-day)
56.48
MACD (12, 26)
-0.158
SMA (50-day)
69.69
SMA (200-day)
64.87
Technical RatingNeutral
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($69.69) above the 200-day SMA ($64.87), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
As of October 15, 2026, with COWZ at $69.34, its 14-day RSI is 56.5 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $69.69 and its 200-day is $64.87.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 15, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
COWZ Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative2%Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$67.95
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$69.34
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$65.91
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (56.5) and current market volatility
These levels come from COWZ's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in COWZ in December 2016 would be worth about $27,960 today, compared with about $34,147 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark. This is price change only; dividends paid along the way would add to it.
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COWZ Drawdowns & Recovery
Worst fall, last 10 years
-39.4%
January 2020 to March 2020
Recovery
8 months
back at the old peak by November 2020
From the 10-year high
-4.2%
highest close, August 2026
1-year holds that gained
75%
of every 1-year window
As of October 15, 2026, COWZ's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -39.4% (January 2020 to March 2020); it regained that peak by November 2020, 8 months after the low, and 75% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in COWZ today could grow to about $21,803 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $48,831 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $9,735. The simulation models price only; at today's 2.04% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
COWZ 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $94.71 for COWZ by 2030 in the base case, from $69.34 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $56.87. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on COWZ's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
COWZ simulated price paths by year
Year
10th percentile
Base case
90th percentile
2027
$58.09
$74.96
$96.73
2028
$56.50
$81.04
$116
2029
$56.33
$87.61
$136
2030
$56.87
$94.71
$158
2031
$57.89
$102
$181
Method: a lognormal simulation of COWZ's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the expense ratio for the Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF (COWZ)?
The expense ratio for COWZ is 0.49%, which translates to a cost of $49.00 for every $10,000 invested annually.
What sectors does the Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF (COWZ) hold?
COWZ is concentrated in Technology (23.67%), Energy (19.26%), and Healthcare (14.95%), with other significant allocations in Industrials (12.12%) and Consumer Cyclical (9.73%).
What is the investment strategy of the Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF?
COWZ tracks the Pacer US Cash Cows 100 Index, focusing on U.S. large- and mid-cap companies that exhibit high free cash flow yields, weighted by trailing free cash flow.
What is the current dividend yield of COWZ?
The current dividend yield for COWZ is approximately 1.96%.
What are the main risks associated with investing in COWZ?
Key risks include sector concentration in Technology and Energy, potential underperformance during growth stock rallies, and the fund's expense ratio of 0.49%.
Is COWZ in an uptrend?
Not clearly. Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF (COWZ) trades at $69.34, above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average ($64.87 and $69.69). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 56.5, in neutral territory.
What is COWZ's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF (COWZ)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -39.4%, from January 2020 to March 2020. It regained that peak by November 2020, 8 months after the low. Over the same period, 75% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
What are COWZ's best and worst months?
Over the last 10 years, November has been COWZ's strongest month on average (+5.34%, rising in 9 of 9 years) and September its weakest (-2.01%, rising in 2 of 10 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year.
How closely does COWZ move with the stock market?
Over the past year COWZ's daily returns were strongly correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.72). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.55; Bitcoin (BTC): +0.21; Gold (XAU): +0.11. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.
What would $10,000 invested in COWZ be worth today?
$10,000 put into COWZ in December 2016 would be worth about $27,960 today, against about $34,147 for the same amount in the S&P 500. That is price change only; distributions would add to it.
