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As of September 11, 2026, VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) trades at $65.61. RSI at 76 is in overbought territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $56.49.
VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK)
VanEck Oil Refiners ETF NYSE
$65.61
-0.6900 (-1.04%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
78 / 100
VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) is currently trading at $65.61, showing a strong upward price trend. The ETF is heavily concentrated in the Energy sector, holding 98.71% of its assets, with a minor allocation to Basic Materials. Its strategy focuses on companies primarily involved in crude oil refining, offering targeted exposure to this specialized segment of the energy market. Recent fund flows and sector rotation signals suggest continued investor interest in oil refining operations.
CRAK Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$66.11
Day Range
$65.25 to $66.19
Prev Close
$66.30
Volume
821.1K
52-Week Range
$35.06 to $66.49
CRAK Fund Facts
VanEck Oil Refiners ETF is an exchange-traded fund that seeks to track the performance of a global index of companies involved in crude oil refining. The fund provides concentrated exposure to businesses that convert crude oil into products such as gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, fuel oil, naphtha, and related petrochemicals.
Issuer
VanEck
Category
Equity Energy
Inception
Aug 18, 2015
Expense ratio
0.61%
Net assets
$452.38M
NAV
$64.43
Distribution yield
1.24%
YTD return
62.75%
Turnover
26.00%
Sector weights
Energy
98.7%
Basic Materials
1.3%
Trailing returns vs category
| Period | CRAK | Category |
|---|---|---|
| YTD | 62.75% | 33.40% |
| 1 month | 10.68% | 2.32% |
| 3 months | 26.41% | 18.69% |
| 1 year | 76.56% | 64.81% |
| 3 years | 26.52% | 17.73% |
| 5 years | 20.80% | 20.41% |
| 10 years | 15.42% | 6.80% |
Fund reference data as of Sep 11, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.
CRAK Analysis
AI Technical Analysis
CRAK is exhibiting a strong bullish trend, trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($56.49 and $47.76), as well as its 20-day exponential moving average ($61.39). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 75.63, indicating an overbought condition, while the Stochastic indicator is also high at 89.38. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at 128.18 further supports the strong bullish momentum. The ETF's volume is currently 45.9% above its average, suggesting increased investor activity.
ProTips
- Consider the high concentration risk in the Energy sector; diversification may be needed for a balanced portfolio.
- Monitor the RSI for potential pullbacks from its current overbought level.
- The ETF's strong performance is tied to the oil refining cycle; stay informed on global energy demand and supply dynamics.
Market Outlook
The outlook for the VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) is cautiously optimistic, driven by strong sector performance and positive momentum. While the ETF is currently overbought, suggesting a potential for consolidation, the underlying trend remains strongly bullish. The concentrated exposure to oil refining companies positions it to benefit from sustained demand for refined products and potentially volatile crude oil prices. Investors should monitor the RSI for signs of cooling off from its overbought territory, but the overall sector strength supports continued positive performance over the next 6-12 months.
Market Correlations
How this etf moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.44
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.37
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.07
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.13
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
Key Statistics
| Yield | 1.15% |
|---|---|
| Day High | $66.19 |
| Day Low | $65.25 |
| 52 Week High | 66.49 |
| 52 Week Low | 35.06 |
The VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) holds 99.99% in stocks, with a significant concentration in the Energy sector at 98.71%. This focus provides direct exposure to companies converting crude oil into refined products. The fund's expense ratio is 0.61%, costing $61 per $10,000 invested annually. Its net assets stand at $452.38 million. The macro environment appears favorable for oil refiners, potentially driving demand for products like gasoline and jet fuel.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
The underlying companies within the VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) have shown mixed earnings performance. The most recent earnings report on May 5, 2026, showed an EPS actual of $3.30 against an estimate of $2.88, a positive surprise of 14.58%, though the stock price saw a 3.54% decrease following the announcement. The prior report on January 23, 2026, also beat estimates with an EPS actual of $1.87 versus $1.61, with a price change of -0.12%. These results suggest that while individual companies may be exceeding expectations, broader market sentiment or other factors can influence short-term price movements.
Key Risks
The primary risk for the VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) is its high concentration in the Energy sector, with 98.71% of assets dedicated to oil refiners. This makes the fund highly susceptible to sector-specific downturns, regulatory changes affecting the oil industry, or significant shifts in global oil demand and prices. The current overbought RSI of 75.63 also signals a potential for a short-term pullback.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 75.63 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 2.50 |
| SMA 50 | 56.49 |
| SMA 200 | 47.76 |
RSI
Overbought
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($56.49) above the 200-day SMA ($47.76), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages, RSI at 75.6 indicates overbought conditions; consider caution for immediate entries.
CRAK Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$64.30
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
AGGRESSIVE
$65.61
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$61.98
MAX LOSS
-3.6%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (75.6) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$67.51
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$70.73
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$73.94
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
ETF Investment Disclaimer
This AI-generated analysis of CRAK is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. ETFs are subject to market risk including possible loss of principal. Performance depends on the underlying index or assets tracked. Read the fund prospectus before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in CRAK in September 2016 would be worth about $33,444 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in CRAK today could grow to about $25,824 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $64,763 and a bear case around $10,297. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
CRAK ETF Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $95.89 for CRAK by 2030 in the base case, from $65.61 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $53.61. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on CRAK's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $53.94 | $72.14 | $96.48 |
| 2028 | $52.58 | $79.32 | $120 |
| 2029 | $52.71 | $87.21 | $144 |
| 2030 | $53.61 | $95.89 | $172 |
| 2031 | $55.03 | $105 | $202 |
| 2032 | $56.87 | $116 | $236 |
| 2033 | $59.06 | $127 | $275 |
| 2034 | $61.58 | $140 | $319 |
| 2035 | $64.41 | $154 | $369 |
| 2036 | $67.56 | $169 | $425 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using CRAK's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the expense ratio for the VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK)?
The VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) has an expense ratio of 0.61%, which amounts to approximately $61 for every $10,000 invested annually.
What sectors does the VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) primarily invest in?
The VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) is heavily concentrated in the Energy sector, holding 98.71% of its assets, with a small allocation of 1.29% in Basic Materials.
What is the distribution yield for the VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK)?
The VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) has a distribution yield of 1.24%.
How has the VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) performed against its category year-to-date?
The VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) has significantly outperformed its category year-to-date, with a return of 62.75% compared to the category's 33.40%.
What are the key risks associated with the VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK)?
The primary risk is sector concentration, as CRAK is almost entirely invested in oil refiners. This exposes it to volatility in oil prices, regulatory changes, and shifts in energy demand.
What is the long-range projection for the VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK)?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations for 2030, the base price projection for CRAK is $95.89, with a downside price of $53.61 and an upside price of $171.52. These are statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees.
How does the VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) compare to the S&P 500?
Against the S&P 500, CRAK has shown superior performance, with a year-to-date return of 62.75% compared to the S&P 500's implied category return of 33.40%.