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01

CRAK ETF forecast today

Where CRAK stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

CRAK at a glance

VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK): Buy, 65/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Mixed: the price is above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average ($52.11 and $64.02).
  • Fund Expense ratio 0.61%, $663.7M in net assets, price up 56.6% over 1 year.

Figures as of October 27, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

CleaRank rates VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) Buy with a model score of 65/100.

Trend contributes the most to that score, since the price is 19.32% above its 200-day average and the 50-day average is 22.85% above the 200-day. Momentum is the largest drag, with the 14-day RSI at 36.7 placing it in the bearish zone. For reference, the 50-day average is $64.02 and the 200-day is $52.11. The price has risen 56.58% over the past year.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from CRAK's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

CRAK ETF price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

3/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $62.18 is 2.9% below the 50-day simple moving average of $64.02.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 19.3% above the 200-day simple moving average of $52.11.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($64.02) is 22.9% above the 200-day average ($52.11), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 80% of its 52-week range, between $37.26 and $68.37.

CRAK share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far CRAK has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $39.71 Oct 27, 2025
Latest close $62.18 Oct 27, 2026
High $68.15 Oct 14, 2026
Low $37.38 Dec 26, 2025

Today's trading

Where CRAK sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 4.19% wide
$62.18
$62.11 $64.71
52-week range 80% of the way up
$62.18
$37.26 $68.37
Open
$64.38
Previous close
$64.59
Volume
854.31K
24% above average
03

CRAK fund facts and valuation

What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.

3.0

Fund checks

2/5
  • Expense ratio at or below 0.20% ›
    The fund charges 0.61% a year, $61.00 on a $10,000 holding.
  • Over $1B in net assets ›
    Net assets total $663.7M.
  • No sector above 35% of the fund ›
    The largest sector, Energy, makes up 98.6% of the fund.
  • Pays a distribution ›
    The distribution yield is 1.19%.
  • Price up over one year ›
    The price rose 56.58% over the past year.

CRAK Fund Facts

VanEck Oil Refiners ETF is an exchange-traded fund that seeks to track the performance of a global index of companies involved in crude oil refining. The fund provides concentrated exposure to businesses that convert crude oil into products such as gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, fuel oil, naphtha, and related petrochemicals.

Issuer
VanEck
Category
Equity Energy
Inception
Aug 18, 2015
Expense ratio
0.61%
Net assets
$663.72M
Distribution yield
1.19%
YTD total return (fund family)
69.09%
Turnover
26.00%

Sector weights

Energy 98.6%
Basic Materials 1.4%

Total returns, as the fund family reports them

Period CRAK
YTD 69.09%
1 month 3.89%
3 months 37.11%
1 year 75.82%
3 years 26.98%
5 years 20.77%
10 years 15.48%

As of Oct 27, 2026, CRAK has an expense ratio of 0.61%, $663.72M in net assets and a distribution yield of 1.19%.

Fund reference data as of Oct 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund. The trailing returns are the fund family's own month-end total returns, with distributions included, so they can differ from the price changes elsewhere on this page.

Key statistics

The headline figures for CRAK.

Net Assets
663.72M
Expense Ratio
0.61%
Yield
1.19%
Day High
$64.71
Day Low
$62.11
52 Week High
68.37
52 Week Low
37.26

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of CRAK's holdings, performance and risks.

The fund

CRAK is dominated by Energy, which makes up 98.6% of the fund. Basic Materials is a distant second at 1.4%. Because nearly the entire fund sits in one sector, CRAK tends to move in step with that sector. CRAK is an Equity Energy fund from VanEck that launched on August 18, 2015.

Owning the fund costs 0.61% a year, or $61.00 on a $10,000 holding. Net assets stand at $663.7M. Distributions produce a yield of 1.19%, and portfolio turnover is 26%.

Key risks

CRAK's average daily move is 1.42%. Concentration matters here: Energy makes up 98.6% of the fund, so a setback in that sector would weigh on the whole.

04

CRAK AI analysis and technical indicators

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

2/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 36.7, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 36.7 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.

CleaRank Financial AI analysis of CRAK

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

AI analyst consensus
65/100
Buy
What the AI sees

VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) is trading between its two moving averages. At $62.18, the price is 19.32% above the 200-day average of $52.11 but 2.87% below the 50-day average of $64.02. The fund sits at 80% of its 52-week range, and the price is 9.05% below the 52-week high of $68.37. Meanwhile, the 50-day average is 22.85% above the 200-day average.

A recent pullback sits inside a stronger longer record: the price fell 3.15% over the past month, rose 16.55% over the past three months and rose 56.58% over the past year. On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 36.7, in the bearish zone, above the oversold line, although the MACD line is positive, which pulls the other way.

ProTips
  1. Keep an eye on the two closest levels: the 50-day SMA, at $64.02 above the price, and the 200-day SMA, at $52.11 below it.
  2. The 14-day RSI stands at 36.7, within the bearish zone, while the MACD line is positive. Readings above 70 or below 30 signal stretched momentum.
  3. Costs compound: at 0.61% a year, CRAK charges $61.00 on every $10,000 invested.
Market outlook

CRAK's trend signals disagree. The price is above its 200-day average of $52.11 but under its 50-day average of $64.02. Should the price close above the 50-day, both signals would point up; a close below the 200-day would point both down. For now the price is wedged between the 200-day SMA ($52.11) below and the 50-day SMA ($64.02) above.

With the RSI in the bearish zone, momentum is working against a quick rebound.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for CRAK, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Neutral 2 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Bearish
  • SMA cross Bullish
  • Price vs SMA Bearish
  • MACD Bullish
Momentum Bearish
36.714-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) 0.116 Bullish
Trend Golden cross
-2.9%price against the 50-day average
200-day $52.11 50-day $64.02 Price $62.18
Price against the 200-day +19.3% Bullish

As of October 27, 2026, with CRAK at $62.18, its 14-day RSI is 36.7 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $64.02 and its 200-day is $52.11.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these

What CRAK moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.41 Moderate
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.34 Weak
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.08 Weak
Gold (XAU) +0.12 Weak

As of October 27, 2026, CRAK's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.41 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.34 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.08 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.12 with gold (XAU).

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05

CRAK trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

CRAK trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 1%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Long entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$60.94
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$62.18
Entry at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry

Risk management

Stop loss
$56.67
Max loss
-7.0%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (36.7) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$63.98
+5% (Conservative) +2.9% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$67.03
+10% (Conservative) +7.8% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$70.08
+15% (Conservative) +12.7% (Aggressive)

These levels come from CRAK's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much CRAK tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
1.42%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$62.18
$37.26 80% of the way up $68.37

Compare CRAK

Put CRAK side by side with other etfs and benchmarks.

06

CRAK price history and drawdowns

CRAK's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

6.0

Track record checks

3/4
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 1.42% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 55.7%, from September 2018 to March 2020, regained by May 2022.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    69% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $41,661, against $42,015 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

CRAK Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, last 10 years
-55.7%
September 2018 to March 2020
Recovery
26 months
back at the old peak by May 2022
From the 10-year high
-8.8%
highest close, October 2026
1-year holds that gained
69%
of every 1-year window

As of October 27, 2026, CRAK's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -55.7% (September 2018 to March 2020); it regained that peak by May 2022, 26 months after the low, and 69% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into CRAK in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

CRAK today
$41,661
from $10,000 in October 2016, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$42,015
the same $10,000 in SPY
Behind the index by
$355
0.99x the index result
Total change
+317%
4.2x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
CRAK S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: CRAK trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $41,661 against $42,015.

A $10,000 investment in CRAK in October 2016 would be worth about $41,661 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,015 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to CRAK, and which have not.

Jan9/10 upFeb5/10 upMar5/10 upApr6/10 upMay6/10 upJun5/10 upJul7/10 upAug7/10 upSep7/10 upOct5/9 upNov7/10 upDec5/10 up

Strongest month, July: an average of +4.25%, up in 7 of 10 years.

Weakest month, June: an average of -0.28%, up in 5 of 10 years.

This month, October: has averaged -0.09%, up in 5 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 10 years, CRAK's strongest calendar month has been July (average +4.25%, up in 7 of 10 years) and its weakest June (average -0.28%, up in 5 of 10 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.

07

CRAK price prediction 2030

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in CRAK, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2030
$7,737
10th percentile
Base case, 2030
$13,863
median path
Upside, 2030
$24,840
90th percentile
20262027202820292030
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in CRAK today could grow to about $13,863 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $24,840 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $7,737. The simulation models price only; at today's 1.19% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

CRAK 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

The same simulation in prices, year by year.

Price today
$62.18
Base case, 2030
$86.20
1.4x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$48.11 to $154
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $86.20 for CRAK by 2030 in the base case, from $62.18 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $48.11. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on CRAK's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

CRAK simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $50.40 $67.47 $90.32
2028 $48.47 $73.21 $111
2029 $47.94 $79.44 $132
2030 $48.11 $86.20 $154

Method: a lognormal simulation of CRAK's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works

08

CRAK ETF forecast: questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026.

CRAK Forecast: Frequently Asked Questions

Is VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) a buy right now?
The Buy rating comes from a model score of 65/100. The biggest support is the trend: the price is 19.32% above its 200-day average, and the 50-day average is 22.85% above the 200-day. Against that, momentum weighs on the score, as the 14-day RSI of 36.7 is in the bearish zone. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) performed over the past year?
The price rose 56.58% over the past year. Looking at shorter spans, it gained 16.55% over three months and dropped 3.15% in the last month. The price now sits 9.05% under its 52-week high of $68.37.
What does CRAK cost to own?
The expense ratio on CRAK is 0.61%, equal to $61.00 each year on a $10,000 holding. That charge comes out of the fund's assets, not as a separate bill.
What are the largest sectors in CRAK?
Energy leads the fund at 98.6%, with Basic Materials trailing at 1.4%.
Does CRAK pay a dividend?
Yes. CRAK has a distribution yield of 1.19%. A yield is the payout divided by the price, so it changes when either one does.
What are the key price levels for CRAK?
On the upside, the first levels are the 50-day SMA at $64.02 and the 20-day EMA at $65.11. On the downside, the 200-day SMA at $52.11 comes first, followed by the 52-week low at $37.26.
How volatile is CRAK?
On an average day CRAK's price moves 1.42%, based on the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns.
What is the 52-week range of CRAK?
Over the past 52 weeks, CRAK has moved between $37.26 and $68.37. At $62.18, the price is 66.88% above the low and 9.05% below the high, which places it at 80% of that span.
Is CRAK in an uptrend?
Not clearly. VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) trades at $62.18, above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average ($52.11 and $64.02). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 36.7, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.
What is CRAK's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -55.7%, from September 2018 to March 2020 (with dividends reinvested). It regained that peak by May 2022, 26 months after the low. Over the same period, 69% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for CRAK are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on October 27, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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