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As of September 26, 2026, State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLRE) trades at $41.56. RSI at 16 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $44.33.

State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLRE)

State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF NYSE

$41.56 -0.0900 (-0.22%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
Sell
25 / 100
State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLRE) is currently experiencing a significant downturn, trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($44.33 and $43.19). The ETF's price action reflects a bearish trend, with the latest price of $41.56 falling below the 50-day SMA of $44.33 and the 200-day SMA of $43.19. This technical setup suggests a weakening market sentiment for U.S. real estate equities. The fund's recent performance also shows a divergence from its category, particularly in the 1-year and 1-month periods, indicating underperformance relative to its peers.

XLRE Price Analysis

Market Metrics

Open
$41.78
Day Range
$41.33 to $41.80
Prev Close
$41.65
Volume
5.78M
52-Week Range
$39.73 to $46.46

XLRE Fund Facts

State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides targeted exposure to U.S. real estate equities, with a focus on real estate investment trusts and other property-related companies. It tracks the Real Estate Select Sector index, which is designed to reflect the performance of publicly traded real estate businesses in the S&P 500 while excluding mortgage REITs.

Issuer
State Street Investment Management
Category
Real Estate
Inception
Oct 7, 2015
Expense ratio
0.08%
Net assets
$8.31B
NAV
$43.41
Distribution yield
3.19%
YTD return
11.00%
Turnover
8.00%

Sector weights

Realestate 100.0%

Trailing returns vs category

Period XLRE Category
YTD 11.00% 11.54%
1 month -2.06% 9.00%
3 months 1.14% 8.50%
1 year 7.84% 14.73%
3 years 9.67% 9.62%
5 years 1.79% 3.81%
10 years 6.40% 5.85%

Fund reference data as of Sep 26, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.

XLRE Analysis

AI Technical Analysis Sell
Momentum has turned for XLRE: the RSI has moved from a neutral level to an oversold status, currently standing at 16.05. The ETF is trading below its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day simple moving averages, with the 20-day EMA at $43.00 and the 50-day SMA at $44.33. The Stochastic indicator is also significantly oversold at 7.85, reinforcing the bearish technical picture. Volume has been slightly above average, with the latest volume at 5,782,200 compared to an average of 5,507,930, suggesting selling pressure is present.
ProTips
  • Consider the significant oversold conditions as a potential indicator of a short-term bounce, but be cautious given the strong bearish trend.
  • Monitor the 50-day and 200-day moving averages for any signs of a trend reversal.
  • Evaluate the broader macroeconomic environment, particularly interest rate trends, as they significantly impact the real estate sector.
Market Outlook
The outlook for XLRE is bearish in the short to medium term, given its current technical disposition. The ETF is trading significantly below its key moving averages, and its RSI is significantly oversold, suggesting potential for further downside pressure. Any recovery would likely depend on a broad market turnaround or specific positive catalysts within the real estate sector. A move back above the 50-day SMA ($44.33) would be needed to signal a potential shift in momentum.

Market Correlations

How this etf moves relative to other assets

Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.

S&P 500 (SPY) +0.47
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.29
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.15
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU) +0.12
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation

How does any other asset move with XLRE? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.

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Key Statistics

Net Assets (Market Cap) 7.50B
Expense Ratio 0.0900%
Yield 3.47%
Day High $41.80
Day Low $41.33
52 Week High 46.46
52 Week Low 39.73
XLRE provides targeted exposure to U.S. real estate equities, primarily focusing on real estate investment trusts (REITs) and property-related companies, as it tracks the Real Estate Select Sector index. The fund's strategy aims to offer diversified access to the real estate segment of the market. With net assets of $8,312,176,128 and a low expense ratio of 0.08%, it is a cost-effective vehicle for sector allocation. The sector is currently facing headwinds, as indicated by the ETF's underperformance against its category in the 1-year and 1-month trailing returns.

Earnings & Growth Analysis

The underlying real estate sector's performance is influenced by the earnings trends of its constituents. The broad real estate sector, which includes companies involved in property ownership, management, and services, is sensitive to interest rate environments and economic growth. The current oversold technicals suggest that market participants may be anticipating weaker earnings or outlooks from these companies, leading to significant selling pressure on the ETF.

Key Risks

The primary risk for XLRE is its sector concentration in U.S. real estate equities, making it vulnerable to downturns specific to this industry. The current technical setup, with the ETF trading significantly below key moving averages and exhibiting oversold conditions, indicates a high risk of further price depreciation in the short term. Macroeconomic factors such as rising interest rates or a slowdown in economic activity could negatively impact property valuations and rental income, further pressuring the ETF.

Technical Indicators i

RSI (14) 16.05
MACD -0.73
SMA 50 44.33
SMA 200 43.19
Technical Rating Bearish
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($44.33) above the 200-day SMA ($43.19), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 16.1 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.

XLRE Trade Plans

Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels

Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative 2% Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →

Short entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$42.39
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$41.56
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move

Risk Management

STOP LOSS
$43.79
MAX LOSS
-3.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (16.1) and current market volatility

Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

TARGET 1
$40.27
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$38.15
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$36.03
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
ETF Investment Disclaimer
This AI-generated analysis of XLRE is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. ETFs are subject to market risk including possible loss of principal. Performance depends on the underlying index or assets tracked. Read the fund prospectus before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Generated on September 26, 2026.

Growth of $10,000

A $10,000 investment in XLRE in September 2016 would be worth about $12,447 today, compared with about $36,004 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.

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Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in XLRE today could grow to about $15,463 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $35,655 and a bear case around $6,706. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

XLRE ETF Price Prediction: 2030

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $49.48 for XLRE by 2030 in the base case, from $41.56 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $29.17. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on XLRE's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

XLRE simulated price paths by year
Year Downside (10th pct) Base case Upside (90th pct)
2027 $33.33 $43.41 $56.54
2028 $31.21 $45.35 $65.89
2029 $29.97 $47.37 $74.85
2030 $29.17 $49.48 $83.92
2031 $28.63 $51.68 $93.30
2032 $28.26 $53.98 $103
2033 $28.03 $56.39 $113
2034 $27.90 $58.90 $124
2035 $27.85 $61.52 $136
2036 $27.87 $64.26 $148

Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using XLRE's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the expense ratio for the State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLRE)?
The expense ratio for XLRE is 0.08%, which translates to a cost of $8.00 per $10,000 invested. This is a competitive fee for sector-specific exposure.
What sectors does XLRE hold and how concentrated is it?
XLRE is highly concentrated in the Real Estate sector, holding 99.96% in stocks within this category. Its strategy focuses on U.S. real estate equities, including REITs and property-related companies.
What is the current distribution yield for XLRE?
The current distribution yield for XLRE is 3.47%.
How has XLRE performed against its category over different periods?
In the year-to-date period, XLRE returned 10.998% versus the category's 11.541%. Over the past year, XLRE returned 7.838% while its category returned 14.728%. The 1-month return was -2.057% for the fund compared to 9.004% for the category.
What is the price prediction for XLRE ETF in 2030?
Based on a Monte Carlo simulation, the projected base price for XLRE in 2030 is $49.48, with a downside price of $29.17. These figures are statistical simulation outcomes and not price targets.
What are the key technical indicators for XLRE?
XLRE is currently exhibiting oversold conditions with an RSI at 16.1 and a Stochastic value of 7.85. It is trading below its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages, indicating a strong bearish trend.
What is the overall health score of XLRE?
XLRE has a health score of 3, reflecting its current technical weakness and underperformance relative to its category, despite a low expense ratio.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for XLRE are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on September 26, 2026.

Disclaimer:

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