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As of October 11, 2026, State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLRE) trades at $41.61. RSI at 38 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $43.43.

State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLRE)

State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF NYSE

$41.61 0.7600 (1.86%)
At close: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
Sell
25 / 100
State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLRE) is currently experiencing a downward price trend, trading below its key moving averages. The ETF's recent performance indicates a shift in momentum, with its RSI falling into bearish territory. This suggests that the real estate sector, as represented by XLRE, may be facing headwinds or a rotation out of the asset class. Investors should monitor volume trends for signs of capitulation or accumulation.

XLRE Price Analysis

Market Metrics

Open
$41.18
Day Range
$41.15 to $41.69
Prev Close
$40.85
Volume
7.01M
52-Week Range
$39.73 to $46.46

XLRE Fund Facts

State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides targeted exposure to U.S. real estate equities, with a focus on real estate investment trusts and other property-related companies. It tracks the Real Estate Select Sector index, which is designed to reflect the performance of publicly traded real estate businesses in the S&P 500 while excluding mortgage REITs.

Issuer
State Street Investment Management
Category
Real Estate
Inception
Oct 7, 2015
Expense ratio
0.08%
Net assets
$8.31B
NAV
$43.41
Distribution yield
3.19%
YTD return
11.00%
Turnover
8.00%

Sector weights

Realestate 100.0%

Trailing returns vs category

Period XLRE Category
YTD 11.00% 11.54%
1 month -2.06% 9.00%
3 months 1.14% 8.50%
1 year 7.84% 14.73%
3 years 9.67% 9.62%
5 years 1.79% 3.81%
10 years 6.40% 5.85%

Fund reference data as of Oct 11, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.

XLRE Analysis

AI Technical Analysis Sell
Momentum has turned for XLRE: the RSI has moved from a neutral 55.56 to 38.28, indicating bearish momentum. The ETF is trading below its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day simple moving averages, with the 50-day SMA at 43.43 and the 200-day SMA at 43.21. The latest volume of 7,013,900 is 12.1% below its average, suggesting a lack of strong conviction behind the current price action. The MACD is also negative at -0.75, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
ProTips
  • Monitor the 50-day and 200-day moving averages for potential trend reversals.
  • Pay close attention to the Real Estate Select Sector index performance for sector-specific insights.
  • Consider hedging strategies given the concentrated nature of the ETF and potential sector volatility.
Market Outlook
The outlook for XLRE is currently bearish, given its trading below key moving averages and negative momentum indicators. A potential recovery would require the ETF to break above its 20-day EMA of 41.73 and subsequently its 50-day SMA of 43.43. Significant positive catalysts for the real estate sector, such as a pivot in monetary policy or a strong rebound in property demand, would be needed to shift the trend. Without such catalysts, XLRE may continue to face downward pressure, with the 200-day SMA at 43.21 acting as potential resistance on any rallies.

Market Correlations

How this etf moves relative to other assets

Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.

S&P 500 (SPY) +0.47
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.30
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.06
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU) +0.14
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation

How does any other asset move with XLRE? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.

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Key Statistics

Net Assets (Market Cap) 7.50B
Expense Ratio 0.0900%
Yield 3.47%
Day High $41.69
Day Low $41.15
52 Week High 46.46
52 Week Low 39.73
State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLRE) provides concentrated exposure to the U.S. real estate equity market, primarily through Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs). The fund tracks the Real Estate Select Sector index, which aims to capture the performance of publicly traded real estate businesses within the S&P 500, excluding mortgage REITs. Its portfolio typically includes companies involved in property ownership, management, and services across various sub-sectors like logistics, data centers, and healthcare real estate. This focus makes XLRE a tool for sector allocation, offering broad participation in the cash-flow characteristics and economic sensitivity of listed real estate businesses.

Earnings & Growth Analysis

The underlying real estate companies it holds are sensitive to interest rate environments and economic growth. The current bearish technicals may reflect concerns about future earnings potential within the sector, possibly due to rising interest rates impacting property valuations and financing costs. Investors should monitor the aggregate earnings trends of major REITs within the S&P 500 to gauge the sector's overall financial health.

Key Risks

The primary risk for XLRE lies in its sector concentration within real estate equities. A downturn in the real estate market, driven by factors such as rising interest rates, economic slowdown, or changes in property demand, could significantly impact the ETF's performance. Additionally, the current bearish technical trend suggests potential for further downside if key support levels are breached.

Technical Indicators i

RSI (14) 38.28
MACD -0.75
SMA 50 43.43
SMA 200 43.21
Technical Rating Bearish
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Neutral
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Price is trading below the 50-day SMA.

XLRE Trade Plans

Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels

Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative 2% Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →

Short entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$42.44
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$41.61
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move

Risk Management

STOP LOSS
$43.72
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (38.3) and current market volatility

Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

TARGET 1
$40.32
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$38.20
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$36.08
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
ETF Investment Disclaimer
This AI-generated analysis of XLRE is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. ETFs are subject to market risk including possible loss of principal. Performance depends on the underlying index or assets tracked. Read the fund prospectus before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Generated on October 11, 2026.

Growth of $10,000

A $10,000 investment in XLRE in October 2016 would be worth about $13,457 today, compared with about $36,479 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.

Compare with Another Ticker

Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in XLRE today could grow to about $16,151 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $37,229 and a bear case around $7,007. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

XLRE ETF Price Prediction: 2030

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $50.41 for XLRE by 2030 in the base case, from $41.61 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $29.72. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on XLRE's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

XLRE simulated price paths by year
Year Downside (10th pct) Base case Upside (90th pct)
2027 $33.52 $43.65 $56.85
2028 $31.52 $45.80 $66.53
2029 $30.41 $48.05 $75.91
2030 $29.72 $50.41 $85.48
2031 $29.30 $52.88 $95.45
2032 $29.05 $55.48 $106
2033 $28.94 $58.20 $117
2034 $28.93 $61.06 $129
2035 $29.01 $64.06 $141
2036 $29.16 $67.21 $155

Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using XLRE's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the expense ratio for the State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLRE)?
The expense ratio for XLRE is 0.08%, which translates to $8.00 per $10,000 invested. This is a competitive cost for gaining exposure to the real estate sector.
What sectors does the State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLRE) hold?
XLRE is highly concentrated in the Real Estate sector, holding 99.96% in stocks within this category. Its strategy focuses on U.S. real estate equities, including REITs and property-related companies.
What is the dividend yield for the State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLRE)?
The current dividend yield for XLRE is 3.47%. The fund has a dividend rate of $1.44.
How has XLRE performed against its category over different periods?
In the year-to-date, XLRE returned 10.998% compared to the category's 11.541%. Over 1 year, XLRE returned 7.838% while the category returned 14.728%. However, over 3 years, XLRE returned 9.671% versus the category's 9.615%, and over 5 years, it returned 1.791% compared to the category's 3.811%.
What is the price prediction for XLRE ETF in 2030?
Based on a Monte Carlo simulation, the projected base price for XLRE in 2030 is $50.41, with a downside price of $29.72 and an upside price of $85.48. These figures represent statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees.
What are the biggest risks associated with investing in XLRE?
The primary risks include sector concentration in real estate, making it vulnerable to market downturns, and sensitivity to interest rate changes. The current bearish technical trend also poses a risk of further price declines.
How does the State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLRE) strategy work?
XLRE's strategy is to track the Real Estate Select Sector index, providing diversified exposure to U.S. real estate equities. It focuses on companies involved in property ownership, management, and services, serving as a sector allocation tool.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for XLRE are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on October 11, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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