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iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT)

$46.15 -0.4400 (-0.94%)
At close: Oct 16, 4:00 PM EDT
Buy
61 / 100
CleaRank AI scorei
Net assets
$67.06B
Expense ratio
0.25%
Yield
0.00%
52-week range
$32.84 $65.97
01

The short version

Where IBIT stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

IBIT at a glance

iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT): Buy, 61/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($44.10 and $41.80).
  • Fund Expense ratio 0.25%, $67.1B in net assets, -26.8% total return over 1 year.

Figures as of October 17, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

CleaRank rates iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) Buy, with a model score of 61/100.

The trend lifts the score most: the price is 10.41% above its 200-day average and 4.65% above its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 5.50% above the 200-day. One-year performance holds it back most: the price fell 24.87% over the past year. The 50-day average stands at $44.10 and the 200-day at $41.80.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from IBIT's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

Price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

3/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $46.15 is 4.7% above the 50-day simple moving average of $44.10.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 10.4% above the 200-day simple moving average of $41.80.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($44.10) is 5.5% above the 200-day average ($41.80), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 40% of its 52-week range, between $32.84 and $65.97.

IBIT share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far IBIT has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $61.43 Oct 16, 2025
Latest close $46.15 Oct 16, 2026
High $65.28 Oct 27, 2025
Low $33.29 Jun 30, 2026

Today's trading

Where IBIT sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 2.12% wide
$46.15
$45.69 $46.66
52-week range 40% of the way up
$46.15
$32.84 $65.97
Open
$46.37
Previous close
$46.59
Volume
45.43M
24% above average
03

Fund facts and valuation

What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.

3.0

Fund checks

1/3
  • Expense ratio at or below 0.20% ›
    The fund charges 0.25% a year, $25.00 on a $10,000 holding.
  • Over $1B in net assets ›
    Net assets total $67.1B.
  • Positive return over one year ›
    The fund family reports a one-year total return of -26.80%.

IBIT Fund Facts

iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF is a digital assets exchange-traded fund designed to provide exposure to the price of bitcoin through a traditional brokerage account. The fund seeks to reflect the performance of bitcoin and holds bitcoin as its primary asset, making it a spot bitcoin vehicle rather than a futures-based product.

Issuer
iShares
Category
Digital Assets
Inception
Jan 5, 2024
Expense ratio
0.25%
Net assets
$67.06B
Distribution yield
0.00%
YTD return
-4.30%
Turnover
0.00%

Trailing total returns

Period IBIT
YTD -4.30%
1 month 5.88%
3 months 42.78%
1 year -26.80%

As of Oct 17, 2026, IBIT has an expense ratio of 0.25%, $67.06B in net assets and a distribution yield of 0.00%.

Fund reference data as of Oct 17, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.

Key statistics

The headline figures for IBIT.

Net Assets
67.06B
Expense Ratio
0.25%
Yield
0.00%
Day High
$46.66
Day Low
$45.69
52 Week High
65.97
52 Week Low
32.84

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of IBIT's holdings, performance and risks.

The fund

IBIT is a Digital Assets fund from iShares, launched on January 5, 2024.

Owning IBIT carries an annual expense ratio of 0.25%, which works out to $25.00 a year for every $10,000 held. The fund's net assets come to $67.1B, and its portfolio turnover is 0%.

Key risks

On a typical day the price of IBIT shifts by 2.14%, the 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns. The price is 30.04% below its 52-week high of $65.97. The one-year record is a loss of 24.87%.

04

AI analysis and technicals

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

3/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 50.1, in neutral territory.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 50.1 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.

CleaRank AI analysis of IBIT

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

AI analyst consensus
61/100
Buy
What the AI sees

IBIT is in an uptrend: the price sits above both moving averages. At $46.15 it trades 4.65% above its 50-day average of $44.10 and 10.41% above its 200-day average of $41.80. The 50-day average is 5.50% above the 200-day, which backs up the move instead of cutting against it. Across its 52-week range of $32.84 to $65.97, the price stands at 40% of the distance, and sits 30.04% below the high.

Gains over the last month sit on top of a more mixed record. IBIT rose 7.23% over the past month and 26.96% over the past three months, yet over the past year the price fell 24.87%. The 14-day RSI stands at 50.1, which is neutral territory, and the MACD line is positive.

ProTips
  1. The two closest levels matter most: the 20-day EMA at $46.57 sits above the price, and the 50-day SMA at $44.10 sits below it.
  2. The 14-day RSI reads 50.1, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line positive; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
  3. Costs compound: at 0.25% a year, IBIT charges $25.00 on every $10,000 invested.
Market outlook

The uptrend rests on IBIT staying above its 50-day average at $44.10 and its 200-day average at $41.80; a close below the 50-day would be the first crack in it. On a pullback, the first level the price would meet is the 50-day SMA at $44.10.

Looking up, the 20-day EMA at $46.57 is the first level the price would meet. The 14-day RSI reads 50.1, which places it in the neutral zone between 40 and 60.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for IBIT, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Bullish 4 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Neutral
  • SMA cross Bullish
  • Price vs SMA Bullish
  • MACD Bullish
Momentum Neutral
50.114-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) 0.589 Bullish
Trend Golden cross
+4.7%price against the 50-day average
200-day $41.80 50-day $44.10 Price $46.15
Price against the 200-day +10.4% Bullish

As of October 17, 2026, with IBIT at $46.15, its 14-day RSI is 50.1 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $44.10 and its 200-day is $41.80.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 17, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).

What IBIT moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.43 Moderate
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.45 Moderate
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.94 Strong
Gold (XAU) +0.25 Weak

As of October 17, 2026, IBIT's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.43 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.45 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.94 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.25 with gold (XAU).

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05

A trade plan, if you want one

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

IBIT trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 2%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Long entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$45.23
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$46.15
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry

Risk management

Stop loss
$43.78
Max loss
-3.2%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (50.1) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$47.49
+5% (Conservative) +2.9% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$49.75
+10% (Conservative) +7.8% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$52.01
+15% (Conservative) +12.7% (Aggressive)

These levels come from IBIT's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much IBIT tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
2.14%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$46.15
$32.84 40% of the way up $65.97

Compare IBIT

Put IBIT side by side with other etfs and benchmarks.

06

The long record

IBIT's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

6.0

Track record checks

1/3
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 2.14% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 53.3%, from October 2025 to June 2026; the price is still 35.3% below that peak.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in January 2024 is now worth $17,330, against $16,546 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

IBIT Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, last 3 years
-53.3%
October 2025 to June 2026
Recovery
Not yet
still 35.3% below the October 2025 peak
From the 3-year high
-35.3%
highest close, October 2025

As of October 17, 2026, IBIT's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 3 years with dividends reinvested was -53.3% (October 2025 to June 2026); it is still 35.3% below that peak.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into IBIT in January 2024 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

IBIT today
$17,330
from $10,000 in January 2024, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$16,546
the same $10,000 in SPY
Ahead of the index by
$784.46
1.0x the index result
Total change
+73%
1.7x the starting amount
Feb '24Jul '24Jan '25Jun '25Nov '25May '26Oct '26
IBIT S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: IBIT beat the S&P 500 over this period: $17,330 against $16,546.

A $10,000 investment in IBIT in January 2024 would be worth about $17,330 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $16,546 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to IBIT, and which have not.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec

Strongest month, November: an average of +10.55%.

Weakest month, June: an average of -9.37%.

This month, October: has averaged +1.47%. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Average return for each calendar month over the stored price history; treat short histories with caution.

07

Long-term scenarios

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in IBIT, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2036
$3,414
10th percentile
Base case, 2036
$24,567
median path
Upside, 2036
$176,782
90th percentile
202620282030203220342036
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in IBIT today could grow to about $24,567 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $176,782 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $3,414. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

IBIT 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

The same simulation in share prices, year by year.

Price today
$46.15
Base case, 2030
$66.12
1.4x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$18.98 to $230
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $66.12 for IBIT by 2030 in the base case, from $46.15 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $18.98. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on IBIT's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

IBIT simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $27.05 $50.49 $94.24
2028 $22.85 $55.24 $134
2029 $20.50 $60.43 $178
2030 $18.98 $66.12 $230
2031 $17.92 $72.34 $292

Method: a lognormal simulation of IBIT's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.

08

Questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 17, 2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) a buy right now?
At 61/100, IBIT lands in CleaRank's Buy band. The trend carries the score: the price is 10.41% above its 200-day average and 4.65% above its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 5.50% above the 200-day. One-year performance holds the score back, because the price fell 24.87% over the past year. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) performed over the past year?
The price has dropped 24.87% across the last twelve months. Looking at shorter spans, it climbed 26.96% over three months and 7.23% over the past month. Right now it sits 30.04% under its 52-week high of $65.97.
What does IBIT cost to own?
IBIT has an expense ratio of 0.25%, which comes to $25.00 a year on a $10,000 holding. The fee is taken from the fund's assets rather than billed separately.
What are the key price levels for IBIT?
Levels above the current price are the 20-day EMA at $46.57 and the 52-week high at $65.97. Levels below it are the 50-day SMA at $44.10 and the 200-day SMA at $41.80.
How volatile is IBIT?
On an average day IBIT's price changes by 2.14%, based on the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns.
What is the 52-week range of IBIT?
Over the past 52 weeks, IBIT has moved between $32.84 and $65.97. At $46.15, the price sits at 40% of that span, 40.53% above the low and 30.04% below the high.
Is IBIT in an uptrend?
Yes. iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) trades at $46.15, above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($44.10 and $41.80). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 50.1, in neutral territory.
What is IBIT's biggest drop in the last 3 years?
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 3 years was -53.3%, from October 2025 to June 2026 (with dividends reinvested). It has not regained that peak yet and is still 35.3% below it.
How closely does IBIT move with the stock market?
Over the past year IBIT's daily returns were moderately correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.43). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.45; Bitcoin (BTC): +0.94; Gold (XAU): +0.25. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.
What would $10,000 invested in IBIT be worth today?
$10,000 put into IBIT in January 2024 would be worth about $17,330 today with dividends reinvested, against about $16,546 for the same amount in the S&P 500 on the same basis.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for IBIT are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on October 17, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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