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As of September 11, 2026, iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) trades at $43.68. RSI at 60 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $38.68.
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT)
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF NASDAQ
$43.68
-0.6100 (-1.38%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
55 / 100
The iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) is a digital assets exchange-traded fund designed to offer exposure to the price of bitcoin through a traditional brokerage account. Managed by iShares, it holds bitcoin directly, functioning as a spot bitcoin vehicle. The ETF aims to mirror bitcoin's performance, using the CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate - New York Variant as its benchmark. IBIT's recent price action shows it trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($38.68 and $42.28), indicating a generally positive trend, though its RSI is currently neutral at 59.58, suggesting a lack of strong directional momentum. The fund's net assets stand at $61.44 billion as of September 2026.
IBIT Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$43.53
Day Range
$43.42 to $43.89
Prev Close
$44.29
Volume
30.82M
52-Week Range
$32.84 to $71.82
IBIT Fund Facts
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF is a digital assets exchange-traded fund designed to provide exposure to the price of bitcoin through a traditional brokerage account. The fund seeks to reflect the performance of bitcoin and holds bitcoin as its primary asset, making it a spot bitcoin vehicle rather than a futures-based product.
Issuer
iShares
Category
Digital Assets
Inception
Jan 5, 2024
Expense ratio
0.25%
Net assets
$61.44B
NAV
$44.40
Distribution yield
0.00%
YTD return
-9.62%
Turnover
0.00%
Trailing returns vs category
| Period | IBIT | Category |
|---|---|---|
| YTD | -9.62% | -19.21% |
| 1 month | 25.54% | 5.85% |
| 3 months | 7.64% | -14.71% |
| 1 year | -27.29% | -8.45% |
| 3 years | N/A | 11.96% |
| 5 years | N/A | -27.53% |
Fund reference data as of Sep 11, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.
IBIT Analysis
AI Technical Analysis
Momentum has shifted for IBIT: the latest volume of 30,818,835 is 39.40% below its average volume of 50,881,514, indicating reduced trading interest. The ETF is currently trading above its 50-day SMA of $38.68 and its 200-day SMA of $42.28, suggesting support at these levels. The 20-day EMA is at $42.63, also below the current price of $43.68. The RSI is at 59.58, which is considered neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The Stochastic indicator is at 16.07, suggesting it is in a healthy range territory, while the CCI is at -107.72, indicating bearish short-term momentum.
ProTips
- Monitor bitcoin's price action closely, as IBIT's performance is directly correlated.
- Be aware of the high volatility associated with digital assets and manage risk accordingly.
- Consider the impact of regulatory news on the cryptocurrency market and its effect on IBIT.
- Evaluate IBIT's performance against its category returns to gauge relative strength.
Market Outlook
The outlook for the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) is cautiously neutral in the short to medium term. While the ETF is trading above key moving averages, suggesting underlying support, the neutral RSI and bearish short-term momentum indicators like CCI indicate a lack of strong upward conviction. The significant drop in volume also suggests waning investor interest in the immediate term. Potential upside could be driven by renewed positive sentiment in the cryptocurrency market or favorable regulatory news, while downside risks remain tied to bitcoin's inherent volatility and potential market corrections.
Market Correlations
How this etf moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.44
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.44
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.86
Strong correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.23
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
Key Statistics
| Net Assets (Market Cap) | 46.50B |
|---|---|
| Expense Ratio | 0.2500% |
| Yield | 0.00% |
| Day High | $43.89 |
| Day Low | $43.42 |
| 52 Week High | 71.82 |
| 52 Week Low | 32.84 |
The iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) is a spot bitcoin ETF, meaning its primary asset is bitcoin itself, rather than futures contracts. This structure provides direct exposure to the cryptocurrency's price movements. The fund's expense ratio is 0.25%, costing $25 per $10,000 invested annually. As of September 2026, its net assets total $61.44 billion. The ETF's sector is Digital Assets, a relatively new and volatile asset class driven by technological innovation, regulatory developments, and investor sentiment. Its benchmark is tied to the CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate - New York Variant.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Its performance is directly tied to the price of bitcoin. The recent earnings data provided reflects underlying market movements rather than company-specific performance. For instance, on June 22, 2026, a price change of -3.26% was observed, and on April 9, 2026, a price increase of 1.59% occurred, correlating with broader cryptocurrency market activity.
Key Risks
The primary risk for IBIT is the inherent volatility of bitcoin, its underlying asset. Concentration risk is also significant, as the fund's performance is tied to a single asset. Regulatory changes impacting cryptocurrencies could also pose a substantial risk. Also, the ETF's recent performance shows a year-to-date return of -9.62%, indicating potential for significant drawdowns.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 59.58 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 1.89 |
| SMA 50 | 38.68 |
| SMA 200 | 42.28 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $38.68, 200-day: $42.28), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
IBIT Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$43.24
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$43.68
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$41.58
MAX LOSS
-3.9%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (59.6) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$44.54
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$45.41
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$46.70
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
ETF Investment Disclaimer
This AI-generated analysis of IBIT is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. ETFs are subject to market risk including possible loss of principal. Performance depends on the underlying index or assets tracked. Read the fund prospectus before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in IBIT in January 2024 would be worth about $16,403 today, compared with about $15,909 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in IBIT today could grow to about $27,710 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $203,251 and a bear case around $3,778. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
IBIT ETF Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $65.67 for IBIT by 2030 in the base case, from $43.68 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $18.62. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on IBIT's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $25.76 | $48.37 | $90.83 |
| 2028 | $21.97 | $53.56 | $131 |
| 2029 | $19.91 | $59.30 | $177 |
| 2030 | $18.62 | $65.67 | $232 |
| 2031 | $17.77 | $72.71 | $298 |
| 2032 | $17.20 | $80.51 | $377 |
| 2033 | $16.83 | $89.15 | $472 |
| 2034 | $16.61 | $98.72 | $587 |
| 2035 | $16.51 | $109 | $724 |
| 2036 | $16.50 | $121 | $888 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using IBIT's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. IBIT is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the expense ratio for the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT)?
The iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) has an expense ratio of 0.25%, which amounts to $25 per $10,000 invested annually.
What does the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) hold and what sectors is it concentrated in?
The iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) is a digital assets ETF that holds bitcoin as its primary asset. It is concentrated in the digital assets sector, aiming to reflect the price performance of bitcoin.
How has the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) performed against its category over different periods?
In the year-to-date period, IBIT returned -9.62% compared to the category's -19.21%. Over 1 month, IBIT returned 25.54% versus the category's 5.85%. The 3-month return for IBIT was 7.64%, while the category returned -14.71%. Over 1 year, IBIT returned -27.29% against the category's -8.45%.
What is the current price prediction for IBIT ETF in 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the projected base price for IBIT in 2030 is $65.67. The downside projection is $18.62, and the upside projection is $231.56. These figures represent statistical simulation outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
What is the current price and net assets of the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF?
As of September 11, 2026, the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) is trading at $43.68 with net assets totaling $61.44 billion.
What are the key technical indicators for IBIT?
IBIT's technical indicators show a neutral RSI at 59.6, a Stochastic value of 16.07 approaching oversold territory, and a CCI of -107.72 indicating bearish short-term momentum. The ETF is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($38.68 and $42.28).
What are the main risks associated with investing in the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF?
The primary risks include the inherent volatility of bitcoin, significant concentration risk due to its single-asset focus, and potential impacts from regulatory changes affecting cryptocurrencies.