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As of September 27, 2026, Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) trades at $187.74. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $180.00, 4.1% below the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $180.00 across 33 analysts. RSI at 48 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $154.30.
Atlassian Corporation (TEAM)
Atlassian Corporation NASDAQ
$187.74
-4.870 (-2.53%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
55 / 100
Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) is currently trading at $187.74, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($154.30 and $111.84), indicating some technical resilience. However, the company faces considerable headwinds, most notably from heavy insider selling totaling $607.9 million against only $989.9 thousand in purchases. This significant net selling activity, driven by officer sales and parent divestitures, raises concerns about management's near-term confidence. Valuation metrics are mixed. While the company's revenue growth of 27.6% is strong, its net profit margin is negative (-0.82%), and its price-to-sales ratio of 7.23 is above the sector median of 7.5, though its debt-to-equity of 1.16 is slightly below the sector average. The median analyst price target of $180.00 also suggests limited upside from the current trading level.
TEAM Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$192.01
Day Range
$187.23 to $194.81
Prev Close
$192.61
Volume
1.88M
52-Week Range
$56.01 to $200.00
Market Cap
$47.52B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, TEAM trades at 7.23x, -4% versus the sector average of 7.50x.
TEAM Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
TEAM Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
-4.12% Downside
Median of 33 analysts (12-month)
$180.00
AI Technical Analysis
Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) is currently trading above its 50-day SMA of $154.30 and its 200-day SMA of $111.84, suggesting a generally positive medium to long-term trend. The RSI is at 48.47, indicating neutral momentum, and the MACD is positive at 9.43. Volume on the latest trading day was 1.88 million shares, which is 41.1% below the average volume. The stock's proximity to its 20-day EMA of $184.64 suggests it is currently consolidating. Key support levels are likely to be found around the 50-day SMA, while resistance may emerge near recent highs. The neutral RSI and below-average volume suggest a lack of strong conviction from either buyers or sellers at current levels.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transaction data closely, as the current heavy selling trend presents a significant risk to the stock's performance.
- Given the neutral RSI and below-average volume, traders should look for a clear breakout above resistance or a breakdown below support for directional conviction.
- With a negative net profit margin, investors should pay close attention to future earnings reports and management's guidance regarding profitability improvements.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Heavy Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold $607.9 million worth of stock against minimal purchases, indicating a lack of confidence and potentially signaling future price declines.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Median Analyst Target Below Current Price
The median analyst price target of $180.00 is below the current stock price of $187.74, suggesting limited upside potential and potential for price correction.
Source: Wall Street SummaryNeutral
Positive Revenue Growth Estimates
Analysts project continued revenue growth, with current quarter estimates at +20.00% year-over-year and next year at +14.00%, indicating underlying business demand.
Source: Wall Street SummaryNeutral
Technical Support Levels
The stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($154.30 and $111.84), providing potential technical support zones if selling pressure intensifies.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) faces a challenging outlook, with the median analyst price target of $180.00 suggesting a potential downside from its current trading price of $187.74. While forward-looking estimates for revenue growth remain positive, the company's current lack of profitability and significant insider selling pressure are considerable deterrents. The primary upside catalyst would be a reversal in insider selling trends and a clear path to profitability. Conversely, continued selling pressure, failure to meet forward earnings expectations, or increased competition could lead to a re-rating of the stock towards its lower support levels.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 47.52B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -0.2100 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 200.00 |
| 52 Week Low | 56.01 |
Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) exhibits a negative net profit margin of -0.82%, indicating it is not currently profitable on a net basis, despite an operating margin of 12.26%. Its return on equity is also negative at -4.48%. The company's price-to-sales ratio stands at 7.23, which is slightly below the sector median of 7.5, suggesting a potential valuation discount relative to peers on this metric. With a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.16, Atlassian carries a moderate level of leverage, comparable to the sector average. The reported revenue growth of 27.6% is strong, but the lack of profitability and significant insider selling present considerable risks to its fundamental outlook.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) reported a negative EPS of -0.21 for the trailing twelve months, resulting in a negative P/E ratio. Wall Street estimates for the current quarter ending September 2026 project an EPS of $1.4242, a significant increase from the year-ago EPS of $1.04, and revenue growth is expected to be around 20.00%. For the next fiscal year, revenue growth is projected at 14.00%, with EPS estimates at $6.73. While forward estimates show growth, the current lack of profitability remains a key concern.
Key Risks
The most significant risk for Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) is the heavy insider selling, with over $607 million in sales against minimal purchases, signaling potential concerns from management. Additionally, the company's negative net profit margin and EPS indicate it is not currently profitable, which could be a concern for investors seeking earnings growth. The median analyst price target of $180.00 is also below the current stock price, suggesting limited upside potential in the near term.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 48.47 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 9.43 |
| SMA 50 | 154.30 |
| SMA 200 | 111.84 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($154.30) above the 200-day SMA ($111.84), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.34
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.31
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.13
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
-0.04
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with TEAM? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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TEAM Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$185.86
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$187.74
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$172.85
MAX LOSS
-7.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (48.5) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$191.44
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$195.16
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$200.73
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
TEAM is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 3.53%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in TEAM in September 2016 would be worth about $63,042 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in TEAM today could grow to about $33,704 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $255,699 and a bear case around $4,443. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
TEAM Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $305 for TEAM by 2030 in the base case, from $188 today (1.6x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $84.73. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on TEAM's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $112 | $212 | $402 |
| 2028 | $96.72 | $239 | $592 |
| 2029 | $89.09 | $270 | $820 |
| 2030 | $84.73 | $305 | $1,100 |
| 2031 | $82.24 | $345 | $1,444 |
| 2032 | $81.00 | $389 | $1,870 |
| 2033 | $80.65 | $439 | $2,395 |
| 2034 | $81.01 | $496 | $3,040 |
| 2035 | $81.96 | $560 | $3,831 |
| 2036 | $83.40 | $633 | $4,800 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using TEAM's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. TEAM is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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TEAM Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$989.9K
4 Transactions
Sold
$607.9M
481 Transactions
Insiders
17
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.3M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | RAJAN RAJEEV BASHYAM
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 17.0K | $4.7M |
| Jan 10, 2025 | CANNON-BROOKES MICHAEL
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 15.9K | $3.9M |
| Jan 10, 2025 | FARQUHAR SCOTT
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 15.9K | $3.9M |
| Feb 10, 2025 | CANNON-BROOKES MICHAEL
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 7.9K | $2.6M |
| Feb 10, 2025 | FARQUHAR SCOTT
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 7.9K | $2.6M |
| Feb 6, 2025 | CANNON-BROOKES MICHAEL
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 7.9K | $2.5M |
| Feb 6, 2025 | FARQUHAR SCOTT
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 7.9K | $2.5M |
| Feb 5, 2025 | CANNON-BROOKES MICHAEL
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 7.9K | $2.5M |
| Feb 5, 2025 | FARQUHAR SCOTT
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 7.9K | $2.5M |
| Feb 11, 2025 | CANNON-BROOKES MICHAEL
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 7.9K | $2.5M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Atlassian's stock price forecast for 2030?
Atlassian's stock price forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case of $305.23, with a downside scenario of $84.73 and an upside scenario of $1099.56. These figures represent statistical outcomes and not guaranteed price targets.
Is Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) stock a buy right now?
Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) is currently rated as a Hold based on its consensus score. While technically trading above key moving averages, significant insider selling and a median analyst price target below the current price suggest caution.
What is the current technical outlook for Atlassian stock?
Atlassian (TEAM) is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($154.30 and $111.84), indicating a positive trend. However, its RSI is neutral at 48.47, and volume is below average, suggesting a lack of strong conviction.
How does Atlassian's valuation compare to its sector peers?
Atlassian's price-to-sales ratio of 7.23 is slightly below the sector median of 7.5. However, its negative net profit margin and negative EPS contrast with the sector's median positive ROE of 13.4%.
What are the main risks facing Atlassian Corporation?
The primary risks for Atlassian include substantial insider selling, a lack of current profitability with negative net margins, and a median analyst price target that implies limited upside from the current stock price.
What is the consensus rating for Atlassian stock among Wall Street analysts?
The consensus rating for Atlassian stock among 33 Wall Street analysts is 'Buy', with a median price target of $180.00, which is currently below the stock's trading price.
What is the insider sentiment for Atlassian Corporation (TEAM)?
Insider sentiment for Atlassian is heavily skewed towards selling, with total sales of $607.9 million compared to only $989.9 thousand in purchases. This 'Heavy Sell Signal' indicates significant selling pressure from insiders.