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As of September 27, 2026, International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) trades at $225.51. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $245.00, 8.6% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $245.00 across 25 analysts. RSI at 43 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $230.66.
International Business Machines Corporation (IBM)
International Business Machines Corporation NYSE
$225.51
-1.550 (-0.68%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is currently trading at $225.51, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($230.66 and $257.71), indicating a bearish short-term trend. The stock's RSI is neutral at 42.59, suggesting no immediate overbought or oversold conditions. Analyst consensus is 'Hold' with a median price target of $245.00, implying an 8.6% upside from the current price. Fundamental analysis shows IBM's price-to-sales ratio of 3.07 is below the sector median of 7.5, and its debt-to-equity ratio of 1.89 is higher than the sector median of 1.89, though its return on equity of 34.46% significantly surpasses the sector average of 13.4%. The company's profit margin stands at 15.52%, and operating margin at 16.55%. Revenue growth has been modest at 1.1%.
IBM Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$226.15
Day Range
$225.19 to $228.99
Prev Close
$227.06
Volume
4.14M
52-Week Range
$199.19 to $332.46
Market Cap
$212.46B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-41%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
IBM Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, IBM beat estimates 4 times. The stock rose 3 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
IBM Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+8.64% Upside
Median of 25 analysts (12-month)
$245.00
AI Technical Analysis
International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($230.66 and $257.71), signaling a bearish trend. The 50-day SMA is at $230.66 and the 200-day SMA is at $257.71, both acting as resistance levels. The RSI is at 42.59, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD is negative at -1.70, suggesting downward pressure. Volume on the latest trading day was 4,143,500, which is 34% below the average volume of 6,279,720. This lower volume suggests a lack of strong conviction behind the current price action. The current price of $225.51 is below recent moving averages, indicating potential for further downside if these resistance levels are not overcome.
ProTips
- Consider the moderate insider selling signal as a cautionary indicator, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from management in the immediate future.
- Monitor IBM's ability to accelerate revenue growth to close the gap with its technology sector peers, as this is a key factor for future stock appreciation.
- Given the stock's position below key moving averages, risk-averse investors may want to wait for a confirmed break above resistance levels before initiating or adding to positions.
Key Catalysts
Neutral
Moderate Insider Selling Trend
Insiders have sold $5.8 million worth of stock against $417,200 in purchases, indicating a 'Moderate Sell Signal' that could weigh on short-term price action.
Source: Insider TransactionsNeutral
Trading Below Key Moving Averages
IBM is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($230.66 and $257.71), suggesting bearish short-term momentum and potential resistance at these levels.
Source: Technical AnalysisNeutral
Analyst Consensus Remains 'Hold'
With 10 out of 25 analysts rating IBM as 'Hold', the market sentiment is balanced, with no strong conviction for significant near-term price movement.
Source: Wall Street ConsensusNeutral
Modest Revenue Growth
IBM's revenue growth of 1.1% lags significantly behind the technology sector median of 24.1%, indicating a challenge in expanding its top line relative to peers.
Source: Fundamental AnalysisMarket Outlook
International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) faces a neutral to slightly bearish outlook in the near term, with its price trading below key moving averages and facing resistance at its 50-day ($230.66) and 200-day ($257.71) SMAs. The median analyst price target of $245.00 suggests a modest 8.6% upside, aligning with a 'Hold' consensus rating. The company's strong return on equity and profit margins are positives, but sluggish revenue growth of 1.1% compared to the sector median of 24.1% presents a headwind. Future performance will likely depend on IBM's ability to accelerate revenue growth and capitalize on its technological strengths in areas like hybrid cloud and AI. Potential catalysts include successful new product launches or strategic partnerships that could drive top-line expansion. Conversely, continued underperformance relative to sector peers or increasing competitive pressures could lead to downside, pushing the stock towards its lower support levels.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 212.46B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 20.05 |
| EPS (TTM) | 11.25 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.99% |
| 52 Week High | 332.46 |
| 52 Week Low | 199.19 |
International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) exhibits a mixed fundamental picture, with a price-to-sales ratio of 3.07 that is notably lower than the sector median of 7.5, suggesting potential undervaluation on a sales basis. However, its debt-to-equity ratio of 1.89 aligns with the sector median, while its return on equity at 34.46% significantly outperforms the sector average of 13.4%, indicating strong profitability from its equity base. The company's profit margin of 15.52% and operating margin of 16.55% are strong, yet its revenue growth of 1.1% is considerably lower than the sector's median growth of 24.1%. This suggests that while IBM is efficient in converting sales to profit, its top-line expansion is lagging behind industry peers, which could temper future growth prospects.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) most recently reported earnings for the quarter ending September 2026, with an actual EPS of $0.21, beating the estimated $0.17 by 23.53%, leading to a slight price increase of 0.13%. Prior to this, the company met estimates for the quarter ending June 2026 with an EPS of $2.93, resulting in a 0.43% price change. The company has shown a pattern of meeting or beating earnings estimates in recent quarters, with a notable positive price reaction in the quarter ending March 2026, despite a small miss on EPS.
Key Risks
International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) faces moderate selling pressure from insiders, with total sales of $5.8 million against $417,200 in purchases, indicating a 'Moderate Sell Signal'. The company's revenue growth of 1.1% significantly trails the technology sector's median of 24.1%, posing a risk to its long-term expansion potential. Also, the stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($230.66 and $257.71), suggesting potential for continued downward price momentum.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 42.59 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -1.70 |
| SMA 50 | 230.66 |
| SMA 200 | 257.71 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $230.66, 200-day: $257.71), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.30
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.23
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.06
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
-0.01
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with IBM? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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IBM Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$223.25
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$225.51
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$216.36
MAX LOSS
-3.1%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (42.6) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$229.95
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$234.42
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$241.12
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for IBM is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in IBM in September 2016 would be worth about $15,046 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in IBM today could grow to about $17,177 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $55,215 and a bear case around $5,344. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
IBM Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $280 for IBM by 2030 in the base case, from $226 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $134. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on IBM's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $165 | $238 | $344 |
| 2028 | $149 | $251 | $424 |
| 2029 | $140 | $265 | $503 |
| 2030 | $134 | $280 | $586 |
| 2031 | $129 | $296 | $675 |
| 2032 | $126 | $312 | $771 |
| 2033 | $124 | $329 | $875 |
| 2034 | $122 | $348 | $988 |
| 2035 | $121 | $367 | $1,111 |
| 2036 | $121 | $387 | $1,245 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using IBM's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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IBM Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$417.2K
3 Transactions
Sold
$5.8M
1 Transactions
Insiders
10
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.5M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | THOMAS ROBERT DAVID
Officer
|
Sell | 26.5K | $6.7M |
| Aug 26, 2026 | THOMAS ROBERT DAVID
Officer
|
Sell | 25.0K | $5.8M |
| Feb 1, 2023 | KAVANAUGH JAMES J.
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 38.5K | $5.2M |
| Feb 23, 2018 | CLEMENTI ERICH
Officer
|
Sell | 13.0K | $2.0M |
| Feb 1, 2024 | BROWDY MICHELLE H
Officer
|
Sell | 9.8K | $1.8M |
| Mar 1, 2019 | CLEMENTI ERICH
Officer
|
Sell | 13.0K | $1.8M |
| Aug 3, 2018 | GHERSON DIANE J
Officer
|
Sell | 11.5K | $1.7M |
| Feb 13, 2017 | GHERSON DIANE J
Officer
|
Sell | 5.0K | $895.9K |
| Feb 6, 2019 | GHERSON DIANE J
Officer
|
Sell | 5.8K | $780.6K |
| Feb 26, 2018 | GHERSON DIANE J
Officer
|
Sell | 5.0K | $780.0K |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is IBM's stock price prediction for 2030?
IBM's stock price projection for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, indicates a base case of $279.99, with a downside projection of $133.79 and an upside projection of $585.96. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets.
Is IBM stock a buy or sell right now?
IBM is currently rated as a 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 59 out of 100. While the median analyst price target suggests an 8.6% upside, insider transactions show a moderate selling signal, and the stock is trading below key moving averages.
What are IBM's key technical levels?
IBM is currently trading at $225.51, below its 50-day SMA of $230.66 and its 200-day SMA of $257.71. These moving averages are currently acting as resistance levels, while the RSI is neutral at 42.59, indicating no immediate overbought or oversold conditions.
How does IBM's valuation compare to its sector peers?
IBM's price-to-sales ratio of 3.07 is below the technology sector median of 7.5. However, its debt-to-equity ratio of 1.89 is in line with the sector median, and its return on equity of 34.46% significantly exceeds the sector average of 13.4%.
What is the recent insider trading activity for IBM?
Insider transactions for IBM indicate a 'Moderate Sell Signal', with total sales amounting to $5.8 million compared to $417,200 in purchases in recent filings. This suggests a net selling trend among insiders.
What is IBM's revenue growth outlook?
IBM's revenue growth is projected to be 3.00% for the current quarter and 4.00% for the next quarter and year. While this shows modest top-line expansion, it lags significantly behind the technology sector's median revenue growth of 24.1%.
What is the consensus rating for IBM stock?
The consensus rating for IBM stock among Wall Street analysts is 'Hold', with 10 out of 25 analysts recommending a 'Hold'. The overall Wall Street score is 59 out of 100, reflecting a mixed but generally neutral sentiment.