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As of September 11, 2026, Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) trades at $88.91. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $120.00, 35.0% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $120.00 across 28 analysts. RSI at 42 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $87.36.
Rubrik Inc. (RBRK)
Rubrik Inc. NYSE
$88.91
0.0900 (0.10%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
78 / 100
Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) is trading at $88.91, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($87.36 and $69.23), indicating positive near-term momentum. The company is experiencing strong revenue growth, projected at 28.00% year-over-year for the current year, reaching an estimated $1.7 billion. This growth is supported by a strong analyst consensus, with 28 analysts rating the stock a Buy or Outperform, and a median price target of $120 suggesting 35% upside potential. Despite the positive outlook, significant insider selling is a notable concern. Insiders have sold $262.8 million worth of shares versus $502.2 thousand in purchases, indicating a net seller position. While the company's infrastructure software solutions are in demand, this heavy insider disposition warrants careful consideration of potential headwinds or profit-taking by early investors.
RBRK Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$88.82
Day Range
$87.13 to $92.92
Prev Close
$88.82
Volume
2.90M
52-Week Range
$42.25 to $107.91
Market Cap
$18.30B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-22%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
RBRK Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 1 quarters, RBRK beat estimates 1 times. However, the stock fell 1 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
RBRK Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+34.97% Upside
Median of 28 analysts (12-month)
$120.00
AI Technical Analysis
Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($87.36 and $69.23), suggesting an upward trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 42.26, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD is positive at 0.6295, further supporting a neutral to slightly bullish technical stance. The stock is trading below its 20-day EMA of $92.11, which could act as near-term resistance. Volume on the latest trading day was 2.90 million shares, below the average of 4.37 million, suggesting cautious participation. Key support levels are near the 50-day SMA of $87.36, while resistance may be found around the 20-day EMA and the current price range. The overall chart structure suggests a consolidation phase after recent gains, with potential for further upside if key resistance levels are breached.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transaction activity closely, as the recent heavy selling by insiders could signal potential headwinds or a change in management's outlook.
- The stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($87.36 and $69.23), indicating a generally positive technical trend, but faces immediate resistance at the 20-day EMA.
- Given the company's focus on growth and negative EPS, consider the company's cash burn rate and runway, especially in light of recent insider selling.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Revenue Growth Projections
Analysts forecast current year revenue of $1.7 billion, representing 28.00% year-over-year growth, indicating strong demand for Rubrik's infrastructure software solutions.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBullish
Positive Analyst Consensus and Price Targets
With 28 analysts rating RBRK as Buy or Outperform and a median price target of $120, there is significant institutional conviction in the stock's upside potential.
Source: Wall Street SummaryBearish
Heavy Insider Selling Activity
Insiders have sold over $262 million in shares versus minimal purchases, representing a heavy insider selling and raising concerns about management's confidence in near-term performance.
Source: Insider TransactionsNeutral
Exceeding Earnings Estimates
Rubrik has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, demonstrating operational efficiency, although this has not always translated into immediate positive stock price reactions.
Source: Earnings ReportsMarket Outlook
Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) is expected to continue its strong growth trajectory, with current year revenue projected to reach $1.7 billion, a 28.00% increase year-over-year. The median analyst target price of $120 suggests a potential upside of 35% from the current $88.91 price, reflecting confidence in the company's market position and future prospects. However, the significant insider selling of over $262 million presents a notable risk that could temper investor enthusiasm. A sustained breach above the 20-day EMA of $92.11 would be a positive technical signal, while a failure to do so, coupled with continued insider dispositions, could lead to a retest of support levels near the 50-day SMA. Investors should monitor upcoming earnings reports for continued revenue growth and progress towards profitability.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 18.30B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -1.27 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 107.91 |
| 52 Week Low | 42.25 |
Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) exhibits strong revenue growth, with current year projections at 28.00% year-over-year, outpacing sector averages. However, the company currently reports negative EPS of -$1.27, making traditional P/E ratio analysis inapplicable and indicating a focus on growth over immediate profitability. The price-to-sales ratio. Analysts forecast continued revenue expansion, with next year's growth estimated at 21.00%. The company's balance sheet strength and cash position relative to its market capitalization are key factors to monitor for sustained growth. While valuation appears stretched based on earnings, the market is pricing in significant future growth, as evidenced by the analyst price targets.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) has demonstrated a pattern of exceeding earnings estimates in recent quarters. The latest reported quarter on August 27, 2026, showed an actual EPS of $0.20 against an estimate of $0.04, a 400% surprise, though the stock experienced a -13.05% price decline. Prior quarters also showed positive surprises, including a 633.33% beat on March 12, 2026, and a 158.82% beat on December 4, 2025, which coincided with a 22.49% stock price increase. This consistent outperformance on earnings, despite some negative price reactions, suggests strong operational execution. The revenue growth trajectory remains positive, with current quarter estimates showing a 23.00% year-over-year increase.
Key Risks
Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) faces significant risk from heavy insider selling, with over $262 million in dispositions versus minimal purchases, signaling potential concerns among management. The company's negative EPS and reliance on future growth for valuation mean it is susceptible to shifts in market sentiment towards unprofitable tech companies. Also, the stock's recent price action below its 20-day EMA suggests potential near-term headwinds and a need to reclaim key technical levels.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 42.26 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 0.63 |
| SMA 50 | 87.36 |
| SMA 200 | 69.23 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($87.36) above the 200-day SMA ($69.23), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.46
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.48
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.14
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.08
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
RBRK Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$87.13
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
AGGRESSIVE
$88.91
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$78.44
MAX LOSS
-10.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (42.3) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$91.49
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$95.84
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$100.20
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
RBRK is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 4.98%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in RBRK in April 2024 would be worth about $24,030 today, compared with about $15,052 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in RBRK today could grow to about $38,895 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $295,085 and a bear case around $5,127. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
RBRK Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $153 for RBRK by 2030 in the base case, from $88.91 today (1.7x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $42.49. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on RBRK's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $53.66 | $102 | $193 |
| 2028 | $47.14 | $117 | $289 |
| 2029 | $44.05 | $134 | $405 |
| 2030 | $42.49 | $153 | $551 |
| 2031 | $41.84 | $175 | $735 |
| 2032 | $41.80 | $201 | $965 |
| 2033 | $42.23 | $230 | $1,254 |
| 2034 | $43.03 | $264 | $1,614 |
| 2035 | $44.15 | $302 | $2,064 |
| 2036 | $45.58 | $346 | $2,624 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using RBRK's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. RBRK is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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RBRK Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$502.2K
1 Transactions
Sold
$262.8M
98 Transactions
Insiders
15
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$2.7M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2024 | SINHA BIPUL
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 1.2M | $81.4M |
| Jun 13, 2025 | SALEM ENRIQUE T
Director
|
Sell | 700.0K | $63.8M |
| Sep 12, 2025 | SINHA BIPUL
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 615.8K | $46.6M |
| Jun 3, 2026 | NITHRAKASHYAP ARVIND
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 225.1K | $18.9M |
| Jan 14, 2025 | NITHRAKASHYAP ARVIND
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 227.6K | $14.8M |
| Jun 5, 2025 | NITHRAKASHYAP ARVIND
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 97.4K | $9.6M |
| Dec 15, 2025 | MHATRE RAVI
Director
|
Sell | 107.0K | $8.8M |
| May 7, 2025 | NITHRAKASHYAP ARVIND
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 97.5K | $7.3M |
| Feb 5, 2025 | NITHRAKASHYAP ARVIND
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 97.5K | $7.1M |
| Jan 8, 2025 | NITHRAKASHYAP ARVIND
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 97.5K | $6.4M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) stock a buy right now?
Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) is rated as a Buy by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 78 and a median price target of $120, suggesting 35% upside from the current price of $88.91. The company exhibits strong revenue growth, but significant insider selling and negative EPS warrant caution.
What is Rubrik Inc.'s (RBRK) stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Rubrik Inc.'s (RBRK) stock price is projected to be $153.08 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $42.49, and the upside projection is $551.44. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.
What are the biggest risks facing Rubrik Inc. (RBRK)?
The primary risks for Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) include substantial insider selling totaling over $262 million, a negative EPS, and potential near-term technical resistance below its 20-day EMA. Market sentiment shifts away from growth stocks could also negatively impact the company.
How is Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) performing financially?
Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) is demonstrating strong revenue growth, projected at 28.00% year-over-year for the current year. While recent earnings have surprised positively, the company still reports a negative EPS of -$1.27.
What is the analyst consensus for Rubrik Inc. (RBRK)?
The analyst consensus for Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) is predominantly Buy, with 25 out of 28 analysts recommending Buy or Outperform. The overall Wall Street score is 78 out of 100, indicating strong institutional support.
How does Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) compare to its sector averages?
Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) shows significantly higher revenue growth (28.00% projected current year) compared to the sector average of 15.00%. However, its profitability metrics are currently weaker, with negative EPS versus a sector average ROE of 20.00%.
What is the technical outlook for Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) stock?
Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) is trading above its key 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating a positive trend. While RSI is neutral at 42.26, the stock faces immediate resistance at its 20-day EMA of $92.11.