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As of September 26, 2026, State Street Corporation (STT) trades at $181.34. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $181.34, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $200.00 across 16 analysts. RSI at 22 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $186.90.
State Street Corporation (STT)
State Street Corporation NYSE
$181.34
0.2500 (0.14%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
At $181.34, State Street Corporation (STT) is trading below its 50-day SMA of $186.90 and its 20-day EMA of $185.45, indicating near-term weakness. The stock's RSI is at 22.3, signaling oversold conditions, and its MACD is negative at -1.93, suggesting bearish momentum. Wall Street analysts collectively rate STT as a 'Hold' with a consensus score of 59 out of 100, based on ratings from 16 analysts. The median price target is $200.00, implying a modest 10.3% upside from the current price. While the company has a solid profit margin of 23.01% and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02, its current valuation metrics and technical indicators suggest a period of consolidation or potential further downside before a significant recovery.
STT Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$181.58
Day Range
$179.50 to $182.93
Prev Close
$181.09
Volume
1.42M
52-Week Range
$104.64 to $195.93
Market Cap
$49.81B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Financial Services)
Performance vs KBE
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-3% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
STT Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, STT beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
STT Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+10.29% Upside
Median of 16 analysts (12-month)
$200.00
AI Technical Analysis
State Street Corporation's stock is currently exhibiting bearish momentum, with its RSI reading of 22.3 indicating oversold conditions. The MACD is negative at -1.93, reinforcing the short-term bearish trend. The stock is trading below its 50-day SMA ($186.90) and 20-day EMA ($185.45), which are now acting as resistance levels. However, it remains above its 200-day SMA ($153.72), suggesting that the longer-term uptrend may still be intact. Volume has been below average recently, with the latest volume at 1.42 million compared to an average of 2.59 million, indicating a lack of strong conviction from either buyers or sellers at current levels.
ProTips
- Monitor insider selling activity closely, as recent net sales of $34.5 million suggest potential caution among management.
- Given the oversold RSI of 22.3, traders may look for signs of a technical bounce, but confirmation above the 50-day SMA ($186.90) is needed for a bullish signal.
- Consider position sizing carefully given the moderate sell signal from insiders and the limited upside indicated by the median analyst price target.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Moderate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold $34.5 million worth of stock versus only $312,500 in purchases, indicating a 'Moderate Sell Signal' and potential lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation.
Source: Insider Trading DataBullish
Oversold Technical Conditions
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 22.3, signaling that the stock is oversold and may be due for a technical bounce or reversal.
Source: Technical AnalysisNeutral
Earnings Beat Followed by Price Decline
Despite beating earnings estimates for the quarter ending June 2026, the stock price declined by 1.7%, suggesting that market sentiment or other factors may be overriding positive earnings news.
Source: Earnings ReportBullish
Strong Revenue Growth
State Street Corporation reported revenue growth of 18.4%, significantly exceeding the sector average of 11.7%, which provides a strong fundamental basis for future performance.
Source: Fundamental AnalysisMarket Outlook
State Street Corporation's base case outlook suggests a potential recovery towards its median analyst target price of $200.00 within the next 6-12 months, driven by its strong fundamental performance and reasonable valuation. The company's strong revenue growth of 18.4% and healthy profit margins provide a solid foundation for future earnings. However, the current technical setup, with the stock trading below key moving averages and showing oversold conditions, indicates near-term headwinds. A significant catalyst for upside would be a clear break above the $186.90 50-day SMA, signaling a shift in momentum. Conversely, continued insider selling and a failure to break key resistance levels could lead to a retest of the 200-day SMA at $153.72.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 49.81B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 15.97 |
| EPS (TTM) | 11.34 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.85% |
| 52 Week High | 195.93 |
| 52 Week Low | 104.64 |
State Street Corporation's valuation appears reasonable, with a P/E ratio of 15.97, which is slightly below the sector median P/E of 16.5. The company's price-to-sales ratio stands at 3.31, also below the sector average of 3.8. Its return on equity is 12.44%, slightly below the sector average of 13.8%, but its profit margin of 23.01% and operating margin of 34.31% are strong, exceeding sector averages. The company exhibits healthy financial fundamentals, with a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02, indicating minimal financial leverage. Revenue growth has been strong at 18.4%, significantly outpacing the sector average of 11.7%. Despite these strengths, the current stock price is trading below key moving averages, suggesting that market sentiment may be outweighing fundamental value in the short term.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
State Street Corporation most recently reported earnings for the quarter ending June 2026, with an actual EPS of $3.65, beating the estimated $3.34 by 9.28%. This beat was followed by a 1.7% price decrease, which is unusual. Prior to this, the company had a significant EPS beat in the quarter ending March 2026, with actual EPS of $0.05 against an estimate of -$0.12, leading to a 1.23% price increase. The company has a history of beating earnings estimates, with three out of the four most recent quarters showing positive surprises.
Key Risks
State Street Corporation faces moderate selling pressure from insiders, with total sales of $34.5 million versus purchases of $312,500, indicating a 'Moderate Sell Signal'. The stock's current trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, coupled with oversold RSI levels, suggests potential for further near-term price declines. Additionally, the limited upside indicated by the median Wall Street price target of $200.00 suggests that analysts do not foresee significant immediate gains.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 22.30 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -1.93 |
| SMA 50 | 186.90 |
| SMA 200 | 153.72 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($186.90) above the 200-day SMA ($153.72), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 22.3 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.65
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.54
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.33
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.12
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with STT? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
STT Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$179.53
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$181.34
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$173.60
MAX LOSS
-3.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (22.3) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$184.91
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$188.50
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$193.89
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for STT is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 26, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in STT in September 2016 would be worth about $26,156 today, compared with about $36,004 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in STT today could grow to about $22,944 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $86,536 and a bear case around $6,083. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
STT Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $253 for STT by 2030 in the base case, from $181 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $109. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on STT's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $129 | $197 | $300 |
| 2028 | $118 | $214 | $388 |
| 2029 | $112 | $233 | $481 |
| 2030 | $109 | $253 | $585 |
| 2031 | $107 | $275 | $702 |
| 2032 | $107 | $298 | $835 |
| 2033 | $107 | $324 | $985 |
| 2034 | $107 | $352 | $1,155 |
| 2035 | $109 | $383 | $1,349 |
| 2036 | $110 | $416 | $1,569 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using STT's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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STT Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$312.5K
1 Transactions
Sold
$34.5M
30 Transactions
Insiders
25
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.1M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2025 | O'HANLEY RONALD P.
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 41.2K | $4.6M |
| May 20, 2021 | PHELAN DAVID C
General Counsel
|
Sell | 50.0K | $4.2M |
| Oct 19, 2020 | ARISTEGUIETA FRANCISCO
Officer
|
Sell | 62.2K | $4.1M |
| May 30, 2025 | O'HANLEY RONALD P.
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 41.2K | $4.0M |
| Mar 2, 2026 | O'HANLEY RONALD P.
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 29.1K | $3.7M |
| Jul 21, 2026 | O'HANLEY RONALD P.
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 14.6K | $2.7M |
| May 26, 2026 | O'HANLEY RONALD P.
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 14.6K | $2.3M |
| Nov 15, 2021 | ARISTEGUIETA FRANCISCO
Officer
|
Sell | 22.2K | $2.2M |
| Aug 15, 2018 | HOOLEY JOSEPH L
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 25.0K | $2.1M |
| Feb 28, 2022 | ARISTEGUIETA FRANCISCO
Officer
|
Sell | 23.7K | $2.0M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is State Street Corporation's current stock price and rating?
As of September 26, 2026, State Street Corporation (STT) is trading at $181.34. The consensus rating among analysts is 'Hold', with a consensus score of 59 out of 100.
What is the median analyst price target for State Street Corporation?
The median analyst price target for State Street Corporation is $200.00, which represents an upside of 10.3% from the current stock price of $181.34.
How has State Street Corporation performed in its recent earnings reports?
State Street Corporation recently reported an EPS beat of 9.28% for the quarter ending June 2026, although the stock price declined by 1.7%. The company has a pattern of beating earnings estimates in recent quarters.
What are the key technical indicators for State Street Corporation stock?
State Street Corporation's stock shows bearish momentum with an RSI at 22.3 (oversold) and a negative MACD of -1.93. It is trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, which are acting as resistance.
How does State Street Corporation's valuation compare to its sector peers?
State Street Corporation's P/E ratio of 15.97 and price-to-sales ratio of 3.31 are slightly below the sector medians of 16.5 and 3.8, respectively, suggesting a potentially attractive valuation relative to peers.
What is the insider trading activity for State Street Corporation?
Insiders at State Street Corporation have been net sellers, with total sales of $34.5 million compared to purchases of $312,500 in recent filings, indicating a moderate sell signal.
What is State Street Corporation's long-term outlook based on Monte Carlo simulations?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, State Street Corporation's stock has a projected base case price of $252.79 by 2030, with a downside projection of $109.18 and an upside projection of $585.32.