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As of October 10, 2026, Morgan Stanley (MS) trades at $190.02. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $226.50, 19.2% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $226.50 across 26 analysts. RSI at 21 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $207.33.
Morgan Stanley (MS)
Morgan Stanley NYSE
$190.02
2.580 (1.38%)
At close: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Morgan Stanley (MS) is currently trading at $190.02, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($207.33 and $194.21), indicating a bearish short-term trend. The stock's RSI is at 20.75, signaling oversold conditions, but this is juxtaposed with heavy insider selling totaling $98.7 million against only $5.6 thousand in purchases, suggesting a lack of internal confidence. Despite these technical and insider headwinds, the company exhibits strong fundamental performance with a reported revenue growth of 28% and a net profit margin of 25.90%, exceeding sector averages in revenue growth (11.7%) and profit margin (13.8%). Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Hold' consensus with a median price target of $226.50, implying a 19.2% upside from the current price. The firm's revenue is projected to grow 17.00% year-over-year for the current year, reaching $82.3 billion. However, the significant insider selling pressure and the stock's current technical weakness present considerable risks that investors must weigh against the company's fundamental strengths and positive analyst outlook.
MS Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$187.76
Day Range
$187.05 to $190.44
Prev Close
$187.44
Volume
4.72M
52-Week Range
$151.84 to $232.25
Market Cap
$298.44B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Financial Services)
Performance vs IAI
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-7% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
MS Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, MS beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 4 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
MS Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+19.20% Upside
Median of 26 analysts (12-month)
$226.50
AI Technical Analysis
Morgan Stanley (MS) is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($207.33 and $194.21), signaling a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 20.75, indicating the stock is oversold and may be due for a bounce, though this is not a guarantee of a reversal. The MACD indicator is at -5.79, further suggesting bearish momentum. Key support levels are being tested, with the current price of $190.02 sitting just below the 200-day SMA ($194.21). Volume has been below average recently, with 4.72 million shares traded compared to a 5.66 million average, suggesting a lack of conviction from the broader market. The chart structure indicates potential for further downside if the 200-day SMA fails to hold as support, especially given the heavy insider selling.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transaction trends closely; the current heavy selling pressure is a significant bearish signal that warrants attention.
- The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($207.33 and $194.21), suggesting a bearish trend. A reclaim of these levels would be a key bullish signal.
- Given the high debt-to-equity ratio, investors should assess the company's interest coverage and its ability to manage debt obligations in the current economic climate.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Heavy Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold $98.7 million worth of stock against minimal purchases, indicating a lack of confidence from management and potentially signaling future price weakness.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Break Below Key Moving Averages
The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($207.33 and $194.21), suggesting a bearish technical trend that could lead to further price declines.
Source: Technical AnalysisBullish
Consistent EPS Beats
Morgan Stanley has consistently beaten analyst EPS estimates in recent quarters, demonstrating operational efficiency and the potential for earnings upside.
Source: Earnings ReportsBullish
Positive Analyst Price Targets
The median analyst price target of $226.50 implies a 19.2% upside from the current price, suggesting Wall Street sees value despite current headwinds.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsMarket Outlook
Morgan Stanley's outlook is cautiously balanced, with a median analyst price target of $226.50 suggesting a potential 19.2% upside from the current $190.02 price. The company is expected to continue its strong revenue growth trajectory, with current year projections at 17.00% year-over-year. The firm's strong profit margins and consistent earnings beats provide a fundamental underpinning for potential recovery. However, the significant insider selling and bearish technical indicators present substantial headwinds. A failure to reclaim key moving averages could lead to further downside, testing the $184 low price target. Positive catalysts would likely need to include a clear shift in insider sentiment or a strong market-wide rally in financial services to overcome current selling pressure.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 298.44B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 15.35 |
| EPS (TTM) | 12.38 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.18% |
| 52 Week High | 232.25 |
| 52 Week Low | 151.84 |
Morgan Stanley's valuation appears reasonable relative to its sector, with a P/E ratio of 15.35 compared to the sector average of 16.5, and a price-to-sales ratio of 3.83 which is in line with the sector median. The company demonstrates strong profitability with a net profit margin of 25.90% and a return on equity of 17.97%, both significantly outperforming sector averages (13.8% ROE). However, its debt-to-equity ratio of 5.17 is considerably higher than the sector average, indicating a more leveraged balance sheet. Despite strong profit margins and revenue growth of 28%, the current stock price is trading below its fair value and analyst targets, suggesting that the market may be discounting future growth or factoring in the elevated debt levels and insider selling. The company's ability to maintain its current profit margins and manage its debt will be critical for future performance.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Morgan Stanley's recent earnings reports show a pattern of beating analyst EPS estimates, with the quarter to June 2026 reporting an EPS of $3.46 against an estimate of $2.93, an 18.09% surprise. However, this beat was accompanied by a price drop of 4.45%. The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates over the last four reported quarters, though the magnitude of the price reaction has been negative in the last two instances. Revenue growth for the current year is projected at a strong 17.00% year-over-year, reaching $82.3 billion.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Morgan Stanley is the significant insider selling, with $98.7 million in sales against minimal purchases, signaling a potential lack of confidence from management. Additionally, the stock is trading below its key 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating bearish technical momentum and potential for further price declines. The company's high debt-to-equity ratio of 5.17 also presents a financial risk, especially in a rising interest rate environment.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 20.75 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -5.79 |
| SMA 50 | 207.33 |
| SMA 200 | 194.21 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($207.33) above the 200-day SMA ($194.21), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 20.8 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.74
Strong correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.67
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.25
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.16
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with MS? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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MS Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$188.12
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$190.02
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$181.91
MAX LOSS
-3.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (20.8) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$193.76
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$197.53
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$203.17
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for MS is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on October 10, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in MS in October 2016 would be worth about $58,360 today, compared with about $36,018 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MS today could grow to about $32,723 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $116,364 and a bear case around $9,202. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
MS Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $305 for MS by 2030 in the base case, from $190 today (1.6x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $137. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MS's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $143 | $214 | $320 |
| 2028 | $137 | $241 | $425 |
| 2029 | $135 | $271 | $543 |
| 2030 | $137 | $305 | $681 |
| 2031 | $140 | $344 | $843 |
| 2032 | $145 | $387 | $1,034 |
| 2033 | $151 | $436 | $1,259 |
| 2034 | $158 | $491 | $1,526 |
| 2035 | $166 | $552 | $1,840 |
| 2036 | $175 | $622 | $2,211 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using MS's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
MS Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$5.6K
1 Transactions
Sold
$98.7M
25 Transactions
Insiders
22
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$3.8M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2019 | MITSUBISHI UFJ FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 7.9M | $326.9M |
| Mar 22, 2019 | MITSUBISHI UFJ FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 6.2M | $262.7M |
| Dec 20, 2019 | MITSUBISHI UFJ FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 4.7M | $230.6M |
| Jul 29, 2019 | MITSUBISHI UFJ FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 1.6M | $70.1M |
| Oct 29, 2019 | MITSUBISHI UFJ FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 1.1M | $51.7M |
| Jan 29, 2019 | MITSUBISHI UFJ FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 1.2M | $49.6M |
| Jan 18, 2023 | GORMAN JAMES P
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 250.0K | $24.2M |
| Jul 17, 2024 | GORMAN JAMES P
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 200.0K | $21.0M |
| Oct 31, 2025 | PICK EDWARD N.
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 100.0K | $16.4M |
| Jan 18, 2023 | PICK EDWARD N.
Officer
|
Sell | 135.0K | $13.1M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Morgan Stanley stock a buy right now?
Morgan Stanley (MS) is currently rated as 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 59. While the stock exhibits strong revenue growth and profit margins, it is trading below its key moving averages and faces significant insider selling pressure, suggesting caution is warranted.
What is Morgan Stanley's stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Morgan Stanley's projected price range for 2030 is between $136.86 and $681.09, with a base case of $305.31. These are statistical outcomes, not definitive price targets.
What are the key risks facing Morgan Stanley?
The main risks include heavy insider selling totaling $98.7 million, a bearish technical setup with the stock below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($207.33 and $194.21), and a high debt-to-equity ratio of 5.17, which is above the sector average.
How does Morgan Stanley compare to its sector peers?
Morgan Stanley shows stronger revenue growth (28% vs. 11.7% sector average) and profit margins (25.90% vs. 13.8% sector average). However, its debt-to-equity ratio (5.17) is higher than the sector median.
What is the Wall Street consensus on Morgan Stanley stock?
The Wall Street consensus for Morgan Stanley is 'Hold', with 26 analysts covering the stock. The median price target is $226.50, suggesting a potential upside of 19.2% from the current price.
What was Morgan Stanley's most recent earnings performance?
In the quarter to June 2026, Morgan Stanley reported an EPS of $3.46, beating the estimate of $2.93 by 18.09%. Despite this earnings beat, the stock price declined by 4.45%.
Are there any significant insider transactions for Morgan Stanley?
Yes, insiders have been heavy net sellers, with $98.7 million in total sales in recent filings, compared to only $5.6 thousand in purchases. This indicates significant selling pressure from within the company.